Tatura

Population growth drivers in Tatura are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025, Tatura's estimated population is around 5,255. This reflects an increase of 300 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,955 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of resident population at 4,925 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 187 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 42 persons per square kilometer. Tatura's growth rate of 6.1% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region at 3.5% and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, the Tatura statistical area (Lv2) is predicted to experience exceptional growth over the period, with an expected increase of 2,371 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 39.6% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Tatura recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis indicates Tatura averaged approximately 37 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 185 homes were approved, with an additional 42 approved in FY-26. On average, each new dwelling adds about 0.2 new residents yearly over the past five financial years.

This suggests supply has been meeting or exceeding demand, offering more buyer choices while supporting potential population growth. The average construction cost of new properties is around $466,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, commercial approvals totaled $15.0 million, reflecting moderate levels of commercial development.

Compared to Rest of Vic., Tatura maintains similar construction rates per person, preserving market balance with the broader area. New developments consist mostly of standalone homes (87.0%) and townhouses or apartments (13.0%), maintaining the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 138 people per approval, Tatura reflects a low-density population. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tatura is projected to gain approximately 2,083 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Tatura has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include Silkwater Plains Estate, Margaret Street Stormwater Pump Station Upgrade (scheduled for completion by December 2023), Northlinks Estate Tatura (commenced on 1st April 2022 and expected to finish in late 2024), and the Tatura Precinct Structure Plan (approved in March 2021). The following list details projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Tatura demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Tatura has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 2.0% as of September 2025, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

In this month, 2,397 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.8 percentage points lower than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in Tatura was similar to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. The leading employment industries among residents included health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and agriculture, forestry & fishing. Manufacturing had particularly notable concentration with employment levels at 1.8 times the regional average.

However, public administration & safety was under-represented, with only 4.5% of Tatura's workforce compared to 6.5% in Rest of Vic.. The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census working population versus resident population data. Over the 12 months ending September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 10.5% combined with an employment decrease of 11.3%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.9 percentage points in Tatura. In comparison, Rest of Vic. recorded a smaller employment decline of 0.7% and labour force decline of 0.6%, with marginal unemployment increase. Providing broader context, state-level data from 25-Nov showed VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year (adding 41,950 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. This was compared to the national rate of 4.3%, with VIC's employment growth outpacing the national average of 0.14%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offered further insight into potential future demand within Tatura. These projections estimated national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differed significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Tatura's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 5.6% over five years and 12.4% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The latest postcode level ATO data from AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicates that Tatura's median income among taxpayers is $47,805, with an average of $57,371. This is below the national average. The median income in Rest of Vic. was $50,954 and the average was $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Tatura would be approximately $51,749 (median) and $62,104 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows that household, family and personal incomes in Tatura rank modestly, between the 24th and 31st percentiles. Income distribution reveals that 31.3% of locals (1,644 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the broader metropolitan region at 30.3%. Housing costs are modest with 88.2% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 30th percentile nationally.

Tatura is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Tatura, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.0% houses and 8.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Vic.'s dwelling structure was 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tatura stood at 42.4%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (35.6%) or rented (22.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Tatura was $1,300, aligning with Non-Metro Vic.'s average, while the median weekly rent figure was $245, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $260. Nationally, Tatura's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tatura has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 67.9% of all households, including 27.0% couples with children, 29.7% couples without children, and 10.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for 32.1%, with lone person households at 29.3% and group households making up 2.4%. The median household size is 2.4 people, smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.5.

Educational attainment in Tatura aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 18.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 12.9%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.0%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them. Advanced diplomas account for 11.6% and certificates for 26.3%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.3% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.5% in primary, 7.8% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows one active transport stop operating within Tatura. This stop serves a mix of bus routes, with two individual routes providing service. These routes collectively offer 44 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility in the area is rated as limited, with residents typically located 985 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages six trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 44 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tatura is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Tatura. Both younger and older age groups have notable prevalence of common health conditions.

Approximately half (50%) of Tatura's total population (~2,604 people) has private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.3% of residents) and asthma (8.9%). A majority (62.2%) of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 64.8% in Rest of Vic. Tatura has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 23.1% (1,213 people), compared to 18.9% in Rest of Vic.. Senior health outcomes face challenges largely reflective of the general population's health profile.

Tatura ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tatura's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 88.2% of its population being citizens, 88.1% born in Australia, and 89.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Tatura, comprising 55.8% of people, compared to 49.6% across Rest of Vic.. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (29.7%), English (29.0%), and Irish (9.5%).

Italian is notably overrepresented at 8.6%, Dutch at 1.6%, and Scottish at 7.7%.

Tatura hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Tatura's median age is 44 years, similar to Rest of Vic.'s 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Vic., Tatura has a higher proportion of 25-34 year-olds (12.6%) but fewer 65-74 year-olds (11.8%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the 35-44 age group has increased from 10.2% to 11.6%, while the 15-24 cohort rose from 9.9% to 11.0%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group decreased from 12.5% to 11.2%. By 2041, Tatura's population is projected to see significant shifts in its age composition. The 25-34 age group is expected to grow by 66%, adding 439 people to reach 1,102 from 662. The 55-64 age group will also grow but at a more modest rate of 6%, with an increase of 39 residents.