Scoresby

An assessment of population growth drivers in Scoresby reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the suburb of Scoresby had an estimated population of 6,563 as of Feb 2026. This reflects a growth of 497 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,066. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 6,207 residents following examination of ABS' June 2024 ERP data release and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 755 persons per square kilometer, in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Scoresby's growth rate of 8.2% since the 2021 census exceeded both its SA4 region (4.9%) and SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, they utilise the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb of Scoresby is expected to grow by 1,101 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 12.3% in total over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Scoresby according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Scoresby averaged approximately 42 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 213 homes. As of FY-26, 12 approvals have been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 0.4 new residents per year was associated with each dwelling constructed. This indicates that new supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction value of these properties is $505,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment. In FY-26, commercial approvals have reached $23.7 million, indicating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Scoresby has recorded 51.0% more development activity per person. This should offer buyers ample choice, although recent periods show a moderation in development activity. New development consists of 47.0% detached dwellings and 53.0% medium and high-density housing, reflecting a shift from the current housing mix of 96.0% houses. This change may be due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

With approximately 240 people per dwelling approval, Scoresby exhibits a developing market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Scoresby is forecasted to gain around 806 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, presenting good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Scoresby has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include Scoresby Village Residential Estate, Six-Storey Aged-Care Facility, Knoxfield Industrial Estate Redevelopment, and Knox Off the Plan Developments. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Scoresby ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Scoresby has a well-educated workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 3.4% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.3%. As of September 2025, there are 3,489 residents employed, and the unemployment rate is 1.2% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 26.4% of residents work from home. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Manufacturing has particularly notable concentration with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Professional & technical employs just 8.5% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. There are 1.8 workers for every resident, indicating Scoresby functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 1.3%, labour force increased by 1.0%, and unemployment fell by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Scoresby's employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Scoresby's employment mix.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Scoresby had a median income among taxpayers of $49,659. The average income stood at $59,918. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $57,688 and $75,164 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year ending June 2023, current estimates would be approximately $53,756 (median) and $64,861 (average) as of September 2025. According to Australian Bureau of Statistics Census data from 2021, household income ranks at the 63rd percentile ($1,965 weekly), while personal income sits at the 41st percentile. The earnings profile shows that 34.8% of individuals in Scoresby earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (2,283 individuals), mirroring regional levels where 32.8% occupy this bracket. After housing costs, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Scoresby is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Scoresby's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.4% houses and 3.5% other dwellings. In contrast, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Scoresby stood at 35.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.6% and rented ones at 23.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,023, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent in Scoresby was $406, slightly above Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Scoresby's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Scoresby features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.7% of all households, including 42.8% couples with children, 23.5% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.3%, with lone person households at 17.4% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Scoresby exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Scoresby's educational qualifications trail Greater Melbourne's regional benchmarks. As of 2021, 31.9% of Scoresby residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to 37.0% in Greater Melbourne. This gap suggests potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common, held by 21.5% of residents, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.8%).

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 31.1% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (19.6%). Educational participation is notably high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the 2021 census. This includes 9.2% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Scoresby has 52 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 16 different routes that together facilitate 1,906 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these transport services is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 157 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents in this primarily residential area commute outwards, with cars being the dominant mode of transportation at 92%. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a significant 26.4% of residents work from home, a figure that may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages at 272 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 36 weekly trips per individual stop.

Scoresby's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Scoresby. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were very low across all age groups. Private health cover was found to be relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~3,318 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area were asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.8 and 6.3% of residents respectively. 73.1% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 17.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,128 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Scoresby is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Scoresby has a high cultural diversity, with 41.5% of its population born overseas and 39.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Scoresby, comprising 44.8% of its population. Buddhism is overrepresented in Scoresby compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 8.0% versus 4.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (19.4%), English (18.8%), and Chinese (14.5%), which is significantly higher than the regional average of 6.5%. Notably, Sri Lankan (2.8%) and Indian (5.6%) populations are overrepresented in Scoresby compared to regional averages of 0.8% and 4.2%, respectively. Korean population is also notably higher at 0.7% versus the regional average of 0.3%.

Scoresby's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Scoresby's median age is 40, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 37 and Australia's 38. The 45-54 cohort makes up 15.1% of Scoresby's population, compared to the Greater Melbourne average, while the 25-34 cohort is under-represented at 9.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 4.5% to 5.6%, and the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 11.4% to 9.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Scoresby's age profile. The 45-54 cohort is expected to grow by 258 people (26%), from 991 to 1,250. Conversely, the 0-4 and 35-44 cohorts are projected to decrease.