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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Shepparton Surrounds - West has an estimated 10,361 residents. 335 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Density is about 10 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research conducted by AreaSearch, the resident count in Shepparton Surrounds - West stands at roughly 10,361 as of Aug 2026. This indicates a modest addition of 15 people (0.1%) relative to the 10,346 people tallied in the 2021 Census. Such movement is calculated utilizing the ABS estimated resident population of 10,346 recorded as of June 2025 alongside 335 validated new addresses identified following the Census benchmark. The resulting population density is 10.1 persons per square kilometer, ensuring considerable personal space. The locality's 0.1% post-census gain places it within 1.0 percentage points of the broader SA4 region (1.1%), highlighting resilient expansion dynamics.
Inflow from abroad served as the primary growth catalyst, generating roughly 51.6% of recent net gains. SA2 projections published in 2024 by ABS/Geoscience Australia utilizing a 2022 baseline underpin AreaSearch's modeling, supplemented where necessary by 2023 Victorian State Government Regional/LGA projections scaled via weighted aggregation methods to the SA2 level. For the 2032 to 2041 timeframe, age-cohort growth rates derived from this modeling are uniformly applied across areas. Looking ahead, the district is slated for remarkable expansion that places it among the top 10 percent of regional non-metropolitan markets, with projections pointing to an increase of 4,658 persons to 2041 based on recent annual ERP counts, translating to cumulative growth of 44.8% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
340 new dwellings have been approved in Shepparton Surrounds - West over the past five years, an average of 68 a year. That places the area in the 58th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 7 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 68 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 78% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential building authorisations in Shepparton Surrounds - West have tracked at approximately 68 properties annually, totaling 340 homes across the preceding 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26). In the context of recent population contraction, this building rate represents solid relative supply that benefits prospective purchasers, with an average construction cost of $404,000 per dwelling. Furthermore, the present financial year has seen commercial approvals reach $28.5 million, underscoring substantial commercial development momentum. On a per-capita basis, development volumes in Shepparton Surrounds - West align closely with Rest of Vic., reinforcing regional market equilibrium even as construction has gathered pace recently.
Detached houses constitute 78.0% of recent approvals while townhouses or apartments make up 22.0%, retaining a low-density, family-oriented footprint attractive to buyers prioritizing space. This pipeline nonetheless represents a noticeable shift from the existing dwelling stock (currently 94.0% houses), pointing toward tighter supplies of broadacre land while meeting shifting lifestyle demands and affordability constraints. The ratio of roughly 110 people per dwelling approval further reflects the district's low-density profile. According to the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch, Shepparton Surrounds - West is slated to gain 4,643 residents by 2041. If residential construction remains at prevailing rates, new supply could fall behind demographic growth, placing upward pressure on home values and heightening competition among purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Shepparton Surrounds - West
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 15 current infrastructure and development projects inside Shepparton Surrounds - West, worth an estimated $88 million. A further 55 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $5.83 billion. 23 are already under construction and 22 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Major infrastructure developments, planning schemes, and capital projects exert a decisive influence on local socioeconomic performance. AreaSearch has pinpointed 29 projects expected to affect the community, with major initiatives including the Silkwater Plains Estate, Margaret Street Stormwater Pump Station Upgrade, Northlinks Estate Tatura, and the Tatura Precinct Structure Plan, alongside other priority developments detailed below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Silkwater Plains Estate
Master-planned residential estate on the southern edge of Tatura comprising 175 residential lots. Stage 1 is titled with homes under construction and occupied, Stage 2 is progressing with titles expected during 2026, and Stage 3 has been released for sale. The estate provides lots ranging from approximately 490 to over 2,000 square metres and is located close to Tatura town centre and Shepparton.
Tatura Water Treatment Plant Works
Expansion of the Tatura Water Treatment Plant to increase capacity from 12 megalitres per day to 18 megalitres per day. The $8 million upgrade included construction of a new Dissolved Air Flotation and Filtration (DAFF) plant, a new control building, chemical dosing and storage facility, raw water pump station, and associated infrastructure. The project was delivered by Laurie Curran Water Ltd and commissioned in early June 2020, ensuring future water supply capacity for the growing town of Tatura and its major industrial customers.
Margaret Street Stormwater Pump Station Upgrade
Completed upgrade of Tatura's most critical stormwater asset, servicing approximately 90% of the township. The 2.2 million AUD project includes two new high-capacity pumps (750 L/s and 1,950 L/s), a new Powercor electrical kiosk, a new switchboard building with generator connection, and advanced remote monitoring to protect homes and businesses from flooding.
Northlinks Estate Tatura
A residential estate development at the Hill Top Golf & Country Club, offering lots for new homes, some with golf course frontage. The development includes house and land packages and features parks and public spaces. Various stages of the estate, including 'Tatura Waters', are under development.
Little Kindy Tatura
A 92-place childcare centre providing early learning programs for children aged 0-5 years. The architecturally designed facility features modern classrooms, office space, kitchen, bathrooms, and two outdoor play areas. The centre is now approved and open, offering family-oriented childcare services with play-based, child-led learning programs guided by the National Early Years Learning Framework. Located opposite Sacred Heart Tatura Primary School and close to Tatura residential areas.
Tatura Precinct Structure Plan
A comprehensive long-term strategic plan guiding future residential growth across 602 hectares in Tatura. Prepared by Mesh Planning for Greater Shepparton City Council, the framework incorporates a Precinct Structure Plan, Development Contributions Plan, and Open Space Strategy to support approximately 3,620 dwellings.
Tatura IGA Renovation
A major renovation and expansion of the Tatura IGA supermarket. The project included the creation of a brand new state-of-the-art supermarket and specialty shops, significantly increasing the store's size and product range, and adding a drive-through bottle shop.
Tatura Skate Park
A new concrete skate park that has replaced the previous facility. The park is designed for skaters, BMX riders, and scooter users of all skill levels and features a unique concrete vanilla slice bench, paying homage to a local icon. The project was funded by the Federal Government's Local Roads and Community Infrastructure Program.
5,288 residents of Shepparton Surrounds - West are employed, from a labour force of 5,434. Unemployment sits at 2.7%, with participation at 63.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.4% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The Shepparton Surrounds - West area presents a workforce composition that includes both white collar and blue collar roles, with manufacturing and industrial fields being particularly prominent. The unemployment rate stands at 2.7%, and there has been an estimated employment growth of 2.2% during the previous year. By March 2026, 5,288 people are employed, and the local unemployment rate is 1.0% lower than the 3.7% rate recorded for Regional Vic. The workforce participation rate aligns closely with the 61.1% figure for Regional Vic. Census data indicates that 17.1% of residents worked from home, but this figure should be viewed in the context of the pandemic lockdowns.
The primary employment sectors for local workers include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. Notably, agriculture, forestry & fishing displays heavy local concentration, holding a workforce share 2.4 times above the regional benchmark. Conversely, health care & social assistance accounts for a smaller footprint, representing 14.1% of employment relative to 16.8% across the wider region. Comparing local resident workers against the daytime Census working population indicates that local job generation within the area itself is relatively constrained. According to AreaSearch's evaluation of ABS and SALM metrics, the past 12 months witnessed a 2.2% rise in employment alongside a 3.1% expansion of the labor pool, lifting the jobless rate by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Vic. recorded a 0.1% drop in employment, a 0.3% labor force contraction, and a 0.2 percentage points decrease in unemployment. Long-term outlooks from Jobs and Skills Australia (issued Mar-26) provide context for upcoming labor trends in Shepparton Surrounds - West. Over five- and ten-year horizons, overall Australian employment is forecast to climb by 6.6% and 13.7% respectively, though trajectory varies widely by industry. Weighting these sectoral forecasts against Shepparton Surrounds - West's industry structure projects local workforce growth of 5.4% over five years and 12.0% over ten years (note that this represents a baseline weighted extrapolation without local demographic adjustments).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Shepparton Surrounds - West is $1,379 a week (about $72,000 a year), with median personal income at $701 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $48,121 a year against an average of $56,543. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxation records from the ATO for financial year 2023, compiled by AreaSearch, show that personal earnings across the Shepparton Surrounds - West SA2 trail national norms. Median taxpayer income in the area sits at $48,121 and average taxpayer income reaches $56,543, compared against Regional Vic.'s corresponding benchmarks of $50,954 and $62,728. Accounting for 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, modeled earnings as of March 2026 stand at roughly $52,750 (median) and $61,982 (average). Census evaluations place personal, family, and household earnings between the 26th and 28th percentiles.
In terms of earnings brackets, the $1,500 - 2,999 band includes 30.8% of local earners (3,191 individuals), closely mirroring the metropolitan proportion of 30.3%. Housing costs remain manageable, leaving 88.6% of income retained, though overall disposable income ranks lower at the 33rd percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Shepparton Surrounds - West had 3,781 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 94% detached houses and 0% apartments. 37% are owned with a mortgage, 19% rented and 44% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $240 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,300 a month. Rent absorbs 17.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 21.8%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census figures indicate that the residential landscape in Shepparton Surrounds - West is overwhelmingly composed of standalone houses at 93.5%, with apartments, semi-detached properties, and 'other' dwellings comprising 6.6%, whereas Regional Vic. records 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Outright home ownership is notably higher than the regional benchmark, reaching 43.8%, while mortgaged properties make up 36.9% and rental housing accounts for 19.3%. Median rental costs stand at $240 weekly and median monthly mortgage costs are $1,300, both coming in below the respective Regional Vic. levels of $285 and $1,430.
On a national scale, local housing expenses are markedly lower than Australia's median monthly mortgage of $1,863 and median weekly rent of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Shepparton Surrounds - West counted 3,781 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.4 people each. 30% are couples with children, against 31% couples without children. 27% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.0 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local households at 70.5%, consisting of couples without children (30.8%), couples with children (29.5%), and single parent families (9.4%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 29.5%, consisting primarily of lone person households (26.8%) along with group households (2.6%). Household size averages 2.4 people, matching the figure seen across Regional Vic..
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
16.5% of adults in Shepparton Surrounds - West hold a university qualification, including 11.6% with a bachelor degree and 2.6% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 27.7% hold a vocational qualification. 10 schools serve the area, with 707 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 945 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Higher education qualifications represent an area for potential growth, as only 16.5% of local residents hold university degrees compared to the Victorian benchmark of 33.4%. Within tertiary credentials, bachelor degrees represent 11.6%, postgraduate qualifications make up 2.6%, and graduate diplomas account for 2.3%. Vocational and trade training is widespread, with 38.8% of individuals aged 15+ holding technical qualifications, split between certificates (27.7%) and advanced diplomas (11.1%). Engagement in learning programs remains robust, with 29.6% of the population enrolled in educational institutions. This comprises 11.6% attending primary schools, 9.1% enrolled in secondary education, and 2.6% undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Shepparton Surrounds - West reaches 10 stops on 5 routes, timetabled for about 140 services a week. The typical home sits about 1,100 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure in Shepparton Surrounds - West comprises 10 active stops incorporating train connectivity. These facilities are served by 5 distinct routes that generate 140 weekly passenger trips. Overall transit access remains constrained, with the typical resident situated 1097 meters from the nearest stop. Given the area's predominantly residential makeup, most workers commute out of the district, with private vehicle travel dominating at 91% and walking accounting for 6%. Household vehicle ownership stands above regional norms at 1.8 vehicles per dwelling. Meanwhile, 17.1% of workers worked remotely (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).
Public transport services run at an average rate of 20 trips per day across the network, translating to roughly 14 weekly trips at each stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
63.4% of residents in Shepparton Surrounds - West report no long-term health condition. 6.5% need daily assistance with core activities, and 47.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of mortality and chronic disease trends suggest that Shepparton Surrounds - West experiences below-average health outcomes, with common conditions slightly elevated across both younger and older cohorts. Private health insurance coverage is notably restricted, encompassing approximately 48% of the local population (~4,921 people). This is lower than the 50.5% recorded across Regional Vic. and the Australian benchmark of 55.7%. Arthritis and asthma are the most prevalent chronic conditions in the locality, affecting 10.8 and 8.9% of residents respectively, while 63.4% of people reported having no long-term medical conditions, matching the 63.4% proportion recorded for Regional Vic..
Chronic ailments are particularly noticeable within the working-age demographic. Seniors aged 65 and over constitute 22.9% of the local population (2,368 people), trailing the 24.0% proportion seen across Regional Vic., with broader national health comparisons remaining largely consistent with general population patterns.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Shepparton Surrounds - West is largely Australian-born, at 88.7% of residents, with 8.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (30.7%) and English (30.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity measures for Shepparton Surrounds - West sit below broader state benchmarks, with Australian citizens making up 86.4% of the community, 88.7% born locally in Australia, and 92.0% communicating solely in English at home. Christianity is the dominant religious faith, adhered to by 52.5% of residents, compared against 47.3% across Regional Vic.. Regarding parental lineage, Australian ancestry leads at 30.7%, followed closely by English ancestry at 30.3% and Irish heritage at 9.4%. The community also demonstrates distinctive ethnic representations, notably an elevated Italian heritage segment accounting for 6.8% of the population (versus 2.9% across the region), Dutch ancestry at 1.8% (versus 1.7%), and Scottish ancestry at 7.8% (versus 8.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Shepparton Surrounds - West is 45, older than 78% of areas nationally. 20.9% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Age distributions in Shepparton Surrounds - West align closely with Regional Vic., with each broad demographic bracket sitting within 2.9 percentage points of regional figures. The median age is estimated at 45 as at August 2026, identical to the 2021 Census figure, remaining 2 years above the Regional Vic. median of 43 and above the national median of 38 recorded at that Census. Since the Census, the middle-aged and pre-retiree demographic (45 - 64) has decreased from 29.2% to an estimated 27.2%. Moving toward 2041, individuals aged 25 - 44 are projected to drive the largest demographic inflow, adding 1,522 residents (66%) to total 3,814.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Shepparton Surrounds - West
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 last month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 last month all 15 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 335 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (10,346 at the 2021 Census → 10,361 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (216031419). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.