Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine
Statistical Area - sa2

Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine is approximately 24,489 as of August 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 1,887 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 22,602. The increase is inferred from ABS estimates and validated new addresses. As of June 2024, the estimated resident population was 24,375 with an additional 173 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,738 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.5%, outperforming its SA3 area.

Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.6% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth estimates, AreaSearch uses growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Population projections indicate an above median growth for statistical areas across the nation. By 2041, Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine is expected to increase by 3,809 persons, recording a total gain of 15.1%.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine averaged approximately 80 new dwelling approvals annually. ABS data from financial years 2021 to 2025 shows 401 homes approved, with 7 in FY-26 so far. Each home built since FY-21 has led to an average of 4.5 new residents yearly. This demand exceeds supply, contributing to price growth and increased buyer competition.

The average construction cost for new homes is $697,000, indicating a focus on premium properties. In FY-26, commercial approvals totalled $54.7 million, demonstrating strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Perth, Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks in the 43rd percentile nationally for choices available to buyers. This suggests limited options supporting demand for existing properties, potentially due to planning constraints.

Detached dwellings account for 75% of new development, with townhouses or apartments making up the remaining 25%, maintaining the area's suburban character. As of now, there are approximately 385 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. By 2041, projections indicate Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine will add 3,695 residents. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, intensifying buyer competition and potentially driving price growth.

Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 26thth percentile nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 29 such projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable among these are West Village, Karrinyup Bus Depot Transformation, Stirling City Centre Sports Precinct, and Bold Park Community Facilities Upgrade. The following list details those projects that are likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 1.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.3%.

As of June 2025, 13,425 residents were employed, and the unemployment rate was 2.7% below Greater Perth's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation was broadly similar to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training, with a notable concentration in professional & technical at 1.5 times the regional average. Manufacturing has limited presence, with employment at 3.2% compared to 5.5% regionally.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 4.3%, labour force grew by 4.0%, and unemployment fell by 0.3 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Perth where employment rose by 3.7% and unemployment rose slightly. State-level data to Sep-25 shows WA employment contracted by 0.82% (losing 14,590 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 4.3%, compared to the national rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine's median income among taxpayers was $65,515 and average income stood at $93,610 in financial year 2022. This compares to Greater Perth's median of $58,380 and average of $78,020. By March 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth would be approximately $73,121 (median) and $104,478 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 77th and 90th percentiles. The earnings profile reveals that 28.3% of residents earn over $4,000 weekly, with a significant 42.4% earning above $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 87.4% of income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.1% houses and 13.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Perth metro had 59.6% houses and 40.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine was 42.8%, with the rest either mortgaged (43.3%) or rented (13.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,500, higher than Perth metro's average of $1,950. Median weekly rent in Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine was $460, compared to Perth metro's $350. Nationally, Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 79.6% of all households, including 43.2% couples with children, 28.3% couples without children, and 7.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.4%, with lone person households at 18.4% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.4.

Educational achievement in Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine is notably high, with 41.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 27.9% statewide and 29.0% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most common at 28.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.5%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (16.4%). Educational participation is high, with 30.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.1% in primary, 9.3% in secondary, and 5.0% in tertiary education.

There are 8 schools operating within Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine educating approximately 6,607 students. The area has significant socio-educational advantages with an ICSEA score of 1113. The educational mix includes 6 primary, 1 secondary, and 1 K-12 school. There are 27.0 school places per 100 residents in the area, significantly above the regional average of 14.5.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transportation in the area comprising Karrinyup, Gwelup, and Carine shows that there are 120 active transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 12 individual routes providing service to the area. The collective weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes amount to 1,773.

Residents in this area enjoy good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 222 meters to the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 253 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates relatively positive outcomes for Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine residents. The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 68% of the total population, which consists of 16,701 people.

This compares to 59.9% across Greater Perth, with a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.5 and 6.6% of residents respectively. A total of 71.2% of residents declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.0% across Greater Perth. The area has 22.1% of residents aged 65 and over, which equates to 5,424 people, higher than the 18.3% in Greater Perth. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Karrinyup-Gwelup-Carine, surveyed from July 2016 to June 2017, had a higher level of cultural diversity than most local areas, with 12.6% speaking a language other than English at home and 29.2% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 51.1%. Judaism showed an overrepresentation, comprising 0.2%, compared to 1.4% in Greater Perth overall.

For ancestry, the top groups were English (29.7%), Australian (23.7%), and Irish (8.4%). Notably, South African representation was higher at 1.3%, Croatian at 1.2%, and Welsh at 0.8%.

Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group comprises 8.5% of the population, compared to Greater Perth, while the 25-34 age group makes up 7.3%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has increased from 10.5% to 12.1%, and the 75-84 age group has risen from 7.2% to 8.5%. Conversely, the 65-74 age group has decreased from 11.0% to 9.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes in Karrinyup - Gwelup - Carine. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 139%, reaching 2,277 people from the current 952. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 60% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0-4 and 5-14 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.