Tatura

Population growth drivers in Tatura are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, Tatura's population is estimated at around 5,272, reflecting an increase of 317 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 6.4% rise from the previous population count of 4,955. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 4,925 in June 2024, following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 260 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 42 persons per square kilometer. Tatura's growth rate exceeded both its SA4 region (3.7%) and SA3 area, positioning it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics predict exceptional growth, placing Tatura in the top 10 percent of locations outside capital cities. By 2041, the suburb is expected to increase by 2,359 persons, reflecting a total increase of 38.2% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Tatura recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Tatura recorded around 38 residential properties granted approval each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 191 homes were approved, with a further 59 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, about 0.2 new residents arrived per new home over these five years, indicating supply is meeting or exceeding demand and supporting population growth while offering greater buyer choice.

The average construction value of new properties was $466,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $15.0 million in commercial approvals registered, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Tatura records somewhat elevated construction levels, at 14.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period, maintaining good buyer choice and supporting existing property values.

New developments consist of 88.0% detached houses and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. Tatura reflects a low-density area with around 129 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tatura is expected to grow by 2,012 residents through to 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Tatura has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 15 projects likely impacting the region. Notable projects include Silkwater Plains Estate, Margaret Street Stormwater Pump Station Upgrade, Northlinks Estate Tatura, and Tatura Precinct Structure Plan. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Tatura demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Tatura has a skilled labour force with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently represented. The unemployment rate as of December 2025 was 1.8%, lower than Regional Vic.'s 3.7%. Of the 2,432 residents in work, 14.1% worked from home according to Census responses.

Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and agriculture, forestry & fishing. Manufacturing has a significant presence with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level, while public administration & safety has limited representation at 4.5%. However, local employment opportunities appear limited as indicated by the working population vs resident population count. In the 12-month period ending in December 2025, labour force decreased by 5.1% and employment declined by 5.4%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.4 percentage points.

In contrast, Regional Vic. experienced a 0.6% employment decline and a 0.7% labour force decline with a 0.1 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 indicate that while overall employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Tatura's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.6% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localised population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Tatura's median income among taxpayers is $47,805 and the average is $57,371. This is lower than national averages, with Regional Vic.'s median being $50,954 and average at $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $51,749 (median) and $62,104 (average). Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Tatura rank modestly, between the 24th and 31st percentiles. Income distribution shows that 31.3% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999, similar to the regional figure of 30.3%. Housing costs are modest with 88.2% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 30th percentile nationally.

Tatura is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tatura's dwellings, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 92.0% houses and 8.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tatura was at 42.4%, similar to Regional Vic.'s level. Mortgaged dwellings were 35.6%, with rented ones at 22.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, below Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430 and the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Tatura was $245, lower than Regional Vic.'s $285 and the national figure of $375.

Tatura has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 67.9 percent of all households, including 27.0 percent couples with children, 29.7 percent couples without children, and 10.2 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.1 percent, with lone person households at 29.3 percent and group households comprising 2.4 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the Regional Vic. average.

Educational attainment in Tatura aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 18.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.9%, followed by graduate diplomas (3%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 37.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (26.3%). Educational participation is high, with 28.3% currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.5% in primary, 7.8% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.5% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Tatura has one active public transport stop. This stop is served by two routes that combined offer 44 weekly passenger trips. Transport access in the area is limited, with residents typically living 985 meters away from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards, primarily using cars (91%). Six percent walk to their destinations. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 14.1% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages six trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 44 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tatura is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Tatura's health data shows significant issues. AreaSearch's assessment found high mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~2,613 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most common conditions are arthritis (11.3%) and asthma (8.9%). 62.2% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly lower than Regional Vic's 63.4%. Working-age residents face notable health challenges with high chronic condition rates. 23.1% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,217 people). Senior health outcomes present some challenges, broadly in line with national rankings.

Tatura ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tatura had a cultural diversity level below average, with 88.2% of its population being citizens, 88.1% born in Australia, and 89.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Tatura, accounting for 55.8% of people, compared to 47.3% across Regional Vic. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (29.7%), English (29.0%), and Irish (9.5%).

Italian ancestry was notably higher at 8.6% in Tatura than the regional average of 2.9%. Dutch ancestry was slightly lower at 1.6%, while Scottish ancestry was slightly higher at 7.7% compared to regional averages.

Tatura hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Tatura is 43, matching the Regional Vic figure and exceeding the national average of 38. The age profile indicates that those aged 25-34 are notably prominent at 12.9%, while the 65-74 group stands at 11.8%, lower than in Regional Vic. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 35 to 44 age group has risen from 10.2% to 12.1%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 9.9% to 11.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 12.5% to 10.9%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Tatura's age structure. The 25 to 34 group is projected to grow by 61%, reaching 1,095 people from the current 680. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 cohort shows minimal growth of just 5%, adding 37 people.