Belgrave South

Belgrave South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, as of November 2025, Belgrave South's estimated population is around 1,665. This shows a decrease of 5 people since the 2021 Census, which reported 1,670 residents. The current population estimate of 1,654 by AreaSearch follows examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and address validation post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 131 persons per square kilometer. Natural growth contributed approximately 53.0% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used, adjusted via weighted aggregation to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends suggest lower quartile growth, with Belgrave South expected to expand by 2 persons to 2041, reflecting a 0.5% increase over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Belgrave South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Belgrave South has recorded zero new dwelling approvals over the past five years from January 2017 to December 2021. Despite its established nature, the area has seen negligible new residential development during this period. This limited supply of new housing typically supports higher expected construction cost values for existing properties.

Factors such as planning constraints or limited market activity may contribute to this trend. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Belgrave South has significantly less development activity over these years. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and higher expected construction cost values for established dwellings in the area. Nationally, Belgrave South's development activity is below average, further indicating its established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations may be in place during this period.

Belgrave South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No infrastructure changes are anticipated in this area as AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could impact it. Key initiatives previously considered include Hillcrest Narre Warren North, Angliss Hospital Expansion, South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades, and Additional VLocity Trains.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Belgrave South maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Belgrave South has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 3.8% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1.3% over the past year.

In Belgrave South, 939 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. The workforce participation rate is 67.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. Construction has a particularly strong specialization, with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented, at 1.3% compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 1.3%, while labour force increased by 1.0%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0% and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 indicate Belgrave South's employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Belgrave South has a median taxpayer income of $53,117 and an average of $68,691 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is slightly above the national average. Greater Melbourne's median income is $57,688 with an average income of $75,164. By September 2025, these figures are estimated to be approximately $57,499 (median) and $74,358 (average), accounting for Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%. Census data shows Belgrave South's household incomes rank at the 87th percentile ($2,382 weekly). Personal income ranks lower at the 58th percentile. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 32.6% of residents (542 people), similar to metropolitan Melbourne where 32.8% fall within this range. Notably, 36.6% of Belgrave South residents earn above $3,000 per week. After housing costs, residents retain 88.9% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Belgrave South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Belgrave South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.4% houses and 0.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 93.8% houses and 6.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Belgrave South stood at 42.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.7% and rented ones at 5.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, surpassing Melbourne metro's average of $1,950, while the median weekly rent was $450, higher than Melbourne metro's $380. Nationally, Belgrave South's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Belgrave South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.6% of all households, including 46.2% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 7.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.4%, with lone person households at 13.9% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

Belgrave South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 24.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (13.9%) and certificates (26.4%). Educational participation is high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 9.5% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 5.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Belgrave South indicates that there are 16 active transport stops currently operating. These stops facilitate a variety of bus routes, with a total of 8 individual routes serving the area. The combined weekly passenger trips across all these routes amount to 328.

The accessibility of transport in this region is rated as moderate, with residents on average located 417 meters away from their nearest transport stop. On average, there are 46 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Belgrave South are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators show Belgrave South has below-average health outcomes, with common conditions more prevalent than average across both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 54% (~898 people) of the population have private health cover, a rate higher than the average. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (9.7%) and mental health issues (9.6%). Around 65.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 66.9% in Greater Melbourne. Belgrave South has 20.7% (344 people) of residents aged 65 and over, higher than the 19.4% in Greater Melbourne.

Belgrave South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Belgrave South's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 83.2% of its population born in Australia, 93.4% being citizens, and 94.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Belgrave South as of 2016 census data, comprising 41.8% of people. Judaism was overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 0.3% versus 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (33.1%), Australian (29.8%), and Irish (8.4%). Notably, Dutch (3.5%) and Welsh (0.9%) were overrepresented compared to regional percentages of 3.2% and 0.5%, respectively. Hungarian representation was also higher at 0.6% versus 0.3%.

Belgrave South hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Belgrave South's median age is 44, surpassing Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and significantly exceeding the national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group constitutes 12.6%, higher than Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 cohort stands at 4.9%. Post-2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group rose from 5.3% to 6.8%, and the 25 to 34 cohort fell from 7.2% to 4.9%. By 2041, Belgrave South's demographic profile is projected to change significantly. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 63%, reaching 184 from 113. Those aged 65 and above will account for 85% of the population growth. Conversely, the 25 to 34 and 55 to 64 cohorts are anticipated to decrease in population.