Research - North Warrandyte
Statistical Area - sa2

Research - North Warrandyte has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Research - North Warrandyte's population was around 7,054 as of Nov 2025. This reflected an increase of 119 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,935. The increase was inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 7,045 in June 2024 and additional 9 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 141 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Research - North Warrandyte showed resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.2%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth, contributing approximately 60.9% of overall gains recently.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilized VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest population numbers, the area is forecasted to grow by 1,836 persons to 2041, with an increase of 25.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Research - North Warrandyte, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

North Warrandyte has seen approximately 7 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, 39 homes were approved, with an additional 1 approved so far in FY26. On average, this results in 0.8 new residents per year per dwelling constructed during these years.

This pace suggests that supply is keeping up with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and allowing for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new properties is $593,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In terms of commercial development, $5.8 million in approvals have been registered this financial year, suggesting limited focus on commercial development compared to residential. When compared to Greater Melbourne, North Warrandyte has significantly less development activity, 54.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, reflecting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations.

Recent construction in North Warrandyte comprises 86.0% standalone homes and 14.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining its traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 939 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections indicate that North Warrandyte will add approximately 1,816 residents by 2041. However, if current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth in the area.

Research - North Warrandyte has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly impact performance. AreaSearch identified 9 projects potentially affecting the area. Notable ones include Eltham-Yarra Glen Road and Kangaroo Ground-St Andrews Road Safety Improvements, Kangaroo Ground Cemetery Extension, Kangaroo Ground Tennis Club car park sealing, and Kangaroo Ground intersection maintenance works. Below is a list of those most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Research - North Warrandyte rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

North Warrandyte has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 1.4% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1.9% over the previous year.

In June 2025, 4,237 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.2%, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation was 68.8%, comparable to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in construction (1.4 times the regional average), health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. The transport, postal & warehousing sector employs just 2.8% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 5.2%.

Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 1.9%, labour force grew by 1.5%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.5% and labour force growth of 4.0%, with a rise in unemployment of 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to North Warrandyte's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Research - North Warrandyte had a median taxpayer income of $58,116 and an average income of $94,534. These figures are exceptionally high nationally compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $54,892 and average of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth from financial year 2022 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $65,183 (median) and $106,029 (average). Census data indicates household incomes rank at the 96th percentile ($2,831 weekly). Income distribution shows 32.3% of the population falls within the $4000+ range, contrasting with the region's leading bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 at 32.8%. Higher earners comprise a substantial presence at 47.1%, indicating strong purchasing power. After housing costs, residents retain 88.6% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking in the 9th decile.

Research - North Warrandyte is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Research - North Warrandyte had 99.3% houses and 0.7% other dwellings in its dwelling structure as of the latest Census, compared to Melbourne metro's 99.3% houses and 6.0% other dwellings. Home ownership stood at 42.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.1% and rented ones at 6.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, above Melbourne metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent was $462 compared to Melbourne metro's $431. Nationally, Research - North Warrandyte's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Research - North Warrandyte features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 85.9% of all households, including 48.9% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for 14.1%, with lone person households at 12.3% and group households at 1.6%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.9.

Research - North Warrandyte demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

North Warrandyte's educational profile is notable regionally. University qualification rates exceed the Australian average of 30.4%, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications. This rate is also higher than that of the SA4 region at 32.8%.

Bachelor degrees are most common, held by 25.1% of residents, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.8%) and graduate diplomas (5.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 29.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (18.3%). Educational participation is high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 9.8% in secondary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education. North Warrandyte's three schools have a combined enrollment reaching 1,072 students as of the latest data. The area demonstrates significant socio-educational advantages and academic achievement, with an ICSEA score of 1112. The educational mix includes two primary schools and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Research - North Warrandyte has 58 active public transport stops. These are served by buses along three different routes, offering a total of 755 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 397 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 107 bus trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Research - North Warrandyte's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis shows Research - North Warrandyte had low prevalence of common health conditions across all ages. Private health cover was high at approximately 68% (4,810 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 60.1%. Nationally, it stands at 55.3%.

Common medical conditions were asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.9% and 7.3%, respectively. 72.3% declared no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 70.6%. The area has 18.2% seniors (1,285 people), with strong health outcomes among them, outperforming the general population in metrics.

Research - North Warrandyte ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

North Warrandyte, found in research to have below average cultural diversity, had 85.1% of its population born in Australia, with 93.2% being citizens and 93.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 39.6% of people in North Warrandyte. Notably, Judaism was overrepresented, making up 0.3% compared to the regional average of 0.1%.

Top ancestry groups were English (28.9%), Australian (26.9%), and Irish (9.7%). Other ethnic groups showed notable divergences: Dutch at 2.6% (vs regional 1.5%), Scottish at 9.1% (vs 8.2%), and Italian at 4.8% (vs 6.2%).

Research - North Warrandyte hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Research - North Warrandyte is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 55-64 are particularly prominent, making up 14.7% of the population, while those aged 25-34 comprise only 6.4%. Between 2021 and the present, the percentage of the population aged 65-74 has increased from 10.2% to 11.3%, and the 75-84 cohort has risen from 4.4% to 5.5%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has declined from 16.7% to 15.5%, and the 25-34 group has dropped from 7.6% to 6.4%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Research - North Warrandyte's age structure. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to increase by 357 people (33%), growing from 1,091 to 1,449. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort is expected to grow modestly by 6%, adding 18 people.