Chart Color Schemes
This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
Find a Recent Sale
Sales Detail
Narre Warren North has an estimated 8,066 residents, up from 8,033 at the 2021 Census. That puts 366 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
An evaluation of regional ABS updates alongside validated address additions identified by AreaSearch since the Census indicates that the suburb of Narre Warren North reached an estimated 8,066 residents by Aug 2026. Relative to the 2021 Census tally of 8,033 people, this represents an addition of 33 people (0.4%). The calculation draws upon the ABS June 2025 ERP release showing a population of 8,064, combined with 70 validated new addresses logged after the Census. This population level yields a density of 366 persons per square kilometer, providing generous personal space and scope for future expansion.
Overseas migration served as the primary growth catalyst, generating roughly 98.0% of recent population gains. Projections for each SA2 area utilise ABS/Geoscience Australia figures released in 2024 with a 2022 baseline, supplemented where needed by 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections converted via weighted growth aggregation from LGA to SA2 level. Age-bracket expansion rates derived from these models are similarly applied across regions for 2032 to 2041. Looking forward, the suburb of Narre Warren North is projected to experience population expansion slightly below the median across assessed statistical areas, expanding by 539 persons up to 2041 under aggregated SA2 models, which constitutes a cumulative gain of 6.7% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
112 new dwellings have been approved in Narre Warren North over the past five years, an average of 22 a year. That is 3.2 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 27 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 96% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 36, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals by AreaSearch shows that Narre Warren North has averaged approximately 22 residential permits annually, accumulating an estimated 112 homes throughout the last 5 financial years. Within FY-25 to date, 36 approvals have been logged. As population numbers softened recently, new housing supply has comfortably balanced local demand to maintain favorable purchasing conditions, while newly approved dwellings feature an average expected construction cost of $1,153,000, illustrating sustained builder attention on high-end residential stock. Furthermore, commercial approvals totaling $14.7 million have been recorded during this financial year, underscoring ongoing non-residential development.
Per capita building activity in Narre Warren North tracks at roughly 57% of Greater Melbourne levels and places at the 58th percentile across the country, notwithstanding a recent uptick in local building volume. This rate sits beneath nationwide figures as well, signaling established neighborhood maturity alongside possible planning restrictions. Detached dwellings represent 96.0% of new residential activity compared to 4.0% for attached formats, reinforcing the low-density urban character and appealing to buyers seeking standalone properties. Generating roughly 237 people per approval, the locality maintains a spacious suburban profile. Projections indicate that Narre Warren North will add 537 residents through to 2041 based on the most recent quarterly estimate from AreaSearch. At present rates of construction, upcoming residential supply is well positioned to accommodate demand, maintaining supportive market conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating expansion above baseline expectations.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Narre Warren North
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Narre Warren North, worth an estimated $556 million. A further 94 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $17.4 billion. 25 are already under construction and 34 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic planning initiatives, civil works, and capital delivery remain fundamental determinants of regional growth. AreaSearch has pinpointed 15 projects possessing the capacity to shape the local environment. Notable works encompass the Ellington Estate, Hallam North and Heatherton Road Upgrade, South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades, and Oak Ridge Residential Estate, with primary initiatives detailed in the accompanying overview.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Oak Ridge Residential Estate
Premium residential estate offering 17 exclusive 800mý lots with wide frontages in semi-rural Narre Warren North. Located at the foothills of the Dandenong Ranges with Green Wedge zoning protection. Features design guidelines ensuring integration with natural surroundings, close to schools, shops, parks and 35-minute commute to Melbourne CBD. Project is 50% sold with lots priced from $835,000 after cashback.
Narre Warren North Primary School Modernisation
Major upgrade and modernisation of Narre Warren North Primary School, funded with $4.5 million, to demolish Building 1 and replace it with a new permanent modular building providing state-of-the-art classrooms, administration facilities, and modern learning neighbourhoods. An Inclusive Schools Fund project for a sensory garden was also completed.
Hillcrest Narre Warren North
Boutique estate of 34 premium homesites ranging from 1,000m2 to over 2,000m2 in Narre Warren North, a prestigious growth corridor in Melbourne's south-east. The development was entirely pre-sold before completion.
South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades
Upgrades to recycle more water in South East Melbourne for irrigation, improving water security and reducing demand for potable water amidst climate change and population growth.
Hallam Healthcare Precinct
An integrated $170 million healthcare precinct development featuring a 90-suite residential aged care extension (expanding site total to 270 beds), a day surgery hospital with three operating theatres, a 10-GP medical centre, health spa, 160-place early learning centre, commercial health club, and aquatic centre.
Ellington Estate
Premium masterplanned residential community in Narre Warren North, featuring large allotments from 1,000sqm to over 4,000sqm in an established leafy setting. The estate includes 120 dwellings and is completed.
Hallam North and Heatherton Road Upgrade
This major road upgrade, delivered under Victoria's Big Build, added an extra lane in each direction on Hallam North Road between Heatherton Road and James Cook Drive, replaced the roundabout at Hallam North Road and Heatherton Road with traffic lights, installed new traffic lights at Heatherton Village and Thomas Mitchell Drive, added dedicated turn lanes, new U-turn facilities, upgraded intersections, new and upgraded shared-use paths on both sides, safety barriers, street lighting, stormwater drainage, and landscaping.Construction started in April 2021 and was completed in December 2022. Contractor: Symal. Delivery authority: Major Road Projects Victoria.
Narre Warren Central
State-of-the-art Large Format Retail (LFR) centre with 17,000 square metres of elevated retail spaces in a landscaped environment. Features flexible tenancies from 300 to 3,500 square metres for retail and allied health needs, with proximity to Westfield Fountain Gate in Melbourne's fastest growing suburb. Development includes convenience restaurants and restricted retail premises with reduced parking requirements.
4,644 residents of Narre Warren North are employed, from a labour force of 4,768. Unemployment sits at 2.6%, with participation at 70.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 6,197, about 77% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local labor market in Narre Warren North is defined by a capable workforce with pronounced representation in construction, an unemployment rate standing at only 2.6%, and estimated annual jobs growth of 4.5% according to AreaSearch statistical modeling. As of March 2026, 4,644 residents are employed, local joblessness sits 2.2% under the 4.8% Greater Melbourne benchmark, and the participation rate aligns with the metropolitan level of 70.1%. Census records show 25.4% of workers conducted their duties from home, though pandemic-era restrictions during that period should be noted. Construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance constitute the primary fields of employment for local residents.
The workforce exhibits notable sector concentration in construction, where employment density reaches 2.1 times the wider metropolitan average. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for a smaller proportion at 6.7%, trailing the 10.1% regional standard. Because the suburb is largely residential, on-site employment opportunities are comparatively modest when comparing local worker numbers against resident counts from the Census. AreaSearch assessment of ABS and SALM metrics demonstrates that both employment and total labor force expanded by 4.5% during the 12 months to March 2026, preserving a steady jobless rate. Over the equivalent timeframe, Greater Melbourne registered jobs growth of 2.1% and a labor force rise of 2.3%, alongside an increase in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. Forward-looking employment estimates published by Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide additional context on local industry trajectory. Across nationwide projections, overall employment is estimated to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though individual sector outcomes fluctuate widely. Aligning these sectoral projections with the local employment distribution suggests job counts for Narre Warren North could rise by 6.3% over five years and 12.9% over ten years (a weighted illustrative model that excludes localized demographic projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Narre Warren North is $2,634 a week (about $137,000 a year), with median personal income at $795 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $54,074 a year against an average of $75,880. The average runs 40% above the median, a wider spread than most areas and a sign of a concentrated group of high earners. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxation records from the ATO for financial year 2023 indicate a median taxpayer income of $54,074 and an average of $75,880 in the suburb of Narre Warren North. These figures outperform national standards and compare against Greater Melbourne metrics of $57,688 (median) and $75,164 (average). Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% from financial year 2023 yields updated figures of approximately $59,276 for median earnings and $83,180 on average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census placed local household earnings in the 93rd percentile ($2,634 weekly), whereas individual incomes sat at the 48th percentile.
In terms of distribution, 31.0% of residents (2,500 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly band, aligning closely with the metropolitan proportion of 32.8%. High-income earners are strongly represented, with 42.3% of households generating over $3,000 weekly to underpin robust household budgets. After meeting shelter expenses, families retain 89.0% of their earnings, and the area attains a SEIFA income placement in the 8th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Narre Warren North had 2,224 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 99% detached houses and 0% apartments. 54% are owned with a mortgage, 4% rented and 42% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $410 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,212 a month. Rent absorbs 15.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 19.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the most recent Census, the local housing stock in Narre Warren North consists of 98.9% separate houses and 1.1% other dwellings such as apartments, semi-detached properties, and alternative formats, standing in contrast to metropolitan Melbourne where 67.9% are houses and 32.1% are other dwellings. Outright home ownership is notably elevated at 42.3%, while remaining properties are under a mortgage (53.8%) or occupied by tenants (4.0%). Monthly mortgage commitments average a median of $2,212 compared to $2,000 across metropolitan Melbourne, whereas median weekly rents sit at $410 against the metropolitan figure of $390.
Across Australia, local mortgage payments sit substantially above the nationwide median of $1,863, and weekly rents surpass the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Narre Warren North counted 2,224 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 3.4 people each. 55% are couples with children, more than in 97% of areas nationally, against 29% couples without children. 8% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 91.1% of all local households, divided between couples with children at 55.0%, childless couples at 28.6%, and single parent households at 6.5%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 8.9%, consisting of single-person dwellings at 7.9% and shared group households at 1.2%. The typical household size spans 3.4 people, exceeding the Greater Melbourne standard of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
24.4% of adults in Narre Warren North hold a university qualification, including 17.6% with a bachelor degree and 4.6% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 76% of areas nationally. A further 22.6% hold a vocational qualification. 5 schools serve the area, with 1,101 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,093 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Attainment figures show that tertiary degree completion in the area stands at 24.4%, lagging the Greater Melbourne proportion of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees form the primary qualification at 17.6%, accompanied by postgraduate degrees at 4.6% and graduate diplomas at 2.2%. In contrast, vocational and technical credentials show strong prevalence, with 34.1% of community members aged 15+ holding trade qualifications, comprising 11.5% with advanced diplomas and 22.6% possessing certificates. Active learning engagement is widespread, with 31.9% of the local population participating in education programs. Within this cohort, secondary schooling accounts for 10.0%, primary education represents 9.8%, and tertiary courses engage 6.1% of residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Narre Warren North reaches 22 stops on 11 routes, timetabled for about 2,900 services a week. The typical home sits about 540 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 2.6 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Transit infrastructure within Narre Warren North features 22 active bus stops across the network. These facilities are served by 11 distinct bus routes providing a total of 2,926 weekly passenger trips. Network access is considered moderate, with the typical distance to a transit boarding point averaging 542 meters. Because outbound commuting is standard among residents, private vehicles dominate travel choices at 97%. Vehicle availability averages 2.6 cars per household, surpassing the wider metropolitan norm. In addition, 25.4% of working residents operated from home during the 2021 Census, a figure shaped by pandemic conditions at the time.
Network schedules deliver an average of 418 daily departures across all operating routes, representing roughly 133 departures weekly for each individual transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
73.0% of residents in Narre Warren North report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 78% of areas nationally. 6.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 56.8% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.4 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments by AreaSearch indicate positive outcomes across Narre Warren North regarding mortality statistics and chronic condition rates, highlighted by minimal illness rates among younger age segments and widespread private health insurance coverage extending to approximately 57% of the community (~4,580 people). Arthritis and asthma represent the most frequent long-term ailments reported, affecting 6.9 and 6.2% of residents respectively, whereas 73.0% of the population reported no chronic illnesses, exceeding the Greater Melbourne mark of 72.6%. Working-age cohorts display favorable overall wellbeing with low condition rates. Seniors aged 65 and over constitute 19.1% of the population (1,540 people), higher than the 15.1% regional proportion.
Older residents record above-average health indicators, though their national standing is more moderate than that of the broader local community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
31.6% of Narre Warren North residents were born overseas and 30.9% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (21.2%) and English (19.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Narre Warren North sits above typical suburban benchmarks, as 31.6% of residents were born abroad and 30.9% communicate in a language other than English at home. Christianity stands as the leading religious affiliation, encompassing 54.3% of the community. Additionally, the suburb exhibits a prominent concentration of Islamic adherence, representing 10.1% of the population compared with 5.6% across Greater Melbourne. Looking at parental lineage, the primary ancestries recorded are Australian at 21.2%, English at 19.0%, and Other at 17.8%. Specific cultural communities also demonstrate above-average presence relative to metropolitan averages, including Dutch ancestry at 2.4% (vs 1.2%), Sri Lankan heritage at 1.3% (vs 0.8%), and Hungarian background at 0.6% (vs 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Narre Warren North is 42. 26.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic structure of Narre Warren North aligns broadly with Greater Melbourne, with the most significant divergence across the four main age segments measuring 13.8 percentage points. As at August 2026, the estimated median age is 42, matching the 2021 Census level and sitting 5 years above the Greater Melbourne median of 37 at that Census. Since the Census, the proportion of seniors and retirees aged 65+ expanded from 16.6% to an estimated 19.1%. Projections to 2041 suggest older cohorts will account for the bulk of population growth, rising by 551 residents (36%) to 2,092, whereas younger demographics including children and young to middle-aged adults are anticipated to decrease.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Narre Warren North
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Dec 2025 10 months ago all 6 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Dec 2025. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 70 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (8,033 at the 2021 Census → 8,066 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21895). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.