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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Numurkah has an estimated 4,593 residents. Density is about 24 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to ABS population statistics analyzed for the wider region alongside new addresses verified by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Numurkah has an estimated population of 4,593 in May 2026. This represents a drop of 11 people (0.2%) from the 2021 Census, which recorded 4,604 residents. This variation is calculated from the resident population of 4,593, which AreaSearch calculated by studying the latest ABS ERP release from June 2025 and incorporating 88 validated new addresses since the Census. This population size results in a density of 23 persons per square kilometer, indicating residents have plenty of space.
Although the suburb of Numurkah saw a 0.2% reduction since the census, the broader SA4 region recorded 1.0% growth, showing contrasting demographic trends. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth locally, accounting for approximately 66.0% of all population increases recently. AreaSearch utilizes projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia for individual SA2 sectors, which were published in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. In cases where SA2 areas lack this coverage, projections from the VIC State Government's 2023 Regional/LGA release are employed, adjusted via a weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. The age group growth rates from these aggregations are also projected forward for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking at future demographic patterns, substantial population growth is anticipated in the top quarter of non-metropolitan locations, with the suburb of Numurkah projected to expand by 1,621 residents by 2041 using aggregated SA2 projections, representing a total increase of 35.3% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
133 new dwellings have been approved in Numurkah over the past five years, an average of 26 a year. That is 5.8 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 23 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 78% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 29, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
An evaluation of ABS building approvals by AreaSearch, distributed from statistical area statistics, indicates that the suburb of Numurkah averages approximately 26 residential approvals annually, with a total of 133 residential builds approved over the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, and 27 approvals so far during FY-26. Given the local population decline, the new housing supply has likely matched local demand, providing buyers with options, while new homes carry a mean construction cost of $442,000, suggesting developers are concentrating on higher-end properties. Furthermore, commercial development approvals totaling $11.6 million have been registered during this financial year, showing ongoing commercial investment.
In comparison to the Rest of Vic., the suburb of Numurkah achieves about 68% of the per capita building activity, ranking in the 79th percentile of all examined locations nationally. Recent approvals consist of 78.0% standalone houses and 22.0% medium and high-density options, preserving the traditional low-density profile of the community with standalone houses suitable for families wanting space. Averaging around 146 people for each approved dwelling, the suburb of Numurkah displays typical low-density metrics. Long-term forecasts indicate the suburb of Numurkah will add 1,621 residents by 2041 based on the most recent quarterly projections from AreaSearch. If building activity remains at its current pace, the supply of housing may fall behind population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and driving up values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Numurkah
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 73 current infrastructure and development projects close to Numurkah, worth an estimated $4.93 billion. 19 are already under construction and 19 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure updates, major projects, and local planning decisions are critical drivers of regional performance. AreaSearch has identified a single project likely to influence the local area. Key regional developments include the Katunga Water Supply Pipeline Project, Shepparton Line Upgrade, Edward River Growth Strategy 2050, and North East Rail Line Upgrade, with the most relevant local projects detailed below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
VICSES Cobram Unit
A new fit-for-purpose facility for the VICSES Cobram Unit, featuring four motor bays, office space, communications room, and training areas. It enables effective responses to rescues, floods, storms, and supports local emergency services while aiding volunteer retention and recruitment.
Cobram Village
A neighbourhood retail centre featuring a 3,800 sqm Coles supermarket, Liquorland, Chemist Warehouse, and specialty retailers, providing convenient shopping in an underserved area within a ~70km radius.
NCN Health Cobram Campus Redevelopment
A comprehensive multi-stage upgrade of the NCN Health Cobram Campus. Stage 1 delivered a new Urgent Care Centre with expanded floor space, a dedicated entry, a new ambulance bay, and dual waiting areas. Subsequent stages, completed by late 2024, involved refurbishing the acute ward, constructing a new ultrasound room, remodeling patient rooms with ensuites, and installing new firewalls and reception areas to enhance infection control and safety.
Cobram Secondary College Modular Building
Replaced an older building containing asbestos with a new architecturally-designed permanent modular building. Modular facilities require less time for planning and construction, resulting in reduced disruption to students and staff. They are sustainable and innovatively designed, with a comparable lifespan to traditional structures.
Thompsons Beach and Kennedy Park Precinct Plan
The Thompsons Beach and Kennedy Park Precinct Plan aims to develop a precinct master plan and concept plan to guide future infrastructure developments at the site. It includes reviewing existing partnerships, co-designing a shared governance model, untangling red-tape to remove barriers for tourism and events, enhancing community quality of life through cultural and recreational improvements, boosting productivity via tourism growth and operational efficiencies, and building resilience against ageing infrastructure, extreme weather, and other challenges. Early community consultation occurred in March and April 2026 to collect feedback and guide concept designs throughout 2026.
The North Quarter Estate
Premium master-planned residential estate developed by URBAN Land Projects on a former orchard site in northern Shepparton. The estate spans multiple stages delivering generous lots (from approximately 348m2 to over 800m2), with Stage 1 (73 lots) and Stages 2, 3A and 4 now progressed. Stage 4 is actively selling with most lots sold. Key features include signalised estate entry off Verney Road, public open space, playground, wetlands, walking and cycling paths, and a Tesla Powerwall sustainability offer for purchasers.Located minutes from GV Health, Grahamvale Primary School, Shepparton Sports City precinct and the CBD.
Shepparton North Sub-Regional Activity Centre Structure Plan
Council-led structure plan and planning scheme amendment for the Shepparton North Activity Centre. The plan guides long-term redevelopment of land on both sides of Numurkah Road / Goulburn Valley Highway into an integrated sub-regional activity centre with two retail nodes, new commercial and mixed-use opportunities, improved pedestrian and vehicle connections, open space and parking. Council adopted the structure plan in March 2023 and adopted Amendment C245gshe in April 2024, but the amendment remains subject to Ministerial approval and related High Court proceedings as at May 2026.
Shepparton Bypass Stage 1
Planning has been undertaken for Shepparton Bypass Stage 1, a future road link from the Midland Highway in Mooroopna to the Goulburn Valley Highway in Shepparton North, including a second Goulburn River crossing between Shepparton and Mooroopna. The Big Build project page remains marked Planning and states the 2020 business case was provided to the Commonwealth. A Victorian Government Gazette notice in October 2025 varied the designated project area for the Shepparton Corridor Upgrade, helping protect land for the corridor.Greater Shepparton continues to advocate for road network resilience works after the loss of previous Commonwealth bypass funding.
2,049 residents of Numurkah are employed, from a labour force of 2,125. Unemployment sits at 3.6%, with participation at 54.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 3,772, about 82% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The suburb of Numurkah has a diverse workforce distributed across blue-collar and white-collar roles, with a low unemployment rate of 3.6% and a 1.8% expansion in employment over the past year, according to AreaSearch statistical area aggregations. As of March 2026, there are 2,049 employed residents, and the local unemployment rate sits 0.1% lower than the Regional Vic. average of 3.7%, though participation in the labor force is low at 54.6% compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.1%. According to the Census, a modest 9.7% of employees worked from home, though this may have been influenced by COVID-19 restrictions.
The primary employment sectors for residents are healthcare & social assistance, agriculture, forestry & fishing, and retail trade. The local workforce is highly concentrated in agriculture, forestry & fishing, operating at 1.5 times the regional rate. Conversely, public administration & safety is underrepresented, making up 3.5% of local jobs compared to the regional average of 6.5%. The relationship between the Census working population and resident population suggests a lack of local job opportunities. Based on AreaSearch processing of SALM and ABS statistics for the broader statistical area, the year ending March 2026 saw local employment grow by 1.8% and the labor force expand by 3.3%, which led to a 1.4 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. By comparison, Regional Vic. saw employment contract by 0.1% and the labor force shrink by 0.3%, with the unemployment rate falling by 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia released in May-25 provide context for future trends in the suburb of Numurkah. These five and ten-year forecasts were applied to local data to estimate future patterns. Nationally, employment is expected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but rates differ by industry. Extrapolating these national trends to the local industry mix indicates that employment in the suburb of Numurkah would grow by 5.9% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, assuming a basic weighted model that does not incorporate local population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Numurkah is $1,117 a week (about $58,000 a year), with median personal income at $613 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $43,443 a year against an average of $49,723. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the latest ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023, the suburb of Numurkah has income levels below the national benchmark. Taxpayers in the suburb of Numurkah earn a median income of $43,443 and an average of $49,723, compared to Regional Vic. benchmarks of $50,954 and $62,728. Adjusting for a 9.62% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 are approximately $47,622 for the median and $54,506 for the average. Census data places household, family, and individual incomes in the suburb of Numurkah between the 8th and 13th percentiles nationally.
The largest earnings bracket consists of 28.9% of residents (1,327 people) earning between $400 - 799 weekly, contrasting with the wider region where the $1,500 - 2,999 group is largest at 30.3%. Although residents retain 88.7% of their income due to low housing costs, total disposable income sits in the 13th percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Numurkah had 1,853 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 89% detached houses and 1% apartments. 31% are owned with a mortgage, 23% rented and 46% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $210 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,083 a month. Rent absorbs 18.8% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the latest Census, residential properties in the suburb of Numurkah consisted of 88.6% standalone houses and 11.4% alternative options such as apartments, semi-detached properties, and other structures, compared to Regional Vic.'s breakdown of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in the suburb of Numurkah was high at 45.5%, while the remaining properties were mortgaged (31.2%) or rented (23.3%). The median mortgage repayment of $1,083 monthly was below the Regional Vic. average of $1,430, and the median weekly rent of $210 was below the Regional Vic.
average of $285. In comparison to national figures, local mortgage payments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are below the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Numurkah counted 1,853 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.2 people each. 20% are couples with children, fewer than in 86% of areas nationally, against 31% couples without children. 34% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.2 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 64.1% of households, consisting of couples with children at 20.3%, couples without children at 30.9%, and single parents at 12.4%. Non-family households account for 35.9% of the total, with lone person households representing 33.7% and group households representing 2.1%. The median household size of 2.2 residents is smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
13.4% of adults in Numurkah hold a university qualification, including 9.7% with a bachelor degree and 1.5% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 80% of areas nationally. A further 29.6% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 641 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 946 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary qualification rates in the area are low, with 13.4% of residents holding a university degree compared to the VIC average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 9.7%, followed by graduate diplomas at 2.2% and postgraduate degrees at 1.5%. Vocational skills are well represented, with 39.9% of residents aged 15+ holding technical credentials, including 10.3% with advanced diplomas and 29.6% with certificates. A significant proportion of the population is engaged in study, with 27.7% of residents enrolled in formal education. Primary school students make up 9.9% of this group, secondary students account for 8.9%, and tertiary students comprise 2.7%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Numurkah means driving: households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport data shows a single active transit stop operating in the suburb of Numurkah. This stop is served by 2 routes, providing a total of 53 weekly services. Accessibility is limited, with residents living an average of 869 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb of Numurkah is mostly residential, meaning most workers commute elsewhere; private vehicles are the main transport mode at 92%, while 6% of residents walk. Dwellings have an average of 1.5 vehicles. A modest 9.7% of residents worked from home during the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.
Services run at a frequency of 7 trips daily across all routes, which translates to approximately 53 weekly trips per transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
55.4% of residents in Numurkah report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 89% of areas nationally. 8.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 46.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health metrics indicate notable challenges in the suburb of Numurkah, based on AreaSearch assessments of mortality and chronic illness rates, which are elevated across both young and old cohorts. Private health insurance coverage is low, with approximately 47% of residents (~2,139 people) holding cover, compared to 50.5% in Regional Vic. and a national average of 55.7%. The most common chronic illnesses reported locally were arthritis, affecting 13.1% of residents, and mental health issues, affecting 10.3% of residents. Meanwhile, 55.4% of the population reported no chronic conditions, compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic.
Chronic illness rates are also elevated among the working-age cohort. Residents aged 65 and over make up 30.0% of the population (1,377 people), exceeding the Regional Vic. average of 23.9%. Health metrics for local seniors are generally consistent with national trends for this age group.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Numurkah is largely Australian-born, at 92.2% of residents, with 2.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (34.4%) and English (33.6%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity is below average in the suburb of Numurkah, where 87.6% of residents are citizens, 92.2% were born in Australia, and 97.1% speak only English at home. Christianity is the main religious affiliation, chosen by 56.0% of residents, compared to 47.3% across Regional Vic. The most common ancestries in the suburb of Numurkah are Australian at 34.4%, English at 33.6%, and Irish at 9.7%. There are some minor differences in other backgrounds, with Scottish heritage representing 8.0% locally (compared to 8.8% regionally), Dutch at 1.3% (compared to 1.7%), and Macedonian at 0.1% (compared to 0.2%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Numurkah is 49, older than 90% of areas nationally. 21.2% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 49 in the suburb of Numurkah is higher than the Regional Vic. median of 43 and the national median of 38. The 75 - 84 cohort is overrepresented at 10.5% locally compared to regional averages, while the 45 - 54 cohort is underrepresented at 10.0%. Since 2021, the 35 to 44 age bracket grew from 9.5% to 10.7%, and the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 9.3% to 10.5%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 group declined from 12.3% to 10.0%, and the 55 to 64 bracket fell from 14.3% to 13.0%.
By 2041, demographic projections indicate shifts, with the 35 to 44 group expected to grow by 292 people (60%) from 491 to 784, while the 55 to 64 group is projected to decline by 8 residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Numurkah
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 88 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (4,604 at the 2021 Census → 4,593 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21984). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.