Research - North Warrandyte

Research - North Warrandyte has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Research North Warrandyte's population is approximately 7,051 as of May 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 116 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 6,935. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,039 in June 2025 and 14 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 141 persons per square kilometer. North Warrandyte's 1.7% growth since census is comparable to its SA3 area's 1.8%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 60.5% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, North Warrandyte is forecasted to increase its population by 1,813 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 25.5%.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Research - North Warrandyte, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

North Warrandyte has seen approximately 7 dwellings receive development approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 39 homes. In FY26 so far, 2 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.8 new residents arrive per new home built annually between FY21 and FY25. This rate of construction matches or exceeds demand, providing more options for buyers and enabling population growth that may surpass current expectations.

The average value of new homes constructed is $593,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In this financial year, $5.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting limited commercial development activity compared to Greater Melbourne, where North Warrandyte has 54.0% less development activity per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. Recent construction comprises 86.0% standalone homes and 14.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes. The estimated population count is 939 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, North Warrandyte is expected to grow by 1,801 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Research - North Warrandyte has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified ten projects that are anticipated to impact the area. Among these key projects are Eltham-Yarra Glen Road and Kangaroo Ground-St Andrews Road Safety Improvements, Kangaroo Ground Cemetery Extension at Kangaroo Ground, intersection maintenance works, and Kangaroo Ground Landfill Rehabilitation. The following list provides details on those projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Research - North Warrandyte places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Research North Warrandyte has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate is 1.7%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.3% over the past year. As of December 2025, 4,223 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.1% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation is 74.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census responses, 40.7% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in construction with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level, but under-represents transport, postal & warehousing at 2.8% compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.2%.

Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census working population vs resident population counts. Over December 2024 to December 2025, employment increased by 1.3% while labour force increased by 1.3%, keeping unemployment broadly flat. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Research North Warrandyte's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Research - North Warrandyte SA2 has an extremely high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year ended June 30, 2023. The median income among taxpayers is $60,635 and the average income stands at $91,386. This compares to figures for Greater Melbourne of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year ended June 30, 2023, current estimates would be approximately $66,468 (median) and $100,177 (average) as of March 2026. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Research - North Warrandyte, between the 80th and 95th percentiles nationally. The largest segment comprises 32.3% earning $4000+ weekly (2,277 residents), contrasting with the metropolitan region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 32.8%. Economic strength emerges through 47.1% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.6% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Research - North Warrandyte is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Research - North Warrandyte's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 99.3% houses and 0.7% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Research - North Warrandyte stood at 42.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.1% and rented at 6.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent was $462, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Research - North Warrandyte's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,500 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Research - North Warrandyte features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 85.9% of all households, including 48.9% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 14.1%, with lone person households at 12.3% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Research - North Warrandyte demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 40.2% of residents aged 15+, exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA4 region rate of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 25.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.8%) and graduate diplomas (5.3%). Vocational credentials are held by 29.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 18.3%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.3% in primary education, 9.8% in secondary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Research - North Warrandyte has 58 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by three different routes that together facilitate 947 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents generally located 397 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 92% of residents. On average, there are 2.2 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 40.7% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 135 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 16 weekly trips per stop.

Research - North Warrandyte's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Research - North Warrandyte shows excellent health outcomes, as per AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 67% of the total population (4,710 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.9 and 7.3% of residents respectively. Notably, 72.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, slightly lower than the 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population has better than average health outcomes. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 18.8% (1,327 people), compared to 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

Research - North Warrandyte ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

North Warrandyte was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 85.1% of its population born in Australia, 93.2% being citizens, and 93.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in North Warrandyte, comprising 39.6% of the population. Judaism is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 0.3% versus 1.0%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (28.9%), Australian (26.9%), and Irish (9.7%), all higher than regional averages. Dutch (2.6%), Scottish (9.1%), and Italian (4.8%) ethnicities are notably overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.2%, 5.6%, and 5.2% respectively.

Research - North Warrandyte's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Research - North Warrandyte is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 55-64 are particularly prominent, making up 14.7% of the population, while those aged 25-34 constitute only 6.6%. Between 2021 and present, the percentage of individuals aged 15-24 has increased from 14.0% to 15.7%, and those aged 75-84 have risen from 4.4% to 5.8%. Conversely, the percentage of individuals aged 45-54 has declined from 16.7% to 15.2%, and those aged 25-34 have dropped from 7.6% to 6.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Research - North Warrandyte's age structure. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to increase by 355 people (33%), growing from 1,073 to 1,429 individuals. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age cohort is expected to grow modestly by 8%, adding 24 people.