Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine

Population growth drivers in Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the population of Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine is approximately 24,486. This figure represents an increase of 1,884 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,602. The increase was inferred from the estimated resident population of 24,375 in June 2024 and an additional 172 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,737 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.5%, outperforming the SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch uses growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Looking ahead, an above median population growth is projected for statistical areas across the nation. By 2041, Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine is expected to increase by 3,809 persons, reflecting a gain of 15.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine averaged approximately 80 new dwelling approvals annually over several years. From FY21 to FY25401 homes were approved, with an additional 30 approved in FY26 so far. Each year, about 4.5 new residents arrived per dwelling constructed during these five financial years.

This high demand coupled with limited supply has led to price growth and increased buyer competition. Developers target the premium market segment, with new dwellings averaging $440,000 in construction cost value. Commercial activity is also robust, with $54.7 million in approvals this year. Compared to Greater Perth, Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine has about three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks in the 42nd percentile nationally for housing choices, suggesting limited options for buyers and supporting demand for existing properties.

The area's maturity and potential planning constraints contribute to this below-average national ranking. New development consists mainly of detached dwellings (75%) and townhouses/apartments (25%), maintaining the suburb's family-oriented identity. With approximately 385 people per dwelling approval, it reflects an established area. By 2041, Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine is projected to add 3,698 residents. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and price growth.

Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 11thth percentile nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 29 potential impact projects. Notable ones are West Village, Karrinyup Bus Depot Transformation, Stirling City Centre Sports Precinct, and Bold Park Community Facilities Upgrade. Details on most relevant projects follow.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 1.2% as of September 2025.

There was an estimated employment growth of 3.7% over the past year. As of that date, 13,293 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.8%, which is below Greater Perth's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation was broadly similar to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training.

The area has a particularly notable concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average. Manufacturing has limited presence, with only 3.2% of employment compared to the regional average of 5.5%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.7%, while labour force increased by 3.4%, causing a fall in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth saw employment rise by 2.9% and unemployment rise marginally. State-level data from 25-Nov shows WA employment contracted by 0.27% (losing 5,520 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.6%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, although this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine SA2 had an extremely high national income level according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for the financial year 2022. Its median income among taxpayers was $65,515 and average income stood at $93,610, compared to Greater Perth's figures of $58,380 and $78,020 respectively. By September 2025, current estimates based on a 14.2% Wage Price Index growth would be approximately $74,818 (median) and $106,903 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes all rank highly in Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine, between the 76th and 90th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 28.3% of residents (6,929 people) fall into the $4,000+ bracket, differing from the broader area where the $1,500-$2,999 category is predominant at 32.0%. Notably, 42.4% earn above $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 87.4% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine, as per the latest Census, comprised 86.1% houses and 13.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Perth metro had 59.6% houses and 40.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine was 42.8%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (43.3%) or rented (13.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,500, compared to Perth metro's $1,950. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $460, compared to Perth metro's $350. Nationally, Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.6% of all households, including 43.2% couples with children, 28.3% couples without children, and 7.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.4%, with lone person households at 18.4% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.4.

Educational achievement in Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine is significantly higher than broader benchmarks. As of 2016, 41.7% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 27.9% in Western Australia and 29.0% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most common at 28.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.5%). Trade and technical skills are also prominent, with 28.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (16.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of 2016. This includes 11.1% in primary education, 9.3% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 120 active transport stops in Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine area. These are bus stops serviced by 12 routes offering 1,773 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good with residents typically 222 meters from nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 253 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows positive outcomes for Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine residents. Prevalence of common health conditions is low across both younger and older age cohorts. Approximately 68% of the total population (16,699 people) has private health cover, compared to 59.9% in Greater Perth and a national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.5% and 6.6% of residents respectively. 71.2% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.0% in Greater Perth. 22.1% of residents are aged 65 and over (5,423 people), higher than the 18.3% in Greater Perth. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine, surveyed in June 2016, had above-average cultural diversity with 12.6% speaking a language other than English at home and 29.2% born overseas. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 51.1%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Greater Perth's 1.4%.

The top ancestry groups were English (29.7%), Australian (23.7%), and Irish (8.4%). Notable divergences included South African (1.3% vs regional 1.0%), Croatian (1.2% vs 1.1%), and Welsh (0.8% vs 0.6%).

Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The 75-84 age group constitutes 8.5% of the population, compared to Greater Perth, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 7.3%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 10.5% to 12.1%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has grown from 7.2% to 8.5%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has decreased from 11.0% to 9.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 139%, reaching 2,277 people from a previous total of 952. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 60% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.