Shepparton Surrounds - West
Statistical Area - sa2

Shepparton Surrounds - West has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Shepparton Surrounds - West's population is around 10,838 as of August 2025. This reflects an increase of 492 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,346. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,416 in June 2024 and an additional 249 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 10.5 persons per square kilometer. Shepparton Surrounds - West's growth of 4.8% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (2.6%) and the SA3 area, making it a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting with a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is predicted to increase by 4,837 persons based on latest population numbers, recording a gain of 40.6% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Shepparton Surrounds - West recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Shepparton Surrounds - West has averaged approximately 55 new dwelling approvals annually. Development approval data is produced by the ABS on a financial year basis, with 275 dwellings approved over the past five financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), and an additional 10 approved so far in FY-26. Over these five years, an average of 0.2 new residents per year per dwelling constructed has been recorded. This indicates that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction cost value of new homes being built is $466,000. Additionally, $28.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting robust local business investment. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Shepparton Surrounds - West has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and places among the 73rd percentile of areas assessed nationally.

New development consists of 88.0% standalone homes and 12.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 186 people per dwelling approval, Shepparton Surrounds - West shows characteristics of a low density area. Population forecasts indicate that Shepparton Surrounds - West will gain approximately 4,406 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Shepparton Surrounds - West has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 40thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 29 projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include Silkwater Plains Estate, Margaret Street Stormwater Pump Station Upgrade (scheduled for completion on 30-11-2025), Little Kindy Tatura (commenced on 15/06/2022), and Pyke Street Tatura Drainage Upgrade (expected to finish by end of 2024). The following list details projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The employment environment in Shepparton Surrounds - West shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Shepparton Surrounds - West has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are prominent.

As of June 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.0%. In this month, 5,049 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate 1.8% lower than Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%. Workforce participation matches Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key employment sectors include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing is particularly strong, with an employment share 2.4 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 14.1% versus the regional average of 16.8%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data analysis. Between June 2024 and June 2025, labour force decreased by 14.3%, while employment declined by 14.8%, increasing unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic.'s employment fell by 0.9%, labour force contracted by 0.4%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data to Sep-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, adding 39,880 jobs, with state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Shepparton Surrounds - West's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.4%% over five years and 12.0% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

In AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2022, Shepparton Surrounds - West had a median taxpayer income of $46,869 and an average income of $56,248. Both figures were below the national averages. In comparison, Rest of Vic.'s median income was $48,741 with an average of $60,693. Based on a 10.11% growth rate from the Wage Price Index since financial year ending June 2022, estimated current incomes as of March 2025 would be approximately $51,607 (median) and $61,935 (average). The 2021 Census data showed household, family, and personal incomes in Shepparton Surrounds - West ranked modestly between the 27th and 29th percentiles. The earnings profile indicated that 30.8% of locals (3,338 people) fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 income category, similar to the metropolitan region where 30.3% occupied this range. Housing costs were manageable with 88.6% retained, but disposable income was below average at the 33rd percentile.

Shepparton Surrounds - West is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Shepparton Surrounds - West, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.5% houses and 6.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Shepparton Surrounds - West was 43.8%, with the rest being mortgaged (36.9%) or rented (19.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, aligning with Non-Metro Vic.'s average, while median weekly rent was $240, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $260. Nationally, Shepparton Surrounds - West's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Shepparton Surrounds - West has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 70.5% of all households, including 29.5% couples with children, 30.8% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 29.5%, with lone person households at 26.8% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.5.

Educational outcomes in Shepparton Surrounds - West fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 16.5%, significantly lower than the VIC average of 33.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 11.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 2.6% and graduate diplomas at 2.3%. Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 38.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 27.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.6% in primary, 9.1% in secondary, and 2.6% in tertiary education. A network of 10 schools operates within Shepparton Surrounds - West, educating approximately 707 students as of the latest available data. These schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. Local school capacity is limited at 6.5 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 16.0, leading many families to travel for schooling. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows ten active public transport stops operating in the Shepparton Surrounds - West area. These include a mix of train and bus services. Thirteen individual routes service these stops, collectively providing two hundred three weekly passenger trips.

The report rates transport accessibility as limited, with residents typically located at one thousand ninety-seven meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages twenty-nine trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately twenty weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Shepparton Surrounds - West is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Shepparton Surrounds - West faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent among both younger and older residents. Private health cover is low at approximately 48%, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most frequent medical conditions are arthritis (10.8%) and asthma (8.9%). However, 63.4% report no medical ailments, slightly lower than the Rest of Vic's 64.8%. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 20.9%, higher than Rest of Vic's 18.9%.

Shepparton Surrounds - West ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Shepparton Surrounds-West had a lower level of cultural diversity, with 86.4% of its population being citizens, 88.7% born in Australia, and 92.0% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion was Christianity, accounting for 52.5% of the population, compared to 49.6% across Rest of Vic. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.7%), English (30.3%), and Irish (9.4%).

Notable differences existed in the representation of Italian (6.8% vs regional 6.0%), Dutch (1.8% vs 1.2%), and Scottish (7.8% vs 7.2%) ethnic groups.

Shepparton Surrounds - West hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Shepparton Surrounds - West's median age of 44 years is similar to Rest of Vic.'s 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Vic., Shepparton Surrounds - West has a higher percentage of 55-64 residents (14.4%) but fewer 75-84 year-olds (6.8%). Between 2021 Census and present, the 35-44 age group increased from 10.9% to 12.4%, while the 15-24 cohort rose from 10.0% to 11.2%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort decreased from 14.1% to 12.7%. By 2041, Shepparton Surrounds - West's age composition is projected to change significantly. The 25-34 group is expected to grow by 69%, reaching 2,089 residents from 1,235. The 55-64 group will see more modest growth of 7%, adding only 113 residents.