Scoresby

An assessment of population growth drivers in Scoresby reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Scoresby is around 6,220, reflecting an increase of 154 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 6,066. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 6,148 residents following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and validation of 113 new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio stands at 715 persons per square kilometer, relatively in line with averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Scoresby has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.5%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 1,115 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 18.5% in total over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Scoresby according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis using ABS building approval numbers from statistical area data, Scoresby averaged approximately 39 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 198 homes. As of FY-26, six approvals have been recorded. The average increase in residents per year per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25 was 0.4, indicating that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new properties is $505,000.

In the current financial year, commercial approvals valued at $50.5 million have been registered, suggesting strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Scoresby has shown elevated construction activity, with a 41.0% increase per person over the past five years. This has maintained good buyer choice while supporting existing property values, although development activity has moderated in recent periods. New development consists of 46.0% detached dwellings and 54.0% medium to high-density housing, marking a shift from the current housing mix of 96.0% houses. This change reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

With around 297 people per dwelling approval, Scoresby exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Scoresby is projected to gain approximately 1,151 residents by 2041. Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Scoresby has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects potentially impacting the area. Notable ones are Scoresby Village Residential Estate, Six-Storey Aged-Care Facility, Knoxfield Industrial Estate Redevelopment, and Knox Off the Plan Developments. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Scoresby ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Scoresby has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate is 3.3% and it experienced a 0.9% employment growth in the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of June 2025, there are 3,481 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.4%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.6%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's at 64.1%. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with manufacturing being particularly notable at 1.4 times the regional average. Professional & technical employs only 8.5% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%.

There are 1.8 workers for every resident, indicating Scoresby functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 0.9%, while labour force grew by 0.8%, keeping the unemployment rate stable. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.5% and labour force expand by 4.0%, with a 0.5 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Scoresby. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Scoresby's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch reports that Scoresby had a median taxpayer income of $49,659 and an average income of $59,918 in the financial year 2022. These figures are lower than the national averages of $54,892 and $73,761 for Greater Melbourne respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest median incomes will reach approximately $55,698 and average incomes $67,204 due to a 12.16% increase since the financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, Scoresby's household income ranks at the 63rd percentile with weekly earnings of $1,965, while personal income is at the 41st percentile. The earnings profile shows that 34.8% of individuals in Scoresby earn between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to the regional level of 32.8%. After housing expenses, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Scoresby is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Scoresby's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.4% houses and 3.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compared to Melbourne metro's 83.4% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Scoresby was at 35.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.6% and rented ones at 23.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,023, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent figure for Scoresby was $406, compared to Melbourne metro's $400. Nationally, Scoresby's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were above the national figure of $375.

Scoresby features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 79.7% of all households, including 42.8% couples with children, 23.5% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.3%, with lone person households at 17.4% and group households making up 2.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Scoresby exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Scoresby's educational qualifications trail Greater Melbourne's, with 31.9% of residents aged 15+ having university degrees compared to 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.8%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 31.1% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (19.6%). Educational participation is high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: primary (9.2%), secondary (9.0%), and tertiary (6.2%).

Scoresby's three schools have a combined enrollment of 674 students, serving distinct age groups, and demonstrate typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1037).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 52 active transport stops operating within Scoresby, consisting of a mix of bus services. These stops are serviced by 18 individual routes, collectively providing 2,482 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 157 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 354 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 47 weekly trips per individual stop.

Scoresby's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Scoresby.

Both young and old age cohorts see low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~3,144 people). The most common medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.8 and 6.3% of residents respectively. Seventy-three point one percent declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.4% across Greater Melbourne. Sixteen point five percent of residents are aged 65 and over (1,026 people), which is lower than the 19.5% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Scoresby is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Scoresby's population shows high cultural diversity, with 41.5% born overseas and 39.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Scoresby, comprising 44.8% of its population. Buddhism is notably overrepresented, making up 8.0% compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

The top three ancestral groups are Australian (19.4%), English (18.8%), and Chinese (14.5%). Sri Lankan, Indian, and Korean ethnicities have higher representation in Scoresby than the regional average: Sri Lankan at 2.8% vs 1.4%, Indian at 5.6% vs 3.3%, and Korean at 0.7% vs 0.5%.

Scoresby's median age exceeds the national pattern

Scoresby's median age is 40, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Notably, the 45-54 age cohort makes up 15.0% of Scoresby's population, compared to the Greater Melbourne average, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 10.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 4.5% to 5.4%, while the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 11.4% to 10.0%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Scoresby's age profile. The 45-54 age group is expected to grow by 313 people (34%), reaching 1,246 individuals. Conversely, both the 35-44 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.