Padbury

An assessment of population growth drivers in Padbury reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Padbury's population is estimated at around 9,526, reflecting an increase of 900 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 10.4% increase from the previous figure of 8,626. AreaSearch validated this estimate following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 31 new addresses since the Census date. The population density is calculated at 1,587 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Padbury's growth rate exceeded that of the SA3 area (8.9%) and the national average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch uses growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, an above median population growth is projected for Padbury, with an expected increase of 1,382 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 14.4% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Padbury when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Padbury shows an average of around 39 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 196 homes. As of FY26, nine approvals have been recorded. This translates to an estimated 4.4 new residents arriving annually per dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25. The supply of new dwellings is substantially lagging demand, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

The average construction value for new homes in Padbury is $401,000, aligning with broader regional development trends. Additionally, $1.2 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Perth, Padbury has slightly more development activity, with 38.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years.

However, building activity has slowed in recent years. Recent construction comprises 93.0% standalone homes and 7.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 436 people per dwelling approval, Padbury indicates a developed market. Future projections estimate Padbury to add approximately 1,375 residents by 2041 based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Construction is maintaining a reasonable pace with projected growth, although buyers may encounter growing competition as population increases.

Padbury has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

Area infrastructure performance is significantly influenced by changes to local projects and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified nine such projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Regents Garden Padbury Residential Aged Care Facility, Harbour Rise Masterplanned Community (final stages), Chichester Park Skate Facility, and Whitfords Activity Centre Precinct (West) Redevelopment. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Padbury demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Padbury has a well-educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.9%, lower than the Greater Perth average of 3.9%.

Over the past year, employment growth was estimated at 4.2%. As of June 2025, 5,316 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Greater Perth's rate and workforce participation at 68.9%, similar to Greater Perth's 65.2%. The leading employment industries in Padbury are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Notably, construction employs 1.5 times the regional average.

However, retail trade employs only 7.4% of local workers, below Greater Perth's 9.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment in Padbury increased by 4.2%, while labour force grew by 4.0%, leading to a decrease in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth saw employment rise by 3.7% and unemployment increase by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Padbury's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 2022 shows Padbury has high incomes nationally with median at $58,714 and average at $78,500. Greater Perth's median income was $58,380 and average was $78,020 in the same period. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $67,051 (median) and $89,647 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% since June 2022. The 2021 Census data indicates Padbury's household, family and personal incomes are at the 69th percentile nationally. Income brackets show 33.7% of residents earn between $1,500 - 2,999 (3,210 individuals), similar to broader area trends at 32.0%. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income and strong earnings rank residents in the 72nd percentile for disposable income. Padbury's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Padbury is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Padbury, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.3% houses and 7.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Perth metro's 88.7% houses and 11.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Padbury was at 32.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.4% and rented ones at 16.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,000, below Perth metro's average of $2,080. The median weekly rent figure in Padbury was recorded at $390, compared to Perth metro's $400. Nationally, Padbury's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Padbury features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.3% of all households, including 35.8% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for 22.7%, consisting of 20.2% lone person households and 2.4% group households. The median household size is 2.6 people, lower than the Greater Perth average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Padbury exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Tertiary education reaches 28.8% of residents aged 15+ in Padbury. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 4.9% and graduate diplomas at 3.3%. Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 39.0% of residents holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 12.4% and certificates at 26.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.2% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education. There are 8 schools operating within Padbury educating approximately 1,649 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1046) with balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with 7 primary schools and 1 secondary school serving distinct age groups. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of Padbury's public transport system shows 52 operational stops, all serving buses. Nine different routes cover these stops, collectively offering 1,817 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent accessibility, with an average distance of 197 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 259 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Padbury is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Padbury exhibits superior health outcomes, with both younger and older age groups experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions.

Approximately 58% of Padbury's total population (5,559 people) has private health cover, a rate notably higher than average. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 7.4 and 7.3% of residents respectively. Conversely, 71.9% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Perth's 71.5%. Padbury has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 17.1% (1,628 people), compared to Greater Perth's 20.1%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Padbury are above average, mirroring the general population's health profile.

Padbury was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Padbury was found to have a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 11.2% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 32.8% born overseas. The predominant religion in Padbury is Christianity, which accounts for 43.5% of the population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented in Padbury, comprising 0.1% compared to the same percentage across Greater Perth.

Regarding ancestry, the top three groups are English at 31.8%, Australian at 24.3%, and Irish at 9.2%. Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Welsh are notably more represented in Padbury at 0.9% (versus 1.1% regionally), South African at 0.9% (versus 1.8%), and New Zealand at 1.0% (versus 0.9%).

Padbury's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Padbury is close to Greater Perth's average of 37 years, matching the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Perth, Padbury has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (17.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.3%). Between the 2016 and 2021 Census, the population aged 75-84 increased from 4.5% to 5.9%, while those aged 35-44 rose from 16.3% to 17.5%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 decreased from 13.1% to 11.3%, and those aged 55-64 dropped from 11.2% to 9.5%. By 2041, Padbury's age composition is expected to change significantly. The population aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 79%, reaching 1,007 people from the previous total of 562. Meanwhile, both the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are expected to decrease in number.