Warwick (WA)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Warwick reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since February 2026, Warwick's population is estimated at around 4,123. This reflects an increase of 265 people (6.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,858 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 4,028, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 51 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,351 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 55% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is utilising the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth of national areas is projected, with the suburb expected to expand by 623 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 17.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Warwick recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Warwick has recorded around 23 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 118 homes from FY-21 to FY-25. So far in FY-26, 9 approvals have been recorded. On average, each dwelling built gains 2.2 new residents per year, reflecting robust demand that supports property values.

New homes are being constructed at an average value of $304,000. This financial year has seen $5.1 million in commercial approvals registered, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Perth, Warwick records 85.0% more new home approvals per person, offering greater choice for buyers despite recent moderation in development activity. Recent construction comprises 80.0% detached houses and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

The location has approximately 308 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth. Future projections show Warwick adding 711 residents by 2041, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Development is keeping pace with projected growth, though increasing competition among buyers is expected as the population expands.

Warwick has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified two major projects that could impact this region. Notable projects are Warwick Quarter, Warwick Quarter Mixed-Use Development, Smart Freeway Mitchell Southbound, and Stirling City Centre Infrastructure Package.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Warwick ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Warwick has a well-educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.5%, with an estimated employment growth of 4.2% over the past year. As of September 2025, there are 2,265 residents in work and the unemployment rate is 0.5% lower than Greater Perth's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation is similar to Greater Perth's at 71.6%. According to Census responses, only 9.9% of residents work from home. Key industries of employment are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction has a notable concentration with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

Mining has limited presence with 5.7% employment compared to the regional average of 7.0%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 4.2% while labour force increased by 3.6%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Perth had employment growth of 2.9%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warwick's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Warwick suburb's median income among taxpayers was $53,125 in financial year 2023. Average income stood at $64,375 during the same period. Greater Perth's figures were $60,748 and $80,248 respectively. By September 2025, estimated median and average incomes would be approximately $58,236 and $70,568 based on a 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Warwick ranked modestly between the 48th and 50th percentiles. The $1,500 - $2,999 earnings band captured 30.5% of the community (1,257 individuals), similar to the metropolitan region where this cohort represented 32.0%. After housing expenses, 85.0% of income remained for other expenses. Warwick's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Warwick is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Warwick's residential dwellings, as per the latest Census data, were composed of 89.6% houses and 10.4% other types such as semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In contrast, Perth metropolitan area had 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warwick stood at 40.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.2% and rented ones at 19.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Warwick was $1,950, surpassing Perth metro's average of $1,907. The median weekly rent in Warwick was recorded as $420, compared to Perth metro's $350. Nationally, Warwick's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Warwick has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.4% of all households, including 31.2% couples with children, 30.0% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 26.6%, with lone person households at 23.5% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

Warwick performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Tertiary education reaches 29.3% of residents aged 15+ in Warwick. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 20.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.6%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 34.3% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 11.7% and certificates for 22.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 25.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in primary education, 7.1% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warwick has 59 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 19 routes, facilitating 4,467 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically residing 168 meters from the nearest stop. As a mainly residential area, most commuters travel outward. Car remains the primary mode of transport at 77%, while train usage stands at 15%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, only 9.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 638 trips per day, equating to about 75 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Warwick is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Warwick exhibits superior health outcomes as per AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and elderly cohorts show low incidence of common health conditions.

Private health cover stands at approximately 53% (~2,175 people), higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Perth's 59.0%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (8.9%) and asthma (7.3%), with 66.8% of residents reporting no health issues compared to 71.9% in Greater Perth. Under-65s exhibit better-than-average health outcomes. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 23.4% (964 people), higher than Greater Perth's 16.3%. Senior health outcomes are above average, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Warwick was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warwick's population showed high linguistic diversity, with 15.2% speaking a language other than English at home as of 2016. In the same year, 33.3% were born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Warwick, accounting for 47.4%.

Judaism, however, was overrepresented compared to Greater Perth, comprising 0.2% versus 0.3%. Regarding ancestry, the top groups were English (30.1%), Australian (22.3%), and Irish (8.8%). Notable differences existed in the representation of New Zealanders (1.1% vs regional 0.8%), South Africans (0.9% vs 1.0%), and Welsh people (0.7% vs 0.7%).

Warwick's median age exceeds the national pattern

Warwick's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Perth, Warwick has a notably higher proportion of the 75-84 age group (10.7% locally) and a lower proportion of 25-34 year-olds (11.6%). Post-2021 Census, the 75-84 age group grew from 8.2% to 10.7%, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 11.3% to 12.9%. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort declined from 12.8% to 9.9% and the 45-54 group dropped from 11.9% to 10.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Warwick's age profile. The 85+ cohort is expected to grow by 186%, adding 214 residents to reach 330. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 58% of the population growth, while declines are projected for the 5-14 and 35-44 age cohorts.