Scoresby

An assessment of population growth drivers in Scoresby reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census Scoresby's population is estimated at around 6554 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 488 people (8.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6066 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 6207 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 113 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 754 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Scoresby's 8.0% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (4.9%), along with the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth of national areas is projected, with the Scoresby statistical area (Lv2) expected to grow by 1119 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 12.6% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Scoresby according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Scoresby averaged approximately 42 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 213 homes. As of FY-26, 12 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, an average of 0.4 new residents per year was associated with each dwelling constructed. This suggests that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction value of new properties is $505,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. In FY-26, there have been $23.7 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Scoresby records 51.0% more development activity per person. This should provide buyers with ample choice, although development activity has moderated recently. New development consists of 47.0% detached dwellings and 53.0% medium and high-density housing, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. Scoresby's current housing mix is approximately 96.0% houses, reflecting a shift towards compact living due to reduced development site availability and changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

With around 240 people per dwelling approval, Scoresby exhibits a developing market. AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Scoresby will gain 824 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Scoresby has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects likely impacting the region. Key projects include Scoresby Village Residential Estate, Six-Storey Aged-Care Facility, Knoxfield Industrial Estate Redevelopment, and Knox Off the Plan Developments. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Scoresby ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Scoresby has a highly educated workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 3.4% in the past year, showing an estimated employment growth of 1.3%.

As of September 2025, 3,494 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.2%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%. Workforce participation was similar to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. The dominant sectors included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with manufacturing employment at 1.4 times the regional average. Professional & technical services employed only 8.5% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%.

There were 1.8 workers per resident as of the Census, indicating Scoresby functions as an employment hub. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 1.3%, labour force by 1.0%, reducing unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0%, labour force expand by 3.3%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov-2025 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%, and employment growth was 0.14%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Scoresby's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended 30 June 2023, Scoresby had a median income among taxpayers of $49,659 and an average income of $59,918. These figures are below the national averages of $67,048 (median) and $91,898 (average). In Greater Melbourne, the median income was $57,688 and the average was $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year ended 30 June 2023, current estimates for Scoresby would be approximately $53,756 (median) and $64,861 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household income ranks at the 63rd percentile ($1,965 weekly), while personal income sits at the 41st percentile. The earnings profile shows that 34.8% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (2,280 individuals), which is similar to regional levels where 32.8% fall into this bracket. After housing costs, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Scoresby is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Scoresby's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.4% houses and 3.5% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 83.4% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Scoresby was 35.3%, similar to Melbourne metro's rate. Dwellings were either mortgaged (41.6%) or rented (23.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Scoresby was $2,023, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure for Scoresby was $406, compared to Melbourne metro's $400. Nationally, Scoresby's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Scoresby features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.7% of all households, including 42.8% couples with children, 23.5% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.3%, with lone person households at 17.4% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Scoresby exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Scoresby's educational qualifications trail Greater Melbourne's regional benchmarks. As of 2019, 31.9% of Scoresby residents aged 15+ hold university degrees compared to Greater Melbourne's 37.0%. This gap suggests potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 21.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.8%).

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 31.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (19.6%). Educational participation is notably high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the 2018 census. This includes 9.2% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Scoresby shows there are currently 52 active transport stops operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 16 individual routes providing service. The combined weekly passenger trips across these routes amount to 1,906.

Transport accessibility is rated highly, with residents on average located just 157 meters from their nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages out to 272 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 36 weekly trips per individual stop.

Scoresby's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Scoresby. Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (3,313 people), compared to 52.9% across Greater Melbourne.

Nationally, the average is 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.8 and 6.3% of residents respectively. A total of 73.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.4% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 16.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,081 people), which is lower than the 19.5% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Scoresby is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Scoresby's population has a high level of cultural diversity, with 41.5% born overseas and 39.0% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Scoresby, comprising 44.8% of its population. Notably, Buddhism is overrepresented in Scoresby at 8.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

The top three represented ancestry groups are Australian (19.4%), English (18.8%), and Chinese (14.5%). Some other ethnic groups show significant differences in representation: Sri Lankan at 2.8% (versus 1.4% regionally), Indian at 5.6% (versus 3.3%), and Korean at 0.7% (versus 0.5%).

Scoresby's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Scoresby has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than the Greater Melbourne figure of 37 and Australia's median age of 38. The 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Scoresby at 15.0%, compared to the Greater Melbourne average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 10.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 4.5% to 5.4% of the population, while the 25-34 cohort has declined from 11.4% to 10.0%. Demographic projections suggest that Scoresby's age profile will significantly change by 2041. The 45-54 age group is projected to expand by 263 people, increasing from 983 to 1,247. Conversely, both the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are projected to decrease in number.