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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Belgrave South has an estimated 1,646 residents. The population has thinned by an average 0.8% a year over five years, slower than 96% of areas nationally. That puts 130 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to evaluations of ABS population updates for the wider region, alongside address verifications completed by AreaSearch since the Census, the resident count in the suburb of Belgrave South is estimated to be approximately 1,646 by May 2026. This represents a reduction of 24 residents (1.4%) relative to the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 1,670 people. This shift is calculated from the resident total of 1,646, compiled by AreaSearch utilizing the latest ERP statistics published by the ABS (June 2025) and address tracking conducted after the Census date.
Such a population level corresponds to a density of 129 persons per square kilometer, which offers ample room per individual and potential capacity for future residential expansion. Regional population expansion was chiefly supported by natural increase, which accounted for roughly 53.0% of the total population gains in recent times. AreaSearch incorporates population projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia for individual SA2 regions, which were published in 2024 using 2022 as the anchor year. For SA2 regions lacking this coverage, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, modifying them via a weighted aggregation of population growth tracking from the LGA to the SA2 level. Growth dynamics for separate age brackets from these models are also applied to all areas for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Looking at future demographic shifts, the models project a contraction in the overall resident count, with a projected reduction of 10 persons by 2041 under this approach. Conversely, expansion is projected in certain age brackets, particularly the 75 to 84 cohort, which is expected to rise by 64 people. Additional details are available in the section focusing on age groups.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
In the suburb of Belgrave South, no new homes have been approved for construction during the last five-year period. This absence of development highlights an established locality where opportunities for new building projects are uncommon. Although this constraint can bolster real estate values by restricting supply, it also points to a settled, quiet market characterized by low transaction volumes. Relative to Greater Melbourne, the suburb of Belgrave South exhibits a much lower volume of development projects. This shortage of new supply generally boosts demand and supports price levels for established homes.
The rate of building activity is also below the countrywide average, showcasing the established nature of the area and pointing to potential zoning and planning restrictions. With population projections remaining stable or pointing downward, the suburb of Belgrave South may experience minimal housing pressure, which could create advantageous buying conditions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Belgrave South
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 21 current infrastructure and development projects close to Belgrave South, worth an estimated $946 million. 4 are already under construction and 3 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major works, and municipal planning decisions play a critical role in shaping regional growth. AreaSearch has identified no projects that are expected to influence this specific area. Key regional projects include Hillcrest Narre Warren North, the Angliss Hospital Expansion, South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades, and Additional VLocity Trains, with details provided for those most likely to be relevant.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Angliss Hospital Expansion
A $112 million major redevelopment featuring a new four-storey, all-electric tower. The expansion delivers a 32-bed inpatient unit, four state-of-the-art operating theatres, a new central sterile supply department, and expanded outpatient and allied health services. Major structural works were completed in July 2025, and the project is currently in the fit-out and final construction phase to increase surgical capacity for the Knox and Yarra Ranges communities.
Hillcrest Narre Warren North
Boutique estate of 34 premium homesites ranging from 1,000m2 to over 2,000m2 in Narre Warren North, a prestigious growth corridor in Melbourne's south-east. The development was entirely pre-sold before completion.
Ellington Estate
Premium masterplanned residential community in Narre Warren North, featuring large allotments from 1,000sqm to over 4,000sqm in an established leafy setting. The estate includes 120 dwellings and is completed.
Oak Ridge Residential Estate
Premium residential estate offering 17 exclusive 800mý lots with wide frontages in semi-rural Narre Warren North. Located at the foothills of the Dandenong Ranges with Green Wedge zoning protection. Features design guidelines ensuring integration with natural surroundings, close to schools, shops, parks and 35-minute commute to Melbourne CBD. Project is 50% sold with lots priced from $835,000 after cashback.
Narre Warren North Primary School Modernisation
Major upgrade and modernisation of Narre Warren North Primary School, funded with $4.5 million, to demolish Building 1 and replace it with a new permanent modular building providing state-of-the-art classrooms, administration facilities, and modern learning neighbourhoods. An Inclusive Schools Fund project for a sensory garden was also completed.
Kings Park Masterplan
Knox City Council's long-term master plan to upgrade Kings Park, a key sporting and recreation precinct. Stage 1 delivers a fully fenced dog park featuring two distinct off-leash zones, sealed path circuits, picnic seating, drinking fountains, and site drainage improvements. Future stages for parkland enhancement remain subject to council planning and annual capital works budgeting.
South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades
Upgrades to recycle more water in South East Melbourne for irrigation, improving water security and reducing demand for potable water amidst climate change and population growth.
Woolworths Ferntree Gully eCommerce Expansion
A comprehensive 14-week upgrade project to enhance the store's direct-to-boot operations and eCommerce capabilities. The initiative focused on expanding store facilities and improving click-and-collect services through major store extension, civil works, installation of new precast panels, structural steel frameworks, a new canopy, and significant refrigeration and cool room works. All construction was executed within a live trading environment to minimize disruption to daily store operations.
942 residents of Belgrave South are employed, from a labour force of 981. Unemployment sits at 4.0%, with participation at 71.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,404, about 85% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The workforce in the suburb of Belgrave South is highly skilled, particularly in the construction sector, with an unemployment rate standing at just 4.0% and annual job growth estimated at 1.6% based on statistical data compiled by AreaSearch. In March 2026, there were 942 employed residents, representing an unemployment rate 0.8% below the Greater Melbourne level of 4.8%, while participation in the workforce closely mirrored the metropolitan rate of 70.2%. Census records indicate that a substantial 33.6% of working residents performed their jobs from home, although this figure should be interpreted in the context of pandemic lockdown measures.
The primary employment sectors for local citizens are construction, health care & social assistance, along with professional & technical services. A high degree of industry concentration is evident in construction, where the employment share is 1.8 times the metropolitan average. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing is underrepresented, employing only 1.3% of the local workforce compared to 5.2% across Greater Melbourne. Comparing the number of local jobs to the size of the working resident population suggests that local employment opportunities are somewhat scarce. Analysis of SALM and ABS data by AreaSearch, aggregated from regional divisions, indicates that during the year leading to March 2026, local employment numbers expanded by 1.6% and the total workforce grew by 1.9%, leading to a 0.2 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. Over the identical timeframe, Greater Melbourne experienced a 2.1% rise in employment, a 2.3% growth in the labor force, and a 0.2 percentage point increase in unemployment. Future demand trends in the suburb of Belgrave South can be evaluated through national employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia dated May-25. These projections, spanning five and ten years, have been mapped against the local industry mix to estimate growth. While national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the expected growth rates vary widely by industry. Applying these national sector trends to the local industry profile yields an estimated job growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a basic weighted projection for visualization and does not account for localized population changes.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Belgrave South is $2,382 a week (about $124,000 a year), with median personal income at $843 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $53,117 a year against an average of $68,691. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The most recent ATO records at the postcode level for financial year 2023 indicate that incomes in the suburb of Belgrave South are marginally above the national median of $53,117 and average of $68,691. This is slightly lower than the Greater Melbourne figures, which show a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, updated estimates suggest figures of approximately $58,227 for the median and $75,299 for the average as of March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census places weekly household incomes at the 87th percentile ($2,382 weekly), while personal incomes rank lower at the 58th percentile.
Looking at income brackets, the $1,500 - 2,999 range is the most common, accounting for 32.6% of residents (536 people), which is consistent with the wider region where this segment comprises 32.8%. High-income earners are prominent, with 36.6% of households earning more than $3,000 weekly, pointing to robust financial capacity. Residents retain 88.9% of their earnings after housing expenses, and the SEIFA index for income places the area in the 7th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Belgrave South had 548 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 99% detached houses and 1% apartments. 52% are owned with a mortgage, 6% rented and 43% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $450 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,000 a month. Rent absorbs 18.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 19.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, the housing mix in the suburb of Belgrave South consisted of 99.4% detached houses and 0.6% alternative housing types, such as semi-detached properties, apartments, or other structures, contrasting with Melbourne's metropolitan breakdown of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership rates in the suburb of Belgrave South were significantly higher than the metropolitan average at 42.9%, while the remaining properties were either under a mortgage (51.7%) or rented (5.5%). The median monthly payment for home loans matched the Greater Melbourne average at $2,000, whereas the median weekly rental cost was recorded at $450, compared to metropolitan benchmarks of $2,000 and $390.
On a national level, home loan repayments exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and rental costs are also considerably higher than the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Belgrave South counted 548 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 3.0 people each. 46% are couples with children, more than in 91% of areas nationally, against 30% couples without children. 14% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families represent the vast majority of local households at 83.6%, which includes couples with children at 46.2%, couples without children at 29.6%, and single-parent households at 7.3%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 16.4%, with single-person households representing 13.9% and group living situations at 1.6%. The typical household size stands at 3.0 people, exceeding the metropolitan Melbourne average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
24.6% of adults in Belgrave South hold a university qualification, including 16.9% with a bachelor degree and 4.5% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 76% of areas nationally. A further 26.4% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 356 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,070 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Academic metrics present clear challenges for the area, as tertiary graduation rates (24.6%) sit considerably lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This scenario highlights both a development hurdle and a chance for targeted learning programs. Undergraduate degrees are the most common qualification at 16.9%, followed by postgraduate study (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Practical and vocational qualifications are highly prevalent, with 40.3% of individuals aged 15 and over holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (13.9%) and certificates (26.4%). Engagement in learning is quite high, with 29.0% of local inhabitants actively enrolled in education.
This includes 9.5% attending primary schools, 8.7% in secondary schools, and 5.5% undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Belgrave South reaches 16 stops on 8 routes, timetabled for about 330 services a week. The typical home sits about 420 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 2.3 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of transit options indicates there are 16 active public transport stops in the suburb of Belgrave South, which consist of bus connections. These stops are served by 8 different routes, which support a total of 328 passenger trips each week. Transport accessibility is considered moderate, with local homes situated an average of 417 meters from the nearest stop. Due to the residential nature of the area, most workers commute out of the suburb, with private cars remaining the primary travel choice at 90%, and 4% of commuters walking. Households own an average of 2.3 vehicles, which is above the metropolitan Melbourne average.
Additionally, a high proportion of residents, 33.6%, worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by pandemic regulations. Service frequency on these transit routes averages 46 daily trips, which translates to roughly 20 weekly trips at each individual transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
65.9% of residents in Belgrave South report no long-term health condition. 5.6% need daily assistance with core activities, and 54.0% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.6 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Evaluations of health data indicate strong outcomes in the suburb of Belgrave South, based on AreaSearch assessments of mortality patterns and chronic illnesses. The occurrence of major health issues is low among the general population, although it is higher than the national benchmark within older, vulnerable cohorts. Furthermore, the proportion of residents with private health insurance is relatively high, covering roughly 54% of the population (~888 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. Arthritis and mental health challenges are the most frequently reported medical conditions, affecting 9.7% and 9.6% of the population, respectively.
Conversely, 65.9% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Residents under the age of 65 experience better health profiles than the national average. The local population includes 21.9% of residents aged 65 and older (360 people), which is higher than the Greater Melbourne proportion of 15.0%, though this cohort ranks lower on national health comparisons than the wider community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Belgrave South is largely Australian-born, at 83.2% of residents, with 5.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (33.1%) and Australian (29.8%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb of Belgrave South displays lower levels of cultural diversity than average, with 83.2% of the population born in Australia, 93.4% holding citizenship, and 94.8% speaking only English in their homes. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, encompassing 41.8% of the community. Notably, Judaism shows a distinct relative concentration at 0.3% of the local population, compared to a 1.0% share across Greater Melbourne. Looking at ancestral backgrounds, the three most common ancestries in the suburb of Belgrave South are English at 33.1% of the population, which is much higher than the regional benchmark of 20.1%, Australian at 29.8%, also well above the regional average of 18.4%, and Irish at 8.4%.
Some minor ethnic ancestries also show distinct differences, with Dutch ancestry notably higher at 3.5% (compared to 1.2% regionally), Welsh at 0.9% (compared to 0.4%), and Hungarian at 0.6% (compared to 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Belgrave South is 44, older than 76% of areas nationally. 19.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
With a median age of 44, the suburb of Belgrave South is older than the Greater Melbourne median of 37 and the national average of 38. The 65 - 74 age bracket is highly represented at 13.0% compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 25 - 34 bracket is smaller at 4.9%. Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age cohort has increased its share from 5.3% to 7.2% of the population, and the 15 to 24 cohort rose from 13.7% to 14.8%. Meanwhile, the 25 - 34 cohort shrank from 7.2% to 4.9%.
Demographic forecasts suggest that the age structure in the suburb of Belgrave South will shift substantially by 2041. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to expand by 46% (54 people), rising from 118 to 173 individuals. This aging trend is prominent, with residents aged 65 and over accounting for 84% of the projected population growth. Conversely, the 25 - 34 and 55 - 64 age groups are expected to shrink.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Belgrave South
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (1,670 at the 2021 Census → 1,646 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20190). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.