Warwick (WA)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Warwick reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population updates for the broader area around Warwick, WA, the estimated population as of November 2025 is approximately 4,206. This reflects an increase of 348 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,858 in the suburb. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of Warwick's resident population at 4,186 following examination of the latest Estimated Residential Population (ERP) data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 50 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,379 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warwick's population growth rate of 9.0% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (8.9%) and the national average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 55.00000000000001% of overall population gains during recent periods for Warwick.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch utilises the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023 based on 2022 data). Future population dynamics project an above median growth for national areas, with Warwick expected to expand by 630 persons to reach a total of 4,836 by 2041, reflecting a 15.1% increase over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Warwick recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Warwick shows around 25 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 129 homes. As of FY-26, one approval has been recorded. On average, each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25 gained 2.1 new residents annually, reflecting robust demand that supports property values. New homes are being constructed at an average cost of $304,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $7.1 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Perth, Warwick exhibits 102.0% higher building activity per person. Recent construction comprises 78.0% detached dwellings and 22.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. With approximately 277 people per approval, Warwick reflects a transitioning market.

Future projections estimate Warwick to add 634 residents by 2041, with current development rates suggesting new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Warwick has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two major projects likely affecting this region: Warwick Quarter and Warwick Quarter Mixed-Use Development. Other notable initiatives include Smart Freeway Mitchell Southbound and Stirling City Centre Infrastructure Package. Relevant projects are listed below for further detail.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Warwick ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Warwick has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.5%, lower than Greater Perth's 3.9%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.6%. As of June 2025, 2,288 residents are employed, and workforce participation is similar to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction stands out with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

However, mining is under-represented, with only 5.7% of Warwick's workforce compared to 7.0% in Greater Perth. Many residents commute elsewhere for work. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.6%, and unemployment fell by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth saw employment rise by 3.7% and unemployment increase by 0.1 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.5% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warwick's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2022 shows median income in Warwick at $53,125 and average income at $64,375. In Greater Perth, the median income is $58,380 with an average of $78,020. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% from financial year ending June 2022 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $60,669 (median) and $73,516 (average). The 2021 Census ranks Warwick's household, family, and personal incomes modestly between the 48th and 50th percentiles. Income brackets show that 30.5% of residents earn $1,500 - 2,999 weekly. After housing costs, 85.0% of income remains for other expenses. Warwick's SEIFA income ranking is in the 6th decile.

Warwick is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Warwick's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.6% houses and 10.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Perth metro had 88.7% houses and 11.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warwick stood at 40.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.2% and rented ones at 19.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, lower than Perth metro's $2,080. The median weekly rent figure was $420, compared to Perth metro's $400. Nationally, Warwick's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Warwick has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 73.4% of all households, including 31.2% couples with children, 30.0% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 26.6%, with lone person households at 23.5% and group households making up 2.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Perth average of 2.7.

Warwick performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Tertiary education reaches 29.3% of residents aged 15+ in Warwick. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 20.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.6%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 34.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas account for 11.7% and certificates for 22.6%.

Educational participation is high, at 25.9%, including 8.4% in primary education, 7.1% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education. Warwick's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,036 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1030) with balanced educational opportunities. Educational provision is conventional, split between one primary and two secondary institutions. School capacity exceeds residential needs (24.6 places per 100 residents vs regional average of 19.7), indicating Warwick serves as an educational center for the broader region. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warwick has 52 active public transport stops. These comprise a mix of train and bus services. There are 20 routes operating in total, serving 4,459 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 168 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 637 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 85 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warwick's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Warwick's health metrics closely match national benchmarks, with typical levels of common health conditions seen across both young and elderly residents. Approximately 53% (~2,219 people) have private health cover, slightly higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Perth's 59.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (8.9%) and asthma (7.3%). About 66.8% of residents report being free from medical ailments, compared to 71.5% in Greater Perth. Approximately 22.9% (~963 people) are aged 65 and over, higher than Greater Perth's 20.1%. Health outcomes among seniors exceed the average, outperforming even those of the general population in health metrics.

Warwick was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Warwick's population showed high cultural diversity, with 15.2% speaking a language other than English at home and 33.3% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 47.4%. Warwick had an overrepresentation of Judaism compared to Greater Perth, with 0.2% versus 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (30.1%), Australian (22.3%), and Irish (8.8%). Notable divergences included New Zealanders at 1.1%, South Africans at 0.9%, and Welsh at 0.7%, compared to regional percentages of 0.9%, 1.8%, and 1.1% respectively.

Warwick hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Warwick's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Perth, Warwick has a notably higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (10.2%) and a lower proportion of those aged 25-34 (11.8%). According to the 2021 Census, Warwick's population structure has shifted since the previous census: the 75-84 age group increased from 8.2% to 10.2%, while the 15-24 cohort rose from 11.3% to 12.7%. Meanwhile, the 65-74 cohort declined from 12.8% to 10.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Warwick's age profile. The 85+ cohort is expected to grow by 203%, adding 230 residents to reach a total of 344. Residents aged 65 and older are projected to represent 62% of the population growth, while the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are anticipated to decline in population.