Shepparton Surrounds - East
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Shepparton Surrounds - East are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Shepparton Surrounds - East's population is around 4,105 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 88 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,017 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 4,065 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 61 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3.9 persons per square kilometer. Shepparton Surrounds - East's 2.2% growth since census positions it within 0.4 percentage points of the SA4 region (2.6%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 52.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the area expected to increase by 1,907 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, reflecting an increase of 45.5% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Shepparton Surrounds - East according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Shepparton Surrounds - East has received approximately eight dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reports 41 approvals between financial years FY21 to FY25, with none recorded so far in FY26. On average, two new residents per year have been attributed to each dwelling constructed during this period. This suggests a balanced supply and demand, maintaining stable market conditions for premium properties averaging $624,000 in construction cost.

Commercial development approvals totalled $5.8 million in the current financial year. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Shepparton Surrounds - East has lower building activity, 70.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity can strengthen demand and prices for existing properties. Recent development consists solely of standalone homes, preserving the area's low density nature with detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. As of now, there are an estimated 388 people per dwelling approval in the area.

Population forecasts indicate a gain of 1,867 residents by 2041. If current construction levels continue, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Shepparton Surrounds - East has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 36thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 34 projects that may affect this region. Notable projects include The North Quarter Estate, Shepparton Sports & Events Centre Redevelopment, GV Health Staff Accommodation Development, and Goulburn Valley Health - Shepparton Hospital Redevelopment. Below is a list of those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Shepparton Surrounds - East ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Shepparton Surrounds - East has an unemployment rate of 1.7% as of June 2025. The area's workforce participation is high at 65.4%, compared to the Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%.

Key industries include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and construction. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has a notable concentration with employment levels at 2.7 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food shows lower representation at 3.6% compared to the regional average of 6.9%. The labour force decreased by 14.2% over a 12-month period ending June 2025, while employment declined by 14.7%, leading to an unemployment rate increase of 0.5 percentage points.

In comparison, Rest of Vic.'s employment fell by 0.9%, labour force contracted by 0.4%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points during the same period. As of Sep-25, VIC's state-level data shows employment growth of 1.08% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Shepparton Surrounds - East's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.6% over five years and 12.3% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Shepparton Surrounds - East had a median income of $47,654 and an average income of $55,648 in financial year 2022. These figures are below those for Rest of Vic., which were $48,741 and $60,693 respectively. By March 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 10.11%, the estimated median income would be approximately $52,472 and the average would be around $61,274. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Shepparton Surrounds - East rank modestly, between the 43rd and 43rd percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The largest income segment comprises 33.5% of residents earning $1,500 to $2,999 weekly. Housing costs are manageable with 90.0% retained, but disposable income is below average at the 50th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Shepparton Surrounds - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Shepparton Surrounds - East, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.5% houses and 1.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Shepparton Surrounds - East was 43.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.5% and rented dwellings at 12.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, aligning with Non-Metro Vic.'s average, while the median weekly rent was $236, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $260. Nationally, Shepparton Surrounds - East's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,300 than Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $236 compared to the national figure of $375.

Shepparton Surrounds - East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.6% of all households, composed of 36.2% couples with children, 33.2% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.4%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.5.

Shepparton Surrounds - East shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate stands at 18.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, with 12.1% of residents holding one, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent among residents aged 15 and above, with 39.3% having such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (28.1%). Educational participation is high, with 31.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.3% in primary, 10.8% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

There are nine schools operating within Shepparton Surrounds - East, educating approximately 256 students. This area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 980) with balanced educational opportunities, comprising seven primary and two K-12 schools. Local school capacity is limited at 6.2 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 16.0, leading many families to travel for schooling. Note: For schools showing 'n/a' in enrolments, please refer to their parent campus.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The public transport analysis for Shepparton Surrounds - East shows six active transport stops operating in the region. These stops are served by nine individual bus routes that collectively provide 93 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 10282 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 13 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 15 weekly trips per stop.

Health outcomes in Shepparton Surrounds - East are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators suggest below average outcomes in Shepparton Surrounds - East with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (around 1,953 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 9.4% and 9.0% of residents respectively, while 67.0% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.8% across Rest of Vic.. The area has 16.9% of residents aged 65 and over (694 people), which is lower than the 18.9% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Shepparton Surrounds - East is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Shepparton Surrounds-East, as per the 2016 Census, showed lower cultural diversity with 89.2% citizens, 91.1% born in Australia, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominated at 53.2%. The 'Other' religion category was overrepresented at 1.7%, compared to Rest of Vic's 2.7%.

Top ancestry groups were Australian (31.6%), English (30.8%), and Irish (10.0%). Scottish (9.9%) and Italian (4.1%) were notably higher than regional averages, while Macedonian was lower at 0.3% compared to 0.4%.

Shepparton Surrounds - East hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

At 42 years, Shepparton Surrounds - East's median age is similar to the Rest of Vic.'s average of 43, while considerably older than Australia's median age of 38. The age profile shows that 15-24 year-olds are particularly prominent at 14.0%, while the 75-84 group is comparatively smaller at 5.2% than in Rest of Vic. Since 2021, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 12.1% to 14.0% of the population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 12.0% to 13.9%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 14.5% to 11.8%, and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 15.2% to 13.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Shepparton Surrounds - East, with the 35 to 44 cohort showing the strongest projected growth at 79%, adding 451 residents to reach 1,022.