Belgrave - Selby

Belgrave - Selby has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Belgrave-Selby's population, as of May 2026, is approximately 9,964, a decrease of 41 people since the 2021 Census which reported 10,005 inhabitants. This change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 9,964 in June 2025 and an additional 29 validated new addresses post-Census. The population density stands at 179 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed roughly 53.0% to recent population gains. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used, adjusted employing weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Belgrave-Selby's population is projected to decline by 209 persons overall, but the 75-84 age group is expected to increase by 320 people.

The level of residential development activity in Belgrave - Selby is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Belgrave-Selby has seen approximately 9 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 45 homes have been approved, with an additional 5 approved in FY26 so far. The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $659,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This year has also seen $59.7 million in commercial approvals registered, suggesting strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Belgrave-Selby records significantly lower building activity, 77.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically enhances demand and prices for existing properties. Furthermore, recent development has been exclusively comprised of detached dwellings, preserving the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population count per dwelling approval is 1497 people, reflecting Belgrave-Selby's quiet, low activity development environment.

With stable or declining population forecasts, the area may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Belgrave - Selby has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 48thth percentile nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. Five projects identified by AreaSearch may impact the area. Major initiatives include Angliss Hospital Expansion, Hillcrest Narre Warren North, Kings Park Masterplan, and Ellington Estate. Relevant projects are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Belgrave - Selby maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Belgrave-Selby has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.0% as of a recent period, with an estimated employment growth of 1.8% over the past year. As of December 2025, 5674 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.1%, which is 1.7% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation was at 72.5%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census data, 34.4% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The dominant employment sectors were health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training, with the latter showing notable concentration at 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, finance & insurance had lower representation at 2.4%, compared to the regional average of 4.9%.

Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 1.8% while labour force grew by 1.5%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.4%, labour force grow by 2.8%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Belgrave-Selby's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. Belgrave - Selby SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $59,695 and an average of $73,554. These figures are higher than the national averages of $57,688 (median) and $75,164 (average). Greater Melbourne's median was $57,688 with an average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for March 2026 are approximately $65,438 (median) and $80,630 (average). Census data shows Belgrave - Selby's incomes cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 33.3% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 (3,318 individuals), similar to regional patterns at 32.8%. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are achieved by 33.0% of households, indicating strong consumer spending power. After housing costs, residents retain 87.4% of income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Belgrave - Selby is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Belgrave-Selby's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 99.2% houses and 0.8% other dwellings. This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Belgrave-Selby stood at 35.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 56.6% and rented ones at 7.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent was $400, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Belgrave-Selby's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Belgrave - Selby features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.4% of all households, including 41.7% couples with children, 27.6% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 18.6%, with lone person households at 16.2% and group households at 2.4%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Belgrave - Selby shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is distinctive regionally, with university qualification rates at 32.0% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 area average of 23.8%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 20.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.1%) and graduate diplomas (4.4%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 36.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 13.1%, while certificates make up 23.5%.

Educational participation is notably high at 29.4%, with 9.9% enrolled in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Belgrave - Selby shows that there are 79 active transport stops currently operating. These stops offer a variety of bus services, with a total of 28 individual routes available to passengers. Together, these routes facilitate approximately 4,575 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in the area is considered good, with residents typically residing about 364 meters away from their nearest transport stop. As Belgrave - Selby is primarily residential, most commuters travel outward from the area. The car remains the dominant mode of transportation, used by around 90% of residents.

On average, there are 1.9 vehicles per dwelling in the area, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a significant number of residents, specifically 34.4%, work from home, which may be partially attributed to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages about 653 trips per day, equating to roughly 57 weekly trips per individual stop.

Belgrave - Selby's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Belgrave - Selby, based on AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover was found to be very high at approximately 55% of the total population (~5,520 people). The most common medical conditions in the area were mental health issues (10.3%) and asthma (8.2%), while 67.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents showed above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 17.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1,758 people), which is higher than the 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors were above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Belgrave - Selby ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Belgrave-Selby, as per the 2016 Census, showed lower cultural diversity with 82.3% of its population born in Australia, 91.5% being citizens, and 93.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion (32.8%). Judaism's representation was higher than Greater Melbourne's average (0.4% vs 1.0%).

Top three ancestry groups were English (30.3%), Australian (26.5%), and Irish (9.2%), all exceeding regional averages. Notable overrepresentations included Dutch (3.4% vs 1.2%), Hungarian (0.5% vs 0.3%), and Polish (0.9% vs 0.8%).

Belgrave - Selby's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Belgrave-Selby has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Belgrave-Selby at 14.9%, compared to the Greater Melbourne average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 7.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 3.9% to 5.8% of the population, and the 15-24 cohort has increased from 12.3% to 13.6%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has declined from 10.1% to 7.8%. Demographic modeling indicates that Belgrave-Selby's age profile will significantly change by 2041. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to expand by 259 people (45%), growing from 579 to 839. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 82% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 55-64 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.