Research - North Warrandyte
Statistical Area - sa2

Research - North Warrandyte has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Research - North Warrandyte's population was around 7,061 as of Aug 2025. This reflected an increase of 126 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,935 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,043 in June 2024 and an additional 12 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equated to a density ratio of 141 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Research - North Warrandyte had demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.2%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 60.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilised the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest population numbers, Research - North Warrandyte was forecasted to grow by 1,836 persons to 2041, with an increase of 25.6% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Research - North Warrandyte, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

North Warrandyte recorded approximately seven residential properties granted approval annually. Development approval data from the ABS covers financial years 2021-25, showing 39 dwellings approved over these five years and one in FY-26 so far. On average, 0.8 new residents per year were associated with each dwelling constructed during this period. This suggests that new supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, providing ample buyer choice and allowing for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction value of these dwellings was $772,000, indicating a focus on the premium market by developers. In FY-26, commercial approvals totaled $5.8 million, suggesting limited commercial development activity in North Warrandyte compared to Greater Melbourne. With 54.0% less development activity per person than the regional average and under the national average, North Warrandyte's established nature and potential planning limitations are indicated. Recent construction in North Warrandyte comprised 86.0% standalone homes and 14.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining its traditional low density character focused on family homes. As of now, there are approximately 939 people per dwelling approval in the area, reflecting its quiet development environment.

Future projections estimate North Warrandyte will add 1,809 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Research - North Warrandyte has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly impact local performance. AreaSearch identified 10 projects potentially affecting the area. Notable ones are Kangaroo Ground Cemetery Extension, Eltham-Yarra Glen Road and Kangaroo Ground-St Andrews Road Safety Improvements, Kangaroo Ground Tennis Club car park sealing, and Kangaroo Ground intersection maintenance works. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Research - North Warrandyte rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

North Warrandyte has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 1.4%, lower than the national average of 5.3% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.9%. As of June 2025, 4,237 residents are employed with an unemployment rate of 3.2%, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation is 68.8%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Major employment sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services.

Construction, in particular, has a notable concentration with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing employs only 2.8% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 1.9%, while labour force grew by 1.5%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5% with a rise in unemployment by 0.5 percentage points. State-wide in Victoria, employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year to September 2025, adding 39,880 jobs, while the state unemployment rate was 4.7%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to North Warrandyte's employment mix suggests local growth could be approximately 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, although these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch reports that according to its aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022, Research - North Warrandyte had a median income among taxpayers of $58,116 and an average income of $94,534. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high compared to the national averages of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively for Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.11% since financial year 2022, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $63,992 and an average income of $104,091 as of March 2025. Census data indicates that household incomes rank at the 96th percentile with $2,831 weekly. Income distribution shows that 32.3% of the population (2,280 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, contrasting with the region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 32.8%. A substantial presence of higher earners is evident with 47.1% exceeding $3,000 weekly, suggesting strong purchasing power within the community. After housing costs, residents retain 88.6% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Research - North Warrandyte is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Research - North Warrandyte, as evaluated in the latest Census, had 99.3% houses and 0.7% other dwellings, compared to Melbourne metro's 93.9% houses and 6.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Research - North Warrandyte was 42.7%, similar to Melbourne metro's figure. Mortgaged dwellings accounted for 51.1%, with rented dwellings at 6.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent was $462, compared to Melbourne metro's $431. Nationally, Research - North Warrandyte's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Research - North Warrandyte features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 85.9 percent of all households, including 48.9 percent that are couples with children, 28.1 percent that are couples without children, and 8.2 percent that are single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 14.1 percent, with lone person households at 12.3 percent and group households comprising 1.6 percent of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.9.

Research - North Warrandyte demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally. University qualification rates exceed the Australian average of 30.4%, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications. This rate surpasses that of the SA4 region at 32.8%.

Bachelor degrees are most common, held by 25.1% of residents, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.8%) and graduate diplomas (5.3%). Trade and technical skills also feature prominently, with 29.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 18.3%. Educational participation is high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (10.3%), secondary education (9.8%), and tertiary education (6.2%). North Warrandyte's three schools combined have an enrollment reaching 1,072 students. The area demonstrates significant socio-educational advantages and academic achievement, with an ICSEA score of 1112. The educational mix includes two primary schools and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Research - North Warrandyte has 58 active public transport stops. These are served by buses on three different routes. Each week, these routes facilitate 755 passenger trips in total.

The area's transport accessibility is considered good, with residents living an average of 397 meters from the nearest stop. On average, services operate 107 trips per day across all routes, which translates to about 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Research - North Warrandyte's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Research - North Warrandyte with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 68% of the total population (4,815 people), compared to 60.1% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.9 and 7.3% of residents respectively, while 72.3% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 70.6% across Greater Melbourne.

As of 18/05/2021, the area has 18.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,286 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Research - North Warrandyte ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Research conducted revealed that North Warrandyte showed a lower level of cultural diversity, with 85.1% of its residents born in Australia, 93.2% being citizens, and 93.4% speaking English exclusively at home. Christianity was identified as the dominant religion in North Warrandyte, representing 39.6% of its population. A notable overrepresentation was found in Judaism, comprising 0.3% of North Warrandyte's population compared to the regional average of 0.1%.

In terms of ancestry based on parents' country of birth, the top three groups were English at 28.9%, Australian at 26.9%, and Irish at 9.7%. Other ethnic groups with notable divergences included Dutch at 2.6% (versus 1.5% regionally), Scottish at 9.1% (versus 8.2%), and Italian at 4.8% (versus 6.2%).

Research - North Warrandyte hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Research - North Warrandyte is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and also exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 55-64 are particularly prominent, making up 14.7% of the population, while those aged 25-34 comprise only 6.4%. Since 2021, the percentage of people aged 65-74 has increased from 10.2% to 11.3%, and the percentage of those aged 75-84 has risen from 4.4% to 5.5%. However, the percentage of individuals aged 45-54 has decreased from 16.7% to 15.5%, and the percentage of those aged 25-34 has dropped from 7.6% to 6.4%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate that the age cohort of 45-54 is expected to increase significantly by 356 people (a 33% rise) from 1,092 to 1,449. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age cohort is projected to grow modestly by 17 people (a 6% increase).