Mount Nasura

An assessment of population growth drivers in Mount Nasura reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

According to ABS demographic updates for the wider region and new address verifications by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Mount Nasura has a population estimated at 3,233 as of May 2026. This represents an addition of 236 residents (7.9%) relative to the 2,997 individuals recorded during the 2021 Census. This adjustment is calculated from an AreaSearch estimated resident count of 3,215, which was derived from the ABS ERP release from June 2025 alongside an extra 23 validated new addresses registered after the Census. The resulting population density stands at 1,158 persons per square kilometer, aligning closely with typical benchmarks recorded by AreaSearch. The suburb of Mount Nasura's 7.9% post-census expansion rate is within 1.4 percentage points of the 9.3% national benchmark, indicating steady growth dynamics. Interstate migration was the primary driver of these gains, accounting for roughly 54.0% of the population growth in recent times, though positive trends were also observed across other components like overseas arrivals and natural increase.

AreaSearch incorporates regional demographic projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia published in 2024, utilizing 2022 as its baseline. In instances where specific SA2 regions lack this data, and for modeling growth beyond 2032, cohort-specific growth rates from the 2023 Greater Capital Region projections (utilizing 2022 baselines) are applied. Anticipating these changing age dynamics, projections indicate that the suburb of Mount Nasura will achieve population growth exceeding the median of surveyed locations. Specifically, combined SA2 projections forecast an increase of 509 residents by 2041, representing a total gain of 15.2% over a 16-year timeframe.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Mount Nasura recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch calculations based on ABS building permit records aggregated from regional statistical data indicate that Mount Nasura averages roughly 10 residential permits annually, accumulating to approximately 53 dwellings constructed over the previous 5 financial years. Thus far during FY-26, 5 permits have been documented. The average construction cost for these new dwellings is $324,000, with demand supported by an average of 2.6 new occupants per dwelling annually during the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25. Additionally, commercial building permits worth $2.6 million have been registered during the current financial year, highlighting that the area remains predominantly residential.

Compared to the broader Greater Perth area, Mount Nasura experiences very quiet construction trends, registering 69.0% below the metropolitan per capita average. This limited introduction of new inventory typically bolsters demand and supports prices for established homes. The volume of approvals also lags behind national benchmarks, suggesting a mature suburb and hinting at potential local planning constraints. Furthermore, new building activity consists entirely of separate houses, maintaining the low-density neighborhood character favored by families looking for space. With approximately 291 residents per residential approval, Mount Nasura is experiencing a shifting marketplace.

Long-term forecasts suggest Mount Nasura will add 491 residents by 2041, according to the latest quarterly calculations by AreaSearch. If residential building rates do not increase from current levels, housing supply may fail to match population growth, potentially heightening competition among buyers and supporting upward price trends.

Mount Nasura has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

Local infrastructure projects, planning choices, and development initiatives are major factors in regional performance. AreaSearch has identified 10 key projects that are expected to influence the local area. Important developments include the Morgan Park Redevelopment, the Armadale Strategic Metropolitan Centre Redevelopment, Forrestdale Business Park, and the Champion Drive Precinct, with details provided on those of greatest local relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Mount Nasura has been broadly consistent with national averages

Mount Nasura is home to a qualified workforce with a strong presence in essential services, showing a low unemployment rate of 3.7% and a modest 1.2% increase in jobs over the previous year, according to AreaSearch regional aggregations. As of March 2026, working residents numbered 1,732, with an unemployment rate 0.5% below the Greater Perth figure of 4.2%. Participation in the labor force is somewhat lower than average, standing at 66.5% compared to 70.2% across Greater Perth. Census records indicate that a minor 7.7% of the workforce operated from home, though this figure was likely influenced by pandemic-related lockdowns.

The main industries employing local residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Conversely, the accommodation & food sector accounts for only 3.8% of local employment, falling short of the 6.8% metropolitan average. The heavily residential nature of the suburb means local job creation is limited, as shown by comparing the count of resident workers against the locally employed population at the Census.

According to AreaSearch evaluations of SALM and ABS statistics for the surrounding region, the 12-month window experienced a 1.2% rise in employment alongside a 1.5% expansion of the labor force, resulting in a 0.3 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. Over the identical timeframe, Greater Perth saw employment grow by 2.0%, the labor force expand by 2.5%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. Job prospects can be further understood via national employment projections published in May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia. These five-year and ten-year forecasts have been applied to the local workforce structure to model future employment trends. Nationally, employment is predicted to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary by sector. Projecting these industry trends onto the local workforce mix indicates that employment among Mount Nasura residents is set to rise by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, representing a simple industry-weighted extrapolation that does not incorporate local population forecasts.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Taxpayer data from the ATO at the postcode level shows Mount Nasura had a median income of $45,921 and an average income of $53,882 for the financial year 2023. These figures are lower than national metrics, and sit below the median of $60,748 and average of $80,248 recorded across Greater Perth. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.93% since the financial year 2023, local incomes are estimated to have reached approximately $50,940 for the median and $59,771 for the average by March 2026. According to the Census, local household, family, and individual incomes are moderate, placing between the 43rd and 50th percentiles nationally. A share of 33.2% of the population, representing 1,073 residents, receives incomes in the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which is similar to the regional proportion of 32.0%. Once housing costs are met, households retain 86.3% of their income for other living costs, and the suburb ranks in the 5th decile of the SEIFA income index.

Mount Nasura is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Residential patterns in Mount Nasura at the time of the Census showed that separate houses accounted for 96.5% of the housing stock, while semi-detached properties, apartments, and other dwellings comprised 3.6%. This contrasts with the wider Perth metropolitan area, where houses made up 77.8% and other styles accounted for 22.1%. Outright home ownership in Mount Nasura was high at 38.4%, with mortgaged properties representing 50.2% and rental properties making up 11.5% of households. The typical monthly mortgage payment was $1,733 and median weekly rent was $345, both below the metropolitan averages of $1,907 and $350. Nationally, these figures are also below the Australian median mortgage payment of $1,863 and the weekly rent benchmark of $375.

Mount Nasura features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Families comprise the majority of local households at 78.2%, which is made up of couples with children at 29.8%, childless couples at 37.0%, and single parent households at 10.6%. The remaining 21.8% consists of non-family households, with single-person households representing 19.1% and group shared homes accounting for 2.8%. The median size of local households is 2.5 persons, which is slightly lower than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

Mount Nasura shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational profiles indicate room for improvement, as the proportion of residents with university degrees stands at 19.7%, which is lower than the nationwide average of 30.4%. This highlights potential areas for targeted academic programs. Among degree holders, bachelor qualifications are most common at 13.3%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 3.7% and graduate diplomas at 2.7%. Vocational qualifications are widespread, with 42.1% of residents aged 15+ holding practical trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificate level qualifications at 30.4%.

Engagement in learning is strong, with 25.2% of the population enrolled in an educational institution. This population consists of 8.4% attending primary school, 7.1% enrolled in secondary education, and 4.1% studying at a tertiary level.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport services in Mount Nasura include 12 active passenger stops served by bus routes. These stops accommodate 3 separate routes that provide a combined 349 weekly passenger journeys. Transport access is moderate, with residents living an average of 425 meters from their nearest stop. Given the suburb's residential nature, most workers commute out of the area, with private cars remaining the primary travel mode at 89% and trains used by 6% of commuters. Average vehicle ownership stands at 1.8 cars per home, which is above the metropolitan average. A relatively low 7.7% of residents worked from home, based on 2021 Census data which was likely influenced by pandemic conditions.

Public transport services average 49 daily trips across all local routes, which represents approximately 29 weekly departures for each individual stop.

Mount Nasura's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health indicators are generally positive for the local population, with AreaSearch evaluations of mortality rates and medical conditions matching national averages. The prevalence of common illnesses remains typical across both younger and older cohorts. Private health insurance coverage is low, with approximately 49% of the population, or about 1,571 residents, having cover. This is below the Greater Perth average of 59.0% and the Australian average of 55.7%.

The most common medical diagnoses in the suburb are arthritis, affecting 9.1% of residents, and mental health conditions, affecting 8.7%. Meanwhile, 65.7% of the population reported no chronic health issues, compared to 71.9% across the Greater Perth area. Health profiles for working-age residents are typical. Residents aged 65 and older account for 23.9% of the population, which equals 772 individuals, higher than the Greater Perth proportion of 16.1%. Senior health outcomes are favorable, with national rankings aligning with wider demographic benchmarks.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mount Nasura was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Cultural diversity in Mount Nasura is higher than in most comparable local areas, with 10.5% of residents speaking a non-English language at home and 34.8% born outside Australia. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 48.4% of the population. A notable religious divergence is seen in Islam, which is practiced by 1.1% of residents, lower than the 3.2% recorded across Greater Perth.

Looking at parental birthplaces, the most common ancestries are English at 35.2%, which is higher than the regional average of 28.0%, followed by Australian at 21.5%, and Scottish at 8.8%. Other European and international backgrounds show some variations, with Dutch ancestry overrepresented at 4.0% compared to 1.5% regionally, Welsh at 0.8% compared to 0.7% regionally, and South Australian at 0.6% compared to 1.0% regionally.

Mount Nasura hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

With a median age of 44, Mount Nasura is older than the Greater Perth average of 37 and the national average of 38. The 65 - 74 age bracket is highly represented at 13.0% compared to Greater Perth, while the 25 - 34 bracket is less common at 10.7%. Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 85 and over has increased from 1.8% to 3.5%. Over the same period, the 45 to 54 cohort fell from 12.6% to 10.4%, and the 55 to 64 group declined from 15.4% to 14.1%. Projections suggest the age structure will change significantly by 2041. The group aged 85 and over is forecast to grow by 117% (adding 131 people) to reach 245 residents, up from 113. This aging trend is prominent, with residents aged 65 and older accounting for 68% of all projected growth, while declines are expected in the 5 to 14 and 35 to 44 age brackets.