Tatura

Tatura lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Tatura is around 5,243, reflecting a growth of 288 people since the 2021 Census. The resident population estimate by AreaSearch following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 was 5,051, with an additional 187 validated new addresses contributing to this increase. This results in a population density ratio of 42 persons per square kilometer. Tatura's growth rate since the Census exceeded both SA4 (3.5%) and SA3 regions. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch projections for Tatura are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, while areas not covered use VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 adjusted to SA2 levels using weighted aggregation method.

Future demographic trends predict exceptional growth for Tatura, placing it in the top 10 percent of regional areas nationally. By 2041, the area is expected to grow by 2,365 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, recording a total gain of 39.8% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Tatura recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Tatura shows an average of around 35 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 179 homes were approved, with a further 12 approved so far in FY-26. This results in about 0.2 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

The supply of dwellings is meeting or surpassing demand, offering greater buyer choice and supporting potential population growth. New properties are constructed at an average value of $466,000. In FY-26, $26.6 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating moderate levels of commercial development.

Compared to the Rest of Vic., Tatura maintains similar construction rates per person, maintaining market balance with the broader area. New development consists of 86% standalone homes and 14% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 142 people per approval, Tatura reflects a low-density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tatura is forecasted to gain 2,089 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Tatura has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 15 projects that could impact the area. Key projects include Silkwater Plains Estate, Margaret Street Stormwater Pump Station Upgrade (completed in May 2021), Northlinks Estate Tatura (commenced in January 2020), and Tatura Precinct Structure Plan (adopted on 17 December 2019). The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Tatura demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Tatura's workforce is skilled with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently represented. The unemployment rate as of June 2025 was 1.6%.

This rate is 2.1% lower than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%, while the workforce participation is similar at 57.4%. Major employment industries include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and agriculture, forestry & fishing. Manufacturing stands out with employment levels at 1.8 times the regional average. Public administration & safety is under-represented, with only 4.5% of Tatura's workforce compared to 6.5% in Rest of Vic..

The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Over the year to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 14.5%, and employment fell by 14.9%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but local projections vary based on industry-specific extrapolations.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Tatura had a median taxpayer income of $47,805 and an average income of $57,371. These figures are below the national averages. Rest of Vic.'s median was $48,741 with an average of $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Tatura would be approximately $53,618 (median) and $64,347 (average) as of September 2025. Census data places household, family, and personal incomes in Tatura between the 24th and 31st percentiles. Income distribution shows that 31.3% of locals (1,641 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 category, similar to the metropolitan region's 30.3%. Housing costs are modest with 88.2% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 30th percentile nationally.

Tatura is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Tatura, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 92.0% houses and 8.0% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s structure of 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tatura stood at 42.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.6% and rented ones at 22.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, aligning with Non-Metro Vic.'s average. The median weekly rent figure was recorded as $245, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $260. Nationally, Tatura's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tatura has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 67.9% of all households, including 27.0% couples with children, 29.7% couples without children, and 10.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 32.1%, with lone person households at 29.3% and group households making up 2.4%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.5.

Educational attainment in Tatura aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 18.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (12.9%), followed by graduate diplomas (3.0%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (26.3%). Educational participation is high, with 28.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.5% in primary, 7.8% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Two schools serve the area: Sacred Heart School and Tatura Primary School, educating a total of 433 students. These schools have an ICSEA score of 1006, indicating typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities. Both focus exclusively on primary education; secondary options are available in nearby areas. The area has 8.3 school places per 100 residents, lower than the regional average of 15.9, suggesting some students attend schools outside the area.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates one active public transport stop in Tatura, with a mix of bus services. Six individual routes operate from this stop, offering 77 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 985 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 11 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 77 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tatura is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Tatura faces significant health challenges, as indicated by health data. Both younger and older age cohorts have notable prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is relatively low, at approximately 50% of the total population (~2,598 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.3%) and asthma (8.9%). 62.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.8% in Rest of Vic.. As of 2021, 23.1% of Tatura's residents are aged 65 and over (1,211 people), higher than the 18.9% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Tatura ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tatura's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 88.2% of its population being citizens, 88.1% born in Australia, and 89.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Tatura, comprising 55.8% of the population, compared to 49.6% across Rest of Vic. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (29.7%), English (29.0%), and Irish (9.5%).

Notably, Italian (8.6%) is overrepresented in Tatura compared to the regional average of 6.0%, Dutch (1.6%) also exceeds its regional average of 1.2%, and Scottish (7.7%) is slightly higher than the regional figure of 7.2%.

Tatura hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Tatura's median age is 44 years, similar to Rest of Vic.'s 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Vic., Tatura has a higher percentage of 25-34 year-olds (12.6%) but fewer 65-74 year-olds (11.8%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 35-44 has grown from 10.2% to 11.6%, while those aged 15-24 increased from 9.9% to 11.0%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has decreased from 12.5% to 11.2%. By 2041, Tatura's population is expected to see significant shifts in its age composition. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 67%, adding 442 people and reaching 1,103 from 660. The 55-64 age group is expected to grow more modestly at 6%, adding only 41 residents.