Endeavour Hills - South

Endeavour Hills - South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's analysis shows Endeavour Hills - South's population was around 13,539 as of May 2026. This is an increase of 179 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 13,360. The change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 13,539 in June 2025 and 22 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,422 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 71.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Examining future trends, AreaSearch anticipates lower quartile growth for statistical areas, with Endeavour Hills - South expected to expand by 9 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers. This reflects a gain of 0.1% in total over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Endeavour Hills - South is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Endeavour Hills - South averaged approximately 11 new dwelling approvals per year between FY-21 and FY-25, with a total of 59 homes approved during this period. In FY-26, 9 homes have been approved so far. The population has fallen slightly during this time, but housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction cost value for new properties is $365,000. This financial year, $40.7 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Endeavour Hills - South has significantly less development activity, with 86.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Nationally, development activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

The area's building activity shows 90.0% detached dwellings and 10.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining its suburban identity with a focus on family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 1318 people per approval, Endeavour Hills - South is considered a mature, established area. Looking ahead, the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate projects Endeavour Hills - South to grow by 9 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Endeavour Hills - South has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 28thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely to impact the area: Endeavour Hills Community Precinct, Hallam Secondary College Upgrade, Endeavour Hills Specialist School, and Doveton Pool in the Park Revitalisation Project. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Endeavour Hills - South has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Endeavour Hills - South has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.9% as of December 2021, with an estimated employment growth of 3.5% over the past year. As of December 2025, 7,013 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 6.9%, which is 1.1% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation was somewhat lower at 66.0% compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census responses, 23.6% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Leading employment industries among residents were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with a notable concentration in manufacturing at 1.6 times the regional average. Professional & technical services had limited presence with 7.4% employment compared to the regional average of 10.1%.

The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities based on the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 3.5% while labour force increased by 4.6%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 1.0 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Endeavour Hills - South's employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against the local employment mix.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The Endeavour Hills - South SA2's median income among taxpayers was $51,710 and average income stood at $59,479 in financial year 2023. These figures are lower than Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164 respectively. By March 2026, estimates based on a 9.62% increase from the Wage Price Index suggest median income will be approximately $56,685 and average income around $65,201. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 49th percentile ($1,733 weekly) and personal income at the 23rd percentile. The predominant income cohort spans 34.8% of locals (4,711 people), earning between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly. This is similar to the surrounding region where 32.8% occupy this range. After housing costs, 85.1% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Endeavour Hills - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Endeavour Hills - South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.1% houses and 12.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Endeavour Hills - South stood at 39.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.5% and rented ones at 18.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,918, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent was $383, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Endeavour Hills - South's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,918 against the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were also higher at $383 compared to the national figure of $375.

Endeavour Hills - South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.5% of all households, including 43.2% couples with children, 26.1% couples without children, and 12.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 17.5%, with lone person households at 15.2% and group households comprising 2.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Endeavour Hills - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Endeavour Hills show that 27.3% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to 37.0% in Greater Melbourne. This indicates a potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 32.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 13.5% and certificates at 18.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.2% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 75 active transport stops operating in Endeavour Hills - South. These are serviced by 10 routes providing 1,772 weekly passenger trips. Residents' average distance to the nearest stop is 172 meters. Most residents commute outward. Car remains dominant at 92%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 23.6% of residents work from home. Service frequency averages 253 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 23 weekly trips per stop.

Endeavour Hills - South's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Endeavour Hills - South. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover was found to be very low at approximately 49% of the total population (~6,620 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area were arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.0 and 7.0% of residents respectively. 71.5% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrated better than average health outcomes. The area has 20.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,809 people), which is higher than the 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Endeavour Hills - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Endeavour Hills-South is among Australia's most culturally diverse areas, with 54.6% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 51.8% born overseas as of the latest available data. Christianity is the main religion in Endeavour Hills-South, comprising 51.5% of people there, compared to Islam's 5.6% in Greater Melbourne. Notably, 13.1% of Endeavour Hills-South residents are Muslim, significantly higher than the regional average.

In terms of ancestry, 'Other' is the top group at 26.8%, followed by Australian (11.9%) and English (11.9%). The 'Other' category is substantially higher compared to the regional average of 14.6%. Additionally, Sri Lankan, Serbian, and Polish ethnic groups are notably overrepresented in Endeavour Hills-South compared to regional averages.

Endeavour Hills - South's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Endeavour Hills - South is 39 years, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years, and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the 65-74 age cohort is notably over-represented at 12.6% in Endeavour Hills - South, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 12.5%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.4% to 6.3%, and the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 14.3% to 12.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Endeavour Hills - South. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 62%, reaching 1,385 people from the current 855. Residents aged 65 and older are anticipated to represent 81% of this growth. Conversely, the 65-74 and 55-64 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.