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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Kialla has an estimated 10,335 residents, up from 9,082 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,253 people, or 13.8%. Growth has averaged 3.3% a year over five years, faster than 82% of areas nationally. 328 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 57.9% of that increase. That puts 134 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to findings from AreaSearch, the resident count in Kialla reaches roughly 10,335 as of Aug 2026. Compared to the 2021 Census tally of 9,082 people, this represents an addition of 1,253 residents (13.8%). Such growth is derived from the ABS estimated resident population figure of 10,295 recorded as of June 2025 alongside 328 validated new addresses confirmed post-Census. With 133 persons per square kilometer, the locality maintains a generous spatial environment with ample room for ongoing expansion. Surpassing both the SA4 region (1.1%) and the surrounding SA3 zone, Kialla's 13.8% post-2021 Census expansion establishes it as a regional frontrunner.
The primary driver of this demographic surge has been interstate migration, accounting for roughly 57.9% of net arrivals over recent intervals, with natural increase and overseas arrivals also contributing positively. Population modelling utilizes ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 (anchored to a 2022 baseline) across each SA2. Where these are unavailable, AreaSearch incorporates the 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections, converting LGA data to the SA2 level through weighted growth aggregations and applying resulting age-bracket expansion trajectories across all regions for 2032 through 2041. Looking forward, Kialla is slated for remarkable demographic expansion that ranks within the upper 10 percent of non-metropolitan locations nationwide, with projections anticipating an influx of 8,150 persons by 2041 relative to the newest annual ERP statistics, representing a cumulative 78.5% rise over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
566 new dwellings have been approved in Kialla over the past five years, an average of 113 a year. That places the area in the 90th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 11 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 113 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 95% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential planning permissions in Kialla have averaged roughly 113 dwellings annually, culminating in 566 approved residences across the preceding 5 financial years. With newly constructed homes reflecting an average construction value of $438,000, incoming population gains have averaged 2.7 persons annually per completed dwelling between FY-22 and FY-26, demonstrating healthy underlying demand supportive of real estate values. Meanwhile, commercial building approvals have totaled just $480,000 during the current financial year, underscoring subdued non-residential construction activity. On a per-capita basis, building activity in Kialla outpaces Rest of Vic. by 72.0%, widening options for prospective purchasers even as construction volume has eased lately.
This robust pipeline exceeds national norms and signals considerable building sector confidence. Construction is overwhelmingly oriented toward separate houses at 95.0%, with attached dwellings making up 5.0%, reinforcing the low-density, space-oriented character favored by family buyers. Generating one approval per roughly 126 residents, the community continues its active urban expansion. Projections based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly calculations indicate that Kialla will expand by 8,110 residents leading up to 2041. Should current construction volumes persist without accelerating, residential supply could lag demographic expansion, intensifying buyer competition and placing upward pressure on property values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Kialla
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 12 current infrastructure and development projects inside Kialla, worth an estimated $2.19 billion. A further 65 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $6.31 billion. 25 are already under construction and 28 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local capital works, strategic master plans, and utility initiatives serve as primary determinants of community growth. AreaSearch has highlighted 20 major undertakings positioned to influence the district, including prominent developments like Kialla Lakes Estate, Kialla West Growth Corridor, River Road West Subdivision - Stage 1, and the River Road Kialla Intersection Upgrade, with the most critical works itemized below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Sanctuary Park Estate
Boutique residential estate development located in the heart of Kialla, adjoining the Kialla Lakes precinct. Characterised by tree-lined streets, picturesque views integrated with surrounding landscapes, and an informal network of parklands. Multi-stage development with new stages including the 'Bolzonello Release' and development planned up to Stage 8.
Kialla North Growth Corridor
The Kialla North Growth Corridor is a strategic residential expansion area covering approximately 271 hectares. The project involves the development of a Precinct Structure Plan (PSP) and Development Contributions Plan (DCP) to facilitate approximately 800 to 1000 new dwellings. Key focus areas include integrated water management, traffic impact assessments, and protecting connections to the Broken River. As of 2026, the project remains in the planning phase as the council works to address infrastructure servicing and land supply shortages in the region.
Kialla West Primary School Kindergarten
Construction of a new two-room kindergarten at Kialla West Primary School for up to 66 children as part of Victoria's Kindergarten on a School Site program. The facility is scheduled to open in Term 1, 2027 and will be operated by Goulburn Region Preschool Association, supporting smoother transition into primary school and easier family drop-offs.
Seven Creeks Estate
Master planned residential estate in Kialla adjoining Seven Creeks and the Goulburn River bushland. The development includes approximately 500 residential lots, extensive open space, wetlands and parklands. The final Stage 21 is actively being marketed with Cormorant Reserve under development and the final lots progressing following title issue.
Kialla Lakes Estate
Award-winning masterplanned residential estate spanning over 35 years of development, widely regarded as one of the most successful regional Victorian estates. Developed by Kavant Nominees, the estate features three lakes, wetlands, parks, over 7km of walking and cycling paths, and a display home village. More than 1,200 lots have been sold across 46+ stages, with new stages continuing to be released. Community infrastructure includes the opened St Annes College, proximity to Riverside Plaza shopping complex, and the expanding Emerald Bank tourist precinct.
River Road West Subdivision - Stage 1
Small scale residential subdivision development on River Road West. Early stage planning for conventional residential lots with standard infrastructure requirements. Part of the broader residential growth in the Kialla area responding to housing demand.
Shepparton's Premier Development Site - 7880 Goulburn Valley Highway
Positioned in the Kialla Lakes Estate and Airport precinct, this is an outstanding opportunity for developers to secure a commercial site at the Southern entrance to Shepparton with 252 meters of Goulburn Valley Highway frontage. The site offers huge scope and potential under its Commercial 2 Zoning.
River Road Kialla Intersection Upgrade
Proposed construction of a new roundabout at the intersection of River Road and the Goulburn Valley Highway, Kialla, to improve safety, increase traffic efficiency and strengthen freight and flood resilience as part of the Greater Shepparton Road Network Resilience Package. As of 2026 the project remains an advocacy priority seeking Victorian Government funding and has not yet entered construction.
5,349 residents of Kialla are employed, from a labour force of 5,448. Unemployment sits at 1.8%, with participation at 67.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 8,652, about 84% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local labour force is notably qualified, displaying strong concentration across core service industries, an unemployment rate standing at a modest 1.8%, and estimated yearly jobs growth of 2.7%. Employed individuals totaled 5,349 as of March 2026, while the jobless rate tracking 1.9% under the 3.7% benchmark of Regional Vic. coincides with high labour participation (67.3% compared to 61.1% in Regional Vic.). Census returns indicate that only 11.0% of local workers performed their duties from home, though pandemic-related movement restrictions during that period must be kept in mind. Leading fields of employment for local residents include health care & social assistance, construction, as well as education & training.
In contrast, the agriculture, forestry & fishing sector accounts for only 4.3% of the resident workforce, trailing the wider regional benchmark of 7.5%. A comparison between local resident workers and jobs located within the boundary suggests that nearby commercial employment capacity remains constrained. AreaSearch's evaluation of ABS and SALM metrics demonstrates that during the 12 months leading to March 2026, resident employment rose 2.7% alongside a 3.4% workforce expansion, leading to an unemployment uptick of 0.7 percentage points. Conversely, Regional Vic. saw employment contract by 0.1%, the labour force shrink by 0.3%, and unemployment decline by 0.2 percentage points. Future industry requirements are further informed by Jobs and Skills Australia's Mar-26 employment forecasts. Projections over five- and ten-year horizons were mapped against the resident occupational profile, where nationwide employment is modeled to rise 6.6% in five years and 13.7% over ten years. Weighting these sectoral expectations across Kialla's local industry composition suggests potential local employment increases of 6.3% over five years and 13.3% across ten years, representing a simple baseline extrapolation that excludes localized demographic projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Kialla is $2,001 a week (about $104,000 a year), with median personal income at $845 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $54,311 a year against an average of $65,915. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Data from the ATO for financial year 2023 at the postcode level shows Kialla SA2 earnings tracking marginally below the national standard, reporting a median of $54,311 and a mean of $65,915, compared to Regional Vic.'s median of $50,954 and mean of $62,728. Accounting for a 9.62% Wage Price Index increase since financial year 2023, adjusted estimates reach roughly $59,536 for median income and $72,256 for mean income as of March 2026. Across 2021 Census measures, personal, household, and family earnings placed around the 61st percentile nationally, with the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly band representing the largest group at 38.1% of residents (3,937 people), aligning with the wider metropolitan pattern of 30.3%.
Residents retain 88.5% of income after servicing housing obligations, indicating healthy disposable funds, while the SEIFA income metric sits in the 6th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Kialla had 2,993 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 96% detached houses and 0% apartments. 50% are owned with a mortgage, 12% rented and 39% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $380 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,625 a month. Rent absorbs 19.0% of household income here and mortgage repayments 18.7%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, residential stock in Kialla consisted of 96.0% separate houses and 4.0% other configurations including apartments and townhouses, differing from the 90.1% house and 9.9% other dwelling distribution across Regional Vic.. Full home ownership accounted for 38.6% of households, slightly below the wider regional mark, while mortgaged properties stood at 49.6% and rented residences represented 11.8%. Typical mortgage payments reached a median of $1,625 per month, outpacing the Regional Vic. norm of $1,430, whereas median weekly rents were $380 against $285 regionally. Relative to the Australian benchmarks, local monthly mortgage obligations sit lower than the $1,863 national median, whereas local weekly rents slightly exceed the $375 national figure.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Kialla counted 2,993 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 3,406 today, averaging 2.9 people each. 42% are couples with children, more than in 83% of areas nationally, against 31% couples without children. 17% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local domestic arrangements at 81.8%, comprising couples with children at 41.9%, couples without children at 30.6%, and single parent households at 8.6%. Lone occupant residences make up 16.7% and group homes represent 1.5%, forming the remaining 18.2% non-family segment. The median household accommodates 2.9 occupants, exceeding the 2.4 average recorded across Regional Vic..
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
22.3% of adults in Kialla hold a university qualification, including 15.2% with a bachelor degree and 3.4% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 24.8% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 814 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,011 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment reveals an ongoing opportunity for advancement, with tertiary degree holders making up 22.3% of the populace compared to the broader VIC benchmark of 33.4%. Within university qualifications, bachelor degrees represent 15.2%, graduate diplomas account for 3.7%, and postgraduate credentials total 3.4%. Meanwhile, vocational and technical qualifications remain prominent, as 36.9% of residents aged 15+ hold vocational credentials, divided between certificates at 24.8% and advanced diplomas at 12.1%. Engagement across learning institutions is strong, with 31.1% of the community actively pursuing an education. Breaking down this student cohort, 12.1% are attending primary schools, 9.3% are in secondary education, and 2.8% are enrolled in tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Kialla reaches 26 stops on 2 routes, timetabled for about 120 services a week. The typical home sits about 710 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.9 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Transit network mapping identifies 26 active public transit boarding points throughout Kialla, served by 2 distinct transit lines that deliver a combined 117 weekly passenger trips. Public transit access remains modest, as residents walk or travel an average of 713 meters to reach their closest stop. Given the suburban nature of the district, outbound travel relies heavily on private vehicles, with driving accounting for 97% of travel modes. Household motor vehicle availability averages 1.9 cars per dwelling, surpassing the regional average, while 11.0% of the workforce worked from home at the 2021 Census amidst potential pandemic lockdown influences.
Transit service schedules deliver an average of 16 departures daily across the entire network, providing roughly 4 weekly trips for each designated boarding location.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
70.3% of residents in Kialla report no long-term health condition. 5.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.4 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch health indicators demonstrate favorable vitality outcomes for Kialla based on local mortality statistics and chronic condition patterns, where chronic illnesses occur infrequently across the broad population but show elevated rates among vulnerable senior cohorts, while private health insurance membership reaches around 52% of the populace (~5,363 people), slightly below typical SA2 benchmarks. Among reported chronic health issues, arthritis and asthma are the most widespread, affecting 8.3 and 7.8% of the local population respectively, while 70.3% of residents reported having no long-term health conditions, outperforming the Regional Vic. proportion of 63.4%.
Health measures for residents under 65 track favorably against broader averages. Those aged 65 and over make up 17.5% of the community (1,810 people), below the 24.0% regional proportion, with older age groups experiencing comparatively greater healthcare burdens relative to wider national standards.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Kialla is largely Australian-born, at 82.7% of residents, with 20.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (27.0%) and English (26.7%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural metrics indicate an above-average level of demographic variety in Kialla, where 17.3% of inhabitants were born abroad and 20.0% converse in a language other than English within their households. Christianity forms the largest faith tradition, representing 50.1% of the population, while Other faiths demonstrate a distinct presence at 4.5% compared to just 0.8% across Regional Vic.. Regarding parental background and ancestral heritage, the three most common lineages in Kialla are Australian at 27.0%, English at 26.7%, and Other at 10.8%, which markedly exceeds the wider regional rate of 4.7%.
Specific ethnic representations also diverge from regional figures, with Italian heritage accounting for 7.7% of residents (compared to 2.9% across the region), Macedonian at 0.5% (against 0.2%), and Samoan at 0.3% (against 0.1%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Kialla is 38. 24.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic structure of Kialla skews younger than Regional Vic. overall. Projections for August 2026 show that 34.3% of the population consists of youth and children aged 0 - 24, higher than the 28.5% recorded across Regional Vic., while seniors aged 65+ comprise 17.5% compared to the regional figure of 24.0%. The estimated median age remains at 38, matching the 2021 Census level and sitting 5 years younger than the Regional Vic. benchmark of 43 from that Census. Meanwhile, residents aged 45 - 64 have reduced their demographic share from 24.5% at the Census to an estimated 22.7%.
Looking toward 2041, the most substantial absolute growth is anticipated in the 25 - 44 age bracket, which is projected to expand by 2,424 residents (92%) to reach 5,057.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Kialla
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 last month all 12 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 328 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (9,082 at the 2021 Census → 10,335 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (216031593). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.