Shepparton Surrounds - West

Shepparton Surrounds - West has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Shepparton Surrounds - West's population is around 10,359 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 13 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,346 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,346 in June 2025 and an additional 337 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 10.1 persons per square kilometer. Shepparton Surrounds - West's 0.1% growth since census positions it within 0.9 percentage points of the SA4 region (1.0%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 51.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward, demographic trends predict exceptional growth, placing the area in the top 10 percent of Australia's regional areas. The population is expected to increase by 4,698 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 45.2% in total over the 16 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Shepparton Surrounds - West recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Shepparton Surrounds - West has averaged approximately 55 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years. Between FY21 and FY25, a total of 275 homes were approved, with an additional 112 approved so far in FY26. This results in around 0.2 new residents per year per dwelling constructed during this period.

The average construction cost value for new homes is approximately $325,000. In the current financial year, commercial development approvals have reached $28.5 million, indicating strong local business investment. Compared to other Victorian areas, Shepparton Surrounds - West has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 72nd percentile nationally in terms of new developments.

The area's housing consists of approximately 88% standalone homes and 12% medium to high-density housing, maintaining its low-density nature while attracting space-seeking buyers with an average of around 186 people per dwelling approval. Population forecasts indicate that Shepparton Surrounds - West is expected to gain approximately 4,685 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, there may be a potential housing supply shortage, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Shepparton Surrounds - West has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 29 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Silkwater Plains Estate, Margaret Street Stormwater Pump Station Upgrade, Northlinks Estate Tatura, and Tatura Precinct Structure Plan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Shepparton Surrounds - West shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Shepparton Surrounds - West has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs, prominent manufacturing and industrial sectors, and an unemployment rate of 2.1% as of December 2025. There are 5,220 residents employed, with an unemployment rate 1.6% lower than Regional Vic.'s 3.7%. Workforce participation is similar to Regional Vic.'s 61.0%.

According to Census responses, 17.1% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing, with a strong specialization in the former at 2.4 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 14.1% compared to the regional average of 16.8%. The area may have limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparison.

Between December 2024 and December 2025, the labour force decreased by 5.0%, employment declined by 5.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Vic.'s employment fell by 0.6% over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase in employment over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Shepparton Surrounds - West's employment mix suggests local employment could grow by 5.4% over five years and 12.0% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Shepparton Surrounds - West SA2 had a median income of $48,121 and an average income of $56,543 among taxpayers. This is below the national average. Regional Vic.'s median income was $50,954 with an average of $62,728 in the same period. Since financial year 2023, Wage Price Index growth has been 9.62%. Based on this growth rate, current estimates for Shepparton Surrounds - West SA2 would be approximately $52,750 (median) and $61,982 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Shepparton Surrounds - West rank modestly, between the 26th and 28th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 30.8% of locals (3,190 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, similar to metropolitan regions where 30.3% occupy this range. Housing costs are manageable with 88.6% retained, but disposable income is below average at the 33rd percentile.

Shepparton Surrounds - West is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Shepparton Surrounds - West, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.5% houses and 6.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Regional Vic. had 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Shepparton Surrounds - West was at 43.8%, with the rest either mortgaged (36.9%) or rented (19.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, below Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430 and the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent was $240, lower than Regional Vic.'s $285 and the national figure of $375.

Shepparton Surrounds - West has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 70.5% of all households, including 29.5% couples with children, 30.8% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 29.5%, with lone person households at 26.8% and group households comprising 2.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which matches the Regional Vic. average.

Educational outcomes in Shepparton Surrounds - West fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.5%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common, with 11.6% of residents holding such qualifications. Postgraduate qualifications and graduate diplomas follow at 2.6% and 2.3%, respectively.

Vocational credentials are prevalent among residents aged 15 and above, with 38.8% holding such skills, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (27.7%). Educational participation is high, with 29.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (11.6%), secondary education (9.1%), and tertiary education (2.6%).

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows ten active transport stops operating within Shepparton Surrounds - West. These comprise a mix of train services. Six individual routes service these stops, collectively providing 118 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 1097 meters from the nearest stop. As primarily residential, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode at 91%, with 6% walking.

Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, some 17.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 16 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Shepparton Surrounds - West are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Shepparton Surrounds - West shows below-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are higher than average, particularly for common conditions like arthritis and asthma, which affect 10.8% and 8.9% of residents respectively. Only 48% of the population has private health cover, compared to 50.5% in Regional Vic.

and 55.7% nationally. 63.4% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to Regional Vic.. The working-age population faces significant health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.9%, compared to 23.9% in Regional Vic., with national rankings largely in line with the general population.

Shepparton Surrounds - West ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Shepparton Surrounds-West had a cultural diversity index below average, with 86.4% of its population being citizens, 88.7% born in Australia, and 92.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, making up 52.5%. This figure is lower than the regional average of 47.3%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.7%), English (30.3%), and Irish (9.4%). Italian representation was notably higher at 6.8% compared to the regional average of 2.9%, Dutch was slightly higher at 1.8% versus 1.7%, and Scottish was lower at 7.8% compared to 8.8%.

Shepparton Surrounds - West hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Shepparton Surrounds-West has a median age of 45 years, which is slightly higher than Regional Victoria's median age of 43 and considerably older than the national average of 38. The 55-64 age group is notably over-represented in Shepparton Surrounds-West at 14.4%, compared to the Regional Victorian average. Conversely, the 75-84 year-old cohort is under-represented at 7.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 10.9% to 12.7% of the population, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 10.0% to 11.1%. During this period, the 45-54 age group declined from 14.1% to 12.5%, and the 5-14 age group dropped from 12.3% to 11.2%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest that Shepparton Surrounds-West's age profile will significantly change. The 35-44 age cohort is projected to grow by 829 people (63%), increasing from 1,314 to 2,144.