Tecoma

Tecoma has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of Feb 2026, Tecoma's estimated population is around 2,098. This reflects an increase of 34 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,064. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,095, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional six validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,159 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Tecoma's 1.6% growth since census positions it within 2.4 percentage points of the SA3 area (4.0%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 56% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the suburb's population expected to shrink by 28 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to expand by 82 people.

The level of residential development activity in Tecoma is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Tecoma shows approximately 5 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 27 homes. In FY-26 to date, 2 approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years has resulted in adequate development activity relative to other areas, which is positive for buyers. The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $575,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year, $465,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Tecoma records around 65% of building activity per person and ranks among the 11th percentile nationally, implying limited buyer options but strengthening demand for established homes. This lower activity reflects market maturity and potential development constraints. Recent construction comprises 80.0% standalone homes and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving Tecoma's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

With around 1383 people per approval, Tecoma is a mature, established area. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Tecoma may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Tecoma has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No changes can influence a region's performance more than modifications to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. Zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could potentially impact this area. Notable projects include Angliss Hospital Expansion, Dandenong Ranges Environmental Protection Program, South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades, and Yarra Ranges Council Drainage Infrastructure Program, with the following list providing details on those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Tecoma exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Tecoma has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.5% and it experienced a 1.7% employment growth in the past year (AreaSearch data). As of December 2025, 1,244 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.3%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.8%.

Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. Census responses show that 34.5% of residents work from home. Key industries include education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. Education & training has a high employment share at 1.6 times the regional level.

However, transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented with only 2.3% compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. In the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.7% and labour force grew by 1.7%, keeping unemployment stable at 3.5%. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 2.4%, labour force grew by 2.8%, and unemployment rose to 5.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Tecoma's employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to its current employment mix.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows median income in Tecoma was $52,813 and average income was $66,820. This is lower than Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.25% from July 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income in Tecoma would be approximately $57,170 and average income would be around $72,333 by that date. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Tecoma cluster around the 64th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 34.5% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, which is similar to the regional figure of 32.8%. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile nationally.

Tecoma is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tecoma's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.0% houses and 5.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tecoma was at 31.2%, similar to Melbourne metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.3% and rented ones at 15.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Tecoma was $348, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Tecoma's mortgage repayments are below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are less than the national figure of $375.

Tecoma has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 73.1% of all households, including 34.4% couples with children, 26.6% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 26.9%, with lone person households at 24.6% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the Greater Melbourne average.

Tecoma shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 32.0%, surpassing the SA3 area average of 23.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (5.5%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 37.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (14.0%) and certificates (23.9%).

Educational participation is high at 28.3%, including primary education (8.4%), secondary education (8.3%), and tertiary education (4.7%).

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Tecoma indicates 19 active transport stops operating, all of which are bus stops. These stops are serviced by 10 individual routes, collectively facilitating 2,228 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 203 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 86%, while train accounts for 7%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 34.5% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 318 trips per day, equating to approximately 117 weekly trips per individual stop.

Tecoma's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows Tecoma residents have relatively positive health outcomes. AreaSearch's analysis found mortality rates and health conditions were largely in line with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions were seen across both young and old age cohorts at a standard level. Private health cover was present in approximately 53% of the total population (~1,117 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most common medical conditions were mental health issues (10.4%) and asthma (9.1%). 65.7% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents had an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Tecoma has 18.5% of residents aged 65 and over (388 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors were above average, ranking broadly in line with the general population nationally.

Tecoma ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tecoma's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 82.5% of its population born in Australia, 91.0% being citizens, and 95.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Tecoma, comprising 29.9% of people. However, there was an overrepresentation in the Other category, which made up 1.4% of the population compared to Greater Melbourne's 2.3%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (31.0%), Australian (23.9%), and Irish (10.9%). Notably, Scottish ancestry was overrepresented at 10.3%, Dutch at 3.0%, and Hungarian at 0.5% compared to regional averages of 5.6%, 1.2%, and 0.3% respectively.

Tecoma's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Tecoma is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group makes up 14.6% of the population in Tecoma, compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 age group constitutes only 9.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.9% to 6.4%, and the 15-24 age group has risen from 11.8% to 12.9%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has decreased from 11.4% to 9.2%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Tecoma. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 44%, adding 58 people, reaching a total of 193 from 134. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 97% of the total population growth, reflecting Tecoma's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 65-74 and 0-4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.