Wandin North

An assessment of population growth drivers in Wandin North reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, as of Nov 2025, the Wandin North statistical area (Lv2) has an estimated population of around 3,175. This reflects a growth of 43 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,132. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 3,160 residents based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 11 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 191 persons per square kilometer. The Wandin North (SA2)'s 1.4% growth positions it within 2.5 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth rate of 3.9%. Natural growth contributed approximately 75.0% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future projections anticipate a population increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch, with the Wandin North (SA2) expected to grow by 206 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 6.5% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Wandin North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Wandin North has recorded around 4 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), approximately 21 homes were approved, with a further 3 approved so far in FY-26. The average number of new residents per year per dwelling constructed over these years is around 0.3.

This suggests that supply is meeting or surpassing demand, providing greater buyer choice while supporting potential for population growth above projections. New properties are being constructed at an average value of $618,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, there have been $5.6 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited commercial development focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Wandin North records markedly lower building activity (66.0% below regional average per person), which generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. This low activity is also reflected nationally, indicating market maturity and possible development constraints.

Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached houses, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population count of 1586 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, Wandin North is forecasted to gain 206 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Wandin North has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified one major project that may affect this region. Key projects include Mount Evelyn Water Treatment Plant, Yarra Ranges Council Drainage Infrastructure Program, Dandenong Ranges Environmental Protection Program, and South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades. The following list details those most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Wandin North performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Wandin North has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being particularly prominent. Its unemployment rate was 1.9% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.2%.

As of September 2025, 1,813 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.7%, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is 67.8%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade, with construction employment at 2.0 times the regional average. Professional & technical services employ only 5.5% of local workers, lower than Greater Melbourne's 10.1%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 1.2% while labour force grew by 0.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Wandin North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

In AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Wandin North's median income among taxpayers is $48,152. The average income in the suburb is $61,404. Both figures are below the national average. In Greater Melbourne, the median income is $57,688 and the average is $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Wandin North's median income would be approximately $52,125 as of September 2025, with an average of around $66,470. According to Census 2021 income data, incomes in Wandin North cluster around the 56th percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows that 38.5% of residents (1,222 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, reflecting regional patterns where 32.8% occupy this range. After housing expenses, 86.1% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Wandin North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Wandin North, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.7% houses and 0.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 93.8% houses and 6.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Wandin North was 37.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 52.1% and rented ones at 10.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, aligning with Melbourne metro's average. The median weekly rent was $368, compared to Melbourne metro's $380. Nationally, Wandin North's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $368 compared to the national figure of $375.

Wandin North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.4% of all households, including 40.0% couples with children, 30.5% couples without children, and 10.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 18.6%, with lone person households at 17.3% and group households comprising 0.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Wandin North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 17.9%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.5%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (30.8%). Educational participation is high, with 25.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (8.8%), secondary (7.7%), and tertiary (2.9%) levels.

Educational participation is notably high, with 25.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.8% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 2.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Wandin North shows that there are currently 15 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with services provided by two individual routes in total. The combined weekly passenger trips across these routes amount to 157.

Residents have good access to transport, with an average distance of 301 meters to the nearest stop. The service frequency is quite high, averaging approximately 22 trips per day across all routes, which translates to around 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Wandin North are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Wandin North.

Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~1,623 people). The most common medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 8.8 and 8.4% of residents respectively. 67.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 66.9% across Greater Melbourne. As of the latest data (2016), 20.0% of residents are aged 65 and over (635 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Wandin North is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Wandin North's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.6% of its population born in Australia, 94.1% being citizens, and 95.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Wandin North, comprising 43.6% of people, while Buddhism had a slightly higher representation than Greater Melbourne's average, at 1.1%. The top three ancestry groups were English (32.5%), Australian (29.7%), and Scottish (7.4%).

Notably, Dutch ancestry was overrepresented in Wandin North at 4.5%, compared to the regional average of 3.2%. Hungarian ancestry had a slightly higher representation at 0.4% versus 0.3%, and French ancestry was also somewhat overrepresented at 0.7% compared to the region's 0.5%.

Wandin North's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Wandin North is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, the 65-74 age cohort is notably over-represented in Wandin North at 11.4%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 12.6%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group has grown from 5.2% to 6.7% of the population, and the 65-74 cohort has increased from 10.0% to 11.4%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has declined from 14.3% to 12.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Wandin North. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 49%, reaching 318 people from 212. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 85% of the anticipated population growth, while the 25-34 and 0-4 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.