Scoresby

An assessment of population growth drivers in Scoresby reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of Feb 2026, Scoresby's estimated population is around 6,563. This reflects an increase of 497 people (8.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,066. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 6,207 following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 113 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 755 persons per square kilometer, relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Scoresby's growth of 8.2% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region's 4.9%, marking it as a growth leader. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 1,098 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 11.3% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Scoresby according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Scoresby averaging approximately 43 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 217 homes. As of FY-26, 12 approvals have been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 0.3 new residents per year was associated with each dwelling constructed. This indicates that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction value of these properties is $505,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment. In FY-26, commercial approvals have reached $23.7 million, indicating moderate levels of commercial development in Scoresby. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Scoresby has recorded 52.0% more development activity per person. This should offer buyers ample choice, although development activity has moderated in recent periods. New development in Scoresby consists of 47.0% detached dwellings and 53.0% medium and high-density housing. This shift from the current housing mix (96.0% houses) reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

With around 227 people per dwelling approval, Scoresby exhibits a developing market. AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Scoresby to gain 742 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Scoresby has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects likely to influence the area. Notable projects include Scoresby Village Residential Estate, Six-Storey Aged-Care Facility, Knoxfield Industrial Estate Redevelopment, and Knox Off the Plan Developments. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Scoresby ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Scoresby's workforce is highly educated with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 3.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.7%. As of December 2025, 3489 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.1%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.8%.

Workforce participation was similar to Greater Melbourne at 71.3%. Home workership was high at 26.4% based on Census responses. Dominant employment sectors included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with notable concentration in manufacturing at 1.4 times the regional average. Professional & technical services employed only 8.5% of local workers compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%.

The area hosted more jobs than residents, with a ratio of 1.8 workers per resident as at Census. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 1.7%, while labour force grew by 1.6%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 3.6%. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 2.4% and labour force expand by 2.8%, with unemployment rising to 5.1%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Scoresby's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, assuming no changes in population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Scoresby had a median income among taxpayers of $49,659. The average income stood at $59,918. This is below the national average of $75,164 and compares to Melbourne's average of $57,688. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% from July 2023 to September 2025, current estimates would be approximately $53,756 (median) and $64,861 (average). According to the 2021 Census figures, household income ranks at the 63rd percentile ($1,965 weekly), while personal income sits at the 41st percentile. The earnings profile shows that 34.8% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (2,283 individuals). After housing expenses, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses. Scoresby's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Scoresby is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Scoresby's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.4% houses and 3.5% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Scoresby was at 35.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.6% and rented ones at 23.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Scoresby was $2,023, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent in Scoresby was $406, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Scoresby's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Scoresby features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.7% of all households, including 42.8% couples with children, 23.5% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.3%, with lone person households at 17.4% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Scoresby exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Scoresby's educational qualifications trail Greater Melbourne's regional benchmarks, with 31.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 37.0%. This gap indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 21.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.8%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 31.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (19.6%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.2% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Scoresby has 52 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 16 different routes that together facilitate 1,906 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 157 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents in this predominantly residential area commute outward daily. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 92% of residents. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant proportion of residents, 26.4%, work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages at 272 trips per day, translating to approximately 36 weekly trips per individual stop.

Scoresby's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Scoresby. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were very low across all age groups. Private health cover was found to be relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~3,318 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions were asthma (7.8%) and mental health issues (6.3%). 73.1% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrated better than average health outcomes. The area had 17.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,128 people), higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Scoresby is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Scoresby's population shows high cultural diversity, with 41.5% born overseas and 39.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Scoresby, accounting for 44.8% of its population. Notably, Buddhism comprises 8.0%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 4.2%.

The top three ancestral groups are Australian (19.4%), English (18.8%), and Chinese (14.5%), with the latter significantly above Greater Melbourne's average of 6.5%. Other ethnic groups also vary: Sri Lankan is overrepresented at 2.8% in Scoresby compared to 0.8% regionally, Indian at 5.6% vs 4.2%, and Korean at 0.7% vs 0.3%.

Scoresby's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Scoresby has a median age of 40, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Scoresby at 15.1%, compared to the Greater Melbourne average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 9.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 4.5% to 5.7% of the population, while the 25-34 cohort has declined from 11.4% to 9.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Scoresby's age profile will significantly evolve. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to expand by 249 people (25%), growing from 991 to 1,241. Conversely, both the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.