Shepparton Surrounds - West

Shepparton Surrounds - West has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis shows Shepparton Surrounds - West's population was around 10,970 as of Feb 2026. This is an increase of 624 people (6.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,346. The change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 10,407 in June 2024 and an additional 326 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 10.7 persons per square kilometer. Shepparton Surrounds - West's growth of 6.0% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (3.7%) and SA3 area, indicating it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.4% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, they utilise VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made via weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic trends predict exceptional growth, placing the area in the top 10 percent of Australia's regional areas. The latest annual ERP population numbers project an increase of 4,837 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 39.0% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Shepparton Surrounds - West recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Shepparton Surrounds - West has averaged approximately 55 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, a total of 275 homes were approved, with an additional 63 approved so far in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, an average of 0.2 new residents per year has been recorded per dwelling constructed.

This indicates that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new homes is $325,000. In FY-26 alone, $28.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting robust local business investment.

Compared to the rest of Victoria, Shepparton Surrounds - West has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 72nd percentile nationally. New development consists of 88.0% standalone homes and 12.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers with its emphasis on detached housing. With around 186 people per dwelling approval, Shepparton Surrounds - West shows characteristics of a low density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is forecasted to gain approximately 4,274 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Shepparton Surrounds - West has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 49thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 29 projects that could affect the region. Notable initiatives include Silkwater Plains Estate, Margaret Street Stormwater Pump Station Upgrade, Northlinks Estate Tatura, and Tatura Skate Park. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Shepparton Surrounds - West shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Shepparton Surrounds - West has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are prominent. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.3%.

There are 5,154 residents employed, which is 1.4% below Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation matches Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%. According to Census data, 17.1% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing.

The area specializes in agriculture, forestry & fishing with an employment share 2.4 times the regional level. Health care & social assistance has lower representation at 14.1% compared to the regional average of 16.8%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data comparison. From September 2024 to September 2025, the labour force decreased by 10.4% and employment declined by 11.4%, increasing unemployment by 1.1 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic.'s employment fell by 0.7%, labour force contracted by 0.6%, and unemployment rose marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's May-25 forecasts project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Shepparton Surrounds - West's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.4% over five years and 12.0% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data, released for financial year ending June 2023, shows Shepparton Surrounds - West SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $48,121 and an average of $56,543. This is below the national average. Victoria's Rest of Vic region had a median income of $50,954 and an average of $62,728 in the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year ending June 2023, current estimates for Shepparton Surrounds - West SA2 would be approximately $52,091 (median) and $61,208 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data ranks household, family, and personal incomes in Shepparton Surrounds - West modestly, between the 26th and 28th percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that 30.8% of locals (3,378 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income category, similar to metropolitan regions where 30.3% occupy this range. Housing costs are manageable with 88.6% retained, but disposable income is below average at the 33rd percentile.

Shepparton Surrounds - West is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Shepparton Surrounds - West's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.5% houses and 6.6% other dwellings (including semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Shepparton Surrounds - West stood at 43.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.9% and rented properties at 19.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure in the area was $240, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Shepparton Surrounds - West's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Shepparton Surrounds - West has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 70.5% of all households, including 29.5% couples with children, 30.8% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 29.5%, with lone person households at 26.8% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the average in the Rest of Vic.

Educational outcomes in Shepparton Surrounds - West fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.5%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (27.7%). Educational participation is high at 29.6%, with 11.6% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 2.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.6% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 2.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows ten active transport stops operating within Shepparton Surrounds - West. These stops serve a mix of train routes and are serviced by six individual routes. Collectively, these routes provide 118 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 1097 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. The car remains the dominant mode of transport at 91%, with 6% walking.

Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, some 17.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 16 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Shepparton Surrounds - West are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Shepparton Surrounds - West shows below-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are higher than average, particularly for younger and older age groups. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average.

Private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~5,210 people), compared to 50.5% in Rest of Vic., and 55.7% nationally. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (10.8%) and asthma (8.9%). 63.4% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to Rest of Vic.. Working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 20.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,280 people), lower than the 23.9% in Rest of Vic., with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Shepparton Surrounds - West ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Shepparton Surrounds - West had a cultural diversity score below average, with 86.4% of its population being citizens, 88.7% born in Australia, and 92.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Shepparton Surrounds - West, comprising 52.5% of people, compared to 47.3% across Rest of Vic.. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.7%), English (30.3%), and Irish (9.4%).

Notably, Italian was overrepresented at 6.8%, Dutch at 1.8%, and Scottish at 7.8%.

Shepparton Surrounds - West hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Shepparton Surrounds - West's median age of 44 years is similar to Rest of Vic.'s 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Vic., Shepparton Surrounds - West has a higher proportion of 55-64 residents at 14.2% but fewer 75-84 year-olds at 6.6%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the 35-44 age group has increased from 10.9% to 12.8%, while the 15-24 cohort rose from 10.0% to 11.3%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 14.1% to 12.3%. By 2041, Shepparton Surrounds - West's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 25-34 group is projected to grow by 63%, adding 809 people and reaching 2,089 from 1,279. The 55-64 group is expected to grow more modestly at 7%, adding only 113 residents.