Belgrave South

Belgrave South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the population of Belgrave South is estimated at around 1,646 as of May 2026. This reflects a decrease of 24 people (1.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,670 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,646, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 129 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the suburb's population expected to reduce by 10 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to grow by 64 people.

The level of residential development activity in Belgrave South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Belgrave South has had no residential development approvals in the past five years. This lack of recent development suggests a mature area with limited new housing opportunities. While this can support property values due to restricted supply, it also indicates a stable and settled market with reduced turnover compared to Greater Melbourne.

Nationally, Belgrave South's development activity is below average, reflecting its maturity and potential planning constraints. With stable or declining population forecasts, Belgrave South may face less housing pressure, providing favourable conditions for buyers.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Belgrave South may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Belgrave South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 0 projects potentially impacting the area. Notable projects are Hillcrest Narre Warren North, Angliss Hospital Expansion, South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades, and Additional VLocity Trains. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Belgrave South ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Belgrave South has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate is 3.8%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.1% over the past year (AreaSearch data). As of December 2025, Belgrave South has 940 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.8%, which is 1.0% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation in Belgrave South is similar to Greater Melbourne at 69.9%. Census responses indicate that 33.6% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key industries of employment among residents are construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. Belgrave South shows strong specialization in construction with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level, while transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented at 1.3% compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.2%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census working population vs resident population data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 2.1% and labour force increased by 1.8%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points (AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data). In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 2.4%, labour force expand by 2.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Belgrave South's employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against Belgrave South's employment mix.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2023 shows Belgrave South's median income at $53,117 and average income at $68,691. This is higher than the national average of $57,688 median and $75,164 average in Greater Melbourne. By March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $58,227 median and $75,299 average based on a 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census ranks Belgrave South's household income at the 87th percentile ($2,382 weekly) but personal income lower at the 58th percentile. Income distribution shows that 32.6% of residents (536 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, similar to the broader area's 32.8%. Notably, 36.6% of residents exceed $3,000 weekly income. After housing costs, residents retain 88.9% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Belgrave South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Belgrave South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 99.4% houses and 0.6% other dwellings, compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Belgrave South stood at 42.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.7% and rented at 5.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, aligning with Melbourne metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $450, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Belgrave South's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Belgrave South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.6 percent of all households, including 46.2 percent couples with children, 29.6 percent couples without children, and 7.3 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.4 percent, with lone person households at 13.9 percent and group households comprising 1.6 percent of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Belgrave South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 24.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (13.9%) and certificates (26.4%). Educational participation is high at 29.0%, with 9.5% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 16 active transport stops operating within Belgrave South, consisting of a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 8 individual routes, collectively facilitating 328 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 417 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 90%, with 4% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 2.3 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 33.6% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 46 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Belgrave South's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance throughout Belgrave South, based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were found to be low among the general population, although they were higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 54% of Belgrave South's total population (~888 people) had private health cover, compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most common medical conditions in the area were arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 9.7% and 9.6% of residents respectively. A total of 65.9% of Belgrave South residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population in Belgrave South demonstrates better than average health outcomes. As of the latest data (2021), 21.9% of Belgrave South's residents were aged 65 and over (360 people), which is higher than the 15.0% figure for Greater Melbourne, but ranks lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Belgrave South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Belgrave South, surveyed in 2016, had low cultural diversity with 83.2% born in Australia, 93.4% being citizens, and 94.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion at 41.8%. Judaism, at 0.3%, was overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

Top ancestral groups were English (33.1%), Australian (29.8%), and Irish (8.4%). Dutch (3.5%) and Welsh (0.9%) were notably overrepresented while Hungarian (0.6%) had a higher presence than regionally.

Belgrave South hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Belgrave South has a median age of 44, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and significantly exceeds the national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group makes up 13.0% of Belgrave South's population, compared to Greater Melbourne. Meanwhile, the 25-34 cohort comprises only 4.9%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group has increased from 5.3% to 7.2%, while the 15-24 cohort rose from 13.7% to 14.8%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort decreased from 7.2% to 4.9%. By 2041, Belgrave South's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 group is expected to grow by 46%, reaching 173 people from 118. This growth will be led by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 84% of the projected growth. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 55-64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.