Flinders

Population growth drivers in Flinders are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Flinders' population, as of November 2025, is approximately 6,074 people. This figure represents an increase of 79 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 5,995. The change is inferred from ABS estimates: 6,065 residents in June 2024 and eight additional validated addresses after the Census date. This results in a population density of 21 persons per square kilometer. Flinders' growth rate since the census, at 1.3%, is within one percentage point of its SA3 area's growth (2.3%), indicating competitive fundamentals. Overseas migration was the primary driver of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For uncovered areas, it employs Victorian State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these trends, Flinders is projected to grow by approximately 412 persons by 2041, a gain of around 6.6% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Flinders recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Flinders has seen approximately 38 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 193 homes were approved, with an additional 12 approved so far in FY26. On average, about one new resident per year arrives for each new home over these five years, indicating that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand.

The average construction value of these new homes is $1,553,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment. In FY26, approximately $28.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Flinders has seen around 24.0% more development per person over the past five years, preserving reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand.

All new construction in Flinders consists of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location currently has approximately 202 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Population forecasts suggest Flinders will gain around 403 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Flinders has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

The performance of an area can be significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 34 such projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable among these are the Rosebud Hospital Advocacy Campaign, Jetty Road Overpass (cancelled), Rosebud Foreshore Redevelopment, and Rosebud Plaza Shopping Centre Redevelopment. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Flinders performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Flinders has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 0.9%, and it experienced an estimated employment growth of 4.1% over the past year as of June 2025.

In this month, 3,131 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 3.7% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. The workforce participation rate in Flinders is significantly lower at 54.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries employing residents are construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. The area has a particular employment specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share 11.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented at 1.8% of Flinders's workforce compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. Employment opportunities exist locally, but many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.1%, labour force by 4.4%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5% and unemployment rose by 0.5 percentage points over the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May 2025, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Flinders's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.5%% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Flinders' median taxpayer income was $51,484 with an average of $119,206 according to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. This places Flinders in the top percentile nationally, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761. Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $57,744 (median) and $133,701 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes all rank highly in Flinders, between the 78th and 79th percentiles nationally. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 captures 28.3% of Flinders' community (1,718 individuals), similar to the metropolitan region where 32.8% fall into this bracket. Economic strength is evident with 36.8% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 91.0% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Flinders is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Flinders, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.7% houses and 1.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Melbourne metro's 85.5% houses and 14.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Flinders was at 59.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.6% and rented ones at 11.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,244, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,989. The median weekly rent figure in Flinders was recorded at $424, compared to Melbourne metro's $380. Nationally, Flinders' mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Flinders has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households comprise 76.0% of all households, including 27.3% couples with children, 41.4% couples without children, and 6.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 24.0%, with lone person households at 22.9% and group households comprising 1.3%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which matches the Greater Melbourne average.

The educational profile of Flinders exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Flinders is notably high. As of the latest data, 42.6% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 23.5% in the broader SA4 region and 25.0% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.2%) and graduate diplomas (4.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.8% and certificates for 16.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 25.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 4.0% in tertiary education. The area has two primary schools, Red Hill Consolidated School and Boneo Primary School, serving a total of 882 students. These schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 1056.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Flinders has 12 active public transport stops. All are bus stops. They are served by one route in total, offering 48 weekly passenger trips combined.

Transport access is limited, with residents usually 2381 meters from the nearest stop. Services average 6 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 4 weekly trips per individual stop.

Flinders's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows relatively positive outcomes for Flinders residents with common health conditions evenly distributed across both young and old age cohorts. Approximately 80% of Flinders' total population (4,853 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 57.9%. Nationally, the average is 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 9.9 and 7.2% of residents respectively. 67.3% of Flinders' residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 63.9%. As of 2021, 38.6% of Flinders' residents are aged 65 and over (2,345 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 29.9%. Health outcomes among seniors in Flinders are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Flinders is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Flinders' population shows lower cultural diversity, with 84.4% born in Australia, 89.4% being citizens, and 96.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 40.5%. Judaism is overrepresented, making up 0.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 0.2%.

Top ancestry groups are English (36.1%), Australian (24.5%), and Scottish (11.1%). Irish (10.8%) and French (0.6%) are notably overrepresented, while Dutch (1.4%) is underrepresented compared to regional averages.

Flinders ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Flinders has a median age of 56, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and the national average of 38. The 65-74 age group makes up 20.9% of Flinders' population, compared to Greater Melbourne's percentage and well above the national 9.4%. The 25-34 cohort is less prevalent in Flinders at 4.9%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 9.6% to 13.6%, while the 85+ cohort increased from 2.8% to 4.0%. Meanwhile, the 45-54 cohort declined from 13.2% to 11.0%, and the 55-64 group dropped from 20.0% to 18.5%. Demographic modeling indicates that Flinders' age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 397 people (48%), from 828 to 1,226. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 96% of total population growth, reflecting Flinders' aging demographic profile. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 15-24 cohorts.