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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Kialla has an estimated 10,312 residents, up from 9,082 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,230 people, or 13.5%. Growth has averaged 3.3% a year over five years, faster than 82% of areas nationally. 300 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 57.9% of that increase. That puts 133 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to data examined by AreaSearch, the population of Kialla stands at approximately 10,312 as of May 2026. This represents a gain of 1,230 people (13.5%) from the 9,082 residents recorded in the 2021 Census. This population shift is calculated using the ABS June 2025 estimated resident population of 10,295 alongside 300 validated new addresses identified since the Census. Such population numbers translate to a density of 133 persons per square kilometer, which indicates substantial space per resident and opportunities for expansion. The 13.5% population rise in Kialla since the 2021 census outpaced the broader SA4 region (1.0%) and the SA3 area, establishing it as a local growth frontrunner.
Interstate migration served as the principal driver of this expansion, accounting for roughly 57.9% of the overall population rise in recent times, though natural increase and overseas migration also made positive contributions. For each SA2 area, AreaSearch incorporates population projections published by the ABS and Geoscience Australia in 2024, using 2022 as the base year. Where SA2 data is unavailable, projections from the VIC State Government's 2023 Regional/LGA releases are used, adjusted by weighting and aggregating population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates calculated by age bracket from these aggregations are also applied across all regions for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking at future demographics, the area is projected to experience exceptional growth, ranking in the top 10 percent of non-metropolitan Australia, with an estimated rise of 8,190 persons to 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP data, which represents an overall growth rate of 79.3% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
639 new dwellings have been approved in Kialla over the past five years, an average of 127 a year. That places the area in the 90th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 12 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 93 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 94% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 103, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential building approvals in Kialla average approximately 127 properties annually, with 639 dwellings approved during the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 95 recorded so far in FY-26. An average increase of 2.4 new residents was recorded for every dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), pointing to consistent demand that helps sustain property valuations, with new residential projects averaging a construction cost of $309,000. Furthermore, commercial approvals totaling $480,000 have been logged during the current financial year, emphasizing the predominantly residential character of the locality.
Construction volume per capita in Kialla is 104.0% higher than in the Rest of Vic., providing purchasers with a broader range of options despite a deceleration in building pace during recent years. This level of activity sits substantially above the national benchmark, showing strong developer interest. Recent building approvals consist of 94.0% detached houses and 6.0% apartments or townhouses, which maintains the low-density profile of the locality by focusing on standalone houses that appeal to buyers seeking space. The ratio of approximately 123 people per residential approval is typical of an expanding growth corridor. Demographic projections indicate that Kialla will add 8,173 residents by 2041, according to the latest quarterly estimates from AreaSearch. If construction volumes remain at current levels, the addition of new housing may not keep pace with population expansion, which is likely to increase buyer competition and support upward pressure on construction values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Kialla
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 12 current infrastructure and development projects inside Kialla, worth an estimated $2.19 billion. A further 65 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $6.31 billion. 25 are already under construction and 28 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure updates, large-scale projects, and planning changes have a significant influence on property performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 20 projects that are anticipated to affect the local area. Principal developments include Kialla Lakes Estate, Kialla West Growth Corridor, River Road West Subdivision - Stage 1, and River Road Kialla Intersection Upgrade, with the details of the most significant projects listed below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Sanctuary Park Estate
Boutique residential estate development located in the heart of Kialla, adjoining the Kialla Lakes precinct. Characterised by tree-lined streets, picturesque views integrated with surrounding landscapes, and an informal network of parklands. Multi-stage development with new stages including the 'Bolzonello Release' and development planned up to Stage 8.
Kialla North Growth Corridor
The Kialla North Growth Corridor is a strategic residential expansion area covering approximately 271 hectares. The project involves the development of a Precinct Structure Plan (PSP) and Development Contributions Plan (DCP) to facilitate approximately 800 to 1000 new dwellings. Key focus areas include integrated water management, traffic impact assessments, and protecting connections to the Broken River. As of 2026, the project remains in the planning phase as the council works to address infrastructure servicing and land supply shortages in the region.
Kialla West Primary School Kindergarten
Construction of a new two-room kindergarten at Kialla West Primary School for up to 66 children as part of Victoria's Kindergarten on a School Site program. The facility is scheduled to open in Term 1, 2027 and will be operated by Goulburn Region Preschool Association, supporting smoother transition into primary school and easier family drop-offs.
Seven Creeks Estate
Master planned residential estate in Kialla adjoining Seven Creeks and the Goulburn River bushland. The development includes approximately 500 residential lots, extensive open space, wetlands and parklands. The final Stage 21 is actively being marketed with Cormorant Reserve under development and the final lots progressing following title issue.
Kialla Lakes Estate
Award-winning masterplanned residential estate spanning over 35 years of development, widely regarded as one of the most successful regional Victorian estates. Developed by Kavant Nominees, the estate features three lakes, wetlands, parks, over 7km of walking and cycling paths, and a display home village. More than 1,200 lots have been sold across 46+ stages, with new stages continuing to be released. Community infrastructure includes the opened St Annes College, proximity to Riverside Plaza shopping complex, and the expanding Emerald Bank tourist precinct.
River Road West Subdivision - Stage 1
Small scale residential subdivision development on River Road West. Early stage planning for conventional residential lots with standard infrastructure requirements. Part of the broader residential growth in the Kialla area responding to housing demand.
Shepparton's Premier Development Site - 7880 Goulburn Valley Highway
Positioned in the Kialla Lakes Estate and Airport precinct, this is an outstanding opportunity for developers to secure a commercial site at the Southern entrance to Shepparton with 252 meters of Goulburn Valley Highway frontage. The site offers huge scope and potential under its Commercial 2 Zoning.
River Road Kialla Intersection Upgrade
Proposed construction of a new roundabout at the intersection of River Road and the Goulburn Valley Highway, Kialla, to improve safety, increase traffic efficiency and strengthen freight and flood resilience as part of the Greater Shepparton Road Network Resilience Package. As of 2026 the project remains an advocacy priority seeking Victorian Government funding and has not yet entered construction.
5,349 residents of Kialla are employed, from a labour force of 5,448. Unemployment sits at 1.8%, with participation at 67.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 8,627, about 84% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Kialla possesses a skilled labor force with strong representation in essential service industries, an unemployment rate of only 1.8%, and estimated job growth of 2.7% over the preceding year. As of March 2026, there are 5,349 employed residents, and the unemployment rate sits 1.9% below the Regional Vic. rate of 3.7%, while the participation rate is significantly elevated at 67.4% compared to the Regional Vic. level of 61.1%. Data from the Census indicates that a minor portion of residents, 11.0%, worked from home, although this figure should be viewed in light of Covid-19 lockdown restrictions.
The principal sectors employing residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for a smaller share at 4.3% compared to the regional average of 7.5%. The relationship between the Census working population and resident population suggests that local employment opportunities within Kialla are relatively limited. An analysis of SALM and ABS figures by AreaSearch reveals that during the 12 months to March 2026, local employment grew by 2.7% while the labor force expanded by 3.4%, leading to an increase in the unemployment rate of 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Vic. saw employment decrease by 0.1%, the labor force contract by 0.3%, and the unemployment rate decline by 0.2 percentage points. National employment projections released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 offer additional context regarding future labor demand in Kialla. These projections, looking at five and ten-year horizons, have been applied to the local workforce structure to model future growth. Nationwide employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though expansion rates vary widely across different industry divisions. Applying these national industry trends directly to Kialla's current workforce structure suggests local jobs could grow by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, representing a simple weighted model for demonstration that does not incorporate local population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Kialla is $2,001 a week (about $104,000 a year), with median personal income at $845 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $54,311 a year against an average of $65,915. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the latest ATO postcode statistics for the financial year 2023 published by AreaSearch, the median income for taxpayers in the Kialla SA2 is $54,311, with an average income of $65,915. These figures are slightly below the national averages, but exceed the Regional Vic. median of $50,954 and average of $62,728. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates correspond to approximately $59,536 (median) and $72,256 (average) as of March 2026. Income data from the 2021 Census places family, household, and individual earnings in Kialla around the 61st percentile nationally.
Looking at income brackets, the largest cohort accounts for 38.1% of residents (3,928 people) who fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which is comparable to the wider region where this bracket represents 30.3% of the population. After paying for housing, households retain 88.5% of their income, indicating healthy discretionary spending capacity, and the area is positioned in the 6th decile on the SEIFA index of relative advantage and disadvantage.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Kialla had 2,993 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 96% detached houses and 0% apartments. 50% are owned with a mortgage, 12% rented and 39% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $380 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,625 a month. Rent absorbs 19.0% of household income here and mortgage repayments 18.7%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the latest Census, the housing stock in Kialla was made up of 96.0% detached houses and 4.0% other dwelling types like semi-detached homes, apartments, and miscellaneous structures, compared to Regional Vic. where houses made up 90.1% and other formats comprised 9.9%. Home ownership rates in Kialla, at 38.6%, were slightly lower than the Regional Vic. average, with the remaining residential properties occupied by mortgage holders (49.6%) or tenants (11.8%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,625 sat well above the Regional Vic. average of $1,430, while the median weekly rent was $380 compared to the regional figure of $285.
On a national level, mortgage costs in Kialla are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, whereas weekly rents exceed the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Kialla counted 2,993 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 3,398 today, averaging 2.9 people each. 42% are couples with children, more than in 83% of areas nationally, against 31% couples without children. 17% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the vast majority of households at 81.8%, consisting of couples with children at 41.9%, couples without children at 30.6%, and single-parent households at 8.6%. Non-family households account for the remaining 18.2%, which is comprised of single-person households at 16.7% and group homes at 1.5%. The median household size of 2.9 people is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
22.3% of adults in Kialla hold a university qualification, including 15.2% with a bachelor degree and 3.4% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 24.8% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 814 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,011 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The locality displays lower levels of higher education attainment, with university graduation rates (22.3%) sitting considerably below the VIC benchmark of 33.4%. This highlights a gap and a potential focus area for educational development programs. Bachelor degrees represent the largest cohort at 15.2%, with graduate diplomas at 3.7% and postgraduate credentials at 3.4%. Vocational and technical qualifications are highly prevalent, with 36.9% of residents aged 15+ holding a vocational qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas (12.1%) and certificates (24.8%). Enrollment rates in education are high, with 31.1% of the population actively participating in formal study.
This student population includes 12.1% attending primary school, 9.3% in secondary school, and 2.8% enrolled in tertiary education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Kialla reaches 26 stops on 2 routes, timetabled for about 120 services a week. The typical home sits about 710 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.9 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of local public transport shows 26 active transit stops within Kialla. These stops are serviced by 2 unique routes, which provide a combined total of 117 weekly passenger services. Transport convenience is rated as limited, with residents living an average of 713 meters from the nearest stop. Because Kialla is primarily residential, most workers commute out of the area, and private vehicles remain the primary transit mode at 97%. Average car ownership is 1.9 vehicles per household, which is higher than the regional average. A relatively low 11.0% of residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 rules.
Service frequency across the transit network averages 16 trips per day, which translates to roughly 4 weekly trips for each transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
70.3% of residents in Kialla report no long-term health condition. 5.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.4 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Kialla displays favorable health profiles, according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality data and the prevalence of chronic illnesses, with common conditions showing low frequency in the general community but higher rates than the national benchmark among older, vulnerable groups, while private health insurance membership is slightly below the SA2 average at approximately 52% of the population (~5,351 people). Arthritis and asthma are the most prevalent health issues recorded, affecting 8.3 and 7.8% of the community respectively, while 70.3% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic..
Residents under the age of 65 experience better health outcomes than average. Seniors aged 65 and over represent 17.0% of the local population (1,754 people), which is lower than the Regional Vic. proportion of 23.9%. Health outcomes for this older cohort present some difficulties, ranking lower nationally than the broader local population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Kialla is largely Australian-born, at 82.7% of residents, with 20.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (27.0%) and English (26.7%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Kialla exhibits above-average cultural diversity, with overseas-born residents making up 17.3% of the population and 20.0% of households speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, representing 50.1% of local residents. The most notable discrepancy is in the Other category, which represents 4.5% of the local population compared to 0.8% across Regional Vic.. In terms of parental country of birth, the three largest ancestry groups in Kialla are Australian at 27.0%, English at 26.7%, and Other at 10.8%, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 4.7%.
Significant variances also appear in other ethnic backgrounds: Italian heritage is highly represented at 7.7% of Kialla (compared to 2.9% across the region), Macedonian at 0.5% (compared to 0.2%), and Samoan at 0.3% (compared to 0.1%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Kialla is 38. 24.9% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Kialla has a median age of 38, which is younger than the Regional Vic. average of 43 but matches the national average of 38. The 5 - 14 age bracket is highly represented at 14.4% compared to Regional Vic., while the 65 - 74 age group is less common at 9.2%. Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 demographic expanded from 11.5% to 12.7% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 group decreased from 15.7% to 14.4% and the 55 to 64 group fell from 11.6% to 10.5%.
Demographic projections suggest the age distribution in Kialla will shift significantly by 2041, led by the 45 to 54 group which is expected to rise by 120% (1,485 people) to reach 2,723 from 1,237.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Kialla
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 12 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 300 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (9,082 at the 2021 Census → 10,312 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (216031593). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.