Shepparton Surrounds - West

Shepparton Surrounds - West has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Shepparton Surrounds - West's population is around 10,828 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 482 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,346 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,408 in Jun 2024 and an additional 248 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 10.5 persons per square kilometer. Shepparton Surrounds - West's growth of 4.7% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (3.5%) and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 51.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is expected to increase by 4,837 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 40.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Shepparton Surrounds - West recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

West Shepparton has averaged approximately 55 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY21-FY25, around 275 homes were approved, with another 41 approved so far in FY26. Over the past five financial years, an average of about 0.2 new residents per year per dwelling constructed was recorded.

This suggests that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction cost value of new homes being built is around $325,000. In the current financial year, approximately $28.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating robust local business investment.

Compared to other Victorian areas, West Shepparton has about three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 72nd percentile nationally for new development. The area's new development consists of around 88% standalone homes and 12% medium-high density housing, preserving its low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers with an average of about 186 people per dwelling approval. According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, West Shepparton is projected to gain approximately 4,416 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth in the area.

Shepparton Surrounds - West has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 29 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Silkwater Plains Estate, Margaret Street Stormwater Pump Station Upgrade (scheduled for completion in August 2023), Northlinks Estate Tatura (commenced in April 2021 and expected to finish by December 2024), and Tatura Skate Park (opened on 15th March 2022). The following list details projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment environment in Shepparton Surrounds - West shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Shepparton Surrounds - West has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are prominent.

As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.3%. In this month, 5,154 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.4% lower than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation matches Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Major employment areas for residents include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has a high representation with an employment share 2.4 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 14.1% compared to the regional average of 16.8%. The area may have limited local employment opportunities based on Census data analysis. Between September 2024 and September 2025, the labour force decreased by 10.4%, while employment fell by 11.4%, increasing unemployment by 1.1 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic.'s employment dropped by 0.7% and labour force contracted by 0.6%. State-wide, VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year to November 25, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Shepparton Surrounds - West's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 5.4% over five years and 12.0% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Shepparton Surrounds - West SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $46,869 and an average of $56,248. This was below the national average. Rest of Vic.'s median income was $48,741 with an average of $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $52,568 (median) and $63,088 (average). The 2021 Census ranked Shepparton Surrounds - West's household, family, and personal incomes modestly between the 26th and 28th percentiles. The earnings profile showed that 30.8% of locals (3,335 people) fell into the $1,500-$2,999 category, similar to metropolitan regions where 30.3% were in this range. Housing costs allowed for 88.6% retention, but disposable income was below average at the 33rd percentile.

Shepparton Surrounds - West is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census data shows that in Shepparton Surrounds - West, 93.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 6.6% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Non-Metro Vic., where 88.5% of dwellings are houses and 11.5% are other types. Home ownership in Shepparton Surrounds - West stood at 43.8%, with mortgaged properties making up 36.9% and rented dwellings accounting for 19.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,300, aligning with Non-Metro Vic.'s average. However, the median weekly rent figure was $240, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s $260. Nationally, Shepparton Surrounds - West's median monthly mortgage repayment of $1,300 is significantly lower than Australia's average of $1,863, while the median weekly rent of $240 is substantially below the national figure of $375.

Shepparton Surrounds - West has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 70.5% of all households, including 29.5% couples with children, 30.8% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 29.5%, with lone person households at 26.8% and group households making up 2.6%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.5.

Educational outcomes in Shepparton Surrounds - West fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.5%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (27.7%). Educational participation is high, with 29.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.6% in primary, 9.1% in secondary, and 2.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.6% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 2.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows ten active stops operating within Shepparton Surrounds - West. These include a mix of train and bus services. Thirteen individual routes service these stops, collectively providing two hundred three weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as limited; residents are typically located one thousand ninety seven meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages twenty nine trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately twenty weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Shepparton Surrounds - West is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Shepparton Surrounds - West faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent among both younger and older residents. Only approximately 48% of the total population (5,197 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 10.8% of residents) and asthma (8.9%). Conversely, 63.4% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 64.8% in Rest of Vic.. The area has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over, at 20.9% (2,266 people), compared to the 18.9% in Rest of Vic..

Shepparton Surrounds - West ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Shepparton Surrounds-West had a cultural diversity index below average, with 86.4% citizens, 88.7% born in Australia, and 92.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 52.5%, compared to 49.6% regionally. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.7%), English (30.3%), and Irish (9.4%).

Notably, Italian (6.8%) Dutch (1.8%), and Scottish (7.8%) ethnicities showed higher representation than regional averages of 6.0%, 1.2%, and 7.2% respectively.

Shepparton Surrounds - West hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Shepparton Surrounds - West's median age in 2021 was 44 years, similar to Rest of Vic.'s 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Vic., Shepparton Surrounds - West had a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (14.4%) but fewer residents aged 75-84 (6.8%). Between the 2021 Census and the previous one, the age group 35 to 44 grew from 10.9% to 12.4%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 10.0% to 11.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 14.1% to 12.7%. By 2041, Shepparton Surrounds - West is projected to experience significant shifts in its age composition. The 25 to 34 group is expected to grow by 69%, reaching 2,089 residents from 1,234. The 55 to 64 group is projected to grow by 7%, adding 114 residents.