Padbury
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Padbury reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Padbury's population, as of August 2025, is approximately 9,526. This figure represents a growth of 900 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 8,626. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 9,519 in June 2024 and an additional 31 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,579 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Padbury's growth rate of 10.4% since the 2021 census surpassed both the national average (8.6%) and the SA3 area average, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 51.5% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and estimates post-2032, AreaSearch employs growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Based on current demographic trends, Padbury is projected to experience above median population growth. By 2041, the area's population is expected to increase by 1,382 persons, marking a total rise of 14.4% over the seventeen-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Padbury when compared nationally

Padbury has recorded approximately 39 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 196 homes. In FY26 so far, 7 approvals have been recorded. On average, 4.4 people move to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating significant demand exceeding supply. New properties are constructed at an average cost of $401,000, aligning with regional trends.

This year has seen $1.2 million in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Perth, Padbury shows moderately higher new home approvals, 38.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. The area maintains a traditional suburban character with 95.0% detached houses and 5.0% townhouses or apartments.

It has approximately 494 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. Future projections estimate Padbury will add 1,375 residents by 2041. Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, though buyer competition may intensify as the population grows.

Padbury has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 40thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects likely to affect the region. Notable initiatives include Regents Garden Padbury Residential Aged Care Facility, Harbour Rise Masterplanned Community (final stages), Chichester Park Skate Facility, and Whitfords Activity Centre Precinct (West) Redevelopment. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Padbury shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Padbury has a well-educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate in Padbury is 2.9%, lower than Greater Perth's 3.9%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.2%. As of June 2025, there are 5,316 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Greater Perth's rate. Workforce participation in Padbury is 68.9%, compared to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.

Construction shows particularly strong specialization, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. Retail trade is under-represented, at 7.4% of Padbury's workforce compared to Greater Perth's 9.3%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. From June 2024 to June 2025, employment increased by 4.2%, while labour force increased by 4.0%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth experienced employment growth of 3.7% and labour force growth of 3.8%, with a rise in unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment expansion at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Padbury's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Padbury is among the highest in Australia, with a median assessed at $58,714 and an average income of $78,500. This contrasts with Greater Perth's figures of a median income of $58,380 and an average income of $78,020. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $67,051 (median) and $89,647 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Padbury cluster around the 70th percentile nationally. Distribution data shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 33.7% of residents (3,210 people), mirroring the metropolitan region where 32.0% occupy this bracket. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 73rd percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Padbury is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Padbury, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 92.3% houses and 7.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Perth metro had 88.7% houses and 11.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Padbury stood at 32.8%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (50.4%) or rented (16.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, lower than Perth metro's average of $2,080. The median weekly rent figure in Padbury was $390, compared to Perth metro's $400. Nationally, Padbury's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,000 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were also higher at $390 compared to the national figure of $375.

Padbury features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.3% of all households, including 35.8% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 22.7%, with lone person households at 20.2% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 2.6 people, smaller than the Greater Perth average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Padbury exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Tertiary education reaches 28.8% of residents aged 15+ in Padbury. Bachelor degrees lead at 20.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 39.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.4%) and certificates (26.6%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.4% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education. A total of 8 schools operate within Padbury, educating approximately 1,649 students. The area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 1046). Education provision is balanced with 7 primary and 1 secondary school serving distinct age groups. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Padbury has 52 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 9 different routes that collectively facilitate 1,817 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest transport stop is 197 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

All routes combined operate an average of 259 trips per day, translating to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Padbury is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Padbury shows superior health outcomes, with both younger and older age groups experiencing low incidence of common health conditions.

Private health insurance coverage stands at approximately 59% (5,601 people). Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 7.4 and 7.3% of residents respectively. Notably, 71.9% of Padbury residents report no medical ailments, compared to 71.5% across Greater Perth. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.1% (1,630 people), compared to Greater Perth's 20.1%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Padbury are above average, aligning with the general population's health profile.

Padbury was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Padbury's cultural diversity is notable, with 11.2% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home and 32.8% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Padbury, accounting for 43.5% of the population. However, Islam's representation is higher than average, making up 1.3% compared to Greater Perth's 0.9%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (31.8%), Australian (24.3%), and Irish (9.2%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Welsh residents make up 0.9%, South African 0.9%, and New Zealand 1.0%, compared to regional percentages of 1.1%, 1.8%, and 0.9% respectively.

Padbury's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Padbury is close to Greater Perth's average of 37 years and equivalent to the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Perth, Padbury has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (17.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.3%). Between the 2016 Census and the 2021 Census, the population aged 75-84 grew from 4.5% to 6.0%, while the 35-44 age group increased from 16.3% to 17.5%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group declined from 13.1% to 11.3%, and the 55-64 age group dropped from 11.2% to 9.5%. By 2041, Padbury's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 75-84 age group will grow by 78% (440 people), reaching 1,007 from 566. Meanwhile, both the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are projected to decrease in numbers.