Belgrave South

Belgrave South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Belgrave South's population is estimated at around 1,665 as of Feb 2026. This reflects a decrease of 5 people (0.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,670 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,654, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 131 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the suburb's population expected to reduce by 15 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to grow by 79 people.

The level of residential development activity in Belgrave South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Belgrave South has not had any residential development approvals in the past five years. This lack of new housing indicates a mature area with limited opportunities for new dwellings. While this may support property values due to supply constraints, it also suggests a stable market with less turnover compared to Greater Melbourne.

Nationally, Belgrave South's level of development activity is below average, reflecting its maturity and potentially indicating planning constraints.

Belgrave South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like modifications to local infrastructure, major undertakings, and planning schemes. AreaSearch has pinpointed 0 projects that could potentially impact this area. Notable ventures include Hillcrest Narre Warren North, Angliss Hospital Expansion, South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades, and Additional VLocity Trains, with the following list highlighting those most pertinent.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Belgrave South demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Belgrave South has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 3.7% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.2%.

Belgrave South's unemployment rate is 0.9% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%, while workforce participation is similar at 71.0%. A high proportion, 33.6%, of residents work from home based on Census responses. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. Belgrave South has a strong specialization in construction with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented at 1.3% compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Belgrave South saw employment increase by 1.2%, labour force grow by 0.9%, and unemployment fall by 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded higher growth rates for employment (3.0%) and labour force (3.3%), but also a rise in unemployment (0.3%). Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Belgrave South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Belgrave South has an income median of $53,117 and average income of $68,691. This differs from Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 are approximately $57,499 (median) and $74,358 (average). The 2021 Census indicates Belgrave South's household income ranks at the 87th percentile ($2,382 weekly), while personal income ranks at the 58th percentile. Distribution data shows that 32.6% of residents (542 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income bracket, similar to the broader area where this cohort represents 32.8%. Notably, 36.6% of residents earn more than $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 88.9% of their income. Belgrave South's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Belgrave South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Belgrave South's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.4% houses and 0.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Belgrave South stood at 42.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.7% and rented ones at 5.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, aligning with Melbourne metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $450, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390 respectively. Nationally, Belgrave South's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Belgrave South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.6% of all households, including 46.2% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 7.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for 16.4%, with lone person households at 13.9% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Belgrave South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 24.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 13.9% and certificates at 26.4%. Educational participation is high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.5% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 5.5% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 16 active transport stops operating in Belgrave South, consisting of a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 8 individual routes, collectively offering 328 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 417 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 90%, with 4% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 2.3 per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 33.6% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 46 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Belgrave South's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance throughout Belgrave South, based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were found to be low among the general population, though higher than the national average among older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover was found to be fairly high, with approximately 54% of the total population (~898 people) having it, compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most common medical conditions in the area were arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.7% and 9.6% of residents respectively. 65.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 21.6% of residents aged 65 and over (359 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne but ranks lower nationally than the broader population.

Belgrave South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Belgrave South, surveyed in June 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 83.2% born in Australia, 93.4% being citizens, and 94.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominated, comprising 41.8%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.3%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

Top ancestral groups were English (33.1%), Australian (29.8%), and Irish (8.4%). Notably, Dutch (3.5%) and Welsh (0.9%) were overrepresented, while Hungarian was slightly higher at 0.6%.

Belgrave South hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Belgrave South's median age is 44, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and significantly exceeds the national average of 38. The proportion of residents aged 65-74 is notably high at 12.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne, while those aged 25-34 are less prevalent at 4.6%. According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 75 to 84 grew from 5.3% to 7.4%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 decreased from 7.2% to 4.6%, and those aged 55 to 64 dropped from 15.5% to 14.2%. By 2041, Belgrave South's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 48%, increasing from 123 to 182 people. This growth will be led by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 85% of the projected growth. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to experience population declines.