Boronia

Population growth drivers in Boronia are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of Boronia is around 25,591, reflecting an increase of 1,984 people since the 2021 Census. The 2021 Census reported a population of 23,607 in the suburb. This growth can be inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of Boronia's resident population at 24,561 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 249 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density in Boronia is 2,309 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Since the 2021 census, Boronia's population grew by 8.4%, exceeding the SA4 region's growth of 4.9% and marking it as a growth leader in the area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 75.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting them employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 3,219 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 8.1% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Boronia when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Boronia shows approximately 131 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 658 homes from FY-20 to FY-25. In FY-26 so far, 59 approvals have been recorded. The average population increase per dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25 is 1.3 people per year, indicating a balanced supply and demand in the market.

New homes are being constructed at an average value of $462,000, which is higher than regional norms, reflecting quality-focused development. Commercial approvals this financial year amount to $23.5 million, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Comparatively, Boronia has slightly more development than Greater Melbourne, with 21.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This maintains good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. However, construction activity has eased recently.

New building activity shows a skew towards compact living, with 76.0% attached dwellings and 24.0% detached houses. This departure from existing housing patterns (currently 72.0% houses) suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. Boronia has around 236 people per dwelling approval, indicating a developing market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Boronia is projected to add 2,081 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Boronia has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Thirty-five projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include 1-13 Erica Avenue Apartments, Boronia Station Upgrade & Plaza, Tormore Reserve Pavilion Upgrade, and 285-289 Dorset Road Development. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Boronia has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Boronia has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.5% as of September 2024, with an estimated employment growth of 1.2% over the past year based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 12,877 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 5.6%, which is 0.9% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation in Boronia is 66.5%, below Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 27.7% of residents work from home. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Manufacturing has a particularly high employment share at 1.3 times the regional level, while professional & technical services show lower representation at 8.1%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 1.2% and labour force increased by 0.9%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.0%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is expected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Boronia's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Boronia had a median taxpayer income of $53,777 and an average of $61,168. These figures are below the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 in Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $58,214 (median) and $66,214 (average). The 2021 Census data ranks Boronia's household, family, and personal incomes modestly between the 42nd and 49th percentiles. Incomes of $1,500 - 2,999 dominate with 35.5% of residents (9,084 people), similar to metropolitan patterns at 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 82.5% of income remaining and a SEIFA income ranking in the 5th decile.

Boronia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Boronia's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 71.7% houses and 28.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Boronia was at 30.7%, aligning with Melbourne metro's figure, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.5% and rented ones at 28.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,870, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Boronia was $376, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Boronia's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,870 against the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Boronia has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.4% of all households, including 29.0% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households consist of the remaining 31.6%, with lone person households at 28.3% and group households comprising 3.4%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Boronia performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Boronia's educational qualifications lag behind regional averages. Among residents aged 15+, 27.7% hold university degrees, compared to Greater Melbourne's 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (18.4%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 35.6% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (23.6%).

Educational participation is high, with 26.3% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (8.6%), secondary education (6.4%), and tertiary education (4.3%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Boronia has 115 active public transport stops operating, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 18 different routes that together facilitate 4,453 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents living an average of 217 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commutes are outward-bound, with cars being the primary mode of transportation at 90%. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling in Boronia. According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents work from home, at 27.7%, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 636 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 38 weekly trips per stop. A map accompanies this data, displaying the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Boronia is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Boronia faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high across both younger and older age cohorts.

Mental health issues affect 9.7% of residents, while asthma impacts 9.0%. Only 65.8% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% (around 13,064 people) compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 56.7%. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 18.7% of residents aged 65 and over (4,785 people), higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Boronia was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Boronia's population showed higher cultural diversity than most nearby areas, with 28.3% born overseas and 21.8% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Boronia at 39.5%, but Buddhism had a slightly higher representation compared to Greater Melbourne (3.7% vs 4.2%). The top three ancestry groups were English (26.4%), Australian (24.2%), and Other (8.5%).

Notably, Hungarian, Dutch, and Sri Lankan ethnicities had higher representations in Boronia than the regional averages: Hungarian at 0.5% vs 0.3%, Dutch at 2.1% vs 1.2%, and Sri Lankan at 0.9% vs 0.8%.

Boronia's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Boronia is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Boronia has a notably higher percentage of people aged 75-84 (6.8% locally), but fewer people aged 15-24 (10.4%). According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group increased from 5.8% to 6.8%, while the 25-34 cohort decreased from 15.8% to 14.2%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Boronia. The 45-54 age group is expected to grow by 19%, reaching 3,958 people from 3,326. Conversely, both the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are projected to decrease in number.