Boronia

Population growth drivers in Boronia are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Boronia is around 25,591, reflecting an increase of 1,984 people since the 2021 Census. The 2021 Census reported a population of 23,607 in the suburb. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 24,561 following examination of the ABS's latest ERP data release (June 2024) and an additional 249 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 2,309 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Boronia's growth rate of 8.4% since the 2021 census exceeded both its SA4 region (4.9%) and SA3 area, making it a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 75.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends project an above median population growth, with the area expected to increase by 3,226 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 8.6% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Boronia when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Boronia has seen around 131 new homes approved per year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 657 homes were approved, with an additional 58 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 1.3 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over these years, indicating balanced supply and demand dynamics.

The average construction value of new homes is $462,000, which is moderately above regional levels, suggesting an emphasis on quality construction. This financial year has seen $23.5 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting steady investment activity. Comparatively, Boronia shows moderately higher construction activity than Greater Melbourne, with 21.0% above the regional average per person over the past 5 years. This has maintained good buyer choice while supporting existing property values, although recent periods have seen some moderation in development activity. Recent construction comprises 24.0% detached houses and 76.0% medium to high-density housing, marking a shift from the area's existing housing composition of 72.0% houses.

This change indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects evolving lifestyles and demand for more diverse, affordable housing options. The location currently has approximately 237 people per dwelling approval, suggesting room for growth. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Boronia is projected to add 2,196 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Boronia has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 35 projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones are 1-13 Erica Avenue Apartments, Boronia Station Upgrade & Plaza, Tormore Reserve Pavilion Upgrade, and 285-289 Dorset Road Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Boronia has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Boronia has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 5.9% as of an unspecified past year. Employment growth over the previous year was estimated at 1.2%.

As of December 2025, 12,884 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 6.9%, which is 1.1% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation in Boronia was lower at 66.5%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. According to Census responses, 27.7% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries employing residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Manufacturing was particularly prominent, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services employed only 8.1% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Between December 2024 and December 2025, Boronia's employment levels increased by 1.2%, while the labour force grew by 1.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne, where employment rose by 2.4%, the labour force grew by 2.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Boronia's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Boronia had a median income among taxpayers of $53,777. The average income stood at $61,168 in this suburb. Nationally, the median and average incomes were higher, at $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Boronia would be approximately $58,214 (median) and $66,214 (average) as of September 2025. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Boronia are modest, ranking between the 42nd and 49th percentiles. The predominant income cohort spans 35.5% of locals (9,084 people), falling within the $1,500 - 2,999 category, which is similar to the metropolitan region where 32.8% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Boronia, with only 82.5% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 41st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Boronia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Boronia's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 71.7% houses and 28.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Boronia stood at 30.7%, similar to Melbourne metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.5% and rented ones at 28.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,870, lower than Melbourne's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Boronia was $376, slightly higher than the national average of $375 but below Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Boronia's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863.

Boronia has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.4% of all households, including 29.0% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.6%, with lone person households at 28.3% and group households making up 3.4%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Boronia performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Boronia's educational qualifications trail regional benchmarks. As of 2021, 27.7% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to Greater Melbourne's 37.0%. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 18.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%).

Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 35.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (23.6%). Educational participation is notably high, with 26.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the 2021 census. This includes 8.6% in primary education, 6.4% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Boronia has 115 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 18 different routes that collectively facilitate 4,453 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Boronia is rated as good, with residents typically located 217 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature, and cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 90%. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents, specifically 27.7%, work from home, which may be reflective of COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 636 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 38 weekly trips per stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Boronia is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Boronia faces significant health challenges as assessed by AreaSearch. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~13,064 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (9.7%) and asthma (9.0%). 65.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. As of 2016, the area has 19.0% of residents aged 65 and over (4,862 people), higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Boronia was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Boronia's population was found to be more culturally diverse compared to most local markets, with 28.3% of its residents born overseas and 21.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Boronia, comprising 39.5% of the population. However, Buddhism showed an overrepresentation in Boronia at 3.7%, compared to 4.2% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (26.4%), Australian (24.2%), and Other (8.5%). Notably, Hungarian was overrepresented at 0.5%, Dutch at 2.1%, and Sri Lankan at 0.9%.

Boronia's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Boronia is 39 years, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Boronia has a notably higher proportion of the 75-84 age group (7.0% locally) and a lower proportion of 15-24 year-olds (10.5%). According to post-2021 Census data, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 5.8% to 7.0% of Boronia's population, while the 25 to 34 cohort declined from 15.8% to 14.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Boronia, with the 45 to 54 age group expected to grow by 20%, reaching 3,975 people from 3,301. Conversely, both the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age groups are projected to decrease in number.