Kialla

Kialla lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population for the Kialla statistical area (Lv2) is around 9,781. This figure represents a growth of 1,114 people since the 2021 Census, marking a 12.9% increase from its previous population count of 8,667. AreaSearch validated this estimate based on an examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), which indicated a resident population of 9,695, along with an additional 287 new addresses since the Census date. The Kialla (SA2) has a population density ratio of 155 persons per square kilometer. This level of space per person allows for potential further development in the area. The growth rate of 12.9% since the 2021 census exceeds that of both the SA4 region (3.5%) and the SA3 area, positioning Kialla as a growth leader within its region.

Interstate migration was the primary driver behind this population growth, contributing approximately 69.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. However, all factors including natural growth and overseas migration also played positive roles in this demographic shift. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting them using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Considering these projected demographic shifts and exceptional growth trends, the Kialla (SA2) is predicted to be in the top 10 percent of regional areas across the nation by 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the area is expected to increase its population by 8,308 persons over this period, reflecting an overall increase of 83.7%.

The level of residential development activity in Kialla was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Kialla shows an average of 127 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 639 homes. In FY-26 so far, 48 approvals have been recorded. Each dwelling built has resulted in an average of 2.5 new residents per year between FY-21 and FY-25.

New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost value of $527,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment. Commercial approvals this financial year amount to $480,000. Compared to Rest of Vic., Kialla records 119.0% more development activity per person. Recent construction comprises 94.0% detached dwellings and 6.0% townhouses or apartments. Kialla reflects a developing area with around 107 people per approval.

By 2041, AreaSearch estimates Kialla's population will grow by 8,188 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth.

Kialla has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 22 projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones are Kialla Lakes Estate, Kialla West Growth Corridor, River Road West Subdivision - Stage 1, and Shepparton's Premier Development Site at 7880 Goulburn Valley Highway. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Kialla significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Kialla has a skilled workforce with essential services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 1.5%, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, there are 4972 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 2.2% below Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%. Workforce participation in Kialla stands at 65.6%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 4.4% versus the regional average of 7.5%. Labour force levels decreased by 9.8% over the year to September 2025, with employment declining by 10.5%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.8 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Kialla's employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Kialla had a median taxpayer income of $52,180 and an average income of $64,272 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was lower than the national average, contrasting with Rest of Vic.'s median income of $50,954 and average income of $62,728 in the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for Kialla as of September 2025 would be approximately $56,485 (median) and $69,574 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Kialla were around the 61st percentile nationally. Income distribution data showed that 37.9% of individuals earned between $1,500 - $2,999, which was consistent with broader regional trends showing 30.3% in the same category. After housing costs, residents retained 88.4% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power for the area, which had a SEIFA income ranking in the 6th decile.

Kialla is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Kialla, as per the latest Census evaluation, 95.8% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 4.2% comprising semi-detached properties, apartments, and other dwelling types. This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s figures of 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kialla stood at 38.3%, with mortgaged dwellings making up 49.7% and rented properties accounting for 12.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,625, above Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,300. The median weekly rent figure in Kialla was recorded at $380 compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $260. Nationally, Kialla's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Kialla features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.6% of all households, including 41.7% couples with children, 30.5% couples without children, and 8.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 18.4%, with lone person households at 16.8% and group households comprising 1.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.5.

Educational attainment in Kialla aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area has university qualification rates of 22.4%, significantly lower than the Victorian average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.3%, followed by graduate diplomas at 3.6% and postgraduate qualifications at 3.5%. Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding them, including advanced diplomas at 12.2% and certificates at 24.5%. Educational participation is high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 12.1% in primary, 9.1% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 26 active stops operating in Kialla, served by buses along two routes offering 117 weekly passenger trips. Residents' average distance to the nearest stop is 619 meters, with service frequency averaging 16 trips per day across all routes, equating to about four weekly trips per stop.

Service frequency averages 16 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 4 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kialla's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data for Kialla indicates relatively positive outcomes with a low prevalence of common health conditions among its general population compared to national averages. However, this prevalence is higher among older and at-risk cohorts.

The area has private health cover at approximately 52% of its total population (~5,111 people), which is slightly higher than the average for Rest of Vic (48.4%). The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.2 and 7.7% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 70.7%, report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 64.8% across Rest of Vic. Kialla has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.2% (1,682 people) compared to the Rest of Vic's 18.9%. While health outcomes among seniors present some challenges requiring more attention than the broader population, overall health outcomes in Kialla remain relatively positive.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Kialla was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kialla's population shows above average cultural diversity, with 17.9% born overseas and 20.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kialla, accounting for 50.2% of its population. The most notable overrepresentation is seen in the 'Other' religious category, comprising 4.8% compared to Rest of Vic's 2.7%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian (26.5%), English (26.4%), and Other (11.2%) are the top represented groups. Some ethnic groups show notable divergences: Italian at 7.9% (vs regional 6.0%), Macedonian at 0.5% (vs 0.4%), and Samoan at 0.3% (vs 0.4%).

Kialla's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Kialla's median age is 38, which is below Rest of Vic.'s figure of 43 but matches the national norm of 38. The 5-14 age group comprises 14.9% of Kialla's population, higher than Rest of Vic., while the 65-74 cohort makes up 9.3%. Post-2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group increased from 11.5% to 12.9%, whereas the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 12.8% to 11.5% and the 55 to 64 group fell from 11.4% to 10.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Kialla's age profile, with the 25 to 34 group leading the shift, growing by 118% (an increase of 1,489 people) from 1,261 to reach 2,751.