Tatura

Population growth drivers in Tatura are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Tatura is around 5,023. This reflects an increase of 68 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,955. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 5,015 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 263 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 40 persons per square kilometer. Tatura's growth rate of 1.4% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region's growth rate of 1.0%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Tatura is predicted to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of regional areas nationally over the period. By 2041, the suburb is expected to grow by 2,376 persons, reflecting a gain of 47.1% in total population over the 16 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Tatura recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Tatura averaged around 38 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 191 homes were approved, with an additional 75 approved in FY-26 to date. Over the past five financial years, on average, 0.3 new residents were added per year per dwelling constructed.

This suggests that supply is meeting or exceeding demand, offering greater buyer choice and supporting potential population growth above projections. The average construction value of new properties is $466,000, indicating developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, $15.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development.

Compared to the Rest of Vic., Tatura records somewhat elevated construction, at 14.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This maintains good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. New development consists of 88.0% standalone homes and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. Tatura reflects a low density area, with around 128 people per approval. Population forecasts indicate Tatura will gain 2,368 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Tatura has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects that may affect the region. Notable initiatives include Silkwater Plains Estate, Margaret Street Stormwater Pump Station Upgrade (scheduled for completion in June 2023), Northlinks Estate Tatura (commenced July 2021, expected finish December 2024), and Tatura Precinct Structure Plan (adopted November 2020). The following list details those projects most likely to have relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Tatura ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Tatura has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors, and an unemployment rate of 1.8%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, there are 2,464 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.9% below Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation is similar to Regional Vic.'s at 61.0%.

According to Census responses, 14.1% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and agriculture, forestry & fishing. Manufacturing has particularly notable concentration, with employment levels at 1.8 times the regional average. Public administration & safety is under-represented, with only 4.5% of Tatura's workforce compared to 6.5% in Regional Vic..

The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 5.1%, with employment decreasing by 5.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.4 percentage points. By comparison, Regional Vic. recorded an employment decline of 0.6% and a labour force decline of 0.7%, with unemployment falling by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Tatura. Applying these projections to Tatura's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 5.6% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, the suburb of Tatura's median income among taxpayers is $47,805. The average income in Tatura for the same period is $57,371. Both figures are below the national average. In Regional Victoria, the median income is $50,954 and the average is $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% from financial year ending June 2023 to March 2026, current estimates for Tatura would be approximately $52,404 (median) and $62,890 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Tatura rank modestly, between the 24th and 31st percentiles. Income distribution shows that 31.3% of locals (1,572 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, which is consistent with broader trends across metropolitan regions showing 30.3% in the same category. Housing costs are modest in Tatura, with 88.2% of income retained after housing expenses. However, total disposable income ranks at just the 30th percentile nationally.

Tatura is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Tatura, as per the latest Census, 92.0% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 8.0% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This compares to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tatura stood at 42.4%, mirroring Regional Vic., with mortgaged properties at 35.6% and rented ones at 22.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in Tatura was $245, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Tatura's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,300 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tatura has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 67.9 percent of all households, including 27.0 percent couples with children, 29.7 percent couples without children, and 10.2 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.1 percent, with lone person households at 29.3 percent and group households comprising 2.4 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which matches the Regional Vic. average.

Educational attainment in Tatura aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 18.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.9%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.0%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 37.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (26.3%). Educational participation is high at 28.3%, with 11.5% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.5% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The transport analysis indicates one active transport stop operating within Tatura. This stop is serviced by two individual routes, collectively offering 44 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 985 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. The car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 91%, with 6% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, some 14.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 6 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 44 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tatura is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Tatura faces significant health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial across both younger and older age groups.

Approximately half of Tatura's population (~2,489 people) has private health cover, which is lower than the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (11.3%) and asthma (8.9%). About 62.2% of residents claim to be free from medical ailments, compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic. Tatura's working-age population has notably high chronic condition rates. The area has 24.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,215 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings generally aligning with the overall population.

Tatura ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tatura's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 88.2% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (88.1%), and speaking English only at home (89.9%). Christianity is the predominant religion in Tatura, accounting for 55.8% of residents, compared to 47.3% across Regional Vic. The top three ancestry groups in Tatura are Australian (29.7%), English (29.0%), and Irish (9.5%).

Notably, Italian ancestry is overrepresented at 8.6%, compared to the regional average of 2.9%. Dutch ancestry stands at 1.6% in Tatura, slightly below the regional average of 1.7%. Scottish ancestry is also notable at 7.7%, slightly lower than the Regional Vic average of 8.8%.

Tatura hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Tatura's median age of 44 years is similar to Regional Vic.'s 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Regional Vic., Tatura has a higher percentage of residents aged 25-34 (11.8%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (12.1%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the population aged 35-44 grew from 10.2% to 12.1%, while the 45-54 cohort declined from 12.5% to 10.9%. The 5-14 age group also decreased from 12.5% to 11.3%. By 2041, Tatura's population is expected to experience significant changes in its age composition, with the 25-34 age group projected to grow by 72%, reaching 1,019 people from the current 592.