Chart Color Schemes
This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
Find a Recent Sale
Sales Detail
Duncraig has an estimated 17,649 residents, up from 15,982 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,667 people, or 10.4%. Growth has averaged 1.5% a year over five years. Overseas migration accounts for 84.0% of that increase. That puts 2,307 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research conducted by AreaSearch, Duncraig has an estimated population of 17,649 as of Aug 2026. This represents an addition of 1,667 people (10.4%) compared to the 15,982 people recorded during the 2021 Census. Such growth is determined using ABS figures indicating an estimated resident population of 17,630 as of June 2025 alongside 74 validated new addresses added after the Census date. Consequently, the local density stands at 2,307 persons per square kilometer, tracking higher than the nationwide benchmark identified by AreaSearch. Furthermore, the 10.4% post-2021 census population gain outpaced the national average (9.5%), establishing the locality as a notable regional growth performer.
Overseas migration served as the primary growth catalyst, generating roughly 84.0% of recent population additions, with interstate movements and natural growth also contributing positively. Projections published by ABS/Geoscience Australia in 2024 (using 2022 as a baseline) are applied by AreaSearch across SA2 locations. For non-covered areas or projections extended past 2032, figures rely on age-cohort expansion rates from the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (published in 2023, based on 2022 data). Long-term projections indicate that population expansion will track slightly below the national statistical area median, gaining 1,843 persons to 2041 relative to recent annual ERP data, which translates to a total rise of 10.3% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
181 new dwellings have been approved in Duncraig over the past five years, an average of 36 a year. That places the area in the 60th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 2 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 36 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 83% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential building approvals across Duncraig have maintained a pace of roughly 36 new homes per annum, accumulating to 181 homes across the past 5 financial years. Over these 5 financial years (from FY-22 to FY-26), the ratio of 7 new residents per year per completed home indicates that incoming demand clearly outstrips new residential delivery, exerting upward pressure on property values and intensifying buyer interest. Residential builds demonstrate a focus on quality, with an average construction value of $479,000 that sits above regional benchmarks. Concurrently, commercial building approvals of $7.7 million logged in the current financial year point to minimal commercial construction.
On a per-person metric, residential development in Duncraig tracks 17.0% below Greater Perth and sits within the 29th percentile nationwide, creating tighter inventory conditions and reinforcing demand for established dwellings. Construction volume also remains under the nationwide benchmark, reflecting planning constraints typical of an established community. Standalone houses account for 83.0% of recent residential building permits, while 17.0% comprise townhouses or apartments, preserving the neighborhood's suburban appeal for space-seeking families. A density of roughly 537 people per approval underscores the mature character of the suburb. Projections from the latest quarterly AreaSearch figures indicate that Duncraig will welcome 1,824 residents through to 2041. Should current construction volumes persist, housing supply could struggle to match community expansion, thereby amplifying buyer competition and providing ongoing support for property prices.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Duncraig
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Duncraig, worth an estimated $85 million. A further 69 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $6.31 billion. 20 are already under construction and 37 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Area performance is heavily influenced by major infrastructure developments and strategic planning projects. AreaSearch has highlighted 14 key initiatives positioned to shape the locality, most notably the Glengarry Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Duncraig Adventure Hub, 57 Marri Road Aged and Dependent Persons Dwellings, and the Duncraig Senior High School Redevelopment.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Glengarry Shopping Centre Redevelopment
Redevelopment of the nearly 50-year-old Glengarry Shopping Centre into a modern retail and commercial precinct. The project includes a 3,843sqm full-line Woolworths supermarket, a smaller 825sqm supermarket, 539sqm of specialty retail tenancies, a 346sqm restaurant/cafe, and 774sqm of office space. The development features 284 parking bays, including 209 basement bays and six direct-to-boot bays, aimed at revitalizing the underutilised local hub.
Glengarry Shopping Centre Redevelopment
Comprehensive redevelopment of the Glengarry Shopping Centre into a modern retail and commercial precinct featuring a 3,843 sqm full-line Woolworths supermarket, specialty retail tenancies, cafe space, upper-level commercial suites, and integrated parking facilities.
Duncraig Adventure Hub
Construction of a dedicated youth adventure and recreation precinct at Percy Doyle Reserve. The project delivers a new skate park, bouldering climbing wall, pump track elements, parkour infrastructure, and surrounding public realm amenities to activate the local precinct for youth.
57 Marri Road Aged and Dependent Persons Dwellings
Development of 14 two-bedroom, two-bathroom dwellings for aged and dependent persons on a vacant site in Duncraig, designed for universal access and meeting Special Disability Accommodation standards.
Duncraig Adventure Hub
New $9 million adventure hub at Percy Doyle Reserve featuring skate park, bike track, multipurpose court, play space, barbecues, shaded hangout zones, toilets, CCTV and lighting. Over 2,700 native plants and 60 trees will be planted. Opening Autumn 2025.
Regents Garden Padbury Residential Aged Care Facility
Regents Garden Padbury is a luxury residential aged care resort community developed by Regents Garden Group at 50 Gibson Avenue in Padbury. The development delivers 110 private residential aged care suites, dementia care wings, dining halls, resident lounges, a cinema, a wellness spa, and landscaped internal courtyards. Construction works are actively progressing on-site.
Duncraig Senior High School Redevelopment
A $52.8 million major redevelopment of Duncraig Senior High School. The project includes a new two-storey science hub with 12 laboratories, a two-storey English block with 16 classrooms, a refurbished administration building, a new performing arts centre, and upgraded sports facilities. The upgrades will increase the school's capacity from 1,300 to 1,850 students.
Ora Sorrento
Boutique collection of 73 luxury beachfront residences featuring one, two, and three-bedroom apartments plus exclusive three and four-bedroom penthouses across eight storeys. Designed by award-winning MJA Studio with interiors by Aspect Studio, the development embraces 'barefoot luxury' with resort-style amenities including heated ocean-view pool, gym, sauna, steam room, residents' lounge, wine cellar, putting green and bocce court. Ground floor features hospitality precinct and public plaza.
9,619 residents of Duncraig are employed, from a labour force of 9,787. Unemployment sits at 1.7%, with participation at 69.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 14,640, about 83% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
A highly qualified talent pool defines Duncraig, highlighted by a notable concentration of professional services workers, a low unemployment rate of 1.7%, and an annual employment expansion rate of 3.8%. Total employed residents reached 9,619 as of March 2026, while the jobless rate was 2.5% below Greater Perth's 4.2%. Labour force participation aligned closely with the wider metropolitan level of 69.9%. Census records indicate that 12.4% of workers operated from home, a metric subject to the effects of Covid-19 lockdown restrictions. Resident employment centers primarily on health care & social assistance, education & training, along with professional & technical services.
In the professional & technical sector, local participation is particularly pronounced, registering at 1.5 times the regional level. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing represents a modest 2.4% share compared to 4.7% regionally. A comparison between the resident population and the Census working population indicates that local business employment opportunities within this largely residential suburb remain constrained. AreaSearch evaluations of ABS and SALM figures show that for the 12 months to March 2026, the local workforce and overall employment each expanded by 3.8%, maintaining steady unemployment. In contrast, Greater Perth experienced a 2.0% increase in employment, a 2.5% rise in the labour pool, and an uptick of 0.4 percentage points in unemployment. National outlooks from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide additional context on future labor needs. Projected across local employment distributions, these nationwide forecasts anticipate broader job market growth of 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, albeit with wide variance across individual sectors. Applying these industry rates to Duncraig points to projected employment growth of 6.7% across five years and 13.8% across ten years (representing an illustrative weighting model that does not incorporate localized population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Duncraig is $2,394 a week (about $124,000 a year), with median personal income at $951 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $64,608 a year against an average of $86,224. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Aggregated postcode data from the ATO released for financial year 2023 shows that the Duncraig SA2 recorded a median taxpayer income of $64,608 and an average of $86,224. These earnings are elevated compared to national benchmarks, as well as Greater Perth counterparts of $60,748 (median) and $80,248 (average). Adjusting for a 10.93% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023 brings estimated earnings to $71,670 (median) and $95,648 (average) as of March 2026. Across household, family, and individual brackets, Census earnings place Duncraig between the 73rd and 87th percentiles nationwide.
The $1,500 - 2,999 weekly bracket accounts for 27.3% of individuals (4,818 individuals), which mirrors the 32.0% share seen across the surrounding region. Affluence is further illustrated by the 40.0% of households earning more than $3,000 weekly, driving elevated household expenditure. Residents retain 88.0% of their earnings after servicing housing obligations, aligning with an area SEIFA income placement in the 9th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Duncraig had 5,543 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 2% apartments. 46% are owned with a mortgage, 12% rented and 42% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $460 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,208 a month. Rent absorbs 19.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 21.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census assessments show that standalone houses form 91.9% of Duncraig's housing stock, while 8.1% comprises townhouses, flats, and other configurations, contrasting with Perth metro proportions of 77.8% and 22.1% respectively. Outright home ownership is notably pronounced at 42.2%, outperforming the metropolitan rate, with mortgaged properties making up 45.5% and tenanted homes representing 12.3%. The median monthly mortgage payment was recorded at $2,208, substantially exceeding the Perth metro median of $1,907 and the Australian average of $1,863. Median weekly rent stands at $460, notably higher than both the Perth metro benchmark of $350 and the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Duncraig counted 5,543 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 6,121 today, averaging 2.8 people each. 43% are couples with children, more than in 86% of areas nationally, against 28% couples without children. 17% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 81.8% of local households, consisting of 43.4% couples with children, 28.4% couples without children, and 9.3% single parent families. The remaining 18.2% comprises non-family residences, where single-person homes make up 16.6% and shared group households represent 1.7%. Typical household occupancy is 2.8 people, higher than the Greater Perth benchmark of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
37.7% of adults in Duncraig hold a university qualification, including 25.4% with a bachelor degree and 7.9% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 88% of areas nationally. A further 19.5% hold a vocational qualification. 7 schools serve the area, with 5,961 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,096 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment in the district is elevated, with 37.7% of residents aged 15+ holding tertiary degrees, outperforming both the WA average of 27.9% and the SA4 region rate of 29.0%. Bachelor degrees represent 25.4%, with postgraduate qualifications accounting for 7.9% and graduate diplomas comprising 4.4%. Technical and trade credentials are also common, held by 31.8% of residents aged 15+, consisting of advanced diplomas (12.3%) and certificates (19.5%). A significant 30.4% of the population is actively engaged in formal learning. Within this cohort, primary schooling accounts for 11.3%, secondary education encompasses 10.2%, and tertiary studies represent 4.5%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Duncraig reaches 95 stops on 6 routes, timetabled for about 1,300 services a week. The typical home sits about 200 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit across Duncraig is supported by 95 active stops serviced by buses. A network of 6 transit routes supplies 1,256 weekly passenger journeys, providing good local access with homes situated an average of 203 meters from the nearest stop. Given the suburb's residential focus, outward travel is common, with private cars serving as the primary transport mode for 76% of commuters and rail capturing 16%. Households maintain an above-average vehicle density of 1.7 cars per dwelling. Census data from 2021 indicates that 12.4% worked from home, a figure influenced by prevailing COVID-19 settings.
Public transport operations provide an average frequency of 179 daily trips across the transit network, translating to roughly 13 departures per stop each week.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
72.0% of residents in Duncraig report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 88% of areas nationally. 4.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 62.0% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Evaluations by AreaSearch regarding chronic condition prevalence and mortality show exceptional health indicators in Duncraig, with low rates of common health ailments recorded across every demographic band. Approximately 62% of the local population (10,942 people) maintains private health insurance, surpassing the Greater Perth level of 59.0% and the national figure of 55.7%. Among reported chronic health issues, arthritis affects 7.4% and asthma affects 7.0% of the community. In total, 72.0% of residents reported having no medical conditions, tracking slightly ahead of the 71.9% share recorded across Greater Perth. Adults of working age display robust health profiles with minimal illness.
Seniors aged 65 and over constitute 20.8% of residents (3,663 people), exceeding the Greater Perth benchmark of 15.9%, with elderly cohorts registering strong wellness outcomes aligned with the broader community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
33.7% of Duncraig residents were born overseas and 11.1% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.6%) and Australian (23.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Duncraig is more pronounced than in most localized markets, with 33.7% of the populace born overseas and 11.1% using a non-English language at home. Christianity is the predominant religious faith, representing 48.4% of residents. Meanwhile, Judaism shows a notable divergence, accounting for 0.1% of residents locally compared to 0.3% across Greater Perth. In terms of parental birth heritage, English ancestry leads at 31.6%, followed by Australian background at 23.4% and Irish roots at 8.4%. Several other cultural groups show distinct local concentrations, including Welsh ancestry at 1.1% (compared to 0.7% regionally), South Australian ancestry at 1.8% (against 1.0%), and Dutch heritage at 1.8% (versus 1.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Duncraig is 42. 21.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Duncraig maintains an older demographic profile relative to Greater Perth. Updated figures to August 2026 indicate that residents aged 65+ account for 20.8% of the community, whereas Greater Perth records 15.9%. Conversely, adults aged 25 - 44 make up 21.2%, noticeably lower than the metropolitan share of 30.9%. The median age remains steady at an estimated 42, matching the 2021 Census figure and sitting 5 years higher than the Greater Perth median of 37 at the Census. Since that time, the proportion of youth aged 0 - 24 has shifted from 32.3% to an estimated 33.9%.
Forecasts to 2041 indicate that older demographics will drive future additions, increasing by 1,401 residents (38%) to a total of 5,065, whereas the 25 - 44 and 0 - 24 age groups are expected to experience population declines.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Duncraig
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 last month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 last month all 6 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 74 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (15,982 at the 2021 Census → 17,649 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (505011072). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.