Belgrave South

Belgrave South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

The estimated population of the suburb of Belgrave South is around 1,665 as of Feb 2026, according to analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated by AreaSearch. This figure reflects a decrease of 5 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,670. The current resident population is estimated at 1,654 by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 131 persons per square kilometer. Natural growth contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Looking ahead, projections indicate a decline in overall population for the suburb of Belgrave South over the period from 2026 to 2041. The area's population is expected to reduce by 13 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, with the 75 to 84 age group projected to grow by 79 people over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Belgrave South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Belgrave South has had no residential development approvals in the past five years. This lack of new housing indicates a mature area with limited opportunities for new dwellings. While this can support property values due to restricted supply, it also suggests a stable and settled market with less turnover compared to Greater Melbourne.

The scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties in Belgrave South, which is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Belgrave South may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Belgrave South may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Belgrave South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No changes can influence a region's performance more than alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that are expected to impact this area. Key projects include Hillcrest Narre Warren North, Angliss Hospital Expansion, South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades, and Additional VLocity Trains. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Belgrave South maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Belgrave South has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 3.9% as of December 2025, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.8%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.0%.

As of December 2025938 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Greater Melbourne's rate. Workforce participation was on par with Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. A high 33.6% of residents worked from home based on Census responses, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment were construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services.

Belgrave South had a strong specialization in construction with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level, but was under-represented in transport, postal & warehousing at 1.3% compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on Census working population vs resident population data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 2.0%, labour force grew by 1.8%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In Greater Melbourne during this period, employment grew by 2.4%, labour force expanded by 2.8%, but unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Belgrave South's employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2023 shows Belgrave South's median income at $53,117 and average income at $68,691. Greater Melbourne's figures are median $57,688 and average $75,164. By September 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%, Belgrave South's incomes are estimated to be approximately $57,499 (median) and $74,358 (average). The 2021 Census ranks Belgrave South's household income at the 87th percentile ($2,382 weekly), with personal income at the 58th percentile. Income distribution shows 32.6% of residents (542 people) earning $1,500-$2,999 weekly, aligning with broader area figures at 32.8%. Notably, 36.6% earn over $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power. After housing costs, residents retain 88.9% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking in the 7th decile.

Belgrave South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Belgrave South's dwelling structures, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 99.4% houses and 0.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Melbourne metro's figures of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Belgrave South was 42.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.7% and rented dwellings at 5.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, aligning with Melbourne metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $450, compared to Melbourne metro's $390 for rent. Nationally, Belgrave South's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Belgrave South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.6% of all households, including 46.2% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 7.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.4%, with lone person households at 13.9% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Belgrave South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area has university qualification rates at 24.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are held by 40.3% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.9% and certificates at 26.4%. Educational participation is high, with 29.0% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (9.5%), secondary (8.7%), and tertiary (5.5%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 16 active transport stops operating within Belgrave South. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling 8 individual routes that provide 328 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 417 metres from the nearest transport stop. In this primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. The car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 90%, with 4% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 2.3 per dwelling, which is above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 33.6% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 46 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Belgrave South's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis shows Belgrave South performed well on health metrics, with AreaSearch assessing mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Prevalence of common health conditions was low among the general population but higher than national averages for older, at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 54% (~898 people) had private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions were arthritis (9.7%) and mental health issues (9.6%), while 65.9% reported no medical ailments, versus 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Under-65s had better-than-average health outcomes. Belgrave South has 21.9% of residents aged 65 and over (364 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%, but lower than national averages.

Belgrave South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Belgrave South, as per the census conducted on Tuesday 9 June 2009, exhibited below average cultural diversity. The majority of its population, 83.2%, were born in Australia, with 93.4% being citizens and 94.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the prevalent religion, comprising 41.8% of Belgrave South's population.

Notably, Judaism, at 0.3%, was overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 1.0%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (33.1%), Australian (29.8%), and Irish (8.4%), all substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 20.1%, 18.4%, and 5.6%. Additionally, Dutch (3.5%) and Welsh (0.9%) were notably overrepresented compared to the regional averages of 1.2% and 0.4%, respectively, while Hungarian representation was also higher at 0.6% versus the region's average of 0.3%.

Belgrave South hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Belgrave South's median age is 44, which exceeds Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and the national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group constitutes 12.8% of Belgrave South's population, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up only 4.7%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group has increased from 5.3% to 7.5%, while the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 7.2% to 4.7%. By 2041, Belgrave South's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 group is expected to grow by 46%, reaching 182 people from the current 124. Those aged 65 and above are projected to account for 86% of population growth. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 55-64 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.