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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Numurkah has an estimated 12,448 residents, down from 12,555 at the 2021 Census. 171 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Fewer than ten people live on each square kilometre, across a boundary that takes in surrounding rural land. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Numurkah stands at approximately 12,448 as of May 2026. This represents a reduction of 107 people (0.9%) from the 12,555 residents recorded in the 2021 Census. This shift is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 12,446 from June 2025 alongside 171 validated new addresses identified since the Census. This population size results in a density of 5.4 persons per square kilometer, which indicates a low-density living environment. Although Numurkah recorded a 0.9% population reduction, the broader SA4 region grew by 1.0%, showing contrasting local trends.
Net overseas migration was the primary driver of growth, accounting for approximately 73.6% of the area's population increases in recent times. AreaSearch applies the 2024 population projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia, which use 2022 as their starting point. Where specific SA2 data is unavailable, projections from the VIC State Government released in 2023 are utilized, adjusted by aggregating growth rates from the LGA level to SA2 levels using a weighted approach. Age-specific growth dynamics from these calculations are also projected for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Future expectations point to substantial gains that rank the area in the top quartile of regional locations nationwide, with projections indicating an increase of 4,296 persons by 2041 compared to the most recent annual ERP, translating to a total expansion of 34.5% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
235 new dwellings have been approved in Numurkah over the past five years, an average of 47 a year. That is 3.8 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 39 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 72% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 46, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Approximately 47 residential building approvals are granted annually in Numurkah, totaling 235 residential approvals over the preceding 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25) and 43 recorded during FY-26 so far. Even with a contracting population in recent times, the volume of new housing has likely matched demand to provide sufficient options for buyers, with new residential projects averaging a construction value of $316,000. Furthermore, commercial building approvals have reached $21.6 million this financial year, showing a moderate level of business-related construction activity. Construction activity in Numurkah is low compared to the Rest of Vic.
average, sitting 56.0% below the regional average per capita. Such limited additions to the housing stock generally support demand and valuations for pre-existing properties. Detached houses account for 72.0% of the new approvals, while townhouses and apartments make up 28.0%, preserving the historically low-density residential profile characterized by spacious family residences. This represents a marked departure from the existing dwelling distribution where houses comprise 93.0% of the market, reflecting constrained land availability for development alongside evolving lifestyle preferences and budget constraints. The region averages approximately 269 residents per residential building approval, pointing to a low-density market landscape. Looking forward, Numurkah is projected to add 4,294 residents by 2041 based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. Should building rates persist at their current levels, the addition of new housing may fail to match population expansion, which could heighten competition among purchasers and underpin stronger appreciation in property values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Numurkah
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Numurkah, worth an estimated $15 million. A further 93 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $9.68 billion. 29 are already under construction and 26 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and sports & recreation. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Developments in local infrastructure, major construction projects, and municipal planning decisions play a key role in regional performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 8 projects expected to influence the local area. Principal developments include the Katunga Water Supply Pipeline Project, Cobram Village, Cobram Secondary College Modular Building, and the VICSES Cobram Unit, with details on the most significant initiatives provided below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Numurkah to Katunga Water Supply Pipeline
A new 7.5-kilometre pipeline now delivers treated drinking water from the Numurkah Water Treatment Plant to the township of Katunga, replacing the town's previous groundwater bore supply. The project included a new pump station and 1ML storage tank at Numurkah, while Katunga's existing 200kL local storage tank remains in use. Construction ran from May to December 2025 by Girdwood Contracting Pty Ltd, with the new supply connected on 15 December 2025. The upgrade resolves customer feedback about water hardness from the old groundwater source and secures Katunga's drinking water needs through to 2060.Groundwater bores are being decommissioned, and the Katunga site continues to operate as a treated water storage facility.
VICSES Cobram Unit
A new fit-for-purpose facility for the VICSES Cobram Unit, featuring four motor bays, office space, communications room, and training areas. It enables effective responses to rescues, floods, storms, and supports local emergency services while aiding volunteer retention and recruitment.
Cobram Village
A neighbourhood retail centre featuring a 3,800 sqm Coles supermarket, Liquorland, Chemist Warehouse, and specialty retailers, providing convenient shopping in an underserved area within a ~70km radius.
NCN Health Cobram Campus Redevelopment
A comprehensive multi-stage upgrade of the NCN Health Cobram Campus. Stage 1 delivered a new Urgent Care Centre with expanded floor space, a dedicated entry, a new ambulance bay, and dual waiting areas. Subsequent stages, completed by late 2024, involved refurbishing the acute ward, constructing a new ultrasound room, remodeling patient rooms with ensuites, and installing new firewalls and reception areas to enhance infection control and safety.
Cobram Secondary College Modular Building
Replaced an older building containing asbestos with a new architecturally-designed permanent modular building. Modular facilities require less time for planning and construction, resulting in reduced disruption to students and staff. They are sustainable and innovatively designed, with a comparable lifespan to traditional structures.
Thompsons Beach and Kennedy Park Precinct Plan
The Thompsons Beach and Kennedy Park Precinct Plan aims to develop a precinct master plan and concept plan to guide future infrastructure developments at the site. It includes reviewing existing partnerships, co-designing a shared governance model, untangling red-tape to remove barriers for tourism and events, enhancing community quality of life through cultural and recreational improvements, boosting productivity via tourism growth and operational efficiencies, and building resilience against ageing infrastructure, extreme weather, and other challenges. Early community consultation occurred in March and April 2026 to collect feedback and guide concept designs throughout 2026.
Burma Road Land-Lease Lifestyle Village Estate
A 323-dwelling over-55s land-lease lifestyle village at 32 Burma Road, Tocumwal. The approved manufactured home estate will occupy approximately 21 hectares bordering Club Tocumwal, featuring internal roads, recreation areas, landscaped parkland and a central community building with leisure and wellness facilities. Residents will receive two Village Club Memberships and access to sporting and leisure facilities, with Club Tocumwal currently undergoing an $8 million renovation and expansion. Council approved the development application on 16 July 2025, with the village to be delivered in stages from 2025/2026.
Barooga Cobram Road Reconstruction
Reconstruction of Barooga Cobram Road between Peoples Bridge and Bullanginya Bridge, including rehabilitation of the road carriageway and bridge approaches, new asphalt, and repainted line marking, as part of Berrigan Shire Council's flood recovery works under the Roads to Recovery program.
6,105 residents of Numurkah are employed, from a labour force of 6,306. Unemployment sits at 3.2%, with participation at 61.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Numurkah features a diverse labor force encompassing both white-collar and blue-collar occupations across multiple industries, with a low unemployment rate of 3.2% and an annual job growth rate estimated at 2.0%. As of March 2026, employed residents numbered 6,105, with the local unemployment rate sitting 0.5% lower than the 3.7% recorded across Regional Vic., while participation in the workforce matched the regional benchmark of 61.1%. According to Census data, a moderate 14.9% of the employed population worked from home, though this figure may have been influenced by pandemic-related restrictions. The primary employment fields for local residents are agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing.
The local workforce is heavily concentrated in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with representation in this sector reaching 2.9 times the rate seen across regional areas. Conversely, public administration & safety accounts for only 2.7% of local employment, which is lower than the Regional Vic. average of 6.5%. Comparison between the census-recorded working population and resident population suggests that local employment options within the area are relatively limited. According to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics, the year ending March 2026 saw employment expand by 2.0% and the labor force grow by 3.2%, which led to an increase of 1.1 percentage points in the unemployment rate. This differed from Regional Vic., which saw a 0.1% contraction in employment, a 0.3% decrease in the labor force, and a 0.2 percentage point decline in unemployment. National employment projections from May-25 compiled by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context regarding future local demand. These five-year and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential growth trends. Although nationwide employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the rates of change vary widely across different sectors. Applying these industry projections to the local workforce composition suggests Numurkah's employment could grow by 5.3% over five years and 11.9% over ten years, though this is a simple weighted calculation for illustration and does not incorporate local population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Numurkah is $1,243 a week (about $65,000 a year), with median personal income at $636 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $46,231 a year against an average of $53,418. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the latest postcode-level figures from the ATO for the 2023 financial year, residents of the Numurkah SA2 earn less than the national average, recording a median income of $46,231 and an average income of $53,418. By comparison, Regional Vic. averages a median income of $50,954 and an average of $62,728. Adjusting these figures for a Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since the 2023 financial year results in estimated figures of roughly $50,678 for the median and $58,557 for the average as of March 2026. Census data from 2021 indicates that personal, family, and household incomes in Numurkah all place in the 16th percentile nationwide.
The earnings bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 contains 29.8% of the local population (3,709 individuals), which aligns closely with the metropolitan rate of 30.3% in this bracket. Although housing costs are low, leaving residents with 89.1% of their income, total disposable income sits in the 22nd percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Numurkah had 4,781 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 93% detached houses and 0% apartments. 36% are owned with a mortgage, 19% rented and 46% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $210 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,172 a month. Rent absorbs 16.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 21.8%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The mix of housing types in Numurkah at the time of the last Census consisted of 93.4% houses and 6.6% alternative dwellings such as semi-detached units, apartments, or other structures, compared to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings across Regional Vic. Home ownership rates in Numurkah were considerably higher than the Regional Vic. average at 45.9%, while mortgaged properties accounted for 35.6% and rental properties made up 18.5%. The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,172 was substantially below the Regional Vic. average of $1,430, and the median weekly rent of $210 was also lower than the regional average of $285.
In comparison to national benchmarks, Numurkah's mortgage repayments are much lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are well below the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Numurkah counted 4,781 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.4 people each. 25% are couples with children, against 31% couples without children. 30% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.1 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families represent the majority of local households at 67.7%, consisting of couples with children at 25.4%, couples without children at 30.8%, and single-parent households at 10.7%. Non-family households account for the remaining 32.3%, with single-person households representing 29.5% and group households at 2.8%. The median household occupancy is 2.4 persons, which is identical to the Regional Vic. average.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
13.1% of adults in Numurkah hold a university qualification, including 9.7% with a bachelor degree and 1.4% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 78% of areas nationally. A further 30.8% hold a vocational qualification. 12 schools serve the area, with 1,799 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 953 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Academic achievement in the area is low, with university graduation rates of 13.1% falling well short of the VIC state average of 33.4%. This gap represents both an educational deficit and a target for future development programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher education credential at 9.7%, followed by graduate diplomas at 2.0% and postgraduate degrees at 1.4%. Vocational and trade qualifications are common, with 41.2% of residents aged 15+ holding a vocational qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas at 10.4% and certificates at 30.8%. Enrollment rates in education are high, with 28.1% of the population actively studying.
This cohort includes 10.6% attending primary schools, 9.1% enrolled in secondary education, and 2.1% undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Numurkah means driving: households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport services in Numurkah include 16 active stops. These facilities are served by 3 separate routes that provide a total of 73 passenger trips per week. Transport options are considered limited, with the average distance from residents' homes to the closest stop measuring 825 meters. The area is mostly residential, with a high proportion of residents traveling elsewhere for work; private vehicles are the primary mode of travel for 90% of commuters, while 7% walk. The average number of motor vehicles per household is 1.8, which exceeds the regional average.
A total of 14.9% of employed residents worked from home, based on 2021 Census data collected during pandemic conditions. Transit services average 10 daily trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 4 weekly passenger departures at each transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
59.6% of residents in Numurkah report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 82% of areas nationally. 7.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 46.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality indices and chronic ailment statistics, the local population faces notable health challenges, with high rates of medical conditions spanning both younger and older residents, while private health insurance rates are very low at approximately 47% of the population (~5,800 people). This is lower than the 50.5% coverage rate in Regional Vic. and the national benchmark of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent diagnoses locally, affecting 11.8% and 9.9% of the population respectively, while 59.6% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.
The working-age cohort exhibits elevated rates of chronic illnesses, pointing to significant health pressures. Residents aged 65 and older represent 24.8% of the community (3,090 people), and the health profiles of these older residents match national trends for this age cohort.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Numurkah is largely Australian-born, at 91.3% of residents, with 3.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (34.7%) and English (32.8%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Numurkah exhibits a lower degree of cultural diversity than average, with citizens making up 87.9% of the population, Australian-born residents accounting for 91.3%, and English-only speakers at home representing 96.5%. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, claimed by 53.2% of the local population, compared to 47.3% across Regional Vic. Regarding parents' country of birth, the three largest ancestry groups in Numurkah are Australian at 34.7% of the population (which is higher than the regional benchmark of 29.6%), English at 32.8%, and Irish at 9.5%. Other ethnic backgrounds show varying levels of representation, with Dutch heritage accounting for 1.5% of residents (compared to 1.7% across the region), Scottish at 8.1% (compared to 8.8%), and Maltese at 0.4% (compared to 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Numurkah is 46, older than 81% of areas nationally. 22.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of residents is 46, making Numurkah slightly older than the Regional Vic. average of 43 and older than the national median of 38. The 55 - 64 age bracket is highly represented at 14.1% compared to Regional Vic., whereas the 45 - 54 bracket is less common at 10.5%. Demographic shifts since the 2021 Census indicate that the 35 to 44 age cohort has increased from 10.2% to 11.4% of the population, and the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 7.0% to 8.1%. At the same time, the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 12.8% to 10.5%, and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 15.3% to 14.1%.
By 2041, the age distribution is projected to change significantly, with the 35 to 44 group growing by 60% (an increase of 852 people) to reach 2,278 from 1,425, while the 55 to 64 age group is projected to decline by 12 people.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Numurkah
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 last month all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 171 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (12,555 at the 2021 Census → 12,448 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (216021413). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.