Endeavour Hills - South
Statistical Area - sa2

Endeavour Hills - South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's analysis indicates Endeavour Hills - South's population is approximately 13,611 as of Aug 2025. This represents an increase of 251 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,360. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 13,594 in June 2024 and additional 23 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,434 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 67.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends suggest lower quartile growth, with the area expected to expand by 22 persons to 2041 based on latest population numbers, recording a gain of 0.0% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Endeavour Hills - South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Endeavour Hills - South averaged approximately 11 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 59 homes approved. In FY26 up until now, 2 homes have been approved. The population has decreased during this period, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $646,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. This financial year, commercial approvals worth $40.7 million have been registered, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Endeavour Hills - South has significantly less development activity, with 86.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Nationally, this activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

The area shows a mature, established identity with 90.0% detached dwellings and 10.0% townhouses or apartments. At around 1318 people per approval, Endeavour Hills - South is expected to grow by 5 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Endeavour Hills - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 3 projects likely to impact this area. Major projects include Endeavour Hills Community Precinct, Hallam Secondary College Upgrade, Endeavour Hills Specialist School, and Doveton Pool in the Park Revitalisation Project. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment performance in Endeavour Hills - South has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Endeavour Hills - South has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate is 5.4%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.7% over the past year.

As of June 2025, there are 7,044 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 5.4%. This is 0.8% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%, and workforce participation is lower at 59.4% compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Manufacturing has a particularly notable concentration, with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average.

Professional & technical services have limited presence with 7.4% employment compared to 10.1% regionally. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 3.7%, while labour force increased by 4.4%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.5% and labour force growth of 4.0%, with a 0.5 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data to Sep-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, adding 39,880 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Endeavour Hills - South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.3%% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

Endeavour Hills - South's median income among taxpayers was $48,384 and average income stood at $56,815 in the financial year 2022, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. These figures compare to Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761 for the same period. Based on a Wage Price Index growth of 10.11% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $53,276 (median) and $62,559 (average) as of March 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household income ranks at the 49th percentile ($1,733 weekly), while personal income sits at the 24th percentile. The predominant cohort spans 34.8% of locals (4,736 people) with incomes in the $1,500 - $2,999 category. After housing, 85.1% of income remains for other expenses, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Endeavour Hills - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Endeavour Hills - South, as per the latest Census, 87.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 12.9% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This is similar to Melbourne metro's figures of 88.1% houses and 11.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Endeavour Hills - South stood at 39.4%, with mortgaged properties at 42.5% and rented dwellings at 18.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,918, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,900. The median weekly rent in Endeavour Hills - South was $383, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, mortgage repayments averaged $1,863 and rents were $375.

Endeavour Hills - South features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 82.5 percent of all households, including 43.2 percent couples with children, 26.1 percent couples without children, and 12.0 percent single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 17.5 percent, with lone person households at 15.2 percent and group households comprising 2.3 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which aligns with the Greater Melbourne average.

Educational attainment in Endeavour Hills - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Endeavour Hills show that 27.3% of residents aged 15 and above have university degrees, compared to Greater Melbourne's 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 6.9% and graduate diplomas at 2.0%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 32.0% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (13.5%) and certificates (18.5%). Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.2% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 5.6% in tertiary education.

Endeavour Hills has five schools with a combined enrollment of 1,589 students, operating under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1011) and offering balanced educational opportunities. The schools include four primary schools and one K-12 school. There are 11.7 school places per 100 residents in Endeavour Hills, which is below the regional average of 16.0, indicating that some students may attend schools in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 75 active transport stops operating within Endeavour Hills - South. These stops are serviced by 10 individual routes, collectively providing 2,931 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 172 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 418 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Endeavour Hills - South is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Endeavour Hills - South shows better-than-average health outcomes for both younger and older age groups, with low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is low at around 48% (~6,574 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 53.6% and the national average of 55.3%. Arthritis and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 7.0% each of residents.

Around 71.5% report being free from medical ailments, similar to Greater Melbourne's 72.0%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.3% (2,763 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.7%. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, mirroring the general population's health profile.

Endeavour Hills - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Endeavour Hills-South, as of the 2016 Census, has a high level of cultural diversity with 54.6% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 51.8% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Endeavour Hills-South, making up 51.5% of people. Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 13.1% of Endeavour Hills-South's population.

The top three ancestry groups are 'Other' at 26.8%, Australian at 11.9% (lower than the regional average), and English also at 11.9% (also lower than the regional average). Notably, Sri Lankan ancestry is overrepresented in Endeavour Hills-South at 3.3% compared to the regional average of 2.3%. Serbian ancestry is similarly overrepresented at 2.5%, compared to 1.4% regionally, and Polish ancestry is also higher than average at 1.8% versus 1.0%.

Endeavour Hills - South's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Endeavour Hills - South is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the cohort aged 65-74 years is notably over-represented at 12.5% in Endeavour Hills - South, while those aged 25-34 years are under-represented at 12.6%. According to data from the 2021 Census, the age group of 75 to 84 years has grown from 4.4% to 6.1% of the population. Conversely, the cohort aged 55 to 64 years has declined from 14.3% to 12.2%. Population forecasts for Endeavour Hills - South indicate significant demographic changes by 2041. The age group of 75 to 84 years is expected to grow by 71%, reaching 1,412 people from the current 826. This growth will be led by residents aged 65 and older, who represent 83% of anticipated population growth. Meanwhile, the cohorts aged 15-24 years and 55-64 years are expected to experience population declines.