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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Tatura has an estimated 5,024 residents, up from 4,955 at the 2021 Census — a change of 69 people, or 1.4%. Growth has averaged 0.5% a year over five years, slower than 84% of areas nationally. 259 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Density is about 41 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations combining ABS demographic releases for the wider district and post-Census validated address counts, the suburb of Tatura recorded an estimated population of approximately 5,024 as of Aug 2026. This indicates an expansion of 69 people (1.4%) relative to the 4,955 people counted in the 2021 Census. Such growth is drawn from an estimated resident count of 5,016 following the ABS ERP update in June 2025 alongside 259 validated new addresses registered following the Census. The suburb of Tatura retains a spacious residential environment with a population density of 40 persons per square kilometer.
Outpacing the broader SA4 region (1.1%), the suburb of Tatura's 1.4% expansion established it as a regional growth frontrunner, with net overseas migration generating roughly 51.0% of recent population additions. Population modelling incorporates the 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 dataset using 2022 as its baseline, supplemented where necessary by the 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections converted to SA2 boundaries via weighted aggregation methods. Age-specific trajectory rates across these aggregations extend through 2032 to 2041. Over this projection horizon, the suburb of Tatura is anticipated to achieve exceptional expansion in the top 10 percent of nationwide regional territories, with SA2 aggregated models forecasting an addition of 2,341 persons to 2041, representing a cumulative rise of 46.4% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
209 new dwellings have been approved in Tatura over the past five years, an average of 41 a year. That places the area in the 63rd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 8 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 52 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 75% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 109, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals indicates that development activity across Tatura has averaged approximately 41 dwellings annually, accumulating to around 209 homes across the past 5 financial years. During FY-25 to date, 109 approvals have been logged. In the period spanning FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 0.5 people moved in per dwelling constructed, allowing residential supply to match or outstrip local demand, broadening buyer options and accommodating future demographic expansion. New residential building projects have recorded an average construction value of $365,000, aligning with regional benchmarks, while commercial development approvals have reached $15.0 million during this financial year.
Relative to Rest of Vic., per capita residential construction in Tatura is elevated by 48.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period, sustaining housing supply while meeting existing buyer appetite. Detached houses account for 75.0% of recent approvals, with attached dwellings making up 25.0%, preserving a low-density character tailored to buyers seeking spacious living. This pattern differs from the standing housing stock (92.0% houses), signaling a contraction in available greenfield land along with rising demand for compact, affordable living configurations in an environment registering roughly 59 people per approval. Long-term forecasts anticipate Tatura gaining 2,333 residents by 2041 compared to the latest quarterly estimate from AreaSearch. If future dwelling completions fail to accelerate beyond current levels, construction volume may lag population expansion, potentially tightening housing market competition and driving property valuations upward.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Tatura
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 12 current infrastructure and development projects inside Tatura, worth an estimated $88 million. A further 53 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $5.58 billion. 22 are already under construction and 22 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Public works, strategic planning frameworks, and major development endeavors significantly shape regional growth. AreaSearch has pinpointed 15 projects anticipated to impact the local area, including major initiatives such as Silkwater Plains Estate, Margaret Street Stormwater Pump Station Upgrade, Northlinks Estate Tatura, and the Tatura Precinct Structure Plan.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Northlinks Estate Tatura
Northlinks Estate is a staged master-planned residential community integrated alongside the Hill Top Golf & Country Club in Tatura. The master development delivers fully serviced residential homesites, golf course frontage lots, and parkland open space across multiple stages. Civil construction and progressive dwelling construction continue across active releases.
Silkwater Plains Estate
Master-planned residential estate on the southern edge of Tatura comprising 175 residential lots. Stage 1 is titled with homes under construction and occupied, Stage 2 is progressing with titles expected during 2026, and Stage 3 has been released for sale. The estate provides lots ranging from approximately 490 to over 2,000 square metres and is located close to Tatura town centre and Shepparton.
Margaret Street Stormwater Pump Station Upgrade
Completed upgrade of Tatura's most critical stormwater asset, servicing approximately 90% of the township. The 2.2 million AUD project includes two new high-capacity pumps (750 L/s and 1,950 L/s), a new Powercor electrical kiosk, a new switchboard building with generator connection, and advanced remote monitoring to protect homes and businesses from flooding.
Tatura Water Treatment Plant Works
Expansion of the Tatura Water Treatment Plant to increase capacity from 12 megalitres per day to 18 megalitres per day. The $8 million upgrade included construction of a new Dissolved Air Flotation and Filtration (DAFF) plant, a new control building, chemical dosing and storage facility, raw water pump station, and associated infrastructure. The project was delivered by Laurie Curran Water Ltd and commissioned in early June 2020, ensuring future water supply capacity for the growing town of Tatura and its major industrial customers.
Little Kindy Tatura
A 92-place childcare centre providing early learning programs for children aged 0-5 years. The architecturally designed facility features modern classrooms, office space, kitchen, bathrooms, and two outdoor play areas. The centre is now approved and open, offering family-oriented childcare services with play-based, child-led learning programs guided by the National Early Years Learning Framework. Located opposite Sacred Heart Tatura Primary School and close to Tatura residential areas.
Tatura Precinct Structure Plan
A comprehensive long-term strategic plan guiding future residential growth across 602 hectares in Tatura. Prepared by Mesh Planning for Greater Shepparton City Council, the framework incorporates a Precinct Structure Plan, Development Contributions Plan, and Open Space Strategy to support approximately 3,620 dwellings.
Tatura IGA Renovation
A major renovation and expansion of the Tatura IGA supermarket. The project included the creation of a brand new state-of-the-art supermarket and specialty shops, significantly increasing the store's size and product range, and adding a drive-through bottle shop.
Tatura Skate Park
A new concrete skate park that has replaced the previous facility. The park is designed for skaters, BMX riders, and scooter users of all skill levels and features a unique concrete vanilla slice bench, paying homage to a local icon. The project was funded by the Federal Government's Local Roads and Community Infrastructure Program.
2,494 residents of Tatura are employed, from a labour force of 2,554. Unemployment sits at 2.3%, with participation at 61.2%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 4,081, about 81% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Tatura features a skilled local labor pool characterized by substantial industrial and manufacturing operations, a low unemployment rate of 2.3%, and a 2.2% annual growth in employment based on aggregated statistical area figures. As of March 2026, 2,494 residents are employed, local joblessness sits 1.3% below the Regional Vic. benchmark of 3.7%, and labor force participation matches the Regional Vic. rate of 61.1%. In the Census, approximately 14.1% of workers reported working from home, reflecting conditions during Covid-19 pandemic restrictions. Key industries supporting local employment comprise health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and agriculture, forestry & fishing.
The local economy displays strong industrial concentration, with manufacturing jobs capturing an employment share 1.8 times the regional level. Conversely, public administration & safety represents 4.5% of resident employment, trailing the 6.5% recorded across Regional Vic., while worker-to-resident ratios point to a reliance on surrounding employment hubs. Aggregated SALM and ABS figures for the year ending March 2026 indicate local employment expanded by 2.2% while the labor pool grew by 3.0%, lifting unemployment by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Vic. saw employment contract by 0.1%, the labor force decrease by 0.3%, and the jobless rate drop by 0.2 percentage points. Aligning national projections from Jobs and Skills Australia from Mar-26 with Tatura's industry structure provides insight into prospective workforce growth. While nationwide employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, industry-weighted modeling estimates local workforce expansion at 5.6% over five years and 12.4% over ten years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Tatura is $1,357 a week (about $71,000 a year), with median personal income at $715 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $47,805 a year against an average of $57,371. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO records aggregated for financial year 2023 place taxpayer income levels in the suburb of Tatura below national benchmarks. Median taxable earnings reached $47,805 alongside an average of $57,371, trailing respective Regional Vic. benchmarks of $50,954 and $62,728. Following a 9.62% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, updated estimates as of March 2026 indicate a median income of $52,404 and an average of $62,890. Census findings in 2021 placed family, household, and individual earnings between the 24th and 31st percentiles. The primary earnings tier encompasses 31.3% of resident earners (1,572 people) within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, mirroring the 30.3% observed regionally.
Residents retain 88.2% of income after housing expenses, placing net disposable income at the 30th percentile nationwide.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Tatura had 1,907 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 0% apartments. 36% are owned with a mortgage, 22% rented and 42% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $245 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,300 a month. Rent absorbs 18.1% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.1%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The local housing stock recorded in the most recent Census consisted of 92.0% standalone houses and 8.0% attached or alternate dwellings, compared with 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwelling formats across Regional Vic.. Fully owned properties accounted for 42.4% of homes, matching the wider regional profile, with mortgaged properties comprising 35.6% and rental housing representing 22.0%. Typical housing expenses remain affordable: median monthly mortgage repayments stood at $1,300 versus $1,430 across Regional Vic. and $1,863 nationally, while median weekly rent was $245, compared to $285 regionally and $375 across Australia.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Tatura counted 1,907 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.4 people each. 27% are couples with children, against 30% couples without children. 29% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute 67.9% of local households, comprising couples without children (29.7%), couples with children (27.0%), and single parent families (10.2%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 32.1%, consisting largely of lone person households (29.3%) alongside group households (2.4%). The median household size stands at 2.4 people, matching Regional Vic..
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
18.8% of adults in Tatura hold a university qualification, including 12.9% with a bachelor degree and 2.9% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 26.3% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 433 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,006 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary qualification levels remain relatively low, with university degree attainment standing at 18.8% compared to the VIC benchmark of 33.4%. Higher education credentials consist primarily of bachelor degrees at 12.9%, followed by graduate diplomas at 3.0% and postgraduate qualifications at 2.9%. Conversely, vocational and trade training is widespread, with 37.9% of residents aged 15+ holding practical qualifications, including certificates (26.3%) and advanced diplomas (11.6%). Formal study participation is solid, with 28.3% of the community undertaking an educational program. This cohort includes 11.5% attending primary schools, 7.8% enrolled in secondary education, and 2.8% undertaking tertiary courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Tatura means driving: households keep an average of 1.6 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Local transit infrastructure features 1 active transport stops served by 2 individual routes that provide 53 weekly passenger trips. Public transit access remains constrained, with the average distance to a stop measuring 985 meters. Commuting is heavily road-oriented, with private vehicle travel representing 91% of journeys, walking accounting for 6%, and vehicle ownership averaging 1.6 per dwelling. Work-from-home arrangements were utilized by 14.1% of residents during the 2021 Census. Transit schedules provide an average of 7 trips per day across the network, generating approximately 53 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
62.2% of residents in Tatura report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 77% of areas nationally. 7.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Community health indicators highlight notable challenges across age brackets, reflected in elevated chronic illness rates and mortality statistics, while private health insurance coverage sits at approximately 50% of the total population (~2,490 people), below the national benchmark of 55.7%. Prevalent medical conditions include arthritis and asthma, diagnosed in 11.3 and 8.9% of the population respectively, while 62.2% reported being free of long-term medical conditions, comparable to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. Chronic ailments are elevated among the working-age population. Older residents aged 65 and over make up 25.2% of the community (1,266 people), above the 24.0% regional proportion, with senior health rankings matching broader population benchmarks.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Tatura is largely Australian-born, at 88.1% of residents, with 10.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (29.7%) and English (29.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Demographic indicators show lower cultural diversity relative to broader benchmarks, with Australian citizens representing 88.2% of residents, 88.1% born in Australia, and 89.9% speaking only English at home. Christianity forms the dominant religious affiliation at 55.8%, exceeding the 47.3% observed across Regional Vic.. The primary reported parental ancestries consist of Australian (29.7%), English (29.0%), and Irish (9.5%). Other ethnic backgrounds show distinct local concentrations, with Italian heritage representing 8.6% of residents against 2.9% across the region, Scottish ancestry at 7.7% compared to 8.8% regionally, and Dutch ancestry at 1.6% versus 1.7%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Tatura is 44, older than 76% of areas nationally. 21.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution closely aligns with Regional Vic. benchmarks, showing a maximum variance of 1.2 percentage points. As at August 2026, the estimated median age is 44, matching the 2021 Census result and sitting 1 year older than the Regional Vic. median of 43, while Australia recorded a median age of 38 at the Census. Residents aged 65+ expanded from 23.4% at the Census to an estimated 25.2%. In contrast, the 25 to 34 demographic contracted from 12.8% to an estimated 10.8%, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 10.2% to 11.7% without corresponding younger inflows.
By 2041, demographic additions will be led by the 25 - 44 age bracket, adding 761 residents (67%) to reach a total of 1,891.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Tatura
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Sep 2026 last month all 12 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Sep 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 259 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (4,955 at the 2021 Census → 5,024 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL22467). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.