Seville

An assessment of population growth drivers in Seville reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, as of Nov 2025, Seville's estimated population is around 2,630. This reflects an increase of 71 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,559. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 2,620 residents following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release (June 2024) and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 123 persons per square kilometer. Seville's growth rate of 2.8% since census positions it within 1.1 percentage points of the SA3 area (3.9%). Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth, contributing approximately 75.0%.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Future population trends project an increase just below the national median by 2041, with Seville expected to gain 110 persons over this period, reflecting a total increase of 2.6%.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Seville, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Seville had around 11 dwellings receiving development approval each year. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, about 59 homes were approved, with a further 9 approved in FY-26 so far. Despite recent population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, indicating a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average expected construction cost of new dwellings is $618,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market. This year, there have been $1.9 million in commercial approvals, reflecting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Seville's construction activity was 16.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years.

Recent development has consisted entirely of detached houses, maintaining the area's traditional low density character and appealing to those seeking family homes with space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 398 people. AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate forecasts Seville will gain 68 residents by 2041, suggesting current housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Seville has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 0 projects that could affect this region. Notable projects include Yarra Ranges Council Drainage Infrastructure Program, Dandenong Ranges Environmental Protection Program, South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades, and Additional VLocity Trains. The following list details those most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis places Seville well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Seville has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 3.3% and stable employment over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, there are 1,473 employed residents, with an unemployment rate at 1.4% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in Seville is high at 71.3%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. Construction stands out with an employment share 2.1 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services have a limited presence, at 5.7% compared to the regional 10.1%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 0.5%, while labour force remained stable, leading to a 0.5 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows Victorian employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 indicate a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Seville's employment mix suggests local employment could grow by 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Seville had a median income among taxpayers of $53,969 and an average income of $68,822. These figures are slightly above the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively in Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated median and average incomes for Seville as of September 2025 would be approximately $58,421 and $74,500 respectively. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Seville are around the 70th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 44.4% of residents (1,167 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, which is similar to regional levels where 32.8% occupy this bracket. Housing expenses account for 13.8% of income. Seville's residents rank highly in terms of disposable income, placing them in the 77th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Seville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Seville's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were entirely houses with no other dwelling types present. This contrasts with Melbourne metro's 93.8% houses and 6.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Seville stood at 32.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 58.3% and rented ones at 9.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, aligning with Melbourne metro's average. The median weekly rent was $369, compared to Melbourne metro's $380. Nationally, Seville's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Seville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.1% of all households, including 44.1% couples with children, 27.8% couples without children, and 10.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.9%, with lone person households at 15.3% and group households comprising 1.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Seville aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 15.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 45.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.1%) and certificates (33.6%). Educational participation is high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.1% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Seville shows that there are currently eight active transport stops in operation. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with two individual routes providing a total of 157 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 414 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, service frequency across all routes is 22 trips per day, which equates to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Seville's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data shows Seville residents have relatively positive health outcomes, with low prevalence of common conditions among the general population, although higher than the national average for older and at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 54% (~1,420 people) of the total population has private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (affecting 10.2%) and mental health issues (8.6%), while 67.6% report no medical ailments, compared to 66.9% in Greater Melbourne. In Seville, 17.0% (447 people) of residents are aged 65 and over, lower than the 19.4% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

Seville is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Seville's cultural diversity was found to be below average. Its population was predominantly born in Australia, with 89.2%, and a majority were citizens, at 92.5%. English was the language spoken primarily at home by 96.2%.

Christianity was the prevalent religion in Seville, comprising 39.1% of its population. However, Judaism had no representation in Seville's population, compared to Melbourne's 0.1%. The top ancestry groups were English (31.8%), Australian (31.2%), and Irish (8.4%). Notably, Dutch (4.5%) was overrepresented in Seville compared to the regional average of 3.2%. Similarly, Macedonian had a higher representation at 0.2% versus 0.1%, and German also showed an increase from 3.6% regionally to 3.9% in Seville.

Seville's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Seville's median age is 37, matching Greater Melbourne's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 55-64 age group constitutes 13.7% of Seville's population, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 12.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has risen from 4.3% to 5.6%, and the 65 to 74 cohort has increased from 8.4% to 9.7%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has decreased from 13.6% to 12.1%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Seville's age structure. The 75 to 84 group is projected to grow by 49%, from 147 to 219 people. Those aged 65 and above will account for 93% of the population growth. Meanwhile, the 35 to 44 and 25 to 34 age groups are expected to experience population declines.