Numurkah
Statistical Area - sa2

Numurkah has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Numurkah's population was around 12,624 as of November 2025. This reflected an increase of 69 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,555. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 12,495 in June 2024 and an additional 148 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equated to a density ratio of 5.4 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilised VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics forecasted a significant increase in the top quartile of locations outside capital cities, with Numurkah expected to grow by 4,353 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 33.4% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Numurkah according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Numurkah has had approximately 47 dwelling approvals per year. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25235 homes were approved, with 19 more approved in FY-26 so far. The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $316,000.

This financial year has seen $21.6 million in commercial development approvals. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Numurkah has a significantly lower level of construction, at 56.0% below the regional average per person. New developments consist of 72.0% detached dwellings and 28.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's low density character. This is a shift from the current housing mix, which is 93.0% houses. The location has around 270 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

By 2041, Numurkah is projected to grow by 4,222 residents. If development rates continue at their current pace, housing supply may not keep up with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Numurkah has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eight projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include the Katunga Water Supply Pipeline Project, Cobram Village development, Cobram Secondary College Modular Building construction, and VICSES Cobram Unit upgrade. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis indicates Numurkah maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Numurkah has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar employment, diverse sector representation, and an unemployment rate of 2.4% as of June 2025. It has 5,835 residents in work, which is 1.4% below Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation is broadly similar to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. The dominant employment sectors include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs 2.9 times the regional level in Numurkah. Public administration & safety employs 2.7% of local workers, below Rest of Vic.'s 6.5%.

The area offers limited employment opportunities locally, with a decrease of 14.4% in labour force and 15.3% in employment between June 2024 and June 2025, causing unemployment to rise by 1.1 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic.'s employment fell by 0.9%, labour force contracted by 0.4%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Numurkah's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.3% over five years and 11.9% over ten years, though these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2022 shows that Numurkah has lower incomes compared to the national average. The median income is $45,074 and the average is $51,589. In contrast, Rest of Vic.'s median income is $48,741 with an average of $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year ending June 2022, current estimates for Numurkah are approximately $50,555 (median) and $57,862 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data shows that household, family and personal incomes in Numurkah fall between the 16th and 17th percentiles nationally. The income band of $1,500 - 2,999 captures 29.8% of Numurkah's population (3,761 individuals), similar to metropolitan regions where 30.3% fall within this range. Housing costs are modest with 89.1% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 22nd percentile nationally.

Numurkah is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Numurkah's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.4% houses and 6.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic. had 90.8% houses and 9.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Numurkah was at 45.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.6% and rented ones at 18.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,172, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,300. The median weekly rent in Numurkah was $210, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $250. Nationally, Numurkah's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,863 and rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

Numurkah has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 67.7% of all households, including 25.4% couples with children, 30.8% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.3%, with lone person households at 29.5% and group households comprising 2.8%. The median household size is 2.4 people, larger than the Rest of Vic average of 2.3.

Numurkah faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.7%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.0%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 41.2% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.4% and certificates at 30.8%. Educational participation is high, with 28.1% currently enrolled in formal education: 10.6% in primary, 9.1% in secondary, and 2.1% in tertiary education.

Twelve schools serve 1,799 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 953) and balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes eight primary, three secondary, and one K-12 school. Note: refer to parent campus for schools showing 'n/a' for enrolments.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Numurkah has 16 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 9 different routes that together offer 129 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as limited, with residents typically living 825 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 18 trips per day across all routes, which equates to around 8 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Numurkah is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Numurkah faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 46%, covering around 5,857 people, which is lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most common conditions are arthritis (11.8%) and mental health issues (9.9%), while 59.6% report no medical ailments, compared to 60.0% in Rest of Vic.. About 23.9%, or 3,022 people, are aged 65 and over, slightly lower than the 27.0% in Rest of Vic.. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors perform better than those for the general population.

The latest Census data sees Numurkah placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Numurkah, when assessed for cultural diversity, showed lower averages with 87.9% of its population being citizens, 91.3% born in Australia, and 96.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 53.2% of Numurках's population, compared to 56.1% across Rest of Vic.. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (34.7%), English (32.8%), and Irish (9.5%).

Notably, Dutch ancestry was higher at 1.5%, Scottish at 8.1%, and Maltese at 0.4%.

Numurkah hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Numurkah's median age is 46, which is higher than Victoria's figure of 43 and significantly higher than Australia's norm of 38. The 55-64 age group makes up 14.3% of Numurkah's population, compared to Rest of Vic., while the 45-54 cohort constitutes 10.7%. Post-2021 Census data shows that between 2016 and 2021, the 35 to 44 age group grew from 10.2% to 11.3%, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 12.8% to 10.7%, and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 15.3% to 14.3%. By 2041, Numurkah's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 35 to 44 group is projected to grow by 62%, reaching 2,313 people from 1,423. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 cohort is anticipated to decrease by 74 people.