Research - North Warrandyte

Research - North Warrandyte has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Research - North Warrandyte's population was around 7,094 as of February 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 159 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,935. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,034 in June 2024 and an additional 10 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 142 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Research - North Warrandyte has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.2%, outpacing its SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 60.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, making adjustments using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase is forecast in the top quartile of national statistical areas. The area is expected to increase by 1,836 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 25.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Research - North Warrandyte, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

North Warrandyte has seen approximately 7 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 39 homes. As of FY26, there has been 1 recorded approval. On average, 0.8 new residents have arrived annually for each new home built between FY21 and FY25. This rate suggests that new construction is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

The average value of new homes being constructed is $593,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment. In FY26, $5.8 million worth of commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting limited commercial development activity in the area compared to Greater Melbourne, where it is 54.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. Recent construction comprises 86.0% standalone homes and 14.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's traditional low density character and appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population count of 939 people per dwelling approval reflects North Warrandyte's quiet development environment.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to grow by 1,776 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying competition among buyers and driving stronger price growth.

Research - North Warrandyte has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure projects and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 10 such projects that could impact this particular area. Notable among these are the Kangaroo Ground Cemetery Extension, Eltham-Yarra Glen Road and Kangaroo Ground-St Andrews Road Safety Improvements in Kangaroo Ground, intersection maintenance works, and the Kangaroo Ground Landfill Rehabilitation project. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Research - North Warrandyte places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

North Warrandyte's workforce is highly educated with strong professional services representation. The unemployment rate was 1.6% as of September 2025, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%. Employment stability has been relatively consistent over the past year.

Residents' employment participation is standard at 74.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. Notably, 40.7% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. Construction employment is particularly high at 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing jobs are under-represented at 2.8%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data. Between September 2024 to September 2025, employment increased by 0.4% while labour force grew by 0.1%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw higher growth rates of 3.0% and 3.3% respectively for employment and labour force, with a slight rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.9% over ten years for Research - North Warrandyte, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Research - North Warrandyte SA2 has an extremely high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Its median income among taxpayers is $60,635 and average income stands at $91,386, compared to Greater Melbourne's figures of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $65,637 (median) and $98,925 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Research - North Warrandyte, between the 80th and 95th percentiles nationally. The largest segment comprises 32.3% earning $4000+ weekly (2,291 residents), contrasting with metropolitan region where $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 32.8%. Economic strength emerges through 47.1% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.6% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Research - North Warrandyte is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Research - North Warrandyte had 99.3% houses and 0.7% other dwellings in the latest Census, compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership was at 42.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.1% and rented ones at 6.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, above Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent was $462, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Research - North Warrandyte features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households make up 85.9% of all households, including 48.9% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 14.1%, with lone person households at 12.3% and group households making up 1.6%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Research - North Warrandyte demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 40.2% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA4 region's rate of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 25.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.8%) and graduate diplomas (5.3%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 11.6% while certificates make up 18.3%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 9.8% in secondary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Research - North Warrandyte has 58 active public transport stops. These are served by three different bus routes that together facilitate 947 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average located 397 meters from the nearest stop. Most commuting in this primarily residential area is outward-bound, with cars being the dominant mode of transportation at 92%. On average, there are 2.2 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 40.7% of residents work from home, a figure that may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 135 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

Research - North Warrandyte's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Research North Warrandyte shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 67% of the total population (4,738 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and 55.7% nationally.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most common medical conditions, affecting 7.9 and 7.3% of residents respectively. 72.3% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population has better than average health outcomes. The area has 18.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,330 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Research - North Warrandyte ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

North Warrandyte was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 85.1% of its population born in Australia, 93.2% being citizens, and 93.4% speaking English only at home as of the latest data available. The dominant religion in North Warrandyte is Christianity, comprising 39.6% of people. However, Judaism is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 0.3% versus 1.0%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (28.9%, regional average 20.1%), Australian (26.9%, regional average 18.4%), and Irish (9.7%). Notably, Dutch (2.6% vs 1.2%), Scottish (9.1% vs 5.6%), and Italian (4.8% vs 5.2%) groups are overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Research - North Warrandyte's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Research - North Warrandyte is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 55-64 are particularly prominent at 14.5%, while the 25-34 group is smaller at 6.2% compared to Greater Melbourne. Between 2021 and the present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 4.4% to 6.0% of the population, and the 15-24 cohort has increased from 14.0% to 15.4%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has declined from 7.6% to 6.2%, and the 45-54 group has dropped from 16.7% to 15.4%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 45-54 age cohort is expected to increase significantly by 358 people (33%), growing from 1,090 to 1,449. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort is projected to grow modestly by 7% (22 people).