Narre Warren - North East
Statistical Area - sa2

Narre Warren - North East is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Narre Warren - North East's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 13,655. This figure represents an increase of 151 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 13,504. The growth from June 2024 to November 2025 is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 13,643 and an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,803 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 54.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest lower quartile growth, with an expected expansion of 364 persons by 2041 based on latest numbers, representing a total gain of 2.6% over 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Narre Warren - North East is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Narre Warren - North East averaged approximately 10 new dwelling approvals per year from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 51 homes approved during this period. In FY26, 2 dwellings have been approved so far. The population has decreased over this time, yet housing supply remained adequate relative to demand, indicating a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction cost value for new properties is $438,000, slightly higher than the regional average, suggesting focus on quality developments. In FY26, commercial approvals totalled $492,000, reflecting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Narre Warren - North East has significantly less development activity, with 88.0% below the regional average per person, which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This lower activity also reflects national trends, indicating market maturity and possible development constraints. Recent building activity consists solely of detached houses, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes catering to buyers seeking space.

With around 1535 people per dwelling approval, Narre Warren - North East demonstrates a highly mature market. By 2041, the area is projected to grow by 352 residents. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Narre Warren - North East has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 13 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones include Narre Warren Central, Berwick Springs Wetlands Reserve Playground Renewals, Westfield Fountain Gate Ongoing Development, and Narre Warren Police Station Upgrade. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Narre Warren - North East has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Narre Warren - North East has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. The unemployment rate was 5.1% as of June 2024.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.1%. As of June 2025, there were 7,795 residents employed with an unemployment rate of 5.6%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation in Narre Warren - North East is similar to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and manufacturing.

Manufacturing has a particularly notable concentration with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average. Professional & technical services have limited presence with 6.0% employment compared to 10.1% regionally. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.1%, labour force grew by 4.4%, resulting in a rise in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points. In Greater Melbourne during the same period, employment rose by 3.5%, labour force grew by 4.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Narre Warren - North East's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Narre Warren North East had median taxpayer income of $50,572 and average income of $60,180 in financial year 2022. This compares to Greater Melbourne's figures of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $56,722 and average income $67,498 based on a 12.16% growth in wages since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranked at the 61st percentile ($1,920 weekly) and personal income at the 42nd percentile. The predominant income cohort was 39.2% of locals (5,352 people) earning $1,500 - 2,999 per week, similar to surrounding regions at 32.8%. After housing expenses, 85.5% of income remained for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 5th decile.

Narre Warren - North East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Narre Warren - North East had 97.4% houses and 2.6% other dwellings in the latest Census, compared to Melbourne metro's 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings. Home ownership was at 28.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.8% and rented ones at 21.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, below Melbourne metro's $1,900. Median weekly rent was $370, matching Melbourne metro's figure. Nationally, Narre Warren - North East's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Narre Warren - North East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.9% of all households, including 44.7% couples with children, 23.1% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 18.1%, with lone person households at 16.1% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.9.

Educational attainment in Narre Warren - North East aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.4%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 35.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (24.0%). Educational participation is high at 30.9%, comprising primary education (10.2%), secondary education (8.7%), and tertiary education (5.2%).

Oatlands Primary School and Maramba Primary School serve a total of 1,321 students and demonstrate typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities. Both schools focus on primary education only, with secondary options available nearby. The area has fewer school places per 100 residents (9.7) compared to the regional average (16.0), indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Narre Warren - North East has 44 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by three different routes that combined offer 708 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these transports is rated good, with residents on average being located 221 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 101 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Narre Warren - North East is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Narre Warren - North East shows above-average health outcomes with a low prevalence of common health conditions among its general population. However, older and at-risk cohorts have higher rates compared to national averages. Private health cover is relatively low, with approximately 50% (~6,759 people) having it, compared to Greater Melbourne's 53.6%.

Nationally, the average is 55.3%. The most common conditions are asthma (8.0%) and mental health issues (7.2%). A total of 72.3% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, similar to Greater Melbourne's 72.0%. The area has a lower proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 12.8% (1,742 people) compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.7%.

Narre Warren - North East is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Narre Warren-North East has a significant cultural diversity, with 37.4% of its population born overseas and 37.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Narre Warren-North East, accounting for 47.2% of the population. However, Islam is notably overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 9.3% of Narre Warren-North East's population versus 11.4%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (20.3%), Australian (19.3%), and English (18.6%). Some ethnic groups show notable divergences: Hungarian is overrepresented at 0.8% compared to 0.7% regionally, Sri Lankan at 1.5% versus 2.3%, and Serbian at 1.0% versus 1.4%.

Narre Warren - North East's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Narre Warren - North East's median age is nearly 36 years, close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and slightly below Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Narre Warren - North East has a higher percentage of residents aged 55-64 (13.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (14.1%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 65-74 has increased from 6.7% to 7.8%, while the 45-54 age group has decreased from 14.2% to 13.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Narre Warren - North East's age profile. The 65-74 cohort is expected to grow by 35%, adding 377 residents to reach a total of 1,448. Residents aged 65 and above will contribute to 76% of the population growth, indicating prominent demographic aging trends. Conversely, the 15-24 and 55-64 age groups are projected to experience population declines.