Boronia

Population growth drivers in Boronia are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Boronia statistical area (Lv2) was estimated at 25,585 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 1,978 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,607. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 24,561 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 236 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,309 persons per square kilometer. The Boronia (SA2) saw an 8.4% growth since the 2021 census, exceeding both the SA4 region at 4.9% and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 75.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the Boronia (SA2) is expected to grow by 3,230 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 8.2% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Boronia when compared nationally

Boronia has seen approximately 131 residential properties approved annually on average over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 658 homes. In the current financial year FY-26, 59 approvals have been recorded to date. Over these five years (FY-21 to FY-25), an average of 1.3 people moved to Boronia for each dwelling built, indicating a balanced supply and demand in the market. The average construction cost value of new homes was $462,000, slightly higher than regional norms due to quality-focused development.

Commercial approvals this year reached $23.5 million, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Comparatively, Boronia has seen 21.0% more development per person than Greater Melbourne over the past five years, maintaining good buyer choice and supporting existing property values. However, construction activity has recently eased. The current trend shows a significant shift towards attached dwellings (76.0%), marking a departure from the existing housing pattern of predominantly detached houses (72.0%). This skew reflects diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences.

With around 236 people per dwelling approval, Boronia's developing market is projected to add approximately 2,100 residents by 2041, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Boronia has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 35 projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones include 1-13 Erica Avenue Apartments, Boronia Station Upgrade & Plaza, Tormore Reserve Pavilion Upgrade, and 285-289 Dorset Road Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Boronia has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Boronia's workforce is skilled with strong manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.5% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.2%.

As of September 2025, 12,893 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 5.6%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation was similar to Greater Melbourne at 64.1%. Key industries for Boronia residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly specialized, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services had lower representation at 8.1% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the Census working population count versus resident population. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 1.2%, while labour force grew by 0.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne had employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%. State-level data to 25-Nov shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment expansion at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Boronia's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, Boronia suburb had median income at $53,777 and average income at $61,168. Both figures are below national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 in Greater Melbourne respectively. By September 2025, estimated median and average incomes would be approximately $58,214 and $66,214 based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%. Census data from 2021 shows household, family, and personal incomes in Boronia rank modestly, between 42nd to 49th percentiles. The income bracket of $1,500 - $2,999 dominates with 35.5% of residents (9,082 people), similar to the metropolitan region at 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 82.5% of income remaining, ranking at 41st percentile. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Boronia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Boronia's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 71.7% houses and 28.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 83.4% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Boronia was at 30.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.5% and rented ones at 28.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,870, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was $376, compared to Melbourne metro's $400. Nationally, Boronia's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Boronia has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.4% of all households, including 29.0% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.6%, with lone person households at 28.3% and group households at 3.4%. The median household size is 2.4 people, smaller than Greater Melbourne's average of 2.7.

Boronia performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Boronia's educational qualifications lag behind regional averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 27.7% have university degrees, compared to Greater Melbourne's 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 18.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 35.6% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 12.0% and certificates at 23.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.6% in primary education, 6.4% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Boronia has 116 active public transport stops, consisting of both train and bus services. These stops are served by 18 different routes that together facilitate 4,453 weekly passenger trips. The report indicates good transport accessibility for residents, with an average distance of 217 meters to the nearest stop.

The service frequency across all routes is 636 trips per day, which translates to approximately 38 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Boronia is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Boronia faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~13,061 people). Mental health issues impact 9.7% of residents, while asthma affects 9.0%. A total of 65.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.4% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 18.5% of residents aged 65 and over (4,733 people), which is lower than the 19.5% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Boronia was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Boronia's population showed higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 28.3% born overseas and 21.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Boronia, comprising 39.5%. Buddhism, however, was more prevalent in Boronia at 3.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (26.4%), Australian (24.2%), and Other (8.5%). Notably, Hungarian (0.5% vs regional 0.4%), Dutch (2.1% vs 1.8%), and Sri Lankan (0.9% vs 1.4%) groups were overrepresented in Boronia compared to the Greater Melbourne region.

Boronia's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Boronia is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Boronia has a notably higher proportion of individuals aged 65-74 (9.4%) and a lower proportion of those aged 15-24 (10.2%). According to post-2021 Census data, the age group 35 to 44 has grown from 15.3% to 16.1%, while the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 15.8% to 14.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Boronia, with the 45 to 54 age group expected to grow by 21% (685 people), reaching a total of 3,960 from 3,274. Conversely, both the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age groups are projected to decrease in number.