Belgrave - Selby
Statistical Area - sa2

Belgrave - Selby has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Belgrave-Selby's population is 10,045 as of November 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This represents an increase of 40 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,005. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 9,992 in June 2024 and an additional 29 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 180 persons per square kilometer. Belgrave-Selby's growth rate of 0.4% since the census is within 2.9 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 3.3%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 53.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Belgrave-Selby's population is expected to decline by 239 persons by 2041. However, the 75 to 84 age group is projected to increase by 389 people during this period.

The level of residential development activity in Belgrave - Selby is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Belgrave-Selby has experienced approximately nine dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, 45 homes were approved, with four more approved so far in FY26. The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $659,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment.

In terms of commercial development, Belgrave-Selby has registered $59.7 million in approvals this financial year. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Belgrave-Selby records significantly lower building activity, 78.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. The area's development activity is also below the national average, suggesting its established nature and potential planning limitations. Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, maintaining Belgrave-Selby's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes.

As of now, there are an estimated 1497 people per dwelling approval in the area, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Belgrave-Selby may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Belgrave - Selby has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Five projects are identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the local area's performance: Angliss Hospital Expansion, Kings Park Masterplan, Hillcrest Narre Warren North, and Ellington Estate. These projects could significantly influence the area's development.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Belgrave - Selby maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Belgrave Selby has an educated workforce with key services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.7% as of June 2025, with estimated employment growth of 0.8% over the past year.

In Belgrave Selby, 5675 residents were employed by June 2025, with an unemployment rate of 0.9%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.6%. Workforce participation was 69.0%, comparable to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training are dominant employment sectors among residents. Notably, education & training has a high concentration with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, finance & insurance shows lower representation at 2.4% compared to the regional average of 4.9%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 0.8%, labour force grew by 0.7%, keeping unemployment broadly flat. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 3.5%, labour force grew by 4.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 offer insight into potential future demand within Belgrave Selby. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, suggest national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Belgrave Selby's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though these are simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates Belgrave - Selby's median income among taxpayers is $57,150, with an average of $73,907. Nationally, these figures are very high compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $54,892 and average of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $64,099 (median) and $82,894 (average). Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Belgrave - Selby cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 33.3% of individuals (3,344 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, which is similar to the regional pattern where 32.8% fall within this range. Economic strength is evident with 33.0% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 87.4% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Belgrave - Selby is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Belgrave-Selby's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.2% houses and 0.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 93.8% houses and 6.3% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Belgrave-Selby was 35.7%, similar to Melbourne metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 56.6% and rented ones at 7.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,950, aligning with Melbourne metro's average, while median weekly rent was $400 compared to Melbourne metro's $380. Nationally, Belgrave-Selby's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents surpassed the national figure of $375.

Belgrave - Selby features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.4% of all households, including 41.7% couples with children, 27.6% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.6%, with lone person households at 16.2% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

Belgrave - Selby shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 32.0% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 average of 23.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.1%) and graduate diplomas (4.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 36.6% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.1% and certificates at 23.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.4% currently enrolled in formal education: 9.9% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 4.9% in tertiary education. Belgrave - Selby has a robust network of 7 schools educating approximately 2,191 students, with above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1083). The educational mix includes 5 primary, 1 secondary, and 1 K-12 school. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs at 21.8 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 15.5, indicating the area serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The Belgrave-Selby area has 78 operational public transport stops. These are a mix of train stations and bus stops, served by 27 different routes. Each week, these routes facilitate 4,691 passenger trips.

Residents enjoy good accessibility to transport, with an average distance of 365 meters to the nearest stop. Daily service frequency averages 670 trips across all routes, translating to around 60 weekly trips per individual stop.

Belgrave - Selby's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Belgrave-Selby residents show relatively positive health outcomes with common conditions seen across all ages. Private health cover stands at approximately 56%, or about 5,675 people, compared to Melbourne's 52.4%.

Mental health issues and asthma are most prevalent, affecting 10.3% and 8.2% respectively. Around 67.9% report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Melbourne's 66.9%. The area has 17.0%, or 1,705 people aged 65+, compared to Melbourne's 19.4%. Senior health outcomes are above average and better than the general population in health metrics.

Belgrave - Selby ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Belgrave-Selby, as per the census conducted on Tuesday 9 June 2016, showed a cultural diversity below average. Of its population, 82.3% were born in Australia, with 91.5% being citizens and 93.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 32.8% of Belgrave-Selby's population.

Notably, Judaism was overrepresented in Belgrave-Selby compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 0.4% versus 0.1%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (30.3%), Australian (26.5%), and Irish (9.2%). However, certain ethnic groups showed notable variations: Dutch was overrepresented at 3.4%, compared to 3.2% regionally, Hungarian at 0.5% versus 0.3%, and Polish at 0.9% versus 0.7%.

Belgrave - Selby's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Belgrave - Selby has a median age of 40, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 years and Australia's figure of 38 years. The 55-64 cohort is notably over-represented in Belgrave - Selby at 13.1%, compared to the Greater Melbourne average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 7.7%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 3.9% to 5.4% of the population. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has declined from 10.1% to 7.7%. By 2041, Belgrave - Selby's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 329 people (60%), reaching a total of 876 individuals. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 86% of the total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 55-64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.