Carine

Population growth drivers in Carine are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Analysis of ABS population updates for the wider region, alongside new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, indicates the population of the suburb of Carine is approximately 7,789 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 459 people (6.3%) compared to the 2021 Census, which recorded 7,330 residents. This shift is derived from a resident population of 7,734, estimated by AreaSearch using the ABS June 2025 ERP release, combined with an additional 80 validated new addresses since the Census. The resulting population density stands at 1,664 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average across national locations evaluated by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was the primary driver of this growth, accounting for approximately 67.0% of the total population gains in recent times.

AreaSearch employs ABS and Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 district, published in 2024 with a 2022 base year. For SA2 areas lacking this data, and for long-term projections beyond 2032, growth rates by age cohort from the latest ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, using 2022 data) are applied. Based on these demographic forecasts, the suburb of Carine is expected to experience population growth above the national median, expanding by 1,015 residents by 2041 according to collective SA2 projections, which represents a total increase of 12.3% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Carine recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

According to AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approvals compiled from statistical areas, the suburb of Carine recorded an average of roughly 19 new dwelling approvals annually, summing to an estimated 98 homes over the last 5 financial years. Thus far in FY-26, 87 approvals have been logged. Over the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, each dwelling averaged 2.6 new residents annually, indicating solid demand that supports property values. The average expected construction cost for these new homes is $697,000, pointing to a focus on high-end, premium properties by developers. Additionally, commercial approvals worth $470,000 were registered during the current financial year, highlighting the primarily residential character of the neighborhood.

Compared to Greater Perth, the rate of new dwelling approvals per person in the suburb of Carine is about two-thirds lower, placing it in the 52nd percentile of locations analyzed nationwide, despite a recent uptick in development. This rate sits below the national average, reflecting an established locality and pointing to potential zoning constraints. Recent building activity consists of 72.0% separate houses and 28.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the traditional suburban layout and catering to buyers seeking spacious family accommodation. With approximately 316 people per dwelling approval, the suburb of Carine exhibits low-density characteristics.

Projections indicate that the suburb of Carine will add 960 residents by 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. While new construction is progressing at a reasonable rate relative to this growth, prospective buyers may experience heightened competition as the population rises.

Carine has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure, key developments, and urban planning initiatives play a major role in shaping local performance. In total, 7 projects have been identified by AreaSearch as having a potential impact on the locality. Key initiatives include the Beachside Quarter, Carine Regional Open Space Sports Lighting Upgrade, Karrinyup Bus Depot Transformation, and the Smart Freeway Mitchell Southbound, with the following details focusing on those of greatest relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Carine places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

The suburb of Carine features a highly qualified labor force, with strong representation in professional services, an unemployment rate of only 1.1%, and an estimated employment growth of 3.0% over the last year according to AreaSearch statistical area data. In March 2026, working residents numbered 4,181, with the local unemployment rate sitting 3.1% below the Greater Perth rate of 4.2%. Participation in the labor force is slightly below the regional benchmark, at 68.0% compared to Greater Perth's 70.2%. Census data indicates a moderate 14.0% of residents worked from home, though this figure reflects the influence of COVID-19 restrictions.

The primary employment sectors for local residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The suburb of Carine shows a strong concentration in professional & technical services, with its share of employment reaching 1.5 times the regional average. Conversely, manufacturing accounts for only 3.3% of the local workforce, which is below the 5.5% recorded in Greater Perth. The comparison between the local working population and the resident population indicates that this highly residential neighborhood provides limited local job opportunities.

AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data for the broader statistical area shows a 12-month expansion in employment of 3.0% alongside a 3.1% rise in the labor force, causing unemployment to tick up by 0.1 percentage points. Over the same timeframe, Greater Perth saw employment grow by 2.0% and the labor force expand by 2.5%, while its unemployment rate rose by 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia published in May-25 offer additional context on future demand. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce profile to model potential expansion. While national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trends vary by sector. Applying these industry projections to the local mix suggests employment for residents of the suburb of Carine could rise by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, representing a basic weighted extrapolation that does not account for localized population growth projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch analysis of postcode-level ATO data released for financial year 2023, taxpayers in the suburb of Carine recorded a median income of $64,978 and an average income of $92,843. These figures are among the highest nationwide, comparing to Greater Perth averages of $60,748 and $80,248 respectively. Adjusting for Wage Price Index growth of 10.93% since financial year 2023, current estimates stand at approximately $72,080 for the median and $102,991 for the average as of March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census places household, family, and personal incomes in the suburb of Carine in the 75th to 89th national percentiles. Income distribution shows that 27.5% of the community, or 2,141 individuals, fall into the $4000+ weekly earnings bracket, whereas the regional trend peaks in the $1,500 - 2,999 range at 32.0%. A high concentration of affluent residents, with 41.5% earning above $3,000 weekly, points to substantial economic capacity. Residents retain 88.4% of their income after housing expenses, indicating high purchasing power and placing the area in the 9th decile for the SEIFA income index.

Carine is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

According to the latest Census, the housing mix in the suburb of Carine consisted of 85.8% standalone houses and 14.2% alternative dwellings such as semi-detached homes or apartments, compared to 77.8% houses and 22.1% alternative options across the Perth metropolitan area. Home ownership was significantly higher than the metropolitan average, standing at 45.9%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (44.2%) or rented (9.8%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $2,340 was well above the Perth metropolitan average of $1,907, and the median weekly rent of $450 exceeded the metropolitan rate of $350. Nationally, mortgage repayments in the suburb of Carine are notably higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are also well above the national median of $375.

Carine features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Families make up the vast majority of households in the suburb of Carine at 84.0%, consisting of couples with children at 44.2%, couples without children at 31.9%, and single-parent households at 7.3%. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.0%, with lone-person households comprising 15.3% and group households representing 1.0% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 individuals is larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

Educational achievement in Carine places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational qualification levels in the suburb of Carine are significantly higher than regional averages, with 42.9% of residents aged 15+ holding a university degree, compared to 27.9% across WA and 29.0% in the SA4 region. This educational profile positions the community well for professional services and knowledge-based roles. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 29.9%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 8.4% and graduate diplomas at 4.6%. Vocational and technical qualifications are also common, with 28.3% of residents aged 15+ holding credentials, split between advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (16.9%).

Enrolment in formal education is high, with 30.5% of the population in the suburb of Carine currently studying. This student population includes 12.7% attending primary schools, 8.7% enrolled in secondary education, and 4.7% undertaking tertiary studies.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport infrastructure includes 36 active bus stops within the suburb of Carine. These facilities are served by 7 distinct routes, which accommodate 1,430 passenger journeys weekly. Accessibility is favorable, with residents living an average of 248 meters from their nearest transit stop. Given the residential nature of the area, most workers commute out of the suburb, with private vehicles remaining the primary mode of travel at 82%, followed by train travel at 12%. Household vehicle ownership averages 1.8 cars per dwelling, higher than the metropolitan average. Additionally, 14.0% of residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-related conditions.

Daily bus services average 204 trips across all routes, which translates to roughly 39 weekly trips for each individual transit stop.

Carine's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health indicators demonstrate excellent outcomes in the suburb of Carine, based on AreaSearch analysis of mortality rates and chronic illness indicators. Younger cohorts show low rates of common health conditions, and private health insurance coverage is exceptionally high, covering approximately 64% of the population (4,989 people). This compares to 59.0% across Greater Perth and a national benchmark of 55.7%.

The most prevalent chronic conditions locally are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.7% and 7.2% of residents respectively. However, 70.0% of residents reported having no long-term medical conditions, compared to 71.9% in Greater Perth. Working-age cohorts are highly healthy with a low frequency of chronic illness. Residents aged 65 and over make up 23.9% of the population (1,861 people), which is higher than the Greater Perth average of 16.1%. Although health outcomes among seniors are strong, they rank lower nationally compared to the younger local demographic.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Carine was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

The suburb of Carine exhibits above-average cultural diversity, with 11.0% of the population speaking a non-English language at home and 30.5% of residents born overseas. Christianity is the most common religious affiliation, representing 49.4% of the community. The most notable religious overrepresentation occurs in Judaism, which accounts for 0.1% of the population, compared to 0.3% across Greater Perth.

Regarding parental ancestry, the three most common backgrounds in the suburb of Carine are English (31.3%), Australian (23.5%), and Irish (8.5%). There are also specific ethnic groups that show higher representation than regional averages, including Welsh at 1.0% (compared to 0.7% regionally), South Australian at 1.3% (compared to 1.0%), and Croatian at 1.0% (compared to 0.8%).

Carine hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in the suburb of Carine is 43 years, which is higher than the Greater Perth average of 37 and the national average of 38. The age distribution shows a high concentration of residents aged 65 - 74 years (12.7%), while the 25 - 34 age bracket is relatively small (6.2%) compared to Greater Perth. Since 2021, the proportion of residents aged 15 to 24 grew from 10.1% to 11.8%, and the 75 to 84 cohort expanded from 6.7% to 8.2%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 group fell from 14.2% to 12.7%, and the 0 to 4 group declined from 5.5% to 4.2%. Projections to 2041 indicate notable shifts, with the 85+ cohort expected to expand by 299 people (128%), rising from 233 to 533. The combined cohorts aged 65 and over are projected to drive 59% of total population growth, pointing to an aging demographic, while the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.