Narre Warren North

Narre Warren North has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for Narre Warren North, its population is estimated at around 8,093 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 60 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,033 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 8,020, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), and an additional 67 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 367 persons per square kilometer in Narre Warren North. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 98.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, a population increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas is expected in Narre Warren North, with the suburb expected to increase by 596 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 6.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Narre Warren North, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Narre Warren North has recorded approximately 23 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years ending June 2021. This totals an estimated 118 homes. As of June 2026, 9 approvals have been recorded. Despite a fall in population during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction value for new homes is $867,000, indicating a focus on the premium market. In FY26, there have been $16.0 million in commercial approvals, suggesting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Narre Warren North shows reduced construction activity, with 52.0% fewer approvals per person than the regional average. This typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties, though recent construction activity has intensified. The area's new construction has been entirely standalone homes, maintaining its traditional low density character appealing to families seeking space, with around 250 people per dwelling approval.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Narre Warren North is expected to grow by 493 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should meet demand comfortably, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Narre Warren North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects that may affect the area. Notable projects include Oak Ridge Residential Estate, South East Melbourne Recycled Water Supply Infrastructure Upgrades, Hallam North and Heatherton Road Upgrade, and Ellington Estate. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Narre Warren North demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Narre Warren North has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being notably prominent. Its unemployment rate was 2.6% in an unspecified past year.

Employment growth over this period was estimated at 4.1%. As of June 2025, 4,651 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.0%, which is below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading industries include construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance.

Construction is particularly strong, with an employment share 2.1 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 6.7%, compared to 10.1% in Greater Melbourne. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.1% while the labour force grew by 4.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.5% and labour force growth of 4.0%, with a 0.5 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Narre Warren North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, although these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Narre Warren North had a median taxpayer income of $54,070 and an average income of $75,844 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is high compared to Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761 during the same period. Based on a 12.16% increase since financial year 2022, as per the Wage Price Index, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $60,645 (median) and $85,067 (average). Census data shows household incomes rank at the 93rd percentile ($2,634 weekly), while personal incomes rank at the 48th percentile. The predominant income bracket is $1,500 - 2,999, with 31.0% of locals (2,508 people) falling into this category, reflecting a similar trend in the region where 32.8% occupy this bracket. Economic strength is evident through 42.3% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 89.0% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Narre Warren North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Narre Warren North's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.9% houses and 1.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 88.1% houses and 11.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Narre Warren North stood at 42.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.8% and rented ones at 4.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,212, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,900. The median weekly rent in Narre Warren North was $410, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, Narre Warren North's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Narre Warren North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 91.1% of all households, including 55.0% couples with children, 28.6% couples without children, and 6.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 8.9%, with lone person households at 7.9% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.9.

Narre Warren North shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 24.4%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (17.6%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 34.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (22.6%). Educational participation is high at 31.9%, with 10.0% in secondary education, 9.8% in primary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Narre Warren North has 5 schools with a combined enrollment of 1,101 students. The area's socio-educational conditions are above average (ICSEA: 1093). Its educational mix includes 3 primary schools and 2 K-12 schools.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Narre Warren North has 21 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 13 different routes, offering a total of 1,498 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as moderate, with residents on average being 543 meters away from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, there are an average of 214 daily trips, which equates to about 71 weekly trips per individual stop.

Narre Warren North's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Narre Warren North. Both young and old age cohorts have a low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~4,594 people), compared to 53.6% across Greater Melbourne. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 6.9 and 6.2% of residents respectively. 73.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.0% across Greater Melbourne. As of October 2021, 18.5% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,497 people), which is higher than the 15.7% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Narre Warren North was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Narre Warren North, in a study conducted on the 25th of June 2021, was found to have a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 31.6% of its population born overseas and 30.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was identified as the primary religion in Narre Warren North, composing 54.3% of its population. However, Islam showed significant overrepresentation, making up 10.1% of the population compared to Greater Melbourne's 11.4%.

Regarding ancestry, the top three groups were Australian at 21.2%, English at 19.0%, and Other at 17.8%. Notably, Hungarian, Dutch, and Sri Lankan ethnicities showed higher representation in Narre Warren North than regionally, with Hungarian at 0.6% (vs regional 0.7%), Dutch at 2.4% (vs 1.6%), and Sri Lankan at 1.3% (vs 2.3%).

Narre Warren North hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Narre Warren North is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 15.8% of the population, compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 9.1%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 4.6% to 5.7%, and the 35 to 44 cohort has decreased from 10.2% to 9.1%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Narre Warren North, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 55% (252 people), reaching 714 from 461. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 84% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Conversely, the 45 to 54 and 25 to 34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.