Carine

Population growth drivers in Carine are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Carine is around 7,736. This reflects an increase of 406 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,330. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 7,693 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 40 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,653 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Carine has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.5%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 67.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Considering projected demographic shifts, above median population growth is projected for statistical areas across the nation, with Carine expected to grow by 1,101 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 16.3% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Carine according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Carine has recorded around 13 residential properties granted approval annually. Approximately 69 homes were approved over the past five financial years, between FY21 and FY25, with an additional two approved so far in FY26. On average, 8.3 new residents per year are associated with every home built during these five financial years.

This demand significantly exceeds new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. New properties are constructed at an average value of $697,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY26, there have been $9.1 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited commercial development focus compared to residential. When measured against Greater Perth, Carine shows substantially reduced construction activity, at 59.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This activity is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

Recent construction comprises 60.0% standalone homes and 40.0% townhouses or apartments, showing an expanding range of medium-density options creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, currently at 86.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The location has approximately 827 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. Looking ahead, Carine is expected to grow by 1,260 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Carine has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects expected to impact the region. Notable ones are Beachside Quarter, Carine Regional Open Space Sports Lighting Upgrade, Karrinyup Bus Depot Transformation, and Smart Freeway Mitchell Southbound. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Carine performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Carine boasts a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate stands at 1.0%, having seen an estimated employment growth of 4.4% over the past year (AreaSearch aggregation).

As of June 2025, 4,282 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.8% lower than Greater Perth's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Perth at 65.2%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Notably, employment in professional & technical services is 1.5 times the regional average, while manufacturing shows lower representation at 3.3% compared to the regional average of 5.5%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over the year ending June 2025, employment increased by 4.4%, labour force by 4.1%, reducing unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth saw employment grow by 3.7% and unemployment rise slightly. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Carine's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Carine had a median taxpayer income of $64,978 and an average income of $92,843. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Perth's median of $58,380 and average of $78,020. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Carine would be approximately $74,205 (median) and $106,027 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census places household, family, and personal incomes in Carine between the 75th and 89th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 27.5% of individuals earn over $4,000 annually (2,127 individuals), contrasting with the region's leading bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 at 32.0%. Carine demonstrates affluence with 41.5% earning over $3,000 weekly after housing costs, indicating strong purchasing power and placing it in the 9th decile for SEIFA income ranking.

Carine is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Carine, as per the latest Census, 85.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 14.2% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. In contrast, Perth metro had 59.6% houses and 40.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Carine stood at 45.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.2% and rented ones at 9.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,340, exceeding Perth metro's average of $1,950. Median weekly rent in Carine was $450, higher than Perth metro's $350. Nationally, Carine's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,340 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Carine features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.0% of all households, including 44.2% couples with children, 31.9% couples without children, and 7.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.0%, with lone person households at 15.3% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.4.

Educational achievement in Carine places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Carine is notably high, with 42.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 27.9% in WA and 29.0% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 29.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 28.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 11.4% and certificates for 16.9%. Educational participation is high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.7% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education. Carine Senior High School and Carine Primary School serve a total of 3,055 students. The area has significant socio-educational advantages with an ICSEA score of 1115. Educational provision is conventional, with one primary and one secondary institution. The area functions as an education hub, offering 39.5 school places per 100 residents – significantly higher than the regional average of 14.5 – attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Carine has 33 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 7 different routes, offering a total of 1,428 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility in Carine is rated good, with residents on average being 248 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 204 trips per day across all routes, which amounts to about 43 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Carine is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Carine shows superior health results with both young and elderly cohorts experiencing low rates of common health conditions. Approximately 64% of Carine's total population (4955 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Perth's 59.9%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions in Carine are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.7% and 7.2% of residents respectively. 70.0% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Perth's 73.0%. As of 18 September 2021, 24.2% of Carine's residents are aged 65 or over (1872 people), higher than Greater Perth's 18.3%. Health outcomes among seniors in Carine are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Carine was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Carine's cultural diversity was found to be above average, with 11.0% of its population speaking a language other than English at home as of the latest available data. This is compared to the regional average of approximately 8%. Additionally, 30.5% of Carine's population were born overseas, higher than the Greater Perth average of around 27%.

Christianity was found to be the main religion in Carine, with 49.4% of people identifying as such. However, Judaism was notably overrepresented in Carine compared to the region, comprising 0.1% of the population versus a regional average of 1.4%. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups were English at 31.3%, Australian at 23.5%, and Irish at 8.5%. Notably, Welsh was overrepresented in Carine at 1.0% compared to the regional average of 0.6%, South African at 1.3% versus 1.0%, and Croatian at 1.0% versus 1.1%.

Carine hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Carine is 43 years, significantly higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 years make up a substantial portion at 13.1%, while those aged 25-34 years are relatively smaller at 6.0%. Between 2021 and present, the percentage of those aged 75 to 84 has increased from 6.7% to 8.1%, and the 15 to 24 age group has risen from 10.1% to 11.4%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age group has decreased from 14.2% to 13.1%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Carine's age structure. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to rise by 56%, from 626 to 975 people. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 58% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.