Carine

Population growth drivers in Carine are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As per ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the estimated population of Carine is around 7,835 as of Feb 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 505 people (6.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,330 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 7,662 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 40 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 1,674 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Carine has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.5%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 67.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth across all areas post-2032, AreaSearch utilises the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future population trends project an above median growth for national areas, with Carine expected to increase by 1,091 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 14.6% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Carine recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis using ABS building approval numbers from statistical area data, Carine averaged approximately 14 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 71 homes. As of FY26, six approvals have been recorded. This results in an average of around 8.1 new residents per year for every home built between FY21 and FY25, indicating significant demand exceeding supply. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $697,000, reflecting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties.

In FY26, commercial approvals valued at $470,000 have been registered, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Perth, Carine has significantly less development activity, 58.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This is also under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity shows 73.0% standalone homes and 27.0% attached dwellings, preserving Carine's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

With around 491 people per dwelling approval, Carine indicates a developed market. Future projections estimate Carine adding approximately 1,141 residents by 2041, from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Carine has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects are Beachside Quarter, Carine Regional Open Space Sports Lighting Upgrade, Karrinyup Bus Depot Transformation, and Smart Freeway Mitchell Southbound. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Carine performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Carine has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate is 1.1%, showing an estimated growth of 3.8% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of September 2025, there are 4,241 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.9% below Greater Perth's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation is lower than standard at 69.6%, compared to Greater Perth's 71.6%. According to Census responses, 14.0% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training sectors. Notably, the area has a high concentration in professional & technical employment at 1.5 times the regional average.

Conversely, manufacturing shows lower representation at 3.3% versus the regional average of 5.5%. The predominantly residential area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population compared to resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 3.8% alongside labour force increasing by 3.5%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.3 percentage points. In Greater Perth, employment grew by 2.9%, labour force expanded by 3.0%, and unemployment rose marginally during this period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Carine. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with differing growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Carine's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Carine had a median taxpayer income of $64,978 and an average income of $92,843. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Perth's median of $60,748 and average of $80,248. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $71,229 (median) and $101,774 (average). The 2021 Census ranks Carine's household, family, and personal incomes highly, between the 75th and 89th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 27.5% of Carine residents earn over $4,000 annually (2,154 individuals), contrasting with Greater Perth where 32.0% fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket. The suburb demonstrates affluence with 41.5% earning over $3,000 weekly after housing costs, reflecting strong purchasing power and supporting premium retail and service offerings. Carine's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Carine is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Carine, as per the latest Census, 85.8% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 14.2% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This compares to Perth metro's 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Carine stood at 45.9%, with mortgaged properties at 44.2% and rented ones at 9.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,340, exceeding the Perth metro average of $1,907. The median weekly rent was $450 compared to Perth's $350. Nationally, Carine's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Carine features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 84.0% of all households, including 44.2% couples with children, 31.9% couples without children, and 7.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.0%, with lone person households at 15.3% and group households making up 1.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

Educational achievement in Carine places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

In Carine, the level of educational attainment is notably higher than broader averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 42.9% have university qualifications, compared to 27.9% in Western Australia (WA) and 29.0% in the SA4 region. This high proportion positions Carine favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 29.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 8.4% and graduate diplomas at 4.6%.

Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.3% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 11.4% and certificates for 16.9%. Educational participation is notably high in Carine, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.7% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Carine has 36 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by seven different routes that together facilitate 1,430 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically living within 248 meters of the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area. Cars remain the dominant mode of transportation for commuting, used by 82% of residents, while trains are used by 12%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.8, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 14.0% of residents work from home, a figure that may reflect COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 204 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Carine's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Carine's health outcomes show notable results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were very low, especially among younger cohorts. Approximately 64% of Carine's total population (5,019 people) had private health cover, compared to Greater Perth's 59.0% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions were arthritis at 7.7% and asthma at 7.2%, while 70.0% of residents reported no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Perth's 71.9%. Working-age residents had low chronic condition prevalence. Carine has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 24.9% (1,950 people), compared to Greater Perth's 16.3%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Carine are strong but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Carine was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Carine's cultural diversity was found to be above average, with 11.0% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 30.5% born overseas. Christianity was the dominant religion in Carine, comprising 49.4% of people. Judaism, however, was overrepresented compared to Greater Perth, making up 0.1% of Carine's population versus 0.3%.

The top three ancestry groups were English at 31.3%, Australian at 23.5%, and Irish at 8.5%. Notable divergences included Welsh being overrepresented at 1.0% compared to the regional average of 0.7%, South African at 1.3% versus 1.0%, and Croatian at 1.0% versus 0.8%.

Carine hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Carine is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that 65-74 year-olds comprise 13.2% of the population, while those aged 25-34 make up only 5.8%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of 75-84 year-olds has increased from 6.7% to 8.5%, and the 15-24 cohort has risen from 10.1% to 11.6%. Conversely, the 0-4 age group has decreased from 5.5% to 4.4%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Carine's age structure. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 329 people (131%), from 250 to 580. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 57% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 5-14 and 35-44 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.