Shepparton Surrounds - East
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Shepparton Surrounds - East are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Shepparton Surrounds - East's population was around 4,116 as of November 2025. This showed an increase of 99 people, a 2.5% rise from the 2021 Census figure of 4,017. This growth is inferred from ABS data: the estimated resident population was 4,065 in June 2024, with an additional 65 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio was 3.9 persons per square kilometer. Shepparton Surrounds - East's growth of 2.5% since the census was close to the SA4 region's 3.5%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 52.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, they use VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population projections indicate exceptional growth in the area, expected to increase by 1,907 persons to 2041, a total rise of 45.1% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Shepparton Surrounds - East according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Shepparton Surrounds - East has seen approximately 8 dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling 41 homes. As of FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2 new residents per year have arrived with each new home built between FY-21 and FY-25, suggesting balanced supply and demand. The average construction value of these new homes is $465,000, indicating a focus on premium properties.

In this financial year, $5.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Shepparton Surrounds - East has significantly less development activity, 70.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new construction often reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. However, recent periods have seen an increase in development activity. This activity is also below national averages, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

All recent building activity consists of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's low density character with a focus on family homes. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 388 people. By 2041, Shepparton Surrounds - East is projected to grow by 1,856 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Shepparton Surrounds - East has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 36thth percentile nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure. AreaSearch has identified 33 projects that are likely to impact this area. Notable projects include The North Quarter Estate, Shepparton Sports & Events Centre Redevelopment, GV Health Staff Accommodation Development, and Goulburn Valley Health - Shepparton Hospital Redevelopment. Below is a list of projects most relevant to the area.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Shepparton Surrounds - East significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Shepparton Surrounds - East has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation and an unemployment rate of 1.7% as of June 2025. There are 2,231 residents in work, with the unemployment rate at 2.1% below Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation is high at 65.4%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key industries include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and construction. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has notable concentration with employment levels at 2.7 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food shows lower representation at 3.6% versus the regional average of 6.9%.

The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, as Census working population vs resident population indicates. Over the 12 months to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 14.2%, and employment fell by 14.7%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.5 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic.'s employment fell by 0.9%, labour force contracted by 0.4%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Shepparton Surrounds - East's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.6% over five years and 12.3% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Shepparton Surrounds - East had a median income of $47,654 and an average income of $55,648 in financial year 2022, according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This compares to figures for Rest of Vic., which were $48,741 and $60,693 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $53,449 (median) and $62,415 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Shepparton Surrounds - East rank modestly, between the 43rd and 43rd percentiles. The largest segment comprises 33.5% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (1,378 residents), mirroring regional levels where 30.3% occupy this bracket. Housing costs are manageable with 90.0% retained, though disposable income sits below average at the 50th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Shepparton Surrounds - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Shepparton Surrounds - East, as per the latest Census, 98.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 1.5% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Shepparton Surrounds - East stood at 43.2%, with mortgaged properties at 44.5% and rented ones at 12.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, aligning with Non-Metro Vic.'s average. The median weekly rent was $236, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $260. Nationally, Shepparton Surrounds - East's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,300 versus Australia's $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $236 compared to the national figure of $375.

Shepparton Surrounds - East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.6% of all households, including 36.2% couples with children, 33.2% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.4%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.5.

Shepparton Surrounds - East shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 18.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (28.1%).

Educational participation is high at 31.7%, including 11.3% in primary, 10.8% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education. Nine schools operate within Shepparton Surrounds - East, educating approximately 256 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 980) and balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes seven primary and two K-12 schools. School capacity is limited at 6.2 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 16.0, leading many families to travel for schooling. Note: where school enrolments are 'n/a', please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Shepparton Surrounds - East indicates six active transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with nine individual routes providing service. In total, these routes offer 93 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility to transport is rated as limited, with residents typically located at an average distance of 10282 meters from the nearest transport stop. Across all routes, the service frequency averages 13 trips per day, equating to approximately 15 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Shepparton Surrounds - East are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Shepparton Surrounds - East. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population, which is around 1,959 people. This is lower than the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 9.4 and 9.0% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 67.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.8% across Rest of Vic. The area has 16.9% of residents aged 65 and over, which is around 696 people. This is lower than the 18.9% in Rest of Vic. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Shepparton Surrounds - East is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Shepparton Surrounds - East had a cultural diversity score below average, with 89.2% of its population being Australian citizens, 91.1% born in Australia, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 53.2%. The most notable overrepresentation was seen in the 'Other' category, with 1.7% compared to the regional average of 2.7%.

Top ancestry groups were Australian (31.6%), English (30.8%), and Irish (10.0%). Scottish ancestry was notably higher at 9.9%, Macedonian at 0.3%, and Italian at 4.1%, compared to regional averages of 7.2%, 0.4%, and 6.0% respectively.

Shepparton Surrounds - East hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Shepparton Surrounds - East's median age in 2021 was 42 years, similar to Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile showed that the 15-24 year-olds were particularly prominent at 14.0%, while the 75-84 group was smaller at 5.2% compared to Rest of Vic. Between 2021 and the present, the 15-24 age group grew from 12.1% to 14.0%, and the 35-44 cohort increased from 12.0% to 13.9%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort declined from 14.5% to 11.8%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 15.2% to 13.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Shepparton Surrounds - East, with the 35-44 cohort projected to grow by 79%, adding 449 residents to reach 1,022.