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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Padbury has an estimated 9,732 residents, up from 8,626 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,106 people, or 12.8%. Growth has averaged 2.0% a year over five years, faster than 79% of areas nationally. Overseas migration accounts for 50.8% of that increase. That puts 1,614 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, demographic assessments by AreaSearch place the resident count of Padbury at approximately 9,732. This represents an expansion of 1,106 people (12.8%) relative to the 8,626 residents enumerated in the 2021 Census. The updated estimate is calculated using the ABS June 2025 estimated resident population of 9,714 alongside 35 validated new addresses identified following the Census. Consequently, population density stands at 1,613 persons per square kilometer, which exceeds the national baseline recorded across AreaSearch assessment areas. The suburb outperformed the national average (9.5%) and its broader SA3 area with this 12.8% post-2021 census gain, positioning it among the region's leading growth markets.
Inward overseas migration served as the foremost component, generating roughly 50.8% of total recent gains, with natural increase and interstate movements also providing positive contributions. Projections for each SA2 area are sourced from ABS/Geoscience Australia models released in 2024 (using 2022 as the base year). Where specific SA2 projections are unavailable, and for all horizons extending beyond 2032, figures incorporate cohort-specific growth rates published in the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections (utilising 2022 data). Demographic trajectories indicate the locality will exceed the national median rate of expansion, expanding by 1,296 persons to 2041 according to recent annual ERP data, which equates to an overall 16-year increase of 13.1%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
142 new dwellings have been approved in Padbury over the past five years, an average of 28 a year. That places the area in the 65th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 3 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 28 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 89% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential planning approvals across Padbury have tracked at roughly 28 dwellings annually, amounting to 142 total homes over the preceding 5 financial years. With an intake of 6.6 new residents per completed home between FY-22 and FY-26, underlying demand substantially outpaces incoming dwelling completions, a dynamic typically associated with upward price pressure and heightened competition among buyers. Approved dwellings reflect an average construction value of $345,000, aligning with regional building standards. Furthermore, commercial building approvals have reached $1.2 million during this financial year, underscoring the area's predominantly suburban residential character.
Per capita building activity in Padbury is 20.0% above the regional average over the 5 year period compared to Greater Perth, providing balanced choice for buyers while underwriting existing residential values. When measured against national figures, however, building volumes are comparatively lower, highlighting the established urban framework and potential planning constraints. Recent construction activity is heavily weighted toward separate houses at 89.0%, with attached dwellings accounting for 11.0%, thereby preserving a low-density suburban landscape catering to family occupants seeking detached living. The area records approximately 326 people per dwelling approval, representative of a mature residential market. Looking forward, the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate indicates Padbury is on track to add 1,278 residents through to 2041. Should current approval volumes persist, residential supply may struggle to keep pace with demographic expansion, potentially intensifying purchaser demand and sustaining capital growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Padbury
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 2 current infrastructure and development projects inside Padbury, worth an estimated $63 million. A further 66 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $5.26 billion. 22 are already under construction and 30 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local capital expenditure, planning schemes, and regional infrastructure play a crucial role in shaping market performance. AreaSearch has pinpointed 10 key projects expected to influence the local area. Notable initiatives include the Regents Garden Padbury Residential Aged Care Facility, the Westfield Whitford City Expansion, the Whitfords Activity Centre Precinct (West) Redevelopment, and the final stages of the Harbour Rise Masterplanned Community, with key details summarized below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Regents Garden Padbury Residential Aged Care Facility
Regents Garden Padbury is a luxury residential aged care resort community developed by Regents Garden Group at 50 Gibson Avenue in Padbury. The development delivers 110 private residential aged care suites, dementia care wings, dining halls, resident lounges, a cinema, a wellness spa, and landscaped internal courtyards. Construction works are actively progressing on-site.
Regents Garden Padbury Residential Aged Care Facility
A four-storey, 108-bed residential aged care facility proposed by Regents Garden Group on a 5,195 square metre lot at 77 Gibson Avenue, Padbury. The facility will deliver premium aged care services including 24/7 nursing care, respite care, palliative care, and dementia care. The Metro Outer Development Assessment Panel approved the application (DAP/23/02529) in July 2024, overturning the City of Joondalup's recommendation to refuse on height and scale grounds. Approval conditions include landscaping, waste management, and amended balcony setbacks.No construction has commenced as of mid-2025.
Chichester Park Skate Facility
Design and construction of a new community skate facility and associated park upgrades at Chichester Park. The City of Joondalup awarded the design and construction contract to Convic Pty Ltd in November 2025 for 422641 AUD ex GST. Construction commenced in July 2026 as part of an approximately 800000 AUD park upgrade including a beginner skate facility, renewed play space, basketball and netball pad upgrades, shelters, landscaping, pathways and park furniture.
Westfield Whitford City Expansion
Long-term expansion and multi-stage redevelopment of the Whitford Activity Centre. The masterplan expands retail floorspace up to approximately 77,500 sqm alongside integrated commercial offices, entertainment, and a projected 739 residential dwellings.
Harbour Rise
Harbour Rise is a long established coastal estate on the hillside overlooking Hillarys Boat Harbour, directly across from Sorrento and Hillarys beaches and a short walk from the Sorrento Quay cafes, restaurants and shops. The estate was originally masterplanned and delivered by Estates Development Company, the last remaining beachfront landholding from the company's 1948 northern Perth land purchase, and has progressively built out over several decades into a high amenity residential community with landscaped streets, parks and pedestrian links to the harbour.Vacant lots along streets such as Seaward Loop and Padbury Circle have continued to trade into 2025, with several under offer or recently sold, meaning the estate is in its final stages with a small number of new executive homes still being built or sold off the plan. The estate is supported by an active home owners association and a specified area rate covering its shared landscaping and amenity.
Ocean Reef Marina Residential Lots Stage 1
First stage residential development within Ocean Reef Marina precinct. Features 68 premium residential lots and 3 apartment sites with waterfront access, coastal lifestyle amenities, and integrated community facilities.
Whitfords Activity Centre Precinct (West) Redevelopment
Long-range mixed-use precinct renewal of the western portion of the Whitfords Activity Centre in Hillarys, encompassing residential apartments, retail expansion, civic spaces, and urban infill consistent with the City of Joondalup's activity centre strategy and Local Planning Scheme No. 3. The Westfield Whitford City site holds development approval for an 8-storey building with approximately 87 apartments, a 3-storey office building (3,720 sqm NLA), and a plaza, though construction has not yet commenced. Broader precinct planning for the western district is ongoing under the Whitford Activity Centre Structure Plan framework.
Seacrest Village Redevelopment
Over 55s independent living village in Sorrento providing 110 two and three bedroom villas and 59 one bedroom and bedsit units. The project focuses on ongoing refurbishment of villas and upgrades to shared spaces including the community lounge, heated pool, gym, three lane bowling green, craft room, library and social areas. A recent development application seeks approval for further upgrades to facilities and landscaping within the existing village rather than a full demolition and rebuild of the site.
5,467 residents of Padbury are employed, from a labour force of 5,634. Unemployment sits at 3.0%, with participation at 73.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 7,871, about 81% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Padbury features an educated resident workforce with prominent representation across essential service industries, an unemployment rate of 3.0%, and annual employment growth estimated at 3.9%. As of March 2026, employed residents total 5,467, while the local jobless rate sits 1.2% under the Greater Perth benchmark of 4.2%. Labour force participation is robust at 73.0%, tracking above the 69.9% recorded across Greater Perth. Census responses recorded 9.0% of workers operating from home, though this metric was subject to prevailing Covid-19 restrictions. The primary employment sectors for local workers consist of health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.
Construction shows particularly elevated concentration, with resident participation reaching 1.5 times the regional average. Conversely, retail trade accounts for a smaller footprint of 7.4% relative to the 9.3% regional benchmark. Given the contrast between resident workers and local job counts recorded in the Census, the suburb is largely a commuter residential district with limited internal commercial employment. According to AreaSearch analysis of ABS and SALM series for the 12 months to March 2026, employment grew by 3.9% alongside a 3.8% rise in the labour pool, keeping local unemployment relatively steady. Over the same timeframe, Greater Perth saw employment and labour force gains of 2.0% and 2.5% respectively, accompanied by a 0.4 percentage point uptick in unemployment. Broader labor market projections from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 indicate nationwide workforce growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though trajectories diverge across different sectors. Applying these national industry forecasts to Padbury's employment profile implies prospective employment growth of 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, based on a proportional industry weighting model that excludes localized demographic projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Padbury is $2,065 a week (about $107,000 a year), with median personal income at $918 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $61,060 a year against an average of $80,964. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's evaluation of ATO tax statistics for financial year 2023, personal earnings in the Padbury SA2 rank exceptionally high on a national scale, showing a median income of $61,060 and an average income of $80,964. These metrics surpass Greater Perth's median income of $60,748 and average income of $80,248. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.93% since financial year 2023, nominal incomes as of March 2026 are modeled at approximately $67,734 (median) and $89,813 (average). Census findings from 2021 place local household, family, and individual incomes around the 69th percentile across Australia.
Roughly 33.7% of the cohort (3,279 individuals) earns within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, closely mirroring the 32.0% regional proportion. Housing costs claim 14.4% of income, resident disposable income ranks in the 72nd percentile, and the SEIFA income index positions the area in the 7th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Padbury had 3,215 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 0% apartments. 50% are owned with a mortgage, 17% rented and 33% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $390 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,000 a month. Rent absorbs 18.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential stock in Padbury during the most recent Census was composed of 92.3% houses and 7.6% other dwellings (incorporating apartments, semi-detached, and 'other' dwellings), contrasting with the wider Perth metro breakdown of 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Outright property ownership stood at 32.8%, well above metropolitan levels, while remaining residences were divided between mortgaged properties (50.4%) and rental tenures (16.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000 compared to $1,907 for Perth metro, while median weekly rent reached $390 against $350 regionally. Relative to the Australian medians of $1,863 for monthly mortgages and $375 for weekly rents, Padbury costs remain elevated.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Padbury counted 3,215 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 3,627 today, averaging 2.6 people each. 36% are couples with children, against 28% couples without children. 20% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family dwellings comprise the vast majority of local households at 77.3%, consisting of 35.8% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent households. The remaining 22.7% are classified as non-family residences, consisting of single-occupant households at 20.2% and group living arrangements at 2.4%. Household occupancy averages 2.6 people, matching the figure for Greater Perth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
28.8% of adults in Padbury hold a university qualification, including 20.6% with a bachelor degree and 4.9% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 26.6% hold a vocational qualification. 8 schools serve the area, with 1,649 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,046 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Among Padbury residents aged 15+, university qualifications are held by 28.8% of the cohort. Bachelor degrees represent the largest category at 20.6%, with postgraduate qualifications accounting for 4.9% and graduate diplomas comprising 3.3%. Vocational training is widely prevalent, with 39.0% of the population aged 15+ possessing technical qualifications across advanced diplomas (12.4%) and certificates (26.6%). Participation in study is substantial across the suburb, with 28.2% of residents enrolled in an educational course. Broken down by tier, this comprises 10.4% in primary education, 7.6% attending secondary school, and 4.4% enrolled in higher education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Padbury reaches 51 stops on 9 routes, timetabled for about 1,600 services a week. The typical home sits about 200 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.6 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Padbury contains 51 active public transit stops offering local bus connectivity. These locations are served across 9 distinct transit routes, providing an aggregate of 1,631 weekly trips. Network accessibility is rated as excellent, with typical walking distances of 199 meters to the closest stop. Given the area's residential profile, commuting is predominantly outward, with 80% traveling by private vehicle and 13% utilising train transit. Vehicle availability averages 1.6 cars per household. A total of 9.0% of the workforce worked from home at the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 settings.
Public transport operations provide an average frequency of 233 trips daily across the route network, translating to roughly 31 weekly services per individual boarding point.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
71.9% of residents in Padbury report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 78% of areas nationally. 3.5% need daily assistance with core activities, and 59.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
According to health assessments by AreaSearch regarding mortality and chronic disease trends, Padbury registers favorable health indicators across all demographics, with youth cohorts experiencing particularly minimal incidence of major ailments. Furthermore, private healthcare coverage is notably widespread, encompassing roughly 60% of the population (5,790 people). The two most prevalent health diagnoses recorded locally are mental health conditions and asthma, affecting 7.4 and 7.3% of the community respectively. Meanwhile, 71.9% of residents report an absence of chronic medical conditions, in line with the 71.9% benchmark across Greater Perth. Residents under the age of 65 experience superior health outcomes relative to typical benchmarks.
Seniors aged 65 and over constitute 16.6% of residents (1,618 people), exhibiting above-average health results that nonetheless track below the suburb's broader national health standings.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
32.8% of Padbury residents were born overseas and 11.2% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.8%) and Australian (24.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Padbury demonstrates notable cultural variety compared to most local areas, with 11.2% of households utilizing a non-English language at home and 32.8% of residents having been born overseas. Christianity forms the principal religious affiliation, observed by 43.5% of the local population. Islam represents 1.3% of residents, compared against a 3.2% share recorded across Greater Perth. Regarding parental lineage, the three leading ancestries in Padbury are English (31.8%), Australian (24.3%), and Irish (9.2%). Specific ancestral cohorts also display distinctive local concentrations, including Welsh at 0.9% (vs 0.7% regionally), South Australian at 0.9% (vs 1.0%), and New Zealand heritage at 1.0% (vs 0.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Padbury is 38. 23.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution of Padbury closely mirrors Greater Perth across standard demographic bands, with the maximum divergence measuring 1.4 percentage points. As at August 2026, the estimated median age is 38, matching the 2021 Census outcome and sitting 1 year older than the regional median of 37 recorded at that Census. The most noticeable demographic shift post-Census occurred within the 45 - 64 age bracket, contracting from 23.9% to an estimated 21.9%. Looking ahead to 2041, residents aged 65+ are anticipated to generate the majority of population growth, adding 626 residents (39%) to reach a total of 2,244.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Padbury
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 last month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 last month all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 35 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (8,626 at the 2021 Census → 9,732 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (505011081). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.