Endeavour Hills - South

Endeavour Hills - South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Nov 2025, Endeavour Hills - South's population is approximately 13,611, marking an increase of 251 people since the 2021 Census. The population in 2021 was recorded as 13,360. This growth can be attributed to an estimated resident population of 13,594 in June 2024 and an additional 23 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,434 persons per square kilometer, placing Endeavour Hills - South in the upper quartile compared to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 67.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections for each SA2 area are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024, with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Endeavour Hills - South is expected to expand by 22 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total growth of 0.0% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Endeavour Hills - South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Endeavour Hills - South averaged approximately 11 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 59 homes approved during this period. In FY26, up until now, there have been 3 home approvals. Despite a decline in population, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction cost value of new properties is $646,000, slightly above the regional average, indicating a focus on quality developments. This financial year has seen $40.7 million in commercial approvals registered, suggesting robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Endeavour Hills - South has significantly less development activity, at 86.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Nationally, development activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

The area shows a dominance of detached dwellings (90.0%), with townhouses or apartments making up the remaining 10.0%, sustaining its suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 1318 people per approval, Endeavour Hills - South exhibits characteristics of a mature, established area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Endeavour Hills - South is projected to grow by approximately 5 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Endeavour Hills - South has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 33rdth percentile nationally

The performance of a region is significantly influenced by changes to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified three projects that are expected to impact this area. Notable projects include Endeavour Hills Community Precinct, Hallam Secondary College Upgrade, Endeavour Hills Specialist School, and Doveton Pool in the Park Revitalisation Project. The following list provides details on those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Endeavour Hills - South has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Endeavour Hills - South has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate is 5.4% and it experienced an estimated employment growth of 3.7% over the past year.

As of June 2025, 7,044 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.8% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation is lower at 59.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with a notable concentration in manufacturing at 1.6 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services have limited presence at 7.4% compared to the regional average of 10.1%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 3.7% while labour force increased by 4.4%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.5% and a smaller increase in unemployment. State-level data from Nov-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%, with employment growth outpacing the national average of 0.14%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Endeavour Hills - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The Endeavour Hills - South SA2's median income among taxpayers was $48,384 and average income was $56,815 in financial year 2022. This compares to Greater Melbourne's figures of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest median income will be approximately $54,267 and average income $63,724, accounting for Wage Price Index growth of 12.16%. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 49th percentile ($1,733 weekly) and personal income at the 23rd percentile. The predominant income cohort spans 34.8% of locals (4,736 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category. After housing, 85.1% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Endeavour Hills - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Endeavour Hills - South, as per the latest Census evaluation, 87.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 12.9% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Melbourne metro's figures of 88.1% houses and 11.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Endeavour Hills - South stood at 39.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.5% and rented ones at 18.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,918, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,900. The median weekly rent in Endeavour Hills - South was $383, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, Endeavour Hills - South's mortgage repayments exceed the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are higher than the national figure of $375.

Endeavour Hills - South features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 82.5% of all households, including 43.2% couples with children, 26.1% couples without children, and 12.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 17.5%, with lone person households at 15.2% and group households at 2.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which aligns with the Greater Melbourne average.

Educational attainment in Endeavour Hills - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Endeavour Hills indicate that 27.3% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to Greater Melbourne's 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 32.0% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (13.5%) and certificates (18.5%). Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.2% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 75 active transport stops operating within Endeavour Hills - South. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling 10 individual routes that collectively provide 2,931 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 172 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 418 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Endeavour Hills - South is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Endeavour Hills - South exhibits superior health outcomes for both young and elderly populations, with low incidence of common health conditions. Private health insurance coverage stands at approximately 48%, involving around 6,574 individuals, lower than Greater Melbourne's 53.6% and the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical issues are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.0% and 7.0% of residents respectively, with 71.5% claiming no medical ailments, slightly below Greater Melbourne's 72.0%.

The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.3%, or 2,763 individuals, compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.7%. Health outcomes among the elderly are notably robust, aligning with the general population's health profile.

Endeavour Hills - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Endeavour Hills-South, as of the 2016 Census, has a high level of cultural diversity with 54.6% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 51.8% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Endeavour Hills-South, accounting for 51.5% of people. However, Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 13.1% versus 11.4%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (26.8%), Australian (11.9%), and English (11.9%). Notably, Sri Lankan (3.3%) Serbian (2.5%), and Polish (1.8%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.3%, 1.4%, and 1.0% respectively.

Endeavour Hills - South's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Endeavour Hills - South is 39 years, higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years, which is close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, the 65-74 age group is over-represented in Endeavour Hills - South at 12.5%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 12.6%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 4.4% to 6.1% of the population, while the 55 to 64 age group has declined from 14.3% to 12.2%. Population forecasts for Endeavour Hills - South indicate significant demographic changes by 2041. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 71%, reaching 1,412 people from the current 826. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 83% of this growth. Conversely, the 15 to 24 and 55 to 64 age groups are projected to experience population declines.