Belgrave South

Belgrave South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for Belgrave South, as of Nov 2025 its estimated population is around 1,664 people. This reflects a decrease of 6 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,670 people. AreaSearch validated this estimate following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024). This level of population equates to a density ratio of 131 persons per square kilometer in Belgrave South. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends anticipate lower quartile growth, with Belgrave South expected to expand by 2 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 0.6% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Belgrave South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Development activity data is being compiled for Belgrave South.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Belgrave South shows substantially reduced construction activity. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties in the area. The development figures are also below the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations or constraints on growth.

Belgrave South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

No changes can affect an area's performance more than alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could potentially impact this area. Notable projects include Hillcrest Narre Warren North, Angliss Hospital Expansion, South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades, and Additional VLocity Trains. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

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The labour market in Belgrave South demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Belgrave South has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 3.6% as of an unspecified period, with estimated employment growth of 1.2% over the past year based on AreaSearch data aggregation.

As of June 2025943 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.0% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation stood at 67.0%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. The dominant employment sectors among Belgrave South residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. Construction employment levels were particularly high, at 1.8 times the regional average.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing had lower representation at 1.3% compared to the regional average of 5.2%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. In the 12-month period ending in an unspecified month, employment increased by 1.2% alongside labour force growth of 1.0%, causing a slight decrease in unemployment rate of 0.1 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded higher employment and labour force growth rates but saw an increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Belgrave South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, although this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localized population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Belgrave South had a median taxpayer income of $53,117 and an average income of $68,691 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2022. This was above the national average, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761 in the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $59,576 (median) and $77,044 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, household incomes ranked at the 87th percentile ($2,382 weekly), while personal incomes ranked lower at the 58th percentile. Income brackets showed that 32.6% of residents earned between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (542 individuals), mirroring regional levels where 32.8% occupied this bracket. Notably, 36.6% earned above $3,000 weekly, reflecting areas of prosperity driving local economic activity. After housing costs, residents retained 88.9% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Belgrave South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Belgrave South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 99.4% houses and 0.6% other dwellings, compared to Melbourne metro's 93.8% houses and 6.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Belgrave South stood at 42.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.7% and rented ones at 5.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,950. The median weekly rent in Belgrave South was $450, compared to Melbourne metro's $380. Nationally, Belgrave South's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Belgrave South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.6% of all households, including 46.2% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 7.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.4%, with lone person households at 13.9% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

Belgrave South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The educational qualification rate in the area is substantially lower than the Greater Melbourne average, with 24.6% of residents holding university qualifications compared to 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 40.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 13.9% and certificates at 26.4%. Educational participation is high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.5% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 5.5% in tertiary education. Belgrave South Primary School provides local educational services within Belgrave South, with an enrollment of 356 students as of the latest data. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1070). There is one school focusing exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs, with 21.4 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 15.5, indicating that the area serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows 16 active public transport stops in Belgrave South, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 8 different routes that together provide 356 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these stops is rated as moderate, with residents typically living 417 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 50 trips per day across all routes, which means each stop gets about 22 weekly trips.

Health outcomes in Belgrave South are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators show Belgrave South has below-average health outcomes, with common conditions slightly more prevalent across younger and older age groups compared to average.

Private health cover is high at approximately 54%, covering around 898 people. The most frequent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 9.7% of residents) and mental health issues (9.6%). A total of 65.9% reported no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 66.9%. Belgrave South has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 20.7% (344 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 19.4%. This aligns with the overall health profile of the general population.

Belgrave South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Belgrave South, surveyed in June 2016, had low cultural diversity: 83.2% were Australian-born, 93.4% were citizens, and 94.8% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, at 41.8%. Judaism was overrepresented, with 0.3% compared to Melbourne's 0.1%.

Top ancestry groups were English (33.1%), Australian (29.8%), and Irish (8.4%). Notably, Dutch (3.5%) and Welsh (0.9%) were overrepresented, while Hungarian (0.6%) was slightly more prevalent than regionally.

Belgrave South hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Belgrave South's median age is 44, surpassing Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and significantly exceeding the national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group comprises 12.6%, higher than Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 4.9%. Post-2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 5.3% to 6.8%, and the 25 to 34 cohort decreased from 7.2% to 4.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant shifts in Belgrave South's age profile. The 75 to 84 group is expected to grow by 63%, reaching 184 from 113. Those aged 65 and above will account for 85% of projected growth. Conversely, the 25 to 34 and 55 to 64 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.