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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Tatura has an estimated 5,023 residents, up from 4,955 at the 2021 Census — a change of 68 people, or 1.4%. Growth has averaged 0.5% a year over five years, slower than 84% of areas nationally. 263 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Density is about 41 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to assessments of ABS demographic figures for the surrounding region, combined with fresh street addresses verified by AreaSearch following the Census, the suburb of Tatura contains roughly 5,023 residents as of May 2026. This represents a rise of 68 individuals (1.4%) relative to the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 4,955 people. The adjustment is calculated from a resident count of 5,015, which was determined by AreaSearch checking the latest ABS ERP release (June 2025) and integrating an extra 263 verified new addresses since the Census date. Such a population count results in a density of 40 persons per square kilometer, indicating a spacious environment for residents.
This 1.4% expansion rate since the 2021 census outpaced the SA4 region (1.0%), positioning the suburb of Tatura as a local leader in growth. Overseas migration was the primary driver of this growth, accounting for roughly 51.0% of the total population gains in recent times. Projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia, published in 2024 using 2022 as a starting point, are used by AreaSearch for each SA2 region. For SA2 regions lacking this information, projections from the VIC State Government's 2023 Regional/LGA release are utilized, modified by aggregating population expansion from LGA to SA2 tiers using a weighted methodology. Age group growth trends from these calculations are also projected for all locations from 2032 to 2041. Considering these demographic developments, the suburb of Tatura is projected to experience remarkable growth, ranking in the top 10 percent of non-metropolitan areas nationwide, with an estimated increase of 2,376 persons to 2041 using aggregated SA2 projections, representing a total rise of 47.1% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
202 new dwellings have been approved in Tatura over the past five years, an average of 40 a year. That places the area in the 56th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 8 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 36 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 86% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 114, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations of ABS building permit statistics compiled from local area files, the suburb of Tatura has averaged roughly 40 residential approvals annually, amounting to an estimated 202 homes over the last 5 financial years. Thus far in FY-26105 permits have been logged. With an average of only 0.6 additional residents per year arriving for each new home over the last 5 financial years (spanning FY-21 to FY-25), the volume of new housing is matching or running ahead of demand, ensuring plenty of options for buyers and establishing room for population expansion beyond current predictions, while new builds carry an average value of $466,000, indicating that developers are focusing on the premium sector with higher-quality properties.
Additionally, commercial permits valued at $15.0 million have been logged this financial year, showing a moderate rate of business development. Relative to the Rest of Vic., construction activity in the suburb of Tatura is somewhat high, registering at 20.0% above the regional per capita average over the 5 year period, which maintains healthy choices for buyers while supporting current property values. Recent building activity consists of 86.0% stand-alone houses and 14.0% multi-unit developments, preserving the traditional low-density profile of the locality with an emphasis on family residences designed for those wanting space. Averaging around 110 individuals per permit, the suburb of Tatura presents a low density profile. Looking ahead, the suburb of Tatura is projected to add 2,368 residents by 2041, based on the most recent quarterly projections from AreaSearch. If current building rates do not change, residential construction might fall behind population expansion, which would likely increase rivalry among buyers and support upward price trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Tatura
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 12 current infrastructure and development projects inside Tatura, worth an estimated $53 million. A further 53 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $5.58 billion. 22 are already under construction and 21 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local performance is heavily shaped by developments in regional infrastructure, major construction works, and municipal planning strategies. AreaSearch has identified a total of 15 key projects that are likely to influence the local area. Notable projects include Silkwater Plains Estate, Margaret Street Stormwater Pump Station Upgrade, Northlinks Estate Tatura, and Tatura Precinct Structure Plan, with the following list detailing the most significant ones.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Silkwater Plains Estate
Master-planned residential estate on the southern edge of Tatura comprising 175 residential lots. Stage 1 is titled with homes under construction and occupied, Stage 2 is progressing with titles expected during 2026, and Stage 3 has been released for sale. The estate provides lots ranging from approximately 490 to over 2,000 square metres and is located close to Tatura town centre and Shepparton.
Margaret Street Stormwater Pump Station Upgrade
Completed upgrade of Tatura's most critical stormwater asset, servicing approximately 90% of the township. The 2.2 million AUD project includes two new high-capacity pumps (750 L/s and 1,950 L/s), a new Powercor electrical kiosk, a new switchboard building with generator connection, and advanced remote monitoring to protect homes and businesses from flooding.
Tatura Water Treatment Plant Works
Expansion of the Tatura Water Treatment Plant to increase capacity from 12 megalitres per day to 18 megalitres per day. The $8 million upgrade included construction of a new Dissolved Air Flotation and Filtration (DAFF) plant, a new control building, chemical dosing and storage facility, raw water pump station, and associated infrastructure. The project was delivered by Laurie Curran Water Ltd and commissioned in early June 2020, ensuring future water supply capacity for the growing town of Tatura and its major industrial customers.
Northlinks Estate Tatura
A residential estate development at the Hill Top Golf & Country Club, offering lots for new homes, some with golf course frontage. The development includes house and land packages and features parks and public spaces. Various stages of the estate, including 'Tatura Waters', are under development.
Little Kindy Tatura
A 92-place childcare centre providing early learning programs for children aged 0-5 years. The architecturally designed facility features modern classrooms, office space, kitchen, bathrooms, and two outdoor play areas. The centre is now approved and open, offering family-oriented childcare services with play-based, child-led learning programs guided by the National Early Years Learning Framework. Located opposite Sacred Heart Tatura Primary School and close to Tatura residential areas.
Tatura Precinct Structure Plan
A comprehensive long-term strategic plan guiding future residential growth across 602 hectares in Tatura. Prepared by Mesh Planning for Greater Shepparton City Council, the framework incorporates a Precinct Structure Plan, Development Contributions Plan, and Open Space Strategy to support approximately 3,620 dwellings.
Tatura IGA Renovation
A major renovation and expansion of the Tatura IGA supermarket. The project included the creation of a brand new state-of-the-art supermarket and specialty shops, significantly increasing the store's size and product range, and adding a drive-through bottle shop.
Tatura Skate Park
A new concrete skate park that has replaced the previous facility. The park is designed for skaters, BMX riders, and scooter users of all skill levels and features a unique concrete vanilla slice bench, paying homage to a local icon. The project was funded by the Federal Government's Local Roads and Community Infrastructure Program.
2,495 residents of Tatura are employed, from a labour force of 2,554. Unemployment sits at 2.3%, with participation at 61.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 4,080, about 81% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The suburb of Tatura supports a qualified labor force, featuring a strong representation of manufacturing and industrial activities, an unemployment rate of only 2.3%, and an estimated job growth rate of 2.2% over the previous year, according to AreaSearch regional data. In March 2026, 2,495 local citizens were employed, with the unemployment rate sitting 1.4% lower than the Regional Vic. average of 3.7%, and workforce participation matching the Regional Vic. figure of 61.1%. Census records show a moderate 14.1% of working residents performed their duties from home, though this may have been influenced by pandemic containment measures.
The primary sectors employing residents are healthcare & social assistance, manufacturing, and agriculture, forestry & fishing. The suburb of Tatura has a notable concentration in manufacturing, where the proportion of jobs is 1.8 times the regional average. Conversely, public administration & safety is underrepresented, making up 4.5% of employment compared to 6.5% across the region. The suburb of Tatura appears to have a shortage of local jobs, as shown by comparing the count of employed Census respondents against the total resident workforce. Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics aggregated from regional data, over the 12 months leading to March 2026, employment grew by 2.2% while the labor force expanded by 3.0%, resulting in an increase of 0.8 percentage points in the unemployment rate. By comparison, Regional Vic. saw employment shrink by 0.1% and the labor force contract by 0.3%, with a decline of 0.2 percentage points in unemployment. National employment predictions from May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide additional context for future demand in the suburb of Tatura. These forecasts, spanning five and ten-year horizons, have been matched with the local workforce makeup to project growth trends. Globally, national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary significantly by sector. Applying these industry-specific forecasts to the local employment structure suggests that employment in the suburb of Tatura should rise by 5.6% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, noting that this is a basic weighted projection for visualization and does not account for local population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Tatura is $1,357 a week (about $71,000 a year), with median personal income at $715 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $47,805 a year against an average of $57,371. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The latest postcode-level ATO statistics from AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicate that incomes in the suburb of Tatura run lower than the national average, showing a median value of $47,805 and an average of $57,371. This is lower than the Regional Vic. median income of $50,954 and average of $62,728. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current projections suggest figures of roughly $52,404 (median) and $62,890 (average) as of March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census indicates that household, family, and individual earnings are modest in the suburb of Tatura, placing between the 24th and 31st percentiles.
Income spread statistics show 31.3% of the population (1,572 individuals) are situated in the $1,500 - 2,999 band, which is very similar to the regional proportion of 30.3%. Even though housing expenses are relatively low, leaving residents with 88.2% of their income, total disposable income ranks in only the 30th percentile nationwide.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Tatura had 1,907 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 0% apartments. 36% are owned with a mortgage, 22% rented and 42% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $245 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,300 a month. Rent absorbs 18.1% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.1%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential structures in the suburb of Tatura, recorded during the most recent Census, consisted of 92.0% separate houses and 8.0% alternative housing types such as duplexes, townhouses, and apartments, compared to 90.1% houses and 9.9% alternative dwellings across Regional Vic. Meanwhile, the home ownership rate in the suburb of Tatura aligned with Regional Vic. at 42.4%, with the remaining properties occupied by residents with a mortgage (35.6%) or renting (22.0%). The median monthly home loan repayment was lower than the regional average at $1,300, while the median weekly rental cost was $245, compared to Regional Vic.
levels of $1,430 and $285. In a national context, mortgage commitments in the suburb of Tatura are much lower than the Australian median of $1,863, and rent costs are significantly lower than the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Tatura counted 1,907 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.4 people each. 27% are couples with children, against 30% couples without children. 29% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 67.9%, consisting of 27.0% couples with children, 29.7% couples without children, and 10.2% single parent households. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 32.1%, with lone person households representing 29.3% and shared households making up 2.4% of the total. The median size of households is 2.4 residents, matching the average for Regional Vic.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
18.8% of adults in Tatura hold a university qualification, including 12.9% with a bachelor degree and 2.9% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 26.3% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 433 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,006 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational challenges exist within the suburb of Tatura, where university completion rates (18.8%) are significantly below the Victorian average of 33.4%. This highlights a clear opportunity for focused educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 12.9%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.0%) and postgraduate degrees (2.9%). Practical and technical skills are highly represented, with 37.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational qualifications, split between advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificate-level training (26.3%). The level of educational enrollment is quite high, with 28.3% of local residents currently participating in formal study.
This comprises 11.5% attending primary schools, 7.8% in high schools, and 2.8% enrolled in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Tatura means driving: households keep an average of 1.6 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport data shows 1 active passenger stop within the suburb of Tatura. This stop is served by 2 distinct routes, which run a total of 44 weekly passenger services. Accessibility is classified as restricted, with residents living an average of 985 meters from their nearest transport connection. Given the residential nature of the locality, most workers travel out of the area for employment, with private cars remaining the primary choice at 91%, while 6% of people walk. Households own an average of 1.6 vehicles. Approximately 14.1% of residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may be a reflection of pandemic-related restrictions.
Services run at an average frequency of 6 journeys per day across all routes, which translates to roughly 44 weekly services at each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
62.2% of residents in Tatura report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 77% of areas nationally. 7.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators point to notable challenges for the suburb of Tatura, based on AreaSearch assessments of mortality patterns and the incidence of chronic illnesses, which show significant rates of common medical conditions in both younger and older cohorts, alongside a relatively low rate of private medical insurance covering roughly 50% of the population (~2,489 people). The national benchmark is 55.7%. The primary medical conditions recorded among residents were arthritis and asthma, affecting 11.3 and 8.9% of the population, respectively, while 62.2% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.
The population of working age experiences noticeable health issues, with higher rates of long-term conditions. Residents aged 65 and over make up 24.2% of the local population (1,215 people). Health trends for these senior citizens show some challenges, with national percentiles generally mirroring those of the wider population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Tatura is largely Australian-born, at 88.1% of residents, with 10.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (29.7%) and English (29.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb of Tatura ranks below average for cultural diversity, with citizens making up 88.2% of the community, 88.1% born in Australia, and 89.9% using only English at home. The predominant faith is Christianity, followed by 55.8% of residents in the suburb of Tatura, compared to 47.3% across Regional Vic. Looking at ancestral backgrounds (parental birthplaces), the three primary heritages represented in the suburb of Tatura are Australian at 29.7%, English at 29.0%, and Irish at 9.5%. There are also notable differences in other backgrounds: Italian ancestry is significantly higher at 8.6% of the population (compared to 2.9% across the region), Dutch is at 1.6% (compared to 1.7%), and Scottish is at 7.7% (compared to 8.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Tatura is 44, older than 76% of areas nationally. 22.6% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in the suburb of Tatura is 44 years, which is close to the Regional Vic. average of 43 and well above the national median of 38. Compared to Regional Vic., the suburb of Tatura has a larger share of residents aged 25 - 34 (11.8%) but a smaller proportion aged 65 - 74 (12.1%). Since the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age bracket has risen from 10.2% to 12.1% of the population, while the 45 to 54 cohort fell from 12.5% to 10.9% and the 5 to 14 group declined from 12.5% to 11.3%.
By 2041, the age structure of the suburb of Tatura is projected to experience major changes. Lead among these changes is the 25 to 34 age bracket, which is expected to expand by 72% (426 people), growing from 592 to 1,019.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Tatura
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 12 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 263 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (4,955 at the 2021 Census → 5,023 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL22467). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.