Boronia

Population growth drivers in Boronia are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Boronia's population is estimated at around 24,079 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 472 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,607. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 24,016 following examination of ABS data released in June 2025 and an additional 260 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,173 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Boronia has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.7%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 75.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, Boronia is expected to grow by 2,744 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 11.1% in total over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Boronia among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Boronia has had around 131 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 657 homes. So far in FY2025-26, 70 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.4 new residents per year arrive for each new home built between FY2020-21 and FY2024-25. This suggests a balanced supply and demand market supporting stable conditions.

The average construction cost of new dwellings is $462,000, slightly above the regional average, indicating a focus on quality developments. In this financial year, $23.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development compared to Greater Melbourne. Boronia has seen 21.0% more development per person than the regional average over the past five years, offering reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. Recent construction comprises 24.0% detached dwellings and 76.0% medium and high-density housing, marking a significant shift from the current 72.0% houses. This trend suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

Boronia has a low density population of around 238 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Boronia is expected to grow by 2,681 residents through to 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Boronia has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 35 projects likely to impact the area. Among these key projects are the 1-13 Erica Avenue Apartments development, the upgrade of Boronia Station and its plaza, and the Tormore Reserve Pavilion Upgrade. Additionally, the 285-289 Dorset Road Development is also noteworthy. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Boronia shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Boronia has a skilled workforce with manufacturing and industrial sectors strongly represented. The unemployment rate was 6.1% in December 2025, which is 1.3% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation was 64.9%, below Greater Melbourne's 69.9%.

According to Census responses, 27.7% of residents worked from home. Employment concentrations include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Manufacturing employment is particularly high at 1.3 times the regional level, while professional & technical employment stands at 8.1%, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Over the year to December 2025, Boronia's employment increased by 0.2% and labour force by 0.5%, leading to a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment.

In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Boronia's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch released postcode-level ATO data for financial year 2023. Boronia's median income among taxpayers was $53,777, with an average of $61,168. This is below the national average. Greater Melbourne had a median income of $57,688 and an average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62%, estimates for March 2026 would be approximately $58,950 (median) and $67,052 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes rank modestly in Boronia, between the 42nd and 49th percentiles. Income distribution reveals that 35.5% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 82.5% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 41st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Boronia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Boronia's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 71.7% houses and 28.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Boronia was 30.7%, similar to Melbourne metro, with the rest either mortgaged (40.5%) or rented (28.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Boronia was $1,870, below the Melbourne metro average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure in Boronia was $376, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Boronia's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceed the national figure of $375.

Boronia has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.4% of all households, including 29.0% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.6%, with lone person households at 28.3% and group households comprising 3.4%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Boronia performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Boronia's educational qualifications trail Greater Melbourne's benchmarks; 27.7% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees compared to 37.0%. This gap indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 35.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (23.6%).

Educational participation is high; 26.3% of residents are currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (8.6%), secondary education (6.4%), and tertiary education (4.3%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Boronia has 115 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 18 different routes that together facilitate 4,453 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of public transport in Boronia is rated as good, with residents on average located 217 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 90% of residents. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents, at 27.7%, work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 636 trips per day across all routes, equating to roughly 38 weekly trips per stop. A map accompanies the data, displaying the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Boronia is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Boronia faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

Approximately 51% of Boronia's total population (~12,292 people) has private health cover, compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne. Mental health issues impact 9.7% of residents, while asthma affects 9.0%. 65.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 18.7% of residents aged 65 and over (4,502 people), higher than the 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Boronia was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Boronia's population showed higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 28.3% born overseas and 21.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Boronia, comprising 39.5%. Buddhism, at 3.7%, was slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.2%.

For ancestry, the top groups were English (26.4%), Australian (24.2%), and Other (8.5%). Notably, Hungarian (0.5%) and Dutch (2.1%) were overrepresented while Sri Lankan (0.9%) was slightly higher than regional averages.

Boronia's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Boronia is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, the 75-84 age cohort is over-represented at 6.8% locally while the 15-24 age group is under-represented at 10.1%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 35-44 age group has increased from 15.3% to 16.4%, while the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 15.8% to 14.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Boronia. Notably, the 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 24%, reaching 3,867 people from the current 3,130. Conversely, both the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are expected to have reduced numbers.