Belgrave - Selby

Belgrave - Selby has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Nov 2025, Belgrave - Selby's population is around 10,045. This reflects an increase since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,005. The change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 9,992 in June 2024 and an additional 29 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 180 persons per square kilometer. Belgrave - Selby's growth rate of 0.4% since the census is within 2.9 percentage points of its SA3 area (3.3%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 53.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Belgrave - Selby's population is expected to decline by 239 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, projected to increase by 389 people over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Belgrave - Selby is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Belgrave-Selby has seen approximately nine dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, 45 homes were approved, with another five approved in FY26 so far. The average expected construction cost of these new homes is $659,000, indicating a focus on premium market properties.

This year has seen $59.7 million in commercial approvals registered, suggesting strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Belgrave-Selby's building activity is 78.0% below the regional average per person. The area's low dwelling supply typically boosts demand and prices for existing properties. Recent development has been exclusively detached dwellings, maintaining Belgrave-Selby's traditional low density character and appealing to those seeking family homes with space. With an estimated 1497 people per dwelling approval, the area has a quiet, low activity development environment.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Belgrave-Selby may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Belgrave - Selby has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 41stth percentile nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch may impact the area: Angliss Hospital Expansion, Hillcrest Narre Warren North, Kings Park Masterplan, Ellington Estate.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Belgrave - Selby maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Belgrave-Selby has a well-educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.9% in September 2025, which is below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.0%. As of September 2025, 5,653 residents were in work and the workforce participation rate was 69.0%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Notably, education & training has a concentration of employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, finance & insurance shows lower representation at 2.4% versus the regional average of 4.9%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data analysis. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 1.0%, labour force grew by 0.7%, and unemployment fell by 0.3 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 3.0% while unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Statewide, Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year to 25-Nov-25, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Belgrave-Selby's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

In AreaSearch's latest data released for the financial year ending June 2022, Belgrave - Selby SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $57,150 and an average income of $73,907. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $54,892 and average of $73,761. By September 2025, estimated median and average incomes would be approximately $64,099 and $82,894 respectively, accounting for a 12.16% growth in wages since June 2022. Belgrave - Selby's income distribution places it at the 74th percentile nationally. Income analysis shows that 33.3% of individuals (3,344 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to regional patterns where 32.8% fall within this range. Economic strength is evident with 33.0% of households earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting higher consumer spending. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain 87.4% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Belgrave - Selby is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Belgrave-Selby's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.2% houses and 0.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 93.8% houses and 6.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Belgrave-Selby was 35.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 56.6% and rented ones at 7.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, aligning with Melbourne metro's average. Median weekly rent was $400, compared to Melbourne metro's $380. Nationally, Belgrave-Selby's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents surpassed the national figure of $375.

Belgrave - Selby features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.4% of all households, including 41.7% couples with children, 27.6% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.6%, with lone person households at 16.2% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

Belgrave - Selby shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 32.0%, exceeding the SA3 average of 23.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.1%) and graduate diplomas (4.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 36.6% of residents, with advanced diplomas at 13.1% and certificates at 23.5%.

Educational participation is high at 29.4%, including 9.9% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.9% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 78 active stops operating in Belgrave-Selby area, consisting of both train and bus services. These stops are served by 27 individual routes, collectively facilitating 4691 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 365 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 670 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 60 weekly trips per stop.

Belgrave - Selby's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Belgrave-Selby residents show relatively positive health outcomes with common conditions seen across various age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 56%, or about 5,675 people, compared to Greater Melbourne's 52.4%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 10.3% and 8.2% of residents respectively. About 67.9% report no medical ailments, compared to 66.9% in Greater Melbourne. The area has 17.0%, or about 1,705 people, aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Melbourne's 19.4%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Belgrave - Selby ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Belgrave-Selby, as per the census conducted on Tuesday 9 June 2016, showed lower cultural diversity with 82.3% of its population born in Australia, 91.5% being citizens, and 93.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 32.8% of Belgrave-Selby's population. Notably, Judaism was overrepresented at 0.4%, compared to the regional average of 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (30.3%), Australian (26.5%), and Irish (9.2%). Other ethnicities with notable divergences included Dutch at 3.4% (vs regionally 3.2%), Hungarian at 0.5% (vs regionally 0.3%), and Polish at 0.9% (vs regionally 0.7%).

Belgrave - Selby's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Belgrave-Selby has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, the 55-64 age group is notably over-represented in Belgrave-Selby (13.1% locally), while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented (7.7%). Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.9% to 5.4% of the population, while the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 10.1% to 7.7%. By 2041, Belgrave-Selby's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 329 people (60%), from 546 to 876. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 86% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 25 to 34 and 55 to 64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.