Belgrave - Selby

Belgrave - Selby has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Belgrave-Selby's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, is approximately 10,047 as of February 2026. This figure represents a growth of 42 individuals, an increase of 0.4% since the 2021 Census which recorded a population of 10,005. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 9,991 in June 2024 and an additional 30 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a population density ratio of 180 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential for further development. Natural growth contributed approximately 53.2% to the overall population increase during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, they employ VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, the area's population is expected to decline by 239 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts like the 75 to 84 group are projected to grow, with an increase of 389 people anticipated.

The level of residential development activity in Belgrave - Selby is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Belgrave-Selby has seen approximately 9 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 45 homes were approved, with another 5 approved so far in FY26. The average expected construction cost of these new homes is $659,000, indicating a focus on premium market properties.

This year has also seen $59.7 million in commercial approvals, suggesting strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Belgrave-Selby records significantly lower building activity, at 78.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically enhances demand and prices for existing properties. Recent development has solely consisted of detached dwellings, preserving the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1497 people, reflecting its quiet development environment.

With stable or declining population forecasts, Belgrave-Selby may experience less housing pressure, potentially benefiting buyers.

Belgrave - Selby has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects likely to impact the area. Major projects include Angliss Hospital Expansion, Hillcrest at Narre Warren North, Kings Park Masterplan, and Ellington Estate. The following details projects likely to be most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Belgrave - Selby maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Belgrave - Selby has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 3.9% as of September 2025. This rate is below Greater Melbourne's 4.7%, with a workforce participation rate similar to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%.

A significant 34.4% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Notably, education & training has high concentration with levels at 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, finance & insurance shows lower representation at 2.4% compared to the regional average of 4.9%.

Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 1.0%, while labour force grew by 0.7%, reducing unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0% and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points over the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May-25) project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Belgrave - Selby's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though these are illustrative extrapolations based on current industry-specific growth rates.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. Belgrave - Selby SA2's median income among taxpayers was $59,695, with an average of $73,554. Nationally, the average income is lower. Greater Melbourne's median income is $57,688 and average is $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for Belgrave - Selby are approximately $64,620 (median) and $79,622 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows incomes in Belgrave - Selby cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 33.3% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, reflecting regional patterns where 32.8% fall into this range. Economic strength is evident through 33.0% of households earning over $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 87.4% of income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Belgrave - Selby is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Belgrave-Selby's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.2% houses and 0.8% other dwellings. This compares to Melbourne metro's figures of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Belgrave-Selby stood at 35.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 56.6% and rented ones at 7.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Belgrave-Selby was recorded at $400, slightly higher than Melbourne metro's figure of $390. Nationally, Belgrave-Selby's median monthly mortgage repayment exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while median weekly rent surpassed the national figure of $375.

Belgrave - Selby features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.4% of all households, including 41.7% couples with children, 27.6% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.6%, consisting of lone person households at 16.2% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Belgrave - Selby shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 32.0% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 area average of 23.8%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 20.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.1%) and graduate diplomas (4.4%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 36.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 13.1% while certificates make up 23.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.9% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 79 active transport stops operating within Belgrave-Selby. These are served by a mix of buses along 28 individual routes, providing a total of 4,575 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 364 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to the area's residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 90%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 34.4% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 653 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 57 weekly trips per individual stop.

Belgrave - Selby's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance across Belgrave - Selby, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Both young and old age cohorts show low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is found to be very high at approximately 55% of the total population (~5,566 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (10.3%) and asthma (8.2%). A majority (67.9%) declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Belgrave - Selby has 17.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,777 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Belgrave - Selby ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Belgrave-Selby, as per the 2016 Census, had a cultural diversity below average. Its population was predominantly Australian-born at 82.3%, with 91.5% being citizens and 93.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 32.8%.

Notably, Judaism was overrepresented at 0.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%. In terms of ancestry, English was prominent at 30.3%, Australian at 26.5%, and Irish at 9.2%. Some ethnic groups had notable divergences: Dutch at 3.4% (regional average 1.2%), Hungarian at 0.5% (0.3%), and Polish at 0.9% (0.8%).

Belgrave - Selby's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Belgrave - Selby has a median age of 40, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Belgrave-Selby at 14.9%, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 7.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 3.9% to 6.1% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 10.1% to 7.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Belgrave-Selby's age profile will significantly evolve. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to expand by 266 people (44%), growing from 609 to 876 individuals. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 84% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 25 to 34 and 55 to 64 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.