Warwick (WA)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Warwick reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Warwick's population is estimated at 4,124 as of Nov 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 266 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,858. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 4,028 residents in Jun 2024 and validation of 50 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,352 persons per square kilometer, higher than the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Warwick's growth rate of 6.9% since census is within 2.8 percentage points of the national average of 9.7%. The primary driver was overseas migration contributing approximately 55% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in Jun 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth estimation, AreaSearch uses ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future population dynamics project an above median growth for the Warwick (WA) area, with an expected expansion of 631 persons to reach a total population of 4,755 by 2041, reflecting a 17.4% increase over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Warwick recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Warwick has recorded around 23 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 118 homes from FY-21 to FY-25. As of FY-26, 9 approvals have been recorded. Each dwelling built in this period accommodates an average of 2.2 new residents per year, reflecting robust demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost value for these dwellings is $304,000. In the current financial year, $5.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Perth, Warwick records 85.0% more new home approvals per person. Recent construction comprises 80.0% detached houses and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

The location has approximately 308 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Warwick is projected to add 717 residents by 2041. Development in the area is keeping pace with projected growth, though increasing competition among buyers can be expected as the population expands.

Warwick has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 49thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified two projects likely impacting the region: Warwick Quarter Mixed-Use Development and Stirling City Centre Infrastructure Package.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Warwick ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Warwick has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 3.5%, lower than the national average of 4.6%.

Over the past year, employment grew by 4.3% while the labour force increased by 3.8%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction stands out with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Mining has a limited presence in Warwick with 5.7% employment compared to 7.0% regionally.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 4.3%. In comparison, Greater Perth had employment growth of 2.9%. State-level data from November 25 shows WA employment contracted by 0.27%, with an unemployment rate of 4.6%. National employment forecasts suggest a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with local projections estimating Warwick's employment growth at 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Warwick suburb's median income in FY2023 was $53,125. Average income stood at $64,375. Greater Perth's figures were $60,748 (median) and $80,248 (average). By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $58,236 (median) and $70,568 (average), accounting for a 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since FY2023. Incomes in Warwick ranked modestly between the 48th and 50th percentiles according to 2021 Census figures. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captured 30.5% of individuals (1,257). Post-housing, 85.0% of income remained for other expenses. Warwick's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Warwick is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Warwick's residential structure, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 89.6% houses and 10.4% other dwellings such as semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Perth metropolitan area's structure which was 88.7% houses and 11.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warwick stood at 40.4%, with the rest being mortgaged (40.2%) or rented (19.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Warwick was $1,950, lower than Perth metro's average of $2,080. The median weekly rent figure in Warwick was recorded at $420, higher than Perth metro's $400. Nationally, Warwick's mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Warwick has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.4% of all households, including 31.2% couples with children, 30.0% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 26.6%, with lone person households at 23.5% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Perth average of 2.7.

Warwick performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Warwick has a tertiary education participation rate of 29.3% among residents aged 15 and above. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 20.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.6%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 34.3% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas make up 11.7% while certificates account for 22.6%.

Educational participation is high in Warwick, with 25.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in primary education, 7.1% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transportation in Warwick shows that there are currently 51 operational transport stops serving the city. These include a mix of train stations and bus stops. There are 19 distinct routes operating within Warwick, collectively facilitating 4,467 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent, with residents on average being situated just 168 meters away from their nearest transport stop. On a daily basis, the service frequency averages out to 638 trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 87 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warwick's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Warwick's health metrics closely match national benchmarks. Common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts are fairly standard.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~2,175 people), leading that of the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Perth's 60.2%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis (8.9%) and asthma (7.3%). 66.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 71.5% across Greater Perth. As of 2016 data, 22.9% of residents are aged 65 and over (944 people), higher than Greater Perth's 20.1%. Health outcomes among seniors in Warwick are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Warwick was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warwick's population showed high cultural diversity, with 15.2% speaking a language other than English at home and 33.3% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Warwick, accounting for 47.4%. Notably, Judaism had a higher representation in Warwick at 0.2%, compared to Greater Perth's 0.1%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (30.1%), Australian (22.3%), and Irish (8.8%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: New Zealanders were overrepresented at 1.1% in Warwick versus 0.9% regionally, South Africans at 0.9% compared to 1.8%, and Welsh people at 0.7% against 1.1%.

Warwick's median age exceeds the national pattern

Warwick's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 and slightly above Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Perth, Warwick has a notably higher proportion of the 75-84 age group (10.2%) and a lower proportion of 25-34 year-olds (11.8%). Post-2021 Census, the 75-84 cohort grew from 8.2% to 10.2%, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 11.3% to 12.7%. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort declined from 12.8% to 10.0%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 11.9% to 10.8%. By 2041, Warwick's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 85+ cohort is expected to grow by 210%, adding 233 residents to reach 345. Residents aged 65 and older are anticipated to represent 60% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are predicted for the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups.