Research - North Warrandyte

Research - North Warrandyte has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Research - North Warrandyte's population is around 7,094 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 159 people (2.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,935 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,034 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 10 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 142 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Over the past decade, Research - North Warrandyte has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 0.2% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 60.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase in the top quartile of national statistical areas is forecast, with the area expected to increase by 1,836 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 25.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Research - North Warrandyte, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Research - North Warrandyte has experienced around 7 dwellings receiving development approval each year, totalling 39 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 1 approval has been recorded. At an average of just 0.8 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations, while new homes are being built at an average value of $593,000, demonstrating a developer focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. Additionally, $5.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating a limited commercial development focus.

Relative to Greater Melbourne, Research - North Warrandyte has significantly less development activity (54.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. This is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. Recent construction comprises 86.0% standalone homes and 14.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated count of 939 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Looking ahead, Research - North Warrandyte is expected to grow by 1,776 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Research - North Warrandyte has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 10 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Kangaroo Ground Cemetery Extension, Eltham-Yarra Glen Road and Kangaroo Ground-St Andrews Road Safety Improvements, Kangaroo Ground intersection maintenance works, and Kangaroo Ground Landfill Rehabilitation, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Research - North Warrandyte places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Research - North Warrandyte features a well-educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of just 1.7%, and 1.3% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 4,223 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 3.1% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (75.1% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%). Based on Census responses, a high 40.7% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical. The area has particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level. On the other hand, transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented, with only 2.8% of Research - North Warrandyte's workforce compared to 5.2% in Greater Melbourne. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 1.3% while labour force increased by 1.3%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Research - North Warrandyte. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Research - North Warrandyte's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Research - North Warrandyte SA2's income level is extremely high nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Research - North Warrandyte SA2's median income among taxpayers is $60,635 and the average income stands at $91,386, which compares to figures for Greater Melbourne's of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $65,637 (median) and $98,925 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Research - North Warrandyte, between the 80th and 95th percentiles nationally. The data shows the largest segment comprises 32.3% earning $4000+ weekly (2,291 residents), contrasting with the metropolitan region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 32.8%. Economic strength emerges through 47.1% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.6% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Research - North Warrandyte is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Research - North Warrandyte, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 99.3% houses and 0.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Research - North Warrandyte was well beyond that of Melbourne metro, at 42.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (51.1%) or rented (6.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Melbourne metro average at $2,500, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $462, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Research - North Warrandyte's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Research - North Warrandyte features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 85.9% of all households, comprising 48.9% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 14.1%, with lone person households at 12.3% and group households comprising 1.6% of the total. The median household size of 3.0 people is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Research - North Warrandyte demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile stands out regionally, with university qualification rates (40.2% of residents aged 15+) exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and that of the SA4 region (32.8%), reflecting the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees lead at 25.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.8%) and graduate diplomas (5.3%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 29.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (18.3%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 9.8% in secondary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 58 active transport stops operating within Research - North Warrandyte, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 3 individual routes, collectively providing 947 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 397 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 92%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.2 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 40.7% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 135 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

Research - North Warrandyte's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Research - North Warrandyte, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 67% of the total population (4,738 people). This compares to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.9% and 7.3% of residents, respectively, while 72.3% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 18.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,330 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Research - North Warrandyte ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Research - North Warrandyte was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 85.1% of its population born in Australia, 93.2% being citizens, and 93.4% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Research - North Warrandyte is Christianity, which makes up 39.6% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Judaism, which comprises 0.3% of the population, compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Research - North Warrandyte are English, comprising 28.9% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 20.1%, Australian, comprising 26.9% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 18.4%, and Irish, comprising 9.7% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Dutch is notably overrepresented at 2.6% of Research - North Warrandyte (vs 1.2% regionally), Scottish at 9.1% (vs 5.6%) and Italian at 4.8% (vs 5.2%).

Research - North Warrandyte's median age exceeds the national pattern

The 43-year median age in Research - North Warrandyte is considerably higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 as well as substantially exceeding the 38-year national average. The age profile shows 55 - 64 year-olds are particularly prominent (14.5%), while the 25 - 34 group is comparatively smaller (6.2%) than in Greater Melbourne. In the period since 2021, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.4% to 6.0% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 14.0% to 15.4%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 7.6% to 6.2% and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 16.7% to 15.4%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Research - North Warrandyte's age structure. The 45 to 54 age cohort is projected to increase solidly, expanding by 358 people (33%) from 1,090 to 1,449. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 cohort grows by a modest 7% (22 people).