Boronia

Population growth drivers in Boronia are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, Boronia's population is estimated at around 25,276, reflecting an increase of 1,669 people since the 2021 Census. The 2021 Census reported a population of 23,607 in the suburb. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of Boronia's resident population at 24,805 based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), along with an additional 236 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,281 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Boronia's growth rate of 7.1% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (4.0%) and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 75.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 3,256 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 9.6% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Boronia among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Boronia has recorded approximately 136 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 680 homes. As of FY-26, 45 approvals have been granted. On average, about 1.3 people move to the area each year for every dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions. The average construction cost value of new homes is $459,000, aligning with broader regional development trends.

This financial year has seen approximately $11.6 million in commercial approvals, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Boronia's development is 25.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years, offering good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. New building activity comprises 25.0% detached dwellings and 75.0% medium and high-density housing, creating more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift reflects reduced development site availability and evolving lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 207 people per dwelling approval, Boronia exhibits growth area characteristics.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the suburb is projected to add approximately 2,435 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially exceeding current forecasted growth.

Boronia has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 35 projects likely to impact the region. Notable projects include 1-13 Erica Avenue Apartments, Boronia Station Upgrade & Plaza, Tormore Reserve Pavilion Upgrade, and 285-289 Dorset Road Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Boronia shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Boronia has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.1% as of an unspecified past year, with estimated employment growth of 1.2%.

As of June 2025, 12,895 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 5.1%, which is 0.4% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation in Boronia is similar to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries for employment among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Manufacturing shows particularly strong specialization with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services have limited presence at 8.1% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 1.2% while labour force grew by 0.7%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.5%, labour force grow by 4.0%, and unemployment increase by 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in Sep-22, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Boronia's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Boronia is below the national average. The median assessed income is $53,780 and the average income stands at $61,171. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne's figures of a median income of $54,892 and an average income of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $60,320 (median) and $68,609 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Boronia, between the 42nd and 49th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 35.5% of residents (8,972 people), aligning with the broader area where this cohort likewise represents 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Boronia, with only 82.5% of income remaining, ranking at the 41st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Boronia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Boronia's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 71.7% houses and 28.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 83.4% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Boronia stood at 30.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.5% and rented dwellings at 28.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,870, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Boronia was $376, compared to Melbourne metro's $400. Nationally, Boronia's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Boronia has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.4% of all households, including 29.0% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.6%, with lone person households at 28.3% and group households comprising 3.4%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

Boronia performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Educational qualifications in Boronia trail regional benchmarks; 27.7% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees compared to 37.0% in Greater Melbourne. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 18.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 35.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (23.6%).

Educational participation is notably high; 26.3% of residents are currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.6% in primary, 6.4% in secondary, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education. A robust network of six schools operates within Boronia, educating approximately 1,371 students; the area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1008) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes four primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school. Limited local school capacity (5.4 places per 100 residents vs 12.0 regionally) means many families travel to nearby areas for schooling.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Boronia has 115 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 18 individual routes, collectively facilitating 4,547 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents typically located approximately 217 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 649 trips per day across all routes, equating to roughly 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Boronia is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Boronia faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~12,903 people). The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 9.7% and 9.0% of residents respectively. 65.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.4% across Greater Melbourne. As of 2016, 18.5% of Boronia's residents are aged 65 and over (4,676 people), which is lower than the 19.5% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Boronia was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Boronia's population shows significant cultural diversity, with 28.3% born overseas and 21.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Boronia, accounting for 39.5% of its residents. Notably, Buddhism has a higher representation in Boronia at 3.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (26.4%), Australian (24.2%), and Other (8.5%). Some ethnic groups have notable differences: Hungarian is slightly overrepresented at 0.5% versus the regional average of 0.4%, Dutch at 2.1% compared to 1.8%, and Sri Lankan at 0.9% against a regional figure of 1.4%.

Boronia's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Boronia is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Boronia has a notably higher proportion of people aged 65-74 (9.4% locally) and a lower proportion of people aged 15-24 (10.2%). According to post-2021 Census data, the age group 35 to 44 has grown from 15.3% to 16.1% of Boronia's population, while the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 15.8% to 14.7%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Boronia. The 45 to 54 age group is projected to grow by 22%, reaching 3,962 people from 3,235. Conversely, both the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age groups are expected to see a decrease in numbers.