Shepparton Surrounds - East

Population growth drivers in Shepparton Surrounds - East are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Shepparton Surrounds - East's population is around 4,116 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 99 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,017 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 4,065 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 65 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3.9 persons per square kilometer. Shepparton Surrounds - East's 2.5% growth since census positions it within 1.0 percentage points of the SA4 region (3.5%). Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, contributing approximately 52.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, exceptional growth is predicted over the period, placing Shepparton Surrounds - East in the top 10 percent of Australia's non-metropolitan areas. The area is expected to increase by 1,907 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 45.1% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Shepparton Surrounds - East according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Shepparton Surrounds - East has had approximately 8 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 41 homes. In FY26 so far, there have been 3 approvals. On average, 2 new residents have arrived annually for each new home built between FY21 and FY25. The average construction value of these new homes is $465,000, indicating a focus on premium properties.

This financial year has seen $5.8 million in commercial approvals registered. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Shepparton Surrounds - East has significantly less development activity, 70% below the regional average per person. This limited new construction typically supports demand and pricing for existing properties. Recent building activity consists solely of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's low density character with a focus on family homes. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 388 people.

By 2041, Shepparton Surrounds - East is projected to grow by 1,856 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to meet this population growth.

Shepparton Surrounds - East has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 33 such projects likely affecting the area. Notable ones include The North Quarter Estate, Shepparton Sports & Events Centre Redevelopment, GV Health Staff Accommodation Development, and Shepparton North Activity Centre Structure Plan. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis places Shepparton Surrounds - East well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Shepparton Surrounds - East has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation as of September 2025. The unemployment rate is 2.1%.

There are 2,286 residents employed, which is 1.7% lower than the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation stands at 65.4%, exceeding the Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key industries include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and construction. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has a notable concentration with employment levels at 2.7 times the regional average.

Conversely, accommodation & food shows lower representation at 3.6% compared to the regional average of 6.9%. The area may have limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data analysis. Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 10.3%, and employment fell by 11.2%, resulting in a rise in unemployment rate by 1.1 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic.'s employment fell by 0.7% and labour force contracted by 0.6%. State-level data to 25-Nov shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Shepparton Surrounds - East. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Shepparton Surrounds - East's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.6% over five years and 12.3% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The Shepparton Surrounds - East SA2 had an income level below the national average according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2022. The median income among taxpayers was $47,654 and the average income stood at $55,648. These figures compare to those for Rest of Vic., which were $48,741 and $60,693 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $53,449 (median) and $62,415 (average) as of September 2025. From the Census conducted in 2021, household, family, and personal incomes all ranked modestly in Shepparton Surrounds - East, between the 42nd and 43rd percentiles. The largest segment comprised 33.5% earning $1,500 to $2,999 weekly (1,378 residents), mirroring regional levels where 30.3% occupied this bracket. Housing costs were manageable with 90.0% retained, though disposable income sat below average at the 50th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 5th decile.

Shepparton Surrounds - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Shepparton Surrounds - East, as recorded in the latest Census, 98.5% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 1.5% consisting of semi-detached, apartments and other types. This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s figures of 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Shepparton Surrounds - East stood at 43.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.5% and rented ones at 12.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, aligning with Non-Metro Vic.'s average, while the median weekly rent was $236 compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $260. Nationally, Shepparton Surrounds - East's median monthly mortgage repayment of $1,300 is lower than Australia's average of $1,863, and its median weekly rent of $236 is substantially below the national figure of $375.

Shepparton Surrounds - East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.6% of all households, including 36.2% couples with children, 33.2% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.4%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of Vic average of 2.5.

Shepparton Surrounds - East shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 18.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (28.1%). Educational participation is high, with 31.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.3% in primary, 10.8% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.3% in primary education, 10.8% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Shepparton Surrounds - East has six active public transport stops operating, all of which use buses. Nine different routes serve these stops, offering a total of 93 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in the area is limited, with residents on average located 10282 meters from their nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 13 trips per day, equating to about 15 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Shepparton Surrounds - East are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Shepparton Surrounds - East. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population, which is around 1,959 people. This is lower than the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 9.4 and 9.0% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 67.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.8% across Rest of Vic.. The area has 16.9% of residents aged 65 and over, which is around 696 people. This is lower than the 18.9% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Shepparton Surrounds - East is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Shepparton Surrounds - East had a cultural diversity index below average. Its population was predominantly Australian-born citizens, with 89.2% being citizens, 91.1% born in Australia, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 53.2% of the population.

However, there was an overrepresentation in the 'Other' religious category, with 1.7% compared to the regional average of 2.7%. In terms of ancestry, Australian (31.6%), English (30.8%), and Irish (10.0%) were the top three groups represented. Notably, Scottish ancestry was overrepresented at 9.9%, while Macedonian and Italian showed lower representation than the regional averages.

Shepparton Surrounds - East's median age exceeds the national pattern

Shepparton Surrounds - East has a median age of 42 years, similar to Rest of Vic.'s average of 43, but considerably older than Australia's median age of 38 years. The age profile shows that the 15-24 year-olds are particularly prominent at 14.0%, while the 75-84 group is comparatively smaller at 5.2% compared to Rest of Vic.'s figures. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of 15-24 year-olds has grown from 12.1% to 14.0%, while the 35-44 cohort increased from 12.0% to 13.9%. Conversely, the proportion of 5-14 year-olds declined from 14.5% to 11.8%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 15.2% to 13.6%. Population forecasts for Shepparton Surrounds - East indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041, with the 35-44 cohort showing the strongest projected growth of 79%, adding 449 residents to reach a total of 1,022.