Karrinyup

Population growth drivers in Karrinyup are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025, Karrinyup's estimated population is around 11,201. This reflects an increase of 1,315 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,886. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 11,001 following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 124 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level equates to a density ratio of 1,731 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Karrinyup's growth rate of 13.3% since the 2021 census exceeded both the national average (9.7%) and SA3 area averages. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 67.0%.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch uses ABS' latest Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Projected demographic shifts indicate an above median population growth for the Karrinyup statistical area (Lv2), with an expected increase of 1,605 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 9.4% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Karrinyup among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Karrinyup shows an average of 56 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 284 homes were approved, with a further 26 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an estimated 2.7 new residents per year for each dwelling over the past five financial years.

The average construction cost value of these dwellings is $697,000, indicating a focus on premium market segment properties. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $47.5 million, reflecting high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Perth, Karrinyup has shown moderately higher development activity, 26.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period.

However, recent periods have seen a moderation in development activity. Detached dwellings make up 77.0% of new developments, with townhouses or apartments comprising the remaining 23.0%, preserving Karrinyup's suburban identity. The area currently has around 256 people per approval, reflecting a transitioning market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Karrinyup is projected to grow by 1,058 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Karrinyup has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 19 such projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include West Village, Karrinyup Bus Depot Transformation, Stirling City Centre Sports Precinct, and Bold Park Community Facilities Upgrade. The following list details those projects likely to have the most relevance:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Karrinyup performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Karrinyup has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate is 1.6%, with estimated employment growth of 3.6% in the past year (AreaSearch data).

As of September 2025, 5785 residents are employed at a 2.4% lower unemployment rate than Greater Perth's 4.0%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Karrinyup specialises in professional & technical jobs with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level, but manufacturing is under-represented at 2.8% compared to Greater Perth's 5.5%.

Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data on working population vs resident population. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.6%, labour force by 3.2%, reducing unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth had employment growth of 2.9% and marginal unemployment rise. Statewide in WA, employment contracted by 0.27% (losing 5520 jobs) as of 25-Nov, with an unemployment rate of 4.6%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Karrinyup's employment mix suggests local growth of 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Karrinyup's median income among taxpayers is $65,850. The average income in the suburb is $94,089. This places Karrinyup among the highest income suburbs in Australia. In comparison, Greater Perth has a median income of $60,748 and an average income of $80,248. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for Karrinyup's median income would be approximately $72,185 by September 2025, with the average estimated to reach around $103,140 during the same period. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Karrinyup all rank highly nationally, between the 77th and 89th percentiles. Income distribution shows that the largest segment comprises 28.0% of residents earning $4,000 or more weekly, which is different from the surrounding region where the $1,500 - $2,999 category predominates at 32.0%. Economic strength in Karrinyup is evident with 41.7% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 13.4% of income, and strong earnings place residents within the 90th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Karrinyup is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Karrinyup, as per the latest Census evaluation, 86.9% of dwellings were houses while 13.1% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes and apartments. This is in contrast to Perth metropolitan area's figures of 59.6% houses and 40.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Karrinyup stood at 40.2%, with mortgaged properties at 40.9% and rented ones at 18.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,588, higher than Perth metro's average of $1,950. Weekly rent median in Karrinyup was $450, compared to Perth metro's $350. Nationally, Karrinyup's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Karrinyup features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.0% of all households, including 41.5% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 20.2% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.4.

Educational achievement in Karrinyup places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Karrinyup is notably high, with 41.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications as of the latest data. This compares to 27.9% in Western Australia (WA) and 29.0% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 28.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 8.5% and graduate diplomas at 4.6%. Vocational credentials are also common, with 27.2% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 11.2% and certificates for 16.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.0% in secondary education, 9.8% in primary education, and 5.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Karrinyup has 64 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 7 different routes that together facilitate 815 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average located 211 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 116 trips per day across all routes, which equates to about 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Karrinyup is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Karrinyup shows superior health outcomes, with low prevalence of common conditions across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 65% (7,230 people), compared to Greater Perth's 60.5%. Nationally, the average is 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 7.0 and 6.9% of residents respectively. 72.1% report no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Perth's 73.0%. Karrinyup has 20.2% seniors (2,262 people), higher than Greater Perth's 18.3%. Senior health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Karrinyup was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Karrinyup has a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 13.3% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 28.8% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Karrinyup, accounting for 50.1% of the population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented, comprising 0.3% compared to 1.4% across Greater Perth.

In terms of ancestry, English is the most represented group at 28.7%, higher than the regional average of 23.5%. Australian ancestry is also prevalent at 24.1%, surpassing the regional average of 18.8%. Irish ancestry makes up 8.9% of Karrinyup's population. Some other ethnic groups show significant differences: South African (1.3% vs regional 1.0%), Welsh (0.8% vs regional 0.6%), and Croatian (1.2% vs regional 1.1%).

Karrinyup's median age exceeds the national pattern

Karrinyup's median age is 41 years, significantly higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 and slightly above Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Perth, Karrinyup has a notably higher proportion of the 75-84 age group (8.6% locally) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.4%). Post-2021 Census, the 15-24 age group grew from 11.3% to 13.0%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 7.3% to 8.6%. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort decreased from 9.6% to 8.3%. By 2041, Karrinyup's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 85+ cohort is expected to grow by 130%, adding 482 residents to reach 852. Residents aged 65 and older are anticipated to represent 62% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups.