Tecoma

Tecoma has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Nov 2025, Tecoma's population is estimated at around 2,097, reflecting a growth of 33 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 2,064. This increase equates to approximately 1.6%. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 2,095 following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in Jun 2024 and validation of six new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of about 1,158 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Tecoma's growth rate of 1.6% positions it within 2.3 percentage points of the SA3 area (3.9%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 56.00000000000001% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Projections indicate a decline of 22 persons in overall population by 2041, but growth is anticipated in specific age cohorts, notably the 75 to 84 age group which is projected to expand by 83 people.

The level of residential development activity in Tecoma is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Tecoma recorded approximately five residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated twenty-eight homes. As of FY-26, two approvals have been recorded to date. The population has declined in recent years, yet development activity has been adequate relative to this decline, potentially benefiting buyers while new homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $574,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year, $465,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Tecoma records around 68% of the building activity per person and ranks among the 16th percentile of areas assessed nationally, implying somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established homes. This activity is also lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. Recent construction comprises approximately 80.0% standalone homes and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 1038 people per approval, Tecoma shows a mature, established area.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Tecoma may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Tecoma has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No changes can significantly affect an area's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 0 projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Angliss Hospital Expansion, Dandenong Ranges Environmental Protection Program, South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades, and Yarra Ranges Council Drainage Infrastructure Program. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Tecoma demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Tecoma has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.2%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.2% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, there are 1,235 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 1.4%, below Greater Melbourne's 4.7%. Workforce participation is high at 69.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries include education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. Education & training is particularly strong, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level.

However, transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented at 2.3%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data. Between September 2024 and 2025, employment levels increased by 1.2% and labour force by 0.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0%, labour force grow by 3.3%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tecoma's employment mix indicates potential local employment increases of 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows that Tecoma's median income is $52,813 and average income stands at $66,820. This is lower than Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. By September 2025, based on an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth, estimated incomes would be approximately $57,170 (median) and $72,333 (average). The 2021 Census reveals that Tecoma's household, family, and personal incomes cluster around the 64th percentile nationally. Income analysis shows that 34.5% of residents earn between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly, mirroring the regional figure of 32.8%. After housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power and placing Tecoma in the 7th decile for SEIFA income ranking.

Tecoma is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Tecoma's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.0% houses and 5.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 93.8% houses and 6.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tecoma stood at 31.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.3% and rented ones at 15.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, below Melbourne metro's average of $1,950. Median weekly rent in Tecoma was $348, compared to Melbourne metro's $380. Nationally, Tecoma's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Tecoma has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.1% of all households, consisting of 34.4% couples with children, 26.6% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 26.9%, with lone person households at 24.6% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7 people.

Tecoma shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 32.0%, surpassing the SA3 average of 23.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (5.5%). Vocational credentials are held by 37.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 14.0% and certificates at 23.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.3% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in primary, 8.3% in secondary, and 4.7% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 21 active stops in Tecoma offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 10 routes, providing 2,228 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport accessibility is rated good with residents typically located 203 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 318 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 106 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Tecoma are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Tecoma shows below-average health indicators, with common conditions more prevalent than average across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover stands at approximately 53%, covering about 1,116 people. Mental health issues affect 10.4% of residents, while asthma impacts 9.1%. Conversely, 65.7% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 66.9%. The area has 17.8% of residents aged 65 and over (373 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 19.4%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, mirroring the general population's health profile.

Tecoma ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tecoma's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 82.5% of its population born in Australia, 91.0% being citizens, and 95.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Tecoma, comprising 29.9% of people. The most notable overrepresentation was in the 'Other' category, which made up 1.4% of Tecoma's population compared to 0.7% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups were English at 31.0%, Australian at 23.9%, and Irish at 10.9%. There were notable divergences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Scottish was overrepresented at 10.3% (vs 8.0% regionally), Dutch at 3.0% (vs 3.2%), and Hungarian at 0.5% (vs 0.3%).

Tecoma's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Tecoma is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.9% of Tecoma's population, compared to the Greater Melbourne figure, while the 25-34 age group makes up 9.3%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.9% to 5.9% of the population. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has decreased from 11.4% to 9.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Tecoma. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 55%, reaching 192 people from the current 123. Notably, all population growth will be accounted for by the combined 65+ age groups, reflecting Tecoma's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 45-54 and 65-74 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.