Karrinyup

Population growth drivers in Karrinyup are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Karrinyup is around 10,980, reflecting an increase of 1,094 people since the 2021 Census. The 2021 Census reported a population of 9,886 in the suburb. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 10,932 following their examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, along with an additional 124 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 1,697 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Karrinyup's growth rate of 11.1% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 8.9%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 67.0% to overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth estimation, AreaSearch uses ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, based on 2022 data. Future population trends project an above median growth for the suburb, with an expected increase of 1,600 persons to reach a total of 12,580 by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 11.6% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Karrinyup when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Karrinyup has experienced around 56 dwellings receiving development approval annually. An estimated 281 homes were approved over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, with a further 15 approved so far in FY-26. On average, each dwelling has accommodated approximately 2.7 new residents per year over these five years, indicating solid demand that supports property values.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $697,000, reflecting a developer focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. This financial year has seen $39.5 million in commercial approvals, suggesting robust local business investment. Relative to Greater Perth, Karrinyup has experienced slightly more development, at 25.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period, offering reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand.

Recent construction comprises 76.0% detached houses and 24.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Karrinyup reflects a transitioning market with around 272 people per approval. Looking ahead, Karrinyup is expected to grow by 1,274 residents through to 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development patterns continue, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Karrinyup has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include West Village, Karrinyup Bus Depot Transformation, Stirling City Centre Sports Precinct, and Bold Park Community Facilities Upgrade. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Karrinyup performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Karrinyup has a highly educated workforce. Professional services are strongly represented, with an unemployment rate of 1.6% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.1%. The unemployment rate in Karrinyup is 2.3% lower than Greater Perth's rate of 3.9%, while workforce participation is similar to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. Karrinyup shows strong specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

Manufacturing employs only 2.8% of local workers, below Greater Perth's 5.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 4.1%, while labour force increased by 3.8%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth experienced employment growth of 3.7% and labour force growth of 3.8%, with a slight rise in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Karrinyup. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Karrinyup's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Karrinyup's median income among taxpayers was $65,850 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $94,089 during the same period. These figures compare to Greater Perth's median and average incomes of $58,380 and $78,020 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest Karrinyup's median income will be approximately $75,201 and the average income will reach around $107,450, based on a 14.2% growth in wages since financial year 2022. Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Karrinyup rank between the 77th and 89th percentiles nationally. Income distribution reveals that 28.0% of locals (3,074 people) earn more than $4000 weekly, unlike broader trends where 32.0% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. A substantial proportion of high earners (41.7%) indicates strong economic capacity in the district. Housing accounts for 13.4% of income, and residents rank highly for disposable income, placing them within the 90th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Karrinyup is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Karrinyup's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.9% houses and 13.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasted with Perth metro's 59.6% houses and 40.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Karrinyup stood at 40.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.9% and rented ones at 18.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,588, higher than Perth metro's average of $1,950. Median weekly rent in Karrinyup was $450, compared to Perth metro's $350. Nationally, Karrinyup's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,588 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Karrinyup features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.0% of all households, including 41.5% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 20.2% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.4.

Educational achievement in Karrinyup places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Karrinyup is notably high with 41.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to the broader benchmarks of 27.9% in WA and 29.0% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.5%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational credentials are also prominent with 27.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (16.0%). Educational participation is high with 29.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including secondary (10.0%), primary (9.8%), and tertiary education (5.3%).

Karrinyup's five schools have a combined enrollment of 2,983 students, demonstrating significant socio-educational advantages and academic achievement with an ICSEA score of 1111. The educational mix includes four primary schools and one K-12 school. The area functions as an education hub with 27.2 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 14.5, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Karrinyup has 64 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 7 different routes that combined offer 834 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents typically living just 211 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 119 trips per day across all routes, which works out to about 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Karrinyup is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Karrinyup shows superior health outcomes with low prevalence rates for common conditions across both younger and older age groups. The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 65% (7,087 people), significantly higher than Greater Perth's 59.9%. Nationally, the average is 55.3%.

Arthritis and mental health issues are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 7.0% and 6.9% of residents respectively. Notably, 72.1% report no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Perth's 73.0%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.2% (2,217 people), compared to Greater Perth's 18.3%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are above average, mirroring the general population's profile.

Karrinyup was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Karrinyup, as of the latest data from 2016, has a higher proportion of residents speaking a language other than English at home compared to most local areas, with 13.3%. Born overseas, 28.8% of Karrinyup's population is above the regional average. Christianity is the predominant religion in Karrinyup, making up 50.1% of its residents.

Notably, Judaism is overrepresented in Karrinyup compared to Greater Perth, with 0.3% versus 1.4%. The top three ancestry groups in Karrinyup are English (28.7%), Australian (24.1%), and Irish (8.9%), all higher than the regional averages of 23.5%, 18.8%, and 6.0% respectively. Certain ethnic groups show notable differences: South African (1.3% vs 1.0%), Welsh (0.8% vs 0.6%), and Croatian (1.2% vs 1.1%) are overrepresented in Karrinyup compared to the regional averages.

Karrinyup hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Karrinyup's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Comparing with Greater Perth, Karrinyup has a notably higher proportion of the 75-84 age group (8.6% locally) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.4%). Post-2021 Census, the population aged 15-24 increased from 11.3% to 13.0%, while those aged 75-84 rose from 7.3% to 8.6%. Conversely, the 65-74 age group decreased from 9.6% to 8.3%. By 2041, Karrinyup's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 85+ cohort is expected to grow by 134%, adding 486 residents to reach 849. Residents aged 65 and older are anticipated to represent 60% of the population growth, while declines are projected for those aged 0-4 and 5-14 years.