Padbury

An assessment of population growth drivers in Padbury reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Padbury's population, as of May 2026, is approximately 9,724. This figure represents a growth of 1,098 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 8,626. The increase is estimated from the ABS's June 2025 figure of 9,714 and an additional 33 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 1,612 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Padbury's growth rate of 12.7% since the 2021 census exceeds the national average of 9.3%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 50.8% to overall population gains during recent periods.

All drivers of growth, including natural growth and interstate migration, were positive factors. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Future demographic trends project an above median population growth for Australian statistical areas. By 2041, Padbury is expected to expand by 1,301 persons, reflecting a total increase of 13.3% over the 16-year period, based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Padbury when compared nationally

Padbury has recorded approximately 39 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 196 homes. In FY26 so far, 21 approvals have been recorded. On average, 4.4 people move to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating significant demand exceeding new supply. This typically results in price growth and increased buyer competition.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $184,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options. Commercial approvals this financial year total $1.2 million, reflecting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Perth, Padbury shows moderately higher new home approvals, with 39.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years.

This maintains reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand, although building activity has slowed in recent years. New building activity comprises 95.0% detached houses and 5.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. The location has approximately 494 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. Future projections estimate Padbury adding 1,291 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, but buyers may experience heightened competition as the population grows.

Padbury has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 41stth percentile nationally

Ten projects have been identified by AreaSearch as likely to impact the area. Key projects include Regents Garden Padbury Residential Aged Care Facility, Westfield Whitford City Expansion, Whitfords Activity Centre Precinct (West) Redevelopment, and Harbour Rise Masterplanned Community (final stages). The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Padbury demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Padbury has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 2.9% as of December 2025, which is lower than Greater Perth's rate of 4.1%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.6%.

As of December 2025, 5,428 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 3.7% and workforce participation rate of 72.7%, slightly higher than Greater Perth's 69.7%. According to Census responses, only 9.0% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training sectors. Padbury shows strong specialization in construction with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level, but retail trade is under-represented at 7.4%, compared to Greater Perth's 9.3%.

Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 4.6% while labour force grew by 4.3%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth experienced employment growth of 2.3% and labour force growth of 2.6%, with an increase in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Padbury's employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Padbury SA2 has one of the highest incomes in Australia, with a median assessed at $61,060 and an average income of $80,964. This contrasts with Greater Perth's figures of a median income of $60,748 and an average income of $80,248. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.93% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $67,734 (median) and $89,813 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census figures, incomes in Padbury cluster around the 69th percentile nationally. The income distribution shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 33.7% of residents (3,276 people), similar to the metropolitan region where 32.0% occupy this bracket. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income, and residents rank within the 72nd percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Padbury is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Padbury's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.3% houses and 7.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Perth metro's 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Padbury stood at 32.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.4% and rented ones at 16.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Perth metro's average of $1,907. Median weekly rent in Padbury was $390, compared to Perth metro's $350. Nationally, Padbury's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were above the national figure of $375.

Padbury features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households comprise 77.3% of all households, including 35.8% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for 22.7%, with lone person households at 20.2% and group households making up 2.4%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the Greater Perth average.

The educational profile of Padbury exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Tertiary education reaches 28.8% of Padbury residents aged 15+. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 39.0% of residents holding them - advanced diplomas account for 12.4% and certificates for 26.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.2% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary, 7.6% in secondary, and 4.4% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Padbury has 51 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by nine different routes that together facilitate 1,819 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 197 meters from the nearest one. In this predominantly residential area, most people commute outwards, with cars being the dominant mode of transport at 80%. Only 13% use trains for their journeys. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling in Padbury.

According to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions, only 9% of residents work from home. The service frequency across all routes averages 259 trips per day, equating to approximately 35 weekly trips per individual stop.

Padbury's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Padbury.

AreaSearch's assessment found mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence to be low, particularly in younger cohorts. The rate of private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (5,785 people). The most common medical conditions were mental health issues and asthma, impacting 7.4 and 7.3% of residents respectively. Seventy-one point nine percent declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 71.9% across Greater Perth. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 17.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,661 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Padbury was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Padbury's population exhibits significant linguistic diversity, with 11.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Born overseas, 32.8% of Padbury residents contribute to its cultural richness. Christianity is the predominant religion in Padbury, practiced by 43.5% of the population.

Notably, Islam's representation in Padbury, at 1.3%, exceeds Greater Perth's average of 3.2%. Regarding ancestry, English (31.8%), Australian (24.3%), and Irish (9.2%) are the top three groups in Padbury. Some ethnic groups show notable variations: Welsh is overrepresented at 0.9% compared to the regional average of 0.7%, South Australian representation stands at 0.9% versus 1.0% regionally, and New Zealanders make up 1.0% of Padbury's population compared to the regional average of 0.8%.

Padbury's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Padbury is close to Greater Perth's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Perth, Padbury has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (17.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.5%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 9.5% to 11.3%, while those aged 75-84 have increased from 4.5% to 6.1%. Conversely, the age group of 55-64 has declined from 11.2% to 9.4%, and the 25-34 group has dropped from 13.1% to 11.5%. By 2041, Padbury's age composition is expected to shift notably. The demographic shift will be led by the 75-84 age group, which is projected to grow by 65%, reaching 974 people from its current figure of 590. Meanwhile, both the 5-14 and 35-44 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.