Research - North Warrandyte

Research - North Warrandyte has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Research - North Warrandyte's population was around 7,054 as of Nov 2025. This showed an increase of 119 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,935. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,045 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 141 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Research - North Warrandyte had a compound annual growth rate of 0.2%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 60.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends and the latest annual ERP population numbers, Research - North Warrandyte is forecasted to grow by 1,836 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 25.7% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Research - North Warrandyte, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

North Warrandyte has recorded approximately 7 residential properties granted approval annually. Between the financial years FY-21 and FY-25, around 39 homes were approved, with an additional 1 approved so far in FY-26. Over these past five years, an average of 0.8 new residents per year per dwelling constructed was recorded.

This suggests that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new properties during this period was $593,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In terms of commercial development, $5.8 million in approvals have been registered in FY-26 thus far, suggesting limited commercial development focus compared to residential. When compared to Greater Melbourne, North Warrandyte has significantly less development activity, being 54.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties due to limited supply.

Recent construction in North Warrandyte comprises 86.0% standalone homes and 14.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated count of 939 people per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections estimate Research - North Warrandyte adding 1,816 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth in the area.

Research - North Warrandyte has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified nine projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Eltham-Yarra Glen Road and Kangaroo Ground-St Andrews Road Safety Improvements, Kangaroo Ground Cemetery Extension, intersection maintenance works, and Kangaroo Ground Landfill Rehabilitation. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Research - North Warrandyte rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

North Warrandyte has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is low at 1.6%.

Over the past year, employment stability has been relatively high. As of September 2025, 4,186 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.1%, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne at 68.8%. Employment is concentrated in construction (1.4 times the regional average), health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services.

Transport, postal & warehousing employs only 2.8% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. The area may have limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 0.4%, labour force grew by 0.1%, and unemployment fell by 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a rise in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points. Statewide, Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year to November 25, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%, and employment growth outpaced the national average of 0.14%. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.9% over ten years. Applying these projections to North Warrandyte's employment mix, local employment is expected to increase by 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released on 30 June 2022 for financial year 2022, Research - North Warrandyte SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $58,116 with the average level standing at $94,534. This is exceptionally high nationally compared to levels of $54,892 and $73,761 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $65,183 (median) and $106,029 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Research - North Warrandyte, between the 80th and 95th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows 32.3% of the population (2,278 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, contrasting with the region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 32.8%. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 47.1% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. After housing costs, residents retain 88.6% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Research - North Warrandyte is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Research - North Warrandyte's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.3% houses and 0.7% other dwellings. This compares to Melbourne metro's 93.9% houses and 6.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Research - North Warrandyte was 42.7%, similar to Melbourne metro. The remainder were mortgaged (51.1%) or rented (6.3%). Median monthly mortgage repayments in the area were $2,500, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,167 and Australia's national average of $1,863. Median weekly rent was recorded at $462, compared to Melbourne metro's $431 and the national figure of $375.

Research - North Warrandyte features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 85.9% of all households, including 48.9% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 14.1%, with lone person households at 12.3% and group households at 1.6%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.9.

Research - North Warrandyte demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates of 40.2% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA4 region's rate of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 25.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.8%) and graduate diplomas (5.3%). Vocational credentials are held by 29.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas accounting for 11.6% and certificates for 18.3%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.3% in primary, 9.8% in secondary, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Research - North Warrandyte has 58 active public transport stops. These are served by buses on three different routes, offering a total of 755 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents located an average of 397 meters from the nearest stop.

Buses run approximately 107 times per day across all routes, resulting in about 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Research - North Warrandyte's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis shows Research - North Warrandyte had low prevalence of common health conditions across all ages. Private health cover was high at approximately 68% (4,810 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 60.1% and Australia's 55.3%. Asthma and mental health issues were most common, affecting 7.9% and 7.3%, respectively, with 72.3% reporting no medical ailments, compared to 70.6% in Greater Melbourne.

In this area, 18.2% were aged 65 and over (1,285 people). Health outcomes among seniors were strong, outperforming the general population.

Research - North Warrandyte ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

North Warrandyte, surveyed in 2016, had low cultural diversity with 85.1% born in Australia, 93.2% being citizens, and 93.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 39.6%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.3%, compared to 0.1% in Greater Melbourne.

Top ancestry groups were English (28.9%), Australian (26.9%), and Irish (9.7%). Dutch (2.6%) and Scottish (9.1%) were notably overrepresented, while Italian was underrepresented at 4.8%.

Research - North Warrandyte's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Research - North Warrandyte is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and exceeds the national average of 38. The age profile shows that individuals aged 55-64 are particularly prominent, making up 14.7% of the population, while those aged 25-34 make up only 6.4%. Between 2021 and present, the percentage of individuals aged 65-74 has increased from 10.2% to 11.3%, and the percentage of those aged 75-84 has risen from 4.4% to 5.5%. Conversely, the percentage of individuals aged 45-54 has decreased from 16.7% to 15.5%, and the percentage of those aged 25-34 has dropped from 7.6% to 6.4%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate that the age cohort of 45-54 is expected to increase significantly by 357 people (33%), growing from 1,091 to 1,449 individuals. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age cohort is projected to grow modestly by 6%, adding 18 individuals.