Shepparton Surrounds - East

Population growth drivers in Shepparton Surrounds - East are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Shepparton Surrounds - East's population was around 4,061 as of May 2026. This reflected an increase of 44 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,017. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 4,055 in June 2025 and an additional 68 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equated to a density ratio of 3.8 persons per square kilometer. Shepparton Surrounds - East's growth of 1.1% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region's growth of 1%. Natural growth contributed approximately 59.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch used the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting with a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections predicted exceptional growth, placing the area in the top 10 percent of Australia's non-metropolitan areas, with an expected increase of 1,848 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 45.4% over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Shepparton Surrounds - East according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Shepparton Surrounds - East has seen approximately 8 dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling 41 homes. As of FY26, 6 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2 new residents arrived per year for each new home between FY21 and FY25. The average construction value of these homes was $465,000, indicating a focus on premium properties.

This financial year has seen $5.8 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Shepparton Surrounds - East has significantly less development activity, 70.0% below the regional average per person. Recent periods have shown increased development activity, but it remains below national averages, likely due to planning constraints and the area's maturity. All recent building activity consists of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's low density character and appealing to families seeking space. There are estimated to be 388 people per dwelling approval in the area.

By 2041, Shepparton Surrounds - East is projected to grow by 1,842 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to meet population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Shepparton Surrounds - East has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 39thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 33 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include The North Quarter Estate, Shepparton Sports & Events Centre Redevelopment, GV Health Staff Accommodation Development, and Shepparton North Activity Centre Structure Plan. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Shepparton Surrounds - East significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Shepparton Surrounds - East has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation and an unemployment rate of 1.9% as of December 2025. In this period, 2,313 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.8% lower than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation in Shepparton Surrounds - East stands at 69.6%, surpassing Regional Vic.'s rate of 61.0%.

According to Census responses, 18.5% of residents work from home. The key industries of employment among residents are agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and construction. Notably, agriculture, forestry & fishing has an employment level that is 2.7 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food services show lower representation at 3.6% compared to the regional average of 6.9%.

The area may offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparing working population and resident population. Over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 5.1%, with employment decreasing by 5.5%, leading to an unemployment rate increase of 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Vic.'s employment fell by 0.6%, labour force contracted by 0.7%, and unemployment fell by 0.1 percentage points during this period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is expected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Shepparton Surrounds - East's employment mix indicates potential local employment increases of 5.6% over five years and 12.3% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The Shepparton Surrounds - East SA2 had an income level below the national average according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $47,897 and the average income stood at $58,111. These figures compared to Regional Vic.'s median of $50,954 and average of $62,728 respectively. Based on a 9.62% growth in wages since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $52,505 (median) and $63,701 (average). The 2021 Census data showed household, family, and personal incomes ranked modestly, between the 42nd and 43rd percentiles. The largest income segment comprised 33.5% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, with 1,360 residents in this bracket, mirroring regional levels where 30.3% occupied this bracket. Housing costs were manageable with 90.0% retained, but disposable income was below average at the 50th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 5th decile.

Shepparton Surrounds - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Shepparton Surrounds - East, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.5% houses and 1.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Shepparton Surrounds - East was at 43.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.5% and rented ones at 12.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,300, below Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent was recorded at $236, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Shepparton Surrounds - East's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Shepparton Surrounds - East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.6% of all households, including 36.2% couples with children, 33.2% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.4%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the regional Victorian average of 2.4.

Shepparton Surrounds - East shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 18.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.3% of residents aged 15 and above holding them. Advanced diplomas account for 11.2% and certificates for 28.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.3% in primary education, 10.8% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Shepparton Surrounds - East indicates six active transport stops are currently operating. These stops are serviced by three individual routes, collectively providing fifty-three weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 10282 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. The car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 92%, with 6% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 2.3 per dwelling, which is above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, some 18.5% of residents work from home, a figure that may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages seven trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately eight weekly trips per individual stop.

Shepparton Surrounds - East's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Shepparton Surrounds - East residents have relatively positive health outcomes according to area-specific data. Mortality rates and health conditions are broadly in line with national benchmarks. Common health conditions are seen across both young and old age cohorts at a fairly standard level.

Private health cover is low, with approximately 48% of the total population (~1,957 people) having it, compared to Regional Vic.'s 50.5% and the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (9.4%) and asthma (9.0%). 67.0% of residents claim to be completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Regional Vic.'s 63.4%. Working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 18.1% of residents aged 65 and over (733 people), lower than Regional Vic.'s 23.9%. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, ranking even higher than the general population nationally.

Shepparton Surrounds - East is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Shepparton Surrounds - East had a cultural diversity index below average, with 89.2% of its population being citizens, 91.1% born in Australia, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, making up 53.2%. The most notable overrepresentation was in Other religions, comprising 1.7%, compared to Regional Vic's 0.8%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian was the top group at 31.6%, followed by English at 30.8% and Irish at 10.0%. Scottish ancestry was notably higher at 9.9%, Macedonian at 0.3%, and Italian at 4.1%, compared to regional averages of 8.8%, 0.2%, and 2.9% respectively.

Shepparton Surrounds - East's median age exceeds the national pattern

Shepparton Surrounds - East's median age in 2021 was 42 years, similar to Regional Vic.'s average of 43 but older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile showed that those aged 15-24 were prominent at 13.8%, while the 75-84 group was smaller at 5.7% compared to Regional Vic.. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group grew from 12.0% to 13.7%, and the 15-24 cohort increased from 12.1% to 13.8%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort declined from 14.5% to 11.8%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 15.2% to 13.1%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the 35-44 cohort projected to grow by 73%, adding 405 residents to reach 963.