Flinders

Population growth drivers in Flinders are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Flinders's population is 6,084 as of Nov 2025. This shows an increase of 89 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,995. The change is inferred from the ABS estimate of 6,065 in June 2024 and 8 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 21 persons per square kilometer. Flinders's 1.5% growth since census compares to the SA3 area's 3.7%, demonstrating competitive fundamentals. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, Flinders is expected to grow by 412 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 6.5% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Flinders recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Flinders has seen approximately 38 new homes approved each year. Between fiscal years FY-21 and FY-25, around 193 homes were approved, with an additional 18 approved so far in FY-26. Over these five financial years, the average number of new residents per new home was about one, indicating that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand.

The average construction cost value of these new homes was $1,553,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment. This year alone, around $28.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. Comparatively, Flinders has seen slightly more development than Greater Melbourne, with 24.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years.

This has preserved reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. All new construction during this period comprised detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character and focusing on family homes. The latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate indicates that Flinders is expected to gain approximately 393 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling population growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Flinders has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 43rdth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 36 projects that could impact the area. Notable ones are Rosebud Hospital Advocacy Campaign, Jetty Road Overpass (Cancelled), Rosebud Foreshore Redevelopment, and Rosebud Plaza Shopping Centre Redevelopment. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Flinders performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Flinders has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 0.8% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.6%. As of September 2025, 3133 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 3.9%, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation was lower at 59.2% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. Census responses indicated that 40.7% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment among residents were construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. The area had a significant specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share 11.4 times the regional level.

However, transport, postal & warehousing was under-represented at 1.8% compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. Many residents appeared to commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.6%, labour force grew by 2.4%, resulting in a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points in unemployment. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0% with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment could expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Flinders' employment mix indicates a potential local employment increase of 6.5% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The Flinders SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $52,589 and an average of $116,293 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This places it among the top percentile nationally, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $56,928 (median) and $125,887 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Flinders, between the 77th and 78th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 28.3% of the community earn between $1,500 - 2,999 (1,721 individuals), mirroring the metropolitan region where 32.8% occupy this bracket. Economic strength emerges through 36.8% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 91.0% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Flinders is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Flinders, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.7% houses and 1.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Flinders stood at 59.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.6% and rented ones at 11.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,244, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Flinders was $424, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Flinders' mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Flinders has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.0% of all households, including 27.3% couples with children, 41.4% couples without children, and 6.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.0%, with lone person households at 22.9% and group households comprising 1.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Flinders exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In Flinders, 42.6% of residents aged 15 and above have university qualifications, exceeding the SA4 region's 23.5% and the SA3 area's 25%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 28.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.2%) and graduate diplomas (4.1%). Vocational credentials are held by 28.8% of residents, with advanced diplomas at 12.8% and certificates at 16%. Educational participation is high, with 25.1% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (8.4%), secondary (8.1%), and tertiary (4.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 25.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Flinders has 12 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by one route in total, offering 40 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport access is rated as limited, with residents living an average of 2381 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards daily, primarily using cars (90%), while 8% walk. On average, there are 2.0 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 40.7% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 5 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 3 weekly trips per individual stop.

Flinders's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Flinders' health outcomes show exceptional results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 78% of Flinders' total population (4,775 people) have private health cover, compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 9.9% and 7.2% of residents respectively. Notably, 67.3% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 38.6% (2,349 people), compared to 14.9% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Flinders is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Flinders' population is predominantly Australian-born, with 84.4% born there, and 89.4% being citizens. English is the primary language spoken at home by 96.7%. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 40.5%.

However, Judaism is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 0.6% versus 1.0%. In terms of ancestry, English (36.1%), Australian (24.5%), and Scottish (11.1%) are the top groups, each higher than regional averages. Notably, Irish (10.8%), French (0.6%), and Dutch (1.4%) groups are also overrepresented compared to regional figures.

Flinders ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Flinders is 56, which exceeds Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and is also higher than the national average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group comprises 20.9% of Flinders' population, compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 cohort makes up only 4.9%. This concentration in the 65-74 age group is significantly higher than the national average of 9.4%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 9.6% to 13.6%, and the 85+ cohort has increased from 2.8% to 4.0%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 13.2% to 11.0%, and the 55-64 group has dropped from 20.0% to 18.5%. Demographic projections suggest that Flinders' age profile will undergo significant changes by 2041, with the 75-84 age cohort expected to grow by 396 people (48%), from 829 to 1,226. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 96% of total population growth, reflecting Flinders' aging demographic profile. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 15-24 cohorts.