Mooroopna

Population growth drivers in Mooroopna are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates, the estimated population of Mooroopna as of November 2025 is around 8,408. This reflects an increase of 96 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,312 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 8,316 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 156 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 210 persons per square kilometer. Mooroopna's 1.2% growth since census positions it within 2.3 percentage points of the SA4 region (3.5%). Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 93.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the area expected to grow by 3,838 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 44.5% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Mooroopna recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Mooroopna averaged approximately 55 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years (FY-21 to FY-25). This totals an estimated 276 homes. As of FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. On average, around 0 new residents arrived per new home annually during this period.

New construction has kept pace with or exceeded demand, providing more options for buyers and facilitating population growth. The average expected construction cost value of new properties was $378,000, below the regional average. In FY-26, there have been $12.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating moderate commercial development levels.

Compared to Rest of Vic., Mooroopna has similar development levels per capita, maintaining market equilibrium with surrounding areas. New developments consist of 92% detached houses and 8% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's traditional low-density character focused on family homes. The population density is approximately 200 people per dwelling approval. By 2041, Mooroopna is projected to grow by 3,745 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to meet population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Mooroopna has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 20 projects that could impact this region. Notable ones are Mooroopna West Growth Corridor Structure Plan, Seven Creeks Estate, Goulburn Valley Water Infrastructure Upgrades, and GV Link Enterprise Park. The following details those likely to be most relevant.

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The employment landscape in Mooroopna presents a mixed picture: unemployment remains low at 4.0%, yet recent job losses have affected its comparative national standing

Mooroopna has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar employment. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are strongly represented, and the unemployment rate is 4.0%.

As of June 2025, 3,521 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.2% higher than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in Mooroopna lags at 50.4%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing employment is particularly notable, at 1.5 times the regional average.

Public administration & safety has limited presence with 4.4% employment compared to 6.5% regionally. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, labour force decreased by 14.5% and employment declined by 15.5%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.1 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of Vic., where employment contracted by 0.9%, labour force fell by 0.4%, and unemployment rose 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mooroopna's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

Mooroopna's median income among taxpayers was $45,395 in financial year 2022, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. The average income stood at $50,616 during the same period. These figures compare to Rest of Vic.'s median and average incomes of $48,741 and $60,693 respectively. By September 2025, current estimates project Mooroopna's median income to be approximately $50,915 and average income to reach around $56,771, based on a 12.16% growth in wages since financial year 2022. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Mooroopna all fall between the 8th and 16th percentiles nationally. In terms of income distribution, 27.5% of Mooroopna's population (2,312 individuals) earn within the $400 - $799 range, unlike surrounding regions where earnings predominantly fall in the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket at 30.3%. After accounting for housing costs, 85.4% of income remains in Mooroopna, which ranks at only the 11th percentile nationally.

Mooroopna is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Mooroopna's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 80.7% houses and 19.3% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic. had 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mooroopna was 36.5%, similar to Non-Metro Vic., with mortgaged dwellings at 31.6% and rented ones at 31.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,148, below Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,300. The median weekly rent was $250, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $260. Nationally, Mooroopna's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,148 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Mooroopna features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 62.3% of all households, including 20.2% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 15.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 37.7%, with lone person households at 34.6% and group households comprising 3.2%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.5.

Mooroopna faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 12.8%, significantly lower than the Victorian average of 33.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 8.6%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.4%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.8%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 41.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (30.5%).

Educational participation is notably high at 29.4%, including 10.8% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 2.4% pursuing tertiary education. Mooroopna's three schools have a combined enrollment of 660 students as of the latest data. The area has varied educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 913. All three schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. Local school capacity is limited at 7.8 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 15.9, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mooroopna has 69 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 25 different routes, which together provide 268 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 196 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency stands at approximately 38 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 3 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Mooroopna is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Mooroopna faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Only approximately 47% (~3,946 people) have private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.8%) and mental health issues (11.6%), while 56.1% report no medical ailments, compared to 64.8% in Rest of Vic.. Residents aged 65 and over constitute 23.1% (1,942 people), higher than the 18.9% in Rest of Vic.. Senior health outcomes present challenges similar to those of the general population.

Mooroopna ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mooroopna has a cultural diversity index below the average, with 84.3% of its population being Australian citizens, 87.2% born in Australia, and 90.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 49.9% of Mooroopna's population. The most significant overrepresentation is seen in the 'Other' category, which makes up 1.3% of the population compared to 2.7% across the rest of Victoria.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (29.8%), Australian (28.4%), and Irish (8.5%). There are notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal is overrepresented at 5.5% compared to 2.9% regionally, Italian at 4.6% versus 6.0%, and Samoan at 0.3% versus 0.4%.

Mooroopna hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Mooroopna's median age in 2021 was 42 years, similar to Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile showed that the 25-34 year-olds were particularly prominent at 15.5%, while the 5-14 group was smaller at 10.4% compared to Rest of Vic.. Between 2021 and the present, the 25-34 age group grew from 12.8% to 15.5%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 12.4% to 11.0%, and the 5-14 group dropped from 11.6% to 10.4%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Mooroopna. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to grow by 81%, adding 1,049 residents to reach 2,353. Meanwhile, the 55-64 cohort grows by a modest 6% (59 people).