Stirling - Osborne Park

Population growth drivers in Stirling - Osborne Park are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Stirling - Osborne Park stands at approximately 16,365 as of May 2026. This represents an expansion of 1,745 residents, or 11.9%, relative to the 14,620 individuals counted in the 2021 Census. This growth is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 16,322 alongside 138 validated new addresses registered after the Census. The resulting population density is 2,517 persons per square kilometer, which ranks in the top quartile of all Australian locations analyzed. The local growth rate of 11.9% since the 2021 census outpaced the national figure of 9.3%, placing the district among the leading growth areas in its region. The primary driver of this demographic expansion was overseas migration, which accounted for roughly 83.6% of the total population increase in recent times.

Projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024, using 2022 as a baseline, are utilized for each SA2 region. For locations lacking this specific data, and to project trends beyond 2032, growth rates by age cohort from the 2023 Greater Capital Region projections based on 2022 data are applied. Future demographic patterns suggest that the area will experience population growth above the national median, with an anticipated rise of 2,577 people by 2041 relative to the most recent annual ERP figures, translating to a total growth of 15.5% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Stirling - Osborne Park among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Stirling - Osborne Park records roughly 41 residential building approvals each year, with a total of 208 dwellings approved during the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, and an additional 63 during FY-26 so far. Because the area has averaged 6.2 new residents for each completed dwelling over the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, demand remains much stronger than supply, a situation that typically intensifies buyer competition and drives up prices, while the average construction cost for new properties stands at $345,000. Additionally, commercial approvals have reached $27.7 million during the current financial year, demonstrating ongoing business development investment.

Stirling - Osborne Park exhibits a per capita rate of new housing approvals that is approximately two-thirds of the Greater Perth average, ranking in the 52nd percentile of all Australian areas assessed, despite a recent uptick in building construction. This rate also sits below the national average, indicating a mature market and highlighting potential land constraints. The mix of new residential projects consists of 47.0% detached houses and 53.0% medium-to-high density options like apartments or townhouses. Focusing on denser residential options offers cheaper purchasing opportunities and appeals to down-sizers, property investors, and first-time buyers. With roughly 341 people per residential approval, Stirling - Osborne Park displays characteristics of a changing housing market.

Projections indicate that Stirling - Osborne Park will add 2,534 residents by 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. If current building rates persist, the supply of new housing may fail to match population expansion, which could heighten competition among purchasers and underpin stronger appreciation in property values.

Stirling - Osborne Park has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 17thth percentile nationally

An area's long-term performance is heavily shaped by revisions to local infrastructure, major developments, and zoning decisions. AreaSearch has identified 32 key projects expected to influence the suburb. The most significant of these include the Stirling Bus Interchange Upgrade, the Osborne Park Hospital Women and Newborn Services Expansion, the Stephenson Avenue Extension, and the Lake Monger Primary School Additions and Relocation, with the details of the most relevant projects listed below.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Stirling - Osborne Park significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

The resident workforce in Stirling - Osborne Park is highly educated and distributed across multiple sectors, showing an unemployment rate of only 2.7% and estimated job growth of 3.4% over the preceding year. There were 9,904 employed residents in March 2026, and the unemployment rate was 1.5% below the Greater Perth average of 4.2%, with a typical participation rate of 72.8% compared to 70.2% for the wider Perth area. Census data indicated that a minor 9.1% of employees worked from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of COVID-19 pandemic restrictions.

The major employment sectors for residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. The local population is heavily concentrated in professional & technical fields, representing 1.2 times the average seen across the broader region. By contrast, the mining sector accounts for only 5.0% of local jobs compared to 7.0% regionally. Even though the area contains local job opportunities, the ratio of the Census working population to local residents suggests a significant portion of the workforce travels to other suburbs for employment.

An analysis of SALM and ABS statistics by AreaSearch shows that during the 12 months ending March 2026, the number of employed persons grew by 3.4% and the total labor force expanded by 3.8%, leading to a 0.5 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. In comparison, Greater Perth experienced a 2.0% rise in employment, a 2.5% increase in the labor force, and a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. Long-term employment forecasts published by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 offer additional context regarding future hiring trends in Stirling - Osborne Park. These five and ten-year forecasts have been applied to the local workforce composition to project growth. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but these rates vary considerably by sector. Applying these industry projections to the local employment mix yields an estimated employment increase of 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years in Stirling - Osborne Park, though this is a basic weighted calculation that excludes local population adjustments.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Taxpayer income levels in the Stirling - Osborne Park SA2 are notably higher than the national median, according to ATO data compiled by AreaSearch for the 2023 financial year. The median income of taxpayers in the Stirling - Osborne Park SA2 is $59,832, while the average income is $75,455, compared to Greater Perth figures of $60,748 and $80,248 respectively. Adjusting for a 10.93% increase in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year, current estimates as of March 2026 are approximately $66,372 for the median and $83,702 for the average. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes in Stirling - Osborne Park were situated near the 60th percentile nationwide. The largest income bracket contains 30.4% of residents (4,974 people) earning between $1,500 and $2,999, which aligns closely with the regional share of 32.0% in this category. Residents retain 86.3% of their income for non-housing expenses, and the SEIFA index for income ranks the area in the 7th decile.

Stirling - Osborne Park displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

According to the most recent Census, the housing stock in Stirling - Osborne Park consisted of 61.3% separate houses and 38.7% other residential options such as apartments and townhouses, compared to the Perth metropolitan average of 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Outright home ownership in Stirling - Osborne Park stood at 34.9%, matching the proportion of mortgaged properties (34.9%), while the remaining 30.2% of dwellings were occupied by renters. The median monthly mortgage payment of $2,000 was higher than the Perth metropolitan median of $1,907, whereas the median weekly rent of $310 sat below the metropolitan median of $350. Nationally, mortgage payments in Stirling - Osborne Park are higher than the Australian median of $1,863, whereas weekly rents are notably lower than the national median of $375.

Stirling - Osborne Park has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family units constitute the majority of households at 69.5%, consisting of couples with children at 31.9%, couples without children at 28.7%, and single parents at 7.5%. The remaining 30.5% are non-family households, which are mostly single-person households at 27.6% and shared group households at 2.9%. The median household size of 2.4 residents is below the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Stirling - Osborne Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The educational profile of this suburb is distinct within the region, as the proportion of residents aged 15 and over with a university degree is 37.4%, higher than the Western Australian average of 27.9% and the SA4 regional average of 29.0%. Bachelor degrees represent the most common higher qualification at 25.2%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 9.1% and graduate diplomas at 3.1%. Technical and trade qualifications are also common, with 27.9% of residents aged 15 and over holding vocational credentials, split between advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 16.9%.

Enrolment in education is quite strong, with 26.6% of the population participating in formal studies. This group includes 8.2% in primary schools, 6.8% in higher education, and 6.2% attending secondary schools.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of the local public transport network shows 88 active transit stops in Stirling - Osborne Park, consisting of both bus and train infrastructure. These facilities are served by 19 separate routes, which combine to support 5,558 passenger journeys each week. Public transport accessibility is excellent, with residents living an average of 187 meters from their nearest transit stop. Because the suburb is mostly residential, most workers commute to other areas, with private vehicles remaining the primary travel mode at 80%, followed by train travel at 11% and bus travel at 5%. Households own an average of 1.4 vehicles. A low proportion of the workforce, 9.1%, worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by pandemic conditions.

Transit services average 794 daily trips across all routes, which translates to roughly 63 weekly arrivals per individual transit stop.

Stirling - Osborne Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes in Stirling - Osborne Park are highly positive based on analysis of mortality statistics and chronic disease rates, which reveal a very low rate of common medical conditions across all age cohorts. Additionally, private health insurance uptake is high, covering roughly 57% of the population (~9,262 people), compared to 59.0% across Greater Perth.

Mental health conditions and arthritis are the most prevalent medical issues in the area, affecting 6.8% and 6.4% of the population respectively, while 74.9% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 71.9% across Greater Perth. The working-age population exhibits strong health profiles with minimal chronic illness. Seniors aged 65 and over make up 18.8% of the population (3,079 people), which exceeds the Greater Perth level of 16.1%. The health status of these older residents is particularly positive, with national comparisons reflecting the patterns seen in the broader population.

Stirling - Osborne Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Stirling - Osborne Park exhibits significant cultural diversity, with 38.6% of residents using a non-English language at home and 44.3% born outside Australia. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, accounting for 53.9% of the population. The most prominent statistical divergence is in Buddhism, which is practiced by 6.3% of residents compared to 2.7% across Greater Perth.

Regarding family backgrounds and parental country of birth, the three most common ancestries in Stirling - Osborne Park are English at 17.8% of the population, which is lower than the regional level of 28.0%, Australian at 15.0%, also lower than the regional average of 21.2%, and Italian at 14.3%, which is much higher than the regional average of 4.2%. There are also notable differences in other ethnic groups: Macedonian ancestry represents 2.9% of Stirling - Osborne Park compared to 0.4% regionally, Croatian is at 2.5% compared to 0.8% regionally, and Vietnamese stands at 1.5% compared to 0.8% regionally.

Stirling - Osborne Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age of 38 years in Stirling - Osborne Park matches the national median of 38 and is close to the Greater Perth median of 37. Compared to Greater Perth, the area has a larger proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 (16.6%) but fewer children aged 5 to 14 (9.6%). Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 has risen from 5.6% to 6.8%, while the 55 to 64 bracket has fallen from 11.5% to 10.6%. By 2041, the age structure of the suburb is expected to change, led by a 63% increase in the 75 to 84 cohort, rising to 1,805 from 1,106. This aging trend is prominent, with seniors aged 65 and over representing 52% of the projected population growth, while declines are expected in the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age groups.