Tecoma

Tecoma has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Tecoma is around 2,096. This figure reflects an increase of 32 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 2,064. AreaSearch's analysis of ABS data shows this growth was inferred from a resident population estimate of 2,095 in June 2025 and seven new addresses validated since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 1,158 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Tecoma's 1.6% growth since the census is within 1.9 percentage points of the SA3 area's 3.5%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed about 56% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Tecoma's population is expected to decline by 17 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to expand by 71 people over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Tecoma is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Tecoma recorded around 5 residential properties granted approval annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 27 homes. So far in FY-26, 4 approvals have been recorded. The population has declined recently, but development activity has been adequate relative to this decline, which could be positive for buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $575,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year, $465,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Tecoma records about 66% of the building activity per person and ranks among the 11th percentile nationally for assessed areas, implying limited buyer options but strengthening demand for established homes. This lower activity reflects market maturity and possible development constraints. Recent construction comprises 80.0% standalone homes and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving Tecoma's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

With around 1389 people per approval, Tecoma indicates a mature, established area. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Tecoma may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Tecoma has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No infrastructure changes are anticipated in this area. No significant projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could impact the region.

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Employment performance in Tecoma exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Tecoma has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 3.5%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.9% over the past year (AreaSearch aggregation). As of December 2025, 1,251 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 1.3% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation stands at 73.6%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. Notably, 34.5% of residents work from home (Census responses). Key industries include education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. Education & training is particularly strong, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented at 2.3% compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by the working population vs resident population count. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.9%, and labour force grew by 1.8%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 3.5% (AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data). National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth rates varying between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Tecoma's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Tecoma is lower than average nationally. The median income is $52,813 and the average is $66,820. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. Based on a 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for Tecoma would be approximately $57,894 (median) and $73,248 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census shows that incomes in Tecoma cluster around the 64th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 34.5% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (723 residents), which mirrors the regional figure of 32.8%. After housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Tecoma is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tecoma's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.0% houses and 5.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tecoma stood at 31.2%, similar to Melbourne metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.3% and rented ones at 15.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, below Melbourne's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent was $348, lower than Melbourne's $390. Nationally, Tecoma's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Tecoma has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 73.1% of all households, including 34.4% couples with children, 26.6% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 26.9%, with lone person households at 24.6% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.6 people, aligning with Greater Melbourne's average.

Tecoma shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 32.0%, exceeding the SA3 average of 23.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (5.5%). Vocational credentials are held by 37.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 14.0% and certificates at 23.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 8.4% in primary, 8.3% in secondary, and 4.7% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Tecoma has 19 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 10 different routes that together facilitate 2,228 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically living within 203 meters of the nearest stop. Most Tecoma residents commute outward from this primarily residential area. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 86%, while train usage stands at 7%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling in Tecoma, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents, 34.5%, work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 318 trips per day, equating to approximately 117 weekly trips per individual stop.

Tecoma's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows Tecoma residents have relatively positive health outcomes. AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions indicates results largely align with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are seen across both young and old age cohorts at a standard level. Private health cover is held by approximately 53% of the total population (~1,116 people), slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (impacting 10.4%) and asthma (9.1%), while 65.7% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Working-age residents show a higher prevalence of chronic health conditions. Tecoma has 17.8% of residents aged 65 and over (373 people), which is higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings largely in line with the general population.

Tecoma ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tecoma's population showed low cultural diversity, with 82.5% born in Australia, 91.0% being citizens, and 95.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 29.9%. The 'Other' category was overrepresented at 1.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 2.3%.

In ancestry, English (31.0%) and Australian (23.9%) groups were substantially higher than regional averages of 20.1% and 18.4%, respectively. Irish ancestry was also notable at 10.9%. Significant overrepresentations included Scottish (10.3%), Dutch (3.0%), and Hungarian (0.5%).

Tecoma's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Tecoma is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.6% of Tecoma's population, compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 9.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 3.9% to 6.1%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 11.8% to 13.0%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 11.4% to 9.4%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Tecoma. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 42%, reaching 182 people from 127, and the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 95% of total population growth. Notably, the 65 to 74 and 55 to 64 cohorts are forecasted to experience population declines.