Tatura

Population growth drivers in Tatura are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As per AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of the suburb of Tatura is around 5,272 as of Feb 2026. This figure represents an increase of 317 people (6.4%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 4,955 people in the suburb. The change is inferred from the resident population of 4,925 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 260 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 42 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. The suburb's growth rate of 6.4% since the 2021 census exceeded that of its SA4 region (3.7%) and SA3 area, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, making adjustments employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate exceptional growth, placing the suburb in the top 10 percent of locations outside capital cities. By 2041, the area is expected to increase by 2,384 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 39.4% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Tatura recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Tatura has recorded around 37 residential properties granted approval each year. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 185 homes were approved, with an additional 42 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 0.2 new residents per year have been arriving for each new home over these five years, indicating that supply is meeting or surpassing demand and providing greater buyer choice while supporting potential population growth above projections.

The average construction value of new properties has been around $466,000, suggesting developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year, $15.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Relative to Rest of Vic., Tatura maintains similar construction rates per person, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area.

New development consists of 87.0% detached houses and 13.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 138 people per approval, Tatura reflects a low density area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Tatura is expected to grow by 2,075 residents through to 2041. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Tatura has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Silkwater Plains Estate, Margaret Street Stormwater Pump Station Upgrade (scheduled for completion in June 2023), Northlinks Estate Tatura (commenced in July 2021 and expected to finish in December 2024), and Tatura Precinct Structure Plan (approved in March 2022). The following list details projects likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Tatura shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Tatura has a skilled labor force with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently featured. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.0%, lower than Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%. Workforce participation is similar to Rest of Vic., at 61.4%.

A moderate 14.1% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and agriculture, forestry & fishing. The area specializes in manufacturing with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level, while public administration & safety has limited presence at 4.5%. Local employment opportunities appear limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population.

In the 12-month period ending September 2025, labor force decreased by 10.4% and employment declined by 11.2%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.8 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tatura's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.6% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, though this is an illustrative extrapolation not accounting for localized population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The latest postcode level ATO data from AreaSearch, released for the financial year ending June 2023, indicates that Tatura's median income among taxpayers is $47,805, with an average of $57,371. This is lower than the national average. In comparison, Rest of Vic.'s median income is $50,954 and average is $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year ending June 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $51,749 (median) and $62,104 (average). Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Tatura rank modestly, between the 24th and 31st percentiles. The income distribution reveals that 31.3% of individuals earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, similar to the regional average of 30.3%. Despite modest housing costs, with 88.2% of income retained, Tatura's total disposable income ranks at the 30th percentile nationally.

Tatura is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As per the latest Census evaluation in Tatura, 92.0% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 8.0% consisting of semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tatura stood at 42.4%, mirroring Non-Metro Vic.'s rate, with mortgaged properties at 35.6% and rented ones at 22.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. Weekly rent in Tatura averaged $245, below Non-Metro Vic.'s figure of $285 and the national average of $375. Nationally, Tatura's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,300 compared to Australia's average of $1,863.

Tatura has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 67.9% of all households, including 27.0% couples with children, 29.7% couples without children, and 10.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.1%, with lone person households at 29.3% and group households making up 2.4%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of Vic.

Educational attainment in Tatura aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 18.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.9%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.0%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (26.3%). Educational participation is high, with 28.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.5% in primary, 7.8% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.5% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Tatura has one active public transport stop. This stop is served by two different routes that together offer 44 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of the transport system in Tatura is limited, with residents generally living 985 meters away from their nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outwards, primarily using cars (91%). Walking accounts for 6% of commuting modes. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 14.1% of Tatura's residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages six trips per day, resulting in approximately 44 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tatura is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Tatura's health data indicates significant challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high across both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 50% of Tatura's total population (~2613 people) has private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are arthritis (affecting 11.3% of residents) and asthma (8.9%). Conversely, 62.2% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, slightly lower than the Rest of Vic's figure of 63.4%. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. Tatura has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over (23.0%, or 1212 people), compared to national averages. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, aligning with general population rankings nationally.

Tatura ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tatura had a cultural diversity level below average, with 88.2% citizens, 88.1% born in Australia, and 89.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the primary religion, comprising 55.8%, compared to 47.3% across Rest of Vic.. The top three ancestral groups were Australian (29.7%), English (29.0%), and Irish (9.5%).

Notably, Italian ancestry was overrepresented at 8.6% in Tatura versus 2.9% regionally, Dutch at 1.6% versus 1.7%, and Scottish at 7.7% versus 8.8%.

Tatura hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Tatura has a median age of 43, matching the figure for the Rest of Vic and exceeding the national average of 38 years. The age profile indicates that individuals aged 25-34 are notably prominent at 12.9%, while those aged 65-74 comprise a smaller proportion at 11.8% compared to the Rest of Victoria. Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 35-44 has grown from 10.2% to 12.0%, and the 15-24 cohort has increased from 9.9% to 11.1%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has decreased from 12.5% to 10.9%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Tatura's age structure. Notably, the 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 62%, adding 419 people and reaching a total of 1,100 from its current figure of 680. In contrast, the 55-64 cohort shows minimal growth of just 7%, with an increase of 47 people.