Wandin - Seville

An assessment of population growth drivers in Wandin - Seville reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Wandin-Seville's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, was around 7,998 by May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 96 individuals (1.2%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 7,902 people. The growth is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 7,996 in June 2025 and an additional 42 validated new addresses post-census. This results in a density ratio of 71 persons per square kilometer. Wandin-Seville's growth rate since the census (1.2%) is within 2.3 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth (3.5%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 72.1% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting with weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends and latest annual ERP population numbers, the area is projected to grow by 449 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 5.6% over these 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Wandin - Seville, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Wandin - Seville has seen approximately 16 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years. Between FY-21 and FY-25, 82 homes were approved, with a further 16 approved in FY-26 to date. On average, no people have moved to the area per dwelling built during this period, indicating that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction value of these dwellings is $327,000. In FY-26, $7.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Wandin - Seville has roughly half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 18th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice that supports interest in existing dwellings. This lower activity is consistent with market maturity and may suggest development constraints.

Recent building activity consists solely of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character focused on family homes. The estimated population per dwelling approval in Wandin - Seville is 863 people, reflecting its quiet, low-activity development environment. According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, the area will gain approximately 447 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Wandin - Seville has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects that may affect this region: Mount Evelyn Water Treatment Plant, Yarra Ranges Council Drainage Infrastructure Program, Dandenong Ranges Environmental Protection Program, and Healesville Sanctuary Precinct Redevelopment (Stage 2). These are the most relevant projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Wandin - Seville significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Wandin - Seville has a balanced workforce with representation across white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is notably prominent. As of December 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.4%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.8%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.6%. There are 4,670 residents employed with a workforce participation rate of 72.9%. A moderate 22.2% work from home. Leading industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Construction has strong specialization with an employment share twice the regional level. However, professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.8% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by the working population vs resident population count. Between December 2024 and 2025, employment increased by 1.6%, labour force by 1.5%, with unemployment remaining unchanged at 2.4%. Greater Melbourne recorded higher employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%, but had a rise in unemployment to 5.1%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industries. Applying these projections to Wandin - Seville's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.6% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Wandin - Seville SA2 is just below the national average. The median income is $54,453 while the average income stands at $65,965. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne's figures of a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $59,691 (median) and $72,311 (average) as of March 2026. Census 2021 income data shows that household, family and personal incomes in Wandin - Seville cluster around the 64th percentile nationally. Income brackets indicate that the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 39.5% of the community (3,159 individuals), aligning with the metropolitan region where this cohort likewise represents 32.8%. Housing accounts for 13.7% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 73rd percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Wandin - Seville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Wandin - Seville, as per the latest Census data, 99.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 0.2% comprising semi-detached properties, apartments, and other types. This is in contrast to Melbourne metro's figures of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Wandin - Seville stood at 35.1%, with mortgaged dwellings making up 54.8% and rented properties accounting for 10.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,950, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure in Wandin - Seville was recorded at $360, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Wandin - Seville's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Wandin - Seville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.7% of all households, including 42.5% couples with children, 30.0% couples without children, and 9.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up 17.3%, with lone person households at 15.6% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Wandin - Seville aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 17.4%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (32.0%). Educational participation is high at 27.8%, comprising primary education (9.7%), secondary education (8.2%), and tertiary education (3.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.7% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis indicates that there are 26 operational public transport stops within the area of Wandin - Seville. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with services provided by two individual routes in total. The combined weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes amount to 157. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically residing 374 meters away from their nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward, with the car being the primary mode of transportation at 93%. On average, there are 2.2 vehicles per dwelling in the area, which exceeds the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 22.2% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 22 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 6 weekly trips per individual stop.

Wandin - Seville's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Wandin - Seville, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Younger cohorts in particular have very low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is at approximately 52% of the total population (~4,150 people), slightly lagging behind the average SA2 area at 56.7%. This compares to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most common medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 9.1 and 8.3% of residents respectively. 67.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 19.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,562 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Wandin - Seville is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Wandin-Seville had low cultural diversity, with 88.0% born in Australia, 93.0% being citizens, and 95.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 41.3%. Buddhism, however, was overrepresented at 0.8%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.2%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (32.1%), Australian (30.4%), and Scottish (7.8%), all higher than regional averages of 20.1%, 18.4%, respectively. Notably, Dutch (4.3%) was overrepresented compared to the region's 1.2%. Italian (4.8%) and Polish (0.7%) also showed variations from regional percentages.

Wandin - Seville's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Wandin - Seville is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. Comparing the two regions, the 55-64 age cohort is notably higher in Wandin - Seville at 13.7%, while the 25-34 age group is lower at 12.1%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 65 to 74 age group has grown from 9.2% to 11.0%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 5.0% to 6.6%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has declined from 14.6% to 12.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Wandin - Seville, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 40%, reaching 737 people from 527. This growth is led by residents aged 65 and older, who will represent 80% of the anticipated population increase. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 0-4 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.