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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Chelsea Heights has an estimated 5,447 residents, up from 5,393 at the 2021 Census — a change of 54 people, or 1.0%. That puts 1,702 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census the suburb of Chelsea Heights's population is estimated at around 5,447 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 54 people (1.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,393 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 5,445, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2025) and an additional 5 validated new addresses since the Census date.
This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,702 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth of national areas is projected, with the suburb of Chelsea Heights expected to grow by 622 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting recording a gain of 11.4% in total over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
38 new dwellings have been approved in Chelsea Heights over the past five years, an average of 7 a year. That is 1.4 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 2, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis by AreaSearch of ABS building approvals, distributed from statistical records, indicates that the suburb of Chelsea Heights averages approximately 7 residential approvals annually. Over the preceding 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), 38 homes were approved, with 2 recorded during the current FY-26 period. Although the local population has contracted in recent times, construction rates remain relatively balanced, which benefits prospective purchasers, and new projects carry a mean construction cost of $679,000, indicating that building firms are focusing on high-end, premium housing. Commercial approvals total $65,000 for this financial year, pointing to a residential emphasis.
In comparison to Greater Melbourne, development activity in the suburb of Chelsea Heights is notably subdued, running 74.0% below the regional average per capita. This restricted building environment typically bolsters demand and supports valuations for established properties. The level of activity is similarly lower than national figures, reflecting the mature nature of the local market and hinting at potential zoning or land limits. Detached dwellings constitute 71.0% of new construction, while medium and high-density choices make up 29.0%, maintaining the suburban character with family-oriented spaces. With approximately 1089 residents for every single dwelling approval, the market exhibits high maturity. Demographic projections suggest the suburb of Chelsea Heights will add 620 new residents by 2041, based on the most recent quarterly estimates from AreaSearch. With the current pace of construction, housing supply may struggle to keep up with population gains, potentially intensifying competition among buyers and underpinning future price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Chelsea Heights
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 56 current infrastructure and development projects close to Chelsea Heights, worth an estimated $11 billion. 16 are already under construction and 18 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, planning choices, and major works play a major role in regional performance. AreaSearch has identified no new projects likely to affect this locality. Key developments in the broader area include The Dell by Stockland, Aspendale Gardens Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Monash Freeway Upgrade Stage 2, and Frankston Line Level Crossing Removal Program, with details provided below for those of most relevance.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
The Dell by Stockland
Large masterplanned residential community directly opposite Bonbeach Station featuring townhomes and apartments, with future retail and community amenities planned within the precinct.
Aspendale Gardens Shopping Centre Redevelopment
The proposed modernization and expansion of the Aspendale Gardens Shopping Centre aims to upgrade the existing Ritchies Supa IGA and approximately 17 specialty stores. The plan includes the potential development of a top floor of approximately 3700 square metres to accommodate additional retail or commercial space. Current efforts focus on leasing and tenant management as the project navigates the planning phase, following historical community debate regarding proximity to local gambling venues.
The Strand Aspendale
Luxury beachfront residential development featuring 18 exclusive apartments with direct beach access and premium coastal living amenities.
Rossdale Golf Course Redevelopment Aspendale
Proposed rezoning and redevelopment of the 43.5-hectare Rossdale Golf Course into a mixed-use residential community, which would fund the relocation of the financially non-viable golf club. The plan proposes approximately 30% public open space, new wetlands, and integrated walking/cycling paths, with around 700 to 1000 dwellings (mix of homes, townhouses, and low-scale apartments). The proposal is under review by the Victorian Government's Priority Projects Standing Advisory Committee.
Mordi Aquatic Centre
The Mordi Aquatic Centre is an $87 million state-of-the-art facility featuring a 50m indoor multi-purpose lap pool, learn-to-swim pool, warm water exercise pool, and leisure pool with a splash park. It includes wellness amenities such as a spa, sauna, and steam room, alongside a gymnasium, fitness areas, and a cafe. Designed for sustainability, it targets a 6 Star Green Star rating with an all-electric design. Construction is currently on track for completion in late 2026, with roofing complete and internal fit-outs underway.
Aspendale Beachside Structure Plan
A long-term strategic framework by the City of Kingston to manage land use, housing density, and infrastructure along the Aspendale foreshore. The plan focuses on revitalising the activity centre, improving pedestrian connectivity to the beach, and integrating with the concurrent Level Crossing Removal Project at Station Street. It aims to balance increased housing diversity with the preservation of coastal character.
Keysborough Gardens Primary School Upgrade and Modernisation
The original upgrade and modernisation project has substantially completed, expanding the school by capacity for around 150 additional students with new learning spaces, Indigenous Friendship Garden, playground, sports facilities, canteen and car park upgrades. A further Stage 2 project is now under construction following 2026-27 State Budget funding of $8.064 million to deliver a new library, science and technology facilities and a synthetic turf oval, with completion forecast for Q1 2029.
Bondi Road, Bonbeach Level Crossing Removal
Completed Victorian Government Level Crossing Removal Project works at Bonbeach removed the Bondi Road level crossing by lowering the Frankston line into a rail trench and rebuilding the road at surface level. The project also delivered the new Bonbeach Station, improved walking and cycling connections, upgraded accessibility, bike facilities, lighting, landscaping, and station precinct improvements as part of the Edithvale, Chelsea and Bonbeach package.
2,850 residents of Chelsea Heights are employed, from a labour force of 3,032. Unemployment sits at 6.0%, with participation at 68.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 4,816, about 88% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The suburb of Chelsea Heights possesses a skilled labour pool, particularly within the building and construction sector, along with a 6.0% unemployment rate and an estimated annual job growth rate of 1.3%, according to aggregated statistical reports. In March 2026, working residents numbered 2,850, while the local jobless rate stood 1.2% higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 4.8%. Workforce participation levels are largely aligned with the Greater Melbourne benchmark of 70.2%. Census data reveals that a substantial 28.2% of locals performed their duties from home, though this figure reflects the impact of pandemic-era restrictions.
The primary employment sectors for local residents are healthcare and social assistance, building construction, and manufacturing. The manufacturing sector shows a particularly high concentration, employing workers at 1.6 times the metropolitan average. Conversely, professional and technical services are underrepresented, accounting for 6.3% of the workforce compared to the broader regional benchmark of 10.1%. The area is predominantly residential and appears to offer few local employment opportunities based on the discrepancy between the working population count and the total number of employed residents. Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, aggregated from broader statistical areas, during the year to March 2026, employment levels increased by 1.3% and labour force decreased by 0.3%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 1.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within the suburb of Chelsea Heights. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to the suburb of Chelsea Heights's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Chelsea Heights is $1,867 a week (about $97,000 a year), with median personal income at $805 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $53,213 a year against an average of $64,351. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The suburb of Chelsea Heights has median and average incomes below national benchmarks, sitting at $53,213 and $64,351 respectively according to ATO data from the financial year 2023. These numbers compare to a median of $57,688 and an average of $75,164 across Greater Melbourne. Accounting for a 9.62% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, estimates for March 2026 rise to approximately $58,332 for the median and $70,542 for the average. Census data from 2021 indicates that individual, family, and household earnings sit around the 53rd percentile nationally.
The most common weekly earnings bracket is $1,500 - 2,999, representing 33.5% of the community (1,824 residents), which is comparable to the regional rate of 32.8%. After housing expenses are met, 85.6% of income is available for other purchases, and the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 6th decile for economic resources.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Chelsea Heights had 1,987 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 79% detached houses and 8% apartments. 46% are owned with a mortgage, 13% rented and 40% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $412 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,001 a month. Rent absorbs 22.1% of household income here and mortgage repayments 24.7%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the last Census, the housing mix in the suburb of Chelsea Heights consists of 79.0% separate houses and 21.0% alternative options like townhouses and apartments, compared to metropolitan Melbourne where houses make up 67.9% and other structures account for 32.1%. Home ownership rates are high at 40.4%, with mortgaged properties standing at 46.3% and rental properties making up 13.3%. The median monthly mortgage cost of $2,001 is slightly higher than the metropolitan Melbourne median of $2,000, and weekly median rent is $412 compared to the city-wide median of $390.
Locally, mortgage obligations exceed the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents sit above the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Chelsea Heights counted 1,987 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.6 people each. 40% are couples with children, more than in 78% of areas nationally, against 23% couples without children. 23% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 74.8% of local households, consisting of couples with children at 39.5%, couples without children at 23.2%, and single-parent homes at 11.4%. Single-person households comprise 23.4% of the community, while group living arrangements represent 1.6%, bringing total non-family households to 25.2%. The median household size of 2.6 people is identical to the average across Greater Melbourne.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
24.7% of adults in Chelsea Heights hold a university qualification, including 16.9% with a bachelor degree and 5.2% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 24.1% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 406 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,050 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment presents room for improvement, as university graduation rates stand at 24.7%, which is considerably lower than the SA4 average of 46.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common tertiary credential at 16.9%, with postgraduate degrees at 5.2% and graduate diplomas at 2.6%. Vocational and practical training is well-represented, with 36.2% of residents aged 15 and over holding trade certifications, including advanced diplomas at 12.1% and certificates at 24.1%. A high portion of the community is engaged in learning, with 28.9% of residents enrolled in an educational institution. This group includes 10.3% attending primary school, 7.7% in secondary school, and 4.0% enrolled in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Chelsea Heights reaches 41 stops on 7 routes, timetabled for about 840 services a week. The typical home sits about 150 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport infrastructure consists of 41 active stops in the suburb of Chelsea Heights, offering bus services. These stops support 7 different routes that generate 841 weekly passenger journeys. Commuters are situated an average of 153 meters from their nearest transit stop, indicating excellent transit accessibility. As a residential suburb, most workers travel out of the area for employment, and cars remain the primary transport mode at 92%. Dwellings average 1.5 vehicles, which is above the metropolitan average. A high 28.2% of residents work from home, based on 2021 Census data, which may reflect the pandemic conditions of the time.
Bus routes average 120 daily services, which translates to roughly 20 weekly trips for each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.8% of residents in Chelsea Heights report no long-term health condition. 5.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 52.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.6 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators for the local population are generally positive. AreaSearch mortality and illness analysis reveals that outcomes align closely with national averages, with most common health issues showing low frequency in the general community, though higher rates are seen among senior, vulnerable groups. Approximately 52% of the population (~2,848 people) hold private health insurance, slightly above the SA2 average, compared to 56.7% across the Greater Melbourne area. Asthma and arthritis are the most prevalent chronic conditions locally, affecting 8.6% and 7.8% of the population respectively. Meanwhile, 68.8% of residents report having no long-term health conditions, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne.
Health profiles for working-age residents are typical. Those aged 65 and older make up 20.1% of the community (1,094 people), which is higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 15.0%, though this older cohort ranks lower on a national comparison than the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
26.1% of Chelsea Heights residents were born overseas and 17.2% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (25.5%) and Australian (25.2%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in the suburb of Chelsea Heights exceeds that of most local markets, with 26.1% of residents born outside Australia and 17.2% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 48.5% of the population. A small but notable religious group is Judaism, representing 0.3% of the community compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 1.0%. Regarding parental ancestry, the three largest groups are English at 25.5% (above the regional average of 20.1%), Australian at 25.2% (above the regional average of 18.4%), and Other at 8.4% (below the regional average of 14.6%).
Other distinct ethnic groups include Russian at 0.9% (compared to 0.4% regionally), Sri Lankan at 1.2% (compared to 0.8% regionally), and Hungarian at 0.4% (compared to 0.3% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Chelsea Heights is 40. 20.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 40 in the suburb of Chelsea Heights is slightly higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and the national average of 38. The 75 - 84 age cohort is overrepresented locally at 8.2%, while the 25 - 34 cohort is underrepresented at 8.3%. Since 2021, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 has risen from 6.3% to 8.2%, and those aged 15 to 24 grew from 10.9% to 12.1%, while the 25 to 34 age bracket fell from 9.9% to 8.3%. Future models indicate significant shifts by 2041, with the 85+ cohort projected to expand by 166 people (117%) from 141 to 308.
Combined senior groups aged 65 and over are expected to make up 56% of total population growth, highlighting the aging demographic trend, while child groups aged 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 are expected to experience population declines.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Chelsea Heights
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 5 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (5,393 at the 2021 Census → 5,447 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20538). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.