Tecoma

Tecoma has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As per ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the estimated population of Tecoma is around 2,098 as of Feb 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 34 people (1.6%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 2,064. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 2,095 following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024 and six additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,159 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Tecoma's 1.6% growth positions it within 2.4 percentage points of the SA3 area (4.0%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 56.00000000000001% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, the suburb's population is expected to decline by 24 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts like the 75 to 84 age group are projected to expand, with an increase of 78 people anticipated over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Tecoma is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Tecoma has recorded around 5 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 28 homes. So far in FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years has resulted in adequate development activity relative to other areas, which is positive for buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $574,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year, $465,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Tecoma records about 68% of building activity per person and ranks among the 16th percentile nationally for areas assessed, implying limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established homes. This lower activity reflects market maturity and possible development constraints. Recent construction comprises 80.0% standalone homes and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving Tecoma's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

With around 1038 people per approval, Tecoma indicates a mature, established area. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Tecoma may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Tecoma has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No changes can significantly affect an area's performance like modifications to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 0 projects that could potentially impact this area. Notable projects include Angliss Hospital Expansion, Dandenong Ranges Environmental Protection Program, South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades, and Yarra Ranges Council Drainage Infrastructure Program, with the following list providing details on those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Tecoma demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Tecoma has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services. Its unemployment rate is 3.3%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.3% over the past year (AreaSearch data). As of September 2025, 1,241 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.4%, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation is 73.3%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. A high proportion, 34.5%, work from home (Census data). Key industries include education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. Education & training has a strong presence with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented at 2.3% compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census population data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.3%, labour force grew by 1.0%, and unemployment fell by 0.3 percentage points (AreaSearch analysis). In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0% and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tecoma's industry mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2023 shows Tecoma's median income is $52,813 and average income is $66,820. This is lower than national averages of $57,688 (median) and $75,164 (average). Greater Melbourne has higher figures at $57,688 (median) and $75,164 (average). Based on an 8.25% growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for Tecoma are approximately $57,170 (median) and $72,333 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census indicates incomes in Tecoma cluster around the 64th percentile nationally. Income analysis shows that 34.5% of residents earn between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly, mirroring the regional trend where 32.8% fall into this bracket. After housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Tecoma is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tecoma's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.0% houses and 5.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasted with Melbourne metro's figures of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tecoma stood at 31.2%, similar to Melbourne metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.3% and rented ones at 15.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, lower than the Melbourne metro average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Tecoma was $348, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Tecoma's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Tecoma has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 73.1% of all households, including 34.4% couples with children, 26.6% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 26.9%, with lone person households at 24.6% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the Greater Melbourne average.

Tecoma shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 32.0%, surpassing the SA3 area average of 23.8%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 19.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (5.5%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 37.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 14.0% and certificates at 23.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Tecoma has 19 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 10 different routes that collectively facilitate 2,228 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically residing 203 metres from the nearest stop. Primarily residential, Tecoma sees most commuters travelling outwards. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 86% of residents, while train usage stands at 7%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm.

Notably, 34.5% of residents work from home, as per the 2021 Census data, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 318 trips daily, translating to roughly 117 weekly trips per individual stop.

Tecoma's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows positive outcomes for Tecoma residents, matching national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. Common health issues affect both young and old age groups similarly.

Private health cover is at 53% (1,117 people), slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common conditions, affecting 10.4% and 9.1% respectively. 65.7% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents have a higher prevalence of chronic health conditions. Tecoma has 18.4% (386 people) aged 65 and over, above Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes for seniors are good, aligning with national rankings.

Tecoma ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tecoma's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 82.5% of its population born in Australia. Citizenship was high at 91.0%, and English-only speakers at home were 95.4%. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 29.9% of Tecoma's population.

Notably, the 'Other' religious category had a lower representation in Tecoma at 1.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 2.3%. In terms of ancestry, English heritage was significantly higher than regional averages, standing at 31.0% versus 20.1%. Australian ancestry also exceeded regional averages at 23.9% (regional average: 18.4%), and Irish ancestry was present at 10.9%. Some ethnic groups showed notable divergences in representation compared to regional averages: Scottish at 10.3% versus 5.6%, Dutch at 3.0% versus 1.2%, and Hungarian at 0.5% versus 0.3%.

Tecoma's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Tecoma is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.5% of Tecoma's population, compared to a lower representation of the 25-34 cohort at 9.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.9% to 6.4%, while the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 11.4% to 9.2%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes in Tecoma. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 40%, reaching 188 people from the current 134. Notably, all growth in the total population will be due to the combined 65+ age groups, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 25-34 and 45-54 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.