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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Emerald (Vic.) has an estimated 5,837 residents, down from 5,890 at the 2021 Census. That puts 116 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Emerald (Vic.) is estimated to have a population of around 5,837, according to an evaluation of wider ABS population releases alongside new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census. In comparison with the 2021 Census tally of 5,890 people, this indicates a drop of 53 people (0.9%). This demographic movement is drawn from an estimated resident population of 5,829 derived from the ABS June 2025 ERP figures, supplemented by 34 validated new addresses recorded since the Census date. Spatially, this gives the suburb of Emerald (Vic.)
a population density of 116 persons per square kilometer, leaving ample room per resident and capacity for upcoming development. Over recent periods, demographic expansion was mainly propelled by natural growth, accounting for approximately 56.00000000000001% of total population gains. Future modeling relies on ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for individual SA2 zones published in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline year, while unrepresented localities utilize the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections published in 2023 via weighted population growth aggregations from LGA to SA2 tiers. Age-cohort growth trends derived from this modeling are similarly mapped across all regions between 2032 and 2041. Over the coming years, population growth in the suburb of Emerald (Vic.) is anticipated to track marginally below the national median; aggregated SA2-level estimates project the locality will gain 465 persons by 2041, representing a total rise of 7.8% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
31 new dwellings have been approved in Emerald (Vic.) over the past five years, an average of 6 a year. That is 1.2 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 4, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
An evaluation of ABS building approval figures allocated across statistical areas shows that Emerald has recorded an average of roughly 6 residential approvals annually, yielding an estimated total of 31 homes across the past 5 financial years. Within FY-25 to date, 4 approvals have been lodged. With an average of only 1 new residents per year per dwelling constructed across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), residential construction is keeping pace with or exceeding local demand, expanding buyer choice and accommodating potential population growth beyond expectations. Newly planned residences carry an average construction cost of $696,000, illustrating a strategic focus among developers on higher-tier, premium residential projects.
In addition, commercial approvals have reached $10.8 million during this financial year, indicating a moderate degree of commercial development activity. Residential building activity in Emerald is markedly restrained when compared to Greater Melbourne, sitting 88.0% below the per-capita regional benchmark. This subdued pipeline of new stock typically reinforces pricing resilience and buyer interest across existing properties. Construction volumes also trail national averages, highlighting the established nature of the suburb alongside possible planning limitations. In terms of product mix, recent approvals consist of 86.0% detached dwellings and 14.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving a low-density urban fabric tailored toward family living and spacious environments. A ratio of roughly 1165 people per approved dwelling underscores the tranquil, low-intensity pace of local development. Long-term demographic forecasts from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate indicate that Emerald will expand by 457 residents by 2041. Should building volumes persist at prevailing levels, future additions to the residential stock could struggle to meet demographic expansion, which may intensify purchaser competition and exert upward pressure on local property values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Emerald (Vic.)
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 8 current infrastructure and development projects close to Emerald (Vic.), worth an estimated $673 million. 3 are already under construction and 1 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, environmental & disaster management and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure upgrades, planning frameworks, and major capital works play a crucial role in shaping community development. Overall, AreaSearch has identified no projects considered likely to exert a direct influence on the locality. Notable regional initiatives encompass the Dandenong Ranges Environmental Protection Program, South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades, Yarra Ranges Council Drainage Infrastructure Program, and Additional VLocity Trains, with relevant local project details outlined below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Mount Dandenong Tourist Road Landslide Repair Works
Critical repair works to address landslide damage caused by severe weather in July 2024. Works include geotechnical stabilization, drainage infrastructure upgrades, and road surface restoration to restore full safety and functionality.
Angliss Hospital Expansion
A $112 million major redevelopment featuring a new four-storey, all-electric tower. The expansion delivers a 32-bed inpatient unit, four state-of-the-art operating theatres, a new central sterile supply department, and expanded outpatient and allied health services. Major structural works were completed in July 2025, and the project is currently in the fit-out and final construction phase to increase surgical capacity for the Knox and Yarra Ranges communities.
Hillcrest Narre Warren North
Boutique estate of 34 premium homesites ranging from 1,000m2 to over 2,000m2 in Narre Warren North, a prestigious growth corridor in Melbourne's south-east. The development was entirely pre-sold before completion.
Ellington Estate
Premium masterplanned residential community in Narre Warren North, featuring large allotments from 1,000sqm to over 4,000sqm in an established leafy setting. The estate includes 120 dwellings and is completed.
Narre Warren North Primary School Modernisation
Major upgrade and modernisation of Narre Warren North Primary School, funded with $4.5 million, to demolish Building 1 and replace it with a new permanent modular building providing state-of-the-art classrooms, administration facilities, and modern learning neighbourhoods. An Inclusive Schools Fund project for a sensory garden was also completed.
Oak Ridge Residential Estate
Premium residential estate offering 17 exclusive 800mý lots with wide frontages in semi-rural Narre Warren North. Located at the foothills of the Dandenong Ranges with Green Wedge zoning protection. Features design guidelines ensuring integration with natural surroundings, close to schools, shops, parks and 35-minute commute to Melbourne CBD. Project is 50% sold with lots priced from $835,000 after cashback.
South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades
Upgrades to recycle more water in South East Melbourne for irrigation, improving water security and reducing demand for potable water amidst climate change and population growth.
Hallam North and Heatherton Road Upgrade
This major road upgrade, delivered under Victoria's Big Build, added an extra lane in each direction on Hallam North Road between Heatherton Road and James Cook Drive, replaced the roundabout at Hallam North Road and Heatherton Road with traffic lights, installed new traffic lights at Heatherton Village and Thomas Mitchell Drive, added dedicated turn lanes, new U-turn facilities, upgraded intersections, new and upgraded shared-use paths on both sides, safety barriers, street lighting, stormwater drainage, and landscaping.Construction started in April 2021 and was completed in December 2022. Contractor: Symal. Delivery authority: Major Road Projects Victoria.
3,348 residents of Emerald (Vic.) are employed, from a labour force of 3,416. Unemployment sits at 2.0%, with participation at 70.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 4,371, about 75% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local labor market in Emerald is characterized by a skilled resident workforce, prominent representation across the building industry, an unemployment rate of merely 2.0%, and estimated annual jobs growth of 4.5% according to aggregated statistical area figures. By March 2026, employed residents numbered 3,348, with joblessness sitting 2.8% below the Greater Melbourne benchmark of 4.8%, while the labor force participation rate matches Greater Melbourne's 70.1%. Census findings further indicated that 27.1% of local workers operated from home, though this figure was likely influenced by Covid-19 restrictions. The primary industries employing local residents are construction, health care & social assistance, alongside education & training.
The construction sector exhibits an exceptional local presence, employing residents at 1.7 times the broader metropolitan level. Conversely, professional & technical roles are comparatively sparse, accounting for 6.7% of Emerald workers against 10.1% across Greater Melbourne. Comparison between Census working figures and the resident populace points to a constrained supply of jobs within the immediate locality. Aggregated SALM and ABS figures show that during the 12 months to March 2026, both employment and the overall labor pool expanded by 4.5%, maintaining a steady local jobless rate. Over the identical timeframe, Greater Melbourne recorded a 2.1% lift in employment against a 2.3% rise in the labor force, generating a 0.2 percentage point uptick in unemployment. National outlooks published by Jobs and Skills Australia from Mar-26 provide additional context regarding future labor demand for Emerald across five- and ten-year horizons. Across Australia, overall job numbers are projected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though trajectories vary by industry. Aligning these sector projections with Emerald's specific workforce composition implies local job opportunities could climb by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years (noting this illustrative weighting exercise excludes small-area demographic projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Emerald (Vic.) is $2,119 a week (about $110,000 a year), with median personal income at $851 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $52,831 a year against an average of $71,611. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Aggregated postcode ATO statistics released for financial year 2023 indicate that taxpayers in Emerald recorded a median income of $52,831 and an average income of $71,611, surpassing nationwide benchmarks though sitting below Greater Melbourne figures of $57,688 and $75,164. Incorporating cumulative Wage Price Index gains of 9.62% since financial year 2023 positions estimated earnings around $57,913 for the median and $78,500 for the average as of March 2026. According to Census records, local individual, family, and household earnings align near the 66th percentile across the country. In addition, 34.7% of residents (2,025 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly bracket, closely tracking the 32.8% metropolitan proportion.
Households preserve 87.1% of their earnings following accommodation expenses, which underpins substantial spending capacity and positions the suburb within the 7th decile on the SEIFA income scale.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Emerald (Vic.) had 2,012 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 98% detached houses and 1% apartments. 52% are owned with a mortgage, 8% rented and 40% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $400 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,000 a month. Rent absorbs 18.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 21.8%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census housing statistics show that standalone houses constitute 98.3% of Emerald's residential stock, while semi-detached properties, apartments, and alternative structures make up only 1.7%, contrasting sharply with the Melbourne metro split of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Outright home ownership in Emerald is notably high at 39.7%, eclipsing metropolitan standards, while mortgaged properties account for 52.1% and tenanted residences represent 8.1%. Median monthly home loan repayments stand at $2,000, matching the Melbourne metro median of $2,000, while median weekly rent is $400, slightly above the metropolitan figure of $390.
Across Australia as a whole, local mortgage costs exceed the national benchmark of $1,863, and typical rents surpass the nationwide level of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Emerald (Vic.) counted 2,012 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.8 people each. 41% are couples with children, more than in 81% of areas nationally, against 31% couples without children. 18% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the overwhelming majority of local living arrangements at 80.4%, consisting of couples with children (40.9%), childless couples (30.8%), and single parent families (8.4%). The remaining 19.6% consists of non-family arrangements, primarily lone person households (17.6%) alongside group households (1.6%). With a median size of 2.8 people per household, local occupancies exceed the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
26.6% of adults in Emerald (Vic.) hold a university qualification, including 17.5% with a bachelor degree and 5.0% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 25.3% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 1,284 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,046 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary educational attainment in the locality sits well beneath regional norms, with 26.6% of people possessing university degrees compared to 37.0% across Greater Melbourne, highlighting room for targeted education programs. Among higher education graduates, Bachelor degrees are held by 17.5% of residents, postgraduate degrees by 5.0%, and graduate diplomas by 4.1%. In contrast, vocational and applied training is prevalent throughout the population, with 38.4% of individuals aged 15+ possessing vocational credentials, including certificates (25.3%) and advanced diplomas (13.1%). A solid 29.1% of the local population is engaged in academic study.
Broken down by level, 10.1% attend primary schools, 8.6% are enrolled in secondary education, and 3.9% are undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Emerald (Vic.) reaches 25 stops on 8 routes, timetabled for about 870 services a week. The typical home sits about 750 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 2.0 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
A review of public transit infrastructure identifies 25 operational bus stops distributed across Emerald, served by 8 distinct routes delivering a combined total of 868 weekly passenger trips. Local transit connectivity is considered limited, as the typical distance to the closest stop is 746 meters. Reflecting the suburb's residential orientation, outgoing commuting is standard, with private vehicles serving as the principal transport mode for 95% of commuters. Households maintain an average of 2.0 vehicles, surpassing regional averages. In addition, 27.1% of workers reported working from home during the 2021 Census, although pandemic restrictions during COVID-19 should be noted.
Across the transit network, bus services operate at an average rate of 124 trips per day, which translates to approximately 34 weekly trips per stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
67.7% of residents in Emerald (Vic.) report no long-term health condition. 5.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 55.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators for Emerald reflect favorable wellbeing across the community, evidenced by AreaSearch's review of mortality figures and chronic illness prevalence showing minimal incidence of common conditions across younger and older demographics alike. Furthermore, private health insurance coverage is extensive, held by approximately 55% of all residents (~3,217 people). The leading diagnosed health issues in the locality are arthritis (8.9) and mental health concerns (8.4%), while 67.7% of residents reported having no long-term medical conditions, compared to 72.6% throughout Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents demonstrate typical wellness outcomes. Seniors aged 65 and over make up 22.2% of the population (1,295 people), exceeding the 15.1% metropolitan benchmark, and older residents exhibit robust health metrics that align favorably with nationwide standards.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Emerald (Vic.) is largely Australian-born, at 82.9% of residents, with 5.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (32.7%) and Australian (26.5%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity measures in Emerald remain below metropolitan averages, as 82.9% of residents are Australian-born, 91.2% hold Australian citizenship, and 94.6% communicate exclusively in English at home. Christianity represents the most common faith, followed by 34.4% of the population. In terms of religious distribution relative to wider benchmarks, Judaism accounts for 0.1% of local residents versus 1.0% across Greater Melbourne. Looking at parental country of birth, the primary ancestries declared in Emerald are English (32.7% against 20.1% regionally), Australian (26.5% versus 18.4% across Greater Melbourne), and Scottish (8.9%). Other distinctive ethnic representations include residents of Dutch ancestry at 3.4% (compared to 1.2% regionally), Welsh at 0.9% (compared to 0.4%), and Hungarian at 0.4% (compared to 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Emerald (Vic.) is 43. 19.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Demographic data updated to August 2026 shows an older age profile in Emerald, where retirees and elderly cohorts (65+) represent 22.2% of the population compared to 15.1% across Greater Melbourne, while young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) account for 19.9% versus 32.1% regionally. The estimated median age is 43, matching the 2021 Census level and sitting 6 years above the Greater Melbourne median of 37 and higher than the national median of 38 recorded at that Census. Since the Census, the most pronounced demographic shift has been the rise in retiree and elderly cohorts from 18.5% to an estimated 22.2%.
By 2041, seniors will drive the greatest numerical increase, growing by 465 residents (36%) to reach 1,761, whereas young to middle aged adults as well as children and young adults are forecast to decline.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Emerald (Vic.)
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 34 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (5,890 at the 2021 Census → 5,837 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20868). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.