1 Proposed1,231applications on record, though this council feed does not publish assessment statusLatest September 2021See applications ↓
2 Approved2,916dwellings approved in 2024-25, or 1.09 per 100 existing dwellings a yearOfficial · ABS to June 2026See approvals ↓
3 Building88major projects committed or under construction, 47 of them already on siteForward · completions to 2030+See projects ↓
4 Delivered13,028new addresses verified since the 2021 Census, up 15.7% on the existing baseActual · to June 2026Where it landed ↓
In the 2024-25 financial year the ABS recorded 2,916 dwelling approvals across Casey - South. AreaSearch tracks 88 major projects here that are committed or under construction, the largest being Clyde Creek Precinct at an estimated $3.50bn. On the ground, 13,028 new addresses have been verified since the 2021 Census — growth of 15.7% on the existing address base.
These four figures are deliberately not added together. An application, an
approval and a project under construction are often the same building at three points in its life,
measured by three different bodies with three different lags. Read them as a sequence, not a total.
ApprovedBuilding Approvals in Casey - South
What councils and certifiers have formally
permitted — the ABS series, published about four months in arrears.
Approvals are running at 1.09 per 100 existing dwellings a year, above the Victoria rate of 0.80. Development here remains overwhelmingly detached: houses account for 87% of recent approvals. The mix being approved closely matches what is already standing — 88% houses against 92% of existing homes. The average approved dwelling is valued at $374,000 in construction cost.
For its size, Casey - South is adding 1.09 dwellings a year per 100 existing homes — above the Victoria rate of 0.80 and the national rate of 0.71. That is about 12.4 approvals a year for every 1,000 residents. Building intensity has fallen by about 53% across the published series.
Measured against people rather than housing stock, Casey - South is approving 10.54 dwellings a year per 1,000 residents — above the Victoria rate of 7.97. The two rate views differ by household size, which here averages 3.3 people per home. Housing the projection to 2041 would need about 9.58 per 1,000 residents a year.
Dwelling approvals a year per 100 existing
homes, with Victoria and Australia for comparison. This is the
same activity as the totals view, divided by the size of the area — which is the only
fair way to compare a large SA3 with a small one.
Dwelling approvals a year per 1,000
residents, each year divided by that year’s estimated resident
population (ABS ERP at 30 June), not by today’s — which matters most in fast-growing
areas, where a fixed denominator can understate the early years by half. The most recent periods use the latest published ERP, as the population series runs a year behind approvals. Read it alongside the per-100-homes view: the two differ wherever household size does.
Dwelling units approved each financial year. The dashed line is the five-year average of 3,356.
How intensively is it building?
Dwelling approvals a year per 100 existing dwellings.
Casey - South1.09
Victoria0.80
Australia0.71
What is here, and what is coming
Detached houses as a share of existing homes,
against the share of recent approvals.
Existing homes (2021 Census)92%
Approved, last 5 years88%
Approved, latest year87%
Detached housesApartments, townhouses & other
Approvals mix by year
Share of each year’s approvals.
2022
2023
2024
2025
2024-25
$1.23bn
Residential work approved
2024-25
$387m
Commercial work approved
construction cost
$374,000
Average value per approved dwelling
last two years
92
Residents per approval
Supply & DemandIs Casey - South Building Enough Homes?
The same approvals, measured against the population
they have to house.
Casey - South approves about 12.4 new dwellings a year for every 1,000 residents. Since the 2021 Census it has added 42,861 residents and 13,028 new addresses, roughly one new home per 3.3 extra residents — broadly in step with an average household of 3.3. Housing the population projected for 2041 implies roughly 2,593 new dwellings a year from here, which puts the recent approval rate of 3,356 a year comfortably ahead of what the projection needs.
Growth against supply since the Census
People added for every new address verified,
against the size of an average local household.
People added per new home3.3
Average household size3.3
A bar longer than the household average means
the area gained more residents than its new housing could hold, and the extra had to be
absorbed by existing homes.
Approval rate against projected need
Dwellings a year: what is currently being
approved, against what the 2041 population projection implies.
Approved (5-yr average)3,356
Implied need to 20412,593
Implied need assumes the average household stays
at today’s 3.3 people. Approvals are not
completions, and not every approval is built.
What is being asked for right now — applications
collected from council planning portals, before any of it reaches the ABS series above.
AreaSearch tracks applications of material scale; routine minor works such as signage and
fencing changes are not carried, so these are not counts of every application lodged. 3
of them carry an AreaSearch analyst assessment — look for the
Analysed marker in the search below.
AreaSearch tracks 1,231 development applications of material scale lodged with council across Casey - South, the most recent in September 2021. The biggest categories in the queue by value are retail, commercial and industrial.
Coverage
AreaSearch reads applications directly from each council’s planning register.
This whole area sits within one council, and only 2 applications have come through in the last 18 months. The counts below are drawn almost entirely from older records.
Estimated value of applications by development type. This is the clearest
single picture of what kind of place Casey - South is being asked to become. A further 10 applications sit across
2 smaller categories,
too few to plot.
Where the applications stand
As reported by the council. Highlighted rows are
applications still in assessment.
Advertising4
A further 1,227 applications carry no status in the council feed.
By local government area
Applications on record within each council area that
overlaps Casey - South. This counts applications inside this
statistical area only — it is not a total for the council.
Casey1,231
No current list of the largest applications can be shown for Casey - South.
Nothing on record here is both still open and lodged within the last
18 months. Victoria has no
state-wide planning portal and its council coverage is uneven, so what AreaSearch can
collect here is a record of past activity rather than a live queue. We are currently
investigating a solution. The
1,231 applications AreaSearch holds for this area, lodged
between Jun 2009 and Nov 2020, are counted in the figures above.
BuildingFORWARDMajor Projects & Infrastructure in Casey - South
What is funded and moving — the projects large enough
to change how Casey - South works, ranked by committed value and how close
they are to delivery.
AreaSearch tracks 88 current projects across Casey - South. The largest is Clyde Creek Precinct at an estimated $3.50bn, due by 2040. That breaks down as 47 under construction, 12 approved and awaiting a start and 29 still in planning. The pipeline is weighted toward communities, precincts & urban renewal, residential development and business parks & technology hubs.
Under construction$650mby 2027
Oak Grove
Oak Grove is a 92-hectare masterplanned community in Clyde North featuring over 1,300 homesites. The development includes 14.5 hectares of dedicated parklands, tree-lined boulevards, and a proposed local town…
An industry-leading 79-hectare industrial and logistics estate in Melbourne's south-east, designed with a focus on sustainability and worker wellness. The precinct features 5 and 6 Star Green Star rated…
A major masterplanned community spanning Clyde North and Berwick, incorporating over 50 hectares of wetlands, sports ovals, multiple planned schools, town centre, and 2,500+ homes.
Cranbourne East Precinct Structure PlanUnder construction · Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal · by 2032 · Cranbourne East - North
$2.80bn
Casey Fields South ResidentialApproved · Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal · by 2027 · Cranbourne South
$600m
Stockland EvergreenUnder construction · Residential Development · by 2030 · Clyde North - South
$548m
Smiths LaneUnder construction · Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal · by 2032 · Clyde North - South
$1.10bn
Summerset Cranbourne NorthUnder construction · Health & Medical · by 2026 · Cranbourne North - East
$200m
Brompton EstateUnder construction · Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal · by 2031 · Cranbourne West
$450m
Olio Residential DevelopmentUnder construction · Residential Development · by 2026 · Clyde North - North
$150m
73 further projects in
Casey - South are not listed here.
Combined values on this page exclude
9 records that appear to be
separate stages of a project already counted. Both are still listed
above with their own values.
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as
definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other
investigations from the project’s source for actual imagery. Developers and
project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact
Us and we will do so.
Beyond 2030:
a further $16.1bn across
13 projects with completion dates further out — mostly precinct-scale programs whose dates are
indicative. Kept out of the chart so the years you can act on stay readable.
Estimated value of tracked projects by the year they are due to
complete, stacked by how certain they are. The dark band is money already being spent;
the pale band is still an intention. Estimates are indicative and mix infrastructure
cost with whole-of-precinct development value, so read the shape rather than the totals.
Approvals PipelineDevelopment Applications in Casey - South
Development applications around
Casey - South
Development approvals is a new addition to AreaSearch.
We’re actively expanding council coverage and refining the dataset — details and statuses for some councils may be partial. Check back regularly for the latest pipeline.
Application search is not available in Victoria.
AreaSearch holds 1,231 applications for Casey - South, but they are a record of past activity rather than a current register. Victoria has no state-wide planning portal and its council coverage is uneven, so we
have switched the search off here rather than return partial answers. We are
currently investigating a solution. No credits are charged for Victorian
applications, and building approvals from the ABS and the major projects we track
are unaffected.
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
ProfessionalPRODevelopment Map for Casey - South
Applications and major projects plotted where
they are actually proposed, with the
161 projects AreaSearch tracks here on their own tab — filterable by type, delivery stage,
area and committed value. To search every application on record rather
than this sample, use the section above.
DistributionWhere Development Is Happening in Casey - South
Casey - South covers 15 statistical areas. Follow any of them through for a full profile of population, housing, sales and amenity at local scale.
Map builder
Each area below opens a map builder on its own page — a tool for
putting a map and a table into a report. Pick the place types you want plotted
(schools, supermarkets, medical, child care, transport and the rest of what
AreaSearch holds), add development applications as their own layer, drop your own
points, then recolour, renumber and export the result as a table or CSV.
A this area only toggle clips everything to the boundary you are looking at.
Searches are charged against your credit balance — 1 credit per 40
results from AreaSearch data — and setting filters costs nothing until
you search. The builder works on one suburb-sized area at a time, which is why it
opens per area rather than across the whole of
Casey - South.
Planning AuthoritiesCouncils Covering Casey - South
Development in Casey - South is assessed within the Casey local government area. AreaSearch publishes development
figures at ABS statistical boundaries rather than council boundaries. That is deliberate: the ABS
issues a separate official building-approvals series for local government areas, and totals
built up from statistical areas would not match it. Reporting at SA3 keeps every figure on this page
reconcilable with the published ABS series.
CompareNearby Development Hubs
The same view of building approvals, applications and
major projects for areas neighbouring Casey - South.
Collected from council planning portals. The
earliest signal available, but the least certain: many applications are amended,
withdrawn or refused, values are the applicant’s own estimate, and coverage
varies by council. This is a curated set, not the full council feed:
AreaSearch carries applications of material scale and does not track routine minor
works such as signage, fencing or small alterations, so the counts here are lower
than a council’s own total lodgement figure and should not be compared with it. Applications still shown as under assessment more than
18 months after lodgement are reported separately
and kept out of the live-queue figures: the age profile of open applications is
sharply split between a genuine queue under a year old and a long tail of records
councils never closed. Not every state publishes a cost of works — Queensland,
the Northern Territory and the ACT publish none at all — so on those pages
applications are counted rather than valued and no dollar figure is shown
rather than a partial one. Treated here as a snapshot of the current queue only —
AreaSearch does not chart application counts over time, because the history
reflects when each portal was collected rather than when development happened.
Approved — ABS building approvals
The official series, aggregated to SA3 from
ABS building approvals data, currently published to June 2026.
Counts dwelling units approved, not buildings and not completions. The most recent
financial year is annualised from nine months of data wherever it appears and is
labelled as such.
Building — major projects
Projects tracked individually by AreaSearch
from Infrastructure Australia, state infrastructure agencies, developer disclosures
and council records. Values are estimates and delivery dates are targets. Ranked on
this page by committed value and delivery stage rather than by distance.
Delivered — verified new addresses
New residential addresses verified in the national
address register since the 2021 Census. This is the closest available measure of what has
actually been built, though address creation can lead occupation and lags
construction. It is not a completions count.
Boundaries
Casey - South is Statistical Area Level 3 21203 in the ABS Australian Statistical Geography Standard (2021 edition), made up of 15 Statistical Areas Level 2.
It has an estimated 270,811 residents, +18.8% since the 2021 Census.
Currency
Measure
Source
To
Dwelling approvals, five-year average
ABS / AreaSearch
June 2026
House share of approvals
ABS / AreaSearch
June 2026
Residents per approval
ABS / AreaSearch
June 2026
Value per approved dwelling
ABS / AreaSearch
June 2026
Commercial work approved
ABS / AreaSearch
June 2026
Verified new addresses since the Census
Address register / AreaSearch
May 2026
Development applications
Council planning portals
September 2021
Major projects
Infrastructure Australia / state agencies / AreaSearch
Ongoing
Figures on this page are read live from the
AreaSearch database each time it loads, so they update as soon as a source does.
Development in Casey - South — common questions
How many new dwellings were approved in Casey - South?
The ABS recorded 2,916 dwelling approvals across Casey - South in the 2024-25 financial year, against a five-year average of 3,356 a year.
How many development applications are lodged in Casey - South?
AreaSearch tracks 1,231 development applications of material scale across Casey - South — routine minor works such as signage and fencing are not included, so this is not a count of every application lodged. Applications are assessed within the Casey local government area. The most recent application in our data was lodged in September 2021.
What major projects are planned for Casey - South?
AreaSearch tracks 88 current major projects in Casey - South, 47 of them under construction. The largest include Oak Grove, ESR Greenlink Industrial Estate and Berwick Waters Masterplanned Community.
Which council covers Casey - South?
Casey - South is an ABS Statistical Area Level 3. It is covered by the Casey local government area. AreaSearch publishes development figures at ABS statistical boundaries rather than council boundaries, so they reconcile with the official ABS series.
Is Casey - South growing faster than the rest of Victoria?
On development approvals, Casey - South is adding new dwellings faster than Victoria as a whole — 1.09 approvals per 100 existing dwellings a year against the state figure of 0.80.
How current is this development data?
ABS building approvals are published with a lag of roughly four months; this page carries the series to June 2026. Development applications are collected from council planning portals and refresh continuously, with the most recent application here lodged in September 2021. Major project records are reviewed on an ongoing basis. Each section carries its own currency label so the four are never confused.
Development data is provided for general information.
Estimated values, dwelling counts and delivery dates come from the lodging or delivering party and
are not independently verified by AreaSearch. Confirm anything material with the relevant council
or agency before relying on it.
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as
definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other
investigations from the project’s source for actual imagery. Developers and
project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact
Us and we will do so.