Carine

Population growth drivers in Carine are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates, the estimated population for the Carine statistical area as of November 2025 is around 7,823. This reflects an increase of 493 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,330. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 7,662 residents following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024 and additional validation of 40 new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,671 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Carine has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.5%, outpacing its SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 67.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Considering projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for statistical areas across the nation. The Carine (SA2) is expected to grow by 1,097 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 14.9% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Carine recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Carine has recorded around 14 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 71 homes were approved, with a further six approved so far in FY-26. On average, for every home built over these five years, there have been 8.1 new residents.

This demand significantly exceeds new supply, typically resulting in price growth and increased buyer competition. New properties are constructed at an average value of $697,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. There have also been $470,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting minimal commercial development activity compared to residential. When measured against Greater Perth, Carine shows substantially reduced construction, at 58.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

This activity is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 73.0% standalone homes and 27.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. The location has approximately 491 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. Looking ahead, Carine is expected to grow by 1,169 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Carine has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified seven such projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Beachside Quarter, Carine Regional Open Space Sports Lighting Upgrade, Karrinyup Bus Depot Transformation, and Smart Freeway Mitchell Southbound. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Carine rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Carine has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 1.1%, showing a 3.8% employment growth in the past year (AreaSearch data).

As of September 2025, there are 4,244 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 2.9% below Greater Perth's 4.0%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Perth at 65.2%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Notably, professional & technical employment is at 1.5 times the regional average, while manufacturing shows lower representation at 3.3% compared to the regional average of 5.5%.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 3.8%, labour force grew by 3.4%, reducing unemployment by 0.3 percentage points (AreaSearch analysis). In contrast, Greater Perth saw employment grow by 2.9% with a marginal unemployment rise. State-wide in WA, employment contracted by 0.27% between November 2024 and November 2025, with an unemployment rate of 4.6%. Nationally, employment grew by 0.14% during this period. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Carine's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.8% in five years and 14.0% in ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Carine suburb had a median taxpayer income of $64,978 and an average income of $92,843. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Perth's median of $60,748 and average of $80,248. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $71,229 (median) and $101,774 (average). The 2021 Census places Carine's household, family, and personal incomes between the 75th and 89th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 27.5% of Carine residents earn over $4,000 annually (2,151 individuals), contrasting with Perth's leading bracket of $1,500 - $2,999 at 32.0%. The suburb demonstrates affluence with 41.5% earning over $3,000 weekly after housing costs, indicating strong purchasing power and a SEIFA income ranking in the 9th decile.

Carine is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Carine, as per the latest Census evaluation, 85.8% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 14.2% being semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types of dwellings. This contrasts with Perth metropolitan area's dwelling structure, which was 59.6% houses and 40.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Carine stood at 45.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.2% and rented ones at 9.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,340, higher than Perth metro's average of $1,950. The median weekly rent figure for Carine was $450, compared to Perth metro's $350. Nationally, Carine's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,340 against the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Carine features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.0% of all households, including 44.2% couples with children, 31.9% couples without children, and 7.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.0%, with lone person households at 15.3% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.4.

Educational achievement in Carine places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Carine is notably high, with 42.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications, compared to 27.9% in WA and 29.0% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 29.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 28.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas comprise 11.4% and certificates make up 16.9%. Educational participation is high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.7% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 33 active transport stops in Carine, consisting of bus services. Seven routes operate these stops, facilitating 1,430 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents positioned on average 248 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 204 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 43 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Carine is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Carine demonstrates superior health outcomes with both younger and older age groups experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 64% of the total population (5,011 people), surpassing Greater Perth's 60.5% and the national average of 55.7%. Arthritis and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 7.7% and 7.2% of residents respectively, while 70.0% report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Perth's 73.0%.

The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, with 24.2% (1,893 people), compared to Greater Perth's 18.3%. Health outcomes among seniors in Carine are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Carine was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Carine's cultural diversity was found to be above average, with 11.0% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 30.5% born overseas. Christianity was the main religion in Carine, comprising 49.4% of people there, compared to Greater Perth where it is 48.7%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented in Carine at 0.1%, higher than the regional average of 0.03%.

In terms of ancestry, English was the most represented group in Carine at 31.3%, significantly higher than the regional average of 23.5%. Australian and Irish were the next two most represented groups at 23.5% and 8.5% respectively. Notably, Welsh (1.0%), South African (1.3%), and Croatian (1.0%) were also overrepresented compared to Greater Perth averages of 0.6%, 1.0%, and 1.1% respectively.

Carine hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Carine is 43 years, significantly higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and exceeding the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 years are particularly prominent, comprising 13.1% of the population, while those aged 25-34 years make up only 6.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 6.7% to 8.1%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has risen from 10.1% to 11.4%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age group has decreased from 14.2% to 13.1%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Carine's age structure. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially by 339 people (54%), from 633 to 973. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 59% of total population growth, reflecting Carine's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.