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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Kialla has an estimated 9,892 residents, up from 8,667 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,225 people, or 14.1%. Growth has averaged 3.4% a year over five years, faster than 83% of areas nationally. 300 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 69.0% of that increase. That puts 157 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to investigations of ABS demographic statistics for the surrounding area alongside address validations conducted by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Kialla has an estimated population of 9,892 as of May 2026. This represents a gain of 1,225 residents (14.1%) since the 2021 Census, when the population was recorded at 8,667. This shift is calculated from a resident count of 9,875, projected by AreaSearch using the ABS's June 2025 ERP release and 300 validated new addresses added after the Census. This population level yields a density of 157 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density and capacity for expansion.
The suburb of Kialla outpaced the SA4 region (1.0%) and the SA3 territory with its 14.1% expansion rate, positioning it at the forefront of local growth. The primary contributor to these gains was interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 69.0% of the overall population rise, though natural increase and international migration also registered positive results. Projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024 (using 2022 as a starting point) have been implemented by AreaSearch for each SA2. In instances where SA2 data was unavailable, projections from the 2023 Victorian State Government Regional/LGA release were aggregated using a weighted method from LGA to SA2 level. The resulting age bracket growth rates are applied to the 2032 to 2041 period. Reflecting these anticipated changes, the suburb of Kialla is expected to experience exceptional growth that ranks in the top 10 percent of all non-metropolitan areas nationally, rising by 7,881 residents by 2041 and representing a 79.5% cumulative expansion over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
639 new dwellings have been approved in Kialla over the past five years, an average of 127 a year. That places the area in the 91st percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 13 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 115 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 94% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 103, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of ABS building permit figures indicate that Kialla has recorded a yearly average of roughly 127 residential approvals, with 639 residential structures approved over the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 95 during the current FY-26 period. Strong property demand is highlighted by the ratio of 2.4 residents moving to the area for every new home completed between FY-21 and FY-25. The average value of these approved homes is $527,000, showing that developers are prioritizing high-end and premium housing. Conversely, commercial approvals amounted to $480,000 during the current financial year, showing very limited commercial construction.
In comparison to the Rest of Vic. average, building approvals per resident in Kialla are 113.0% higher, offering purchasers a wide range of options despite recent easing in construction momentum. This rate is far higher than the national standard, pointing to strong developer interest. The new supply is comprised of 94.0% detached houses and 6.0% townhouses or multi-unit dwellings, reinforcing the low-density profile sought by buyers prioritizing space. Reflecting its status as an expanding area, there are approximately 110 people per residential approval in Kialla. Based on the most recent quarterly projections from AreaSearch, Kialla is expected to add 7,864 residents by 2041. Should construction activity remain at its current pace, the supply of housing may not keep up with population increases, which could intensify competition among buyers and put upward pressure on prices.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Kialla
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 11 current infrastructure and development projects inside Kialla, worth an estimated $1.84 billion. A further 50 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $4.35 billion. 18 are already under construction and 20 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Development, planning projects, and infrastructure updates are key drivers of local performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 significant projects expected to influence the local area. Key developments include Kialla Lakes Estate, Kialla West Growth Corridor, River Road West Subdivision - Stage 1, and Shepparton's Premier Development Site - 7880 Goulburn Valley Highway, with the main projects of relevance listed below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Sanctuary Park Estate
Boutique residential estate development located in the heart of Kialla, adjoining the Kialla Lakes precinct. Characterised by tree-lined streets, picturesque views integrated with surrounding landscapes, and an informal network of parklands. Multi-stage development with new stages including the 'Bolzonello Release' and development planned up to Stage 8.
Kialla West Primary School Kindergarten
Construction of a new two-room kindergarten at Kialla West Primary School for up to 66 children as part of Victoria's Kindergarten on a School Site program. The facility is scheduled to open in Term 1, 2027 and will be operated by Goulburn Region Preschool Association, supporting smoother transition into primary school and easier family drop-offs.
Seven Creeks Estate
Master planned residential estate in Kialla adjoining Seven Creeks and the Goulburn River bushland. The development includes approximately 500 residential lots, extensive open space, wetlands and parklands. The final Stage 21 is actively being marketed with Cormorant Reserve under development and the final lots progressing following title issue.
Kialla Lakes Estate
Award-winning masterplanned residential estate spanning over 35 years of development, widely regarded as one of the most successful regional Victorian estates. Developed by Kavant Nominees, the estate features three lakes, wetlands, parks, over 7km of walking and cycling paths, and a display home village. More than 1,200 lots have been sold across 46+ stages, with new stages continuing to be released. Community infrastructure includes the opened St Annes College, proximity to Riverside Plaza shopping complex, and the expanding Emerald Bank tourist precinct.
River Road West Subdivision - Stage 1
Small scale residential subdivision development on River Road West. Early stage planning for conventional residential lots with standard infrastructure requirements. Part of the broader residential growth in the Kialla area responding to housing demand.
Shepparton's Premier Development Site - 7880 Goulburn Valley Highway
Positioned in the Kialla Lakes Estate and Airport precinct, this is an outstanding opportunity for developers to secure a commercial site at the Southern entrance to Shepparton with 252 meters of Goulburn Valley Highway frontage. The site offers huge scope and potential under its Commercial 2 Zoning.
Kialla West Growth Corridor
The Kialla West Growth Corridor is a major residential precinct structure plan (PSP) covering approximately 271 hectares. Rezoned to Urban Growth Zone in 2024, it is being co-facilitated by the Greater Shepparton City Council and Villawood Properties. The project will deliver an estimated 2,019 dwellings, a local activity centre, a central spine road, and significant open space including six local parks and a stormwater management system.
River Road Kialla Intersection Upgrade
Proposed construction of a new roundabout at the intersection of River Road and the Goulburn Valley Highway, Kialla, to improve safety, increase traffic efficiency and strengthen freight and flood resilience as part of the Greater Shepparton Road Network Resilience Package. As of 2026 the project remains an advocacy priority seeking Victorian Government funding and has not yet entered construction.
5,133 residents of Kialla are employed, from a labour force of 5,230. Unemployment sits at 1.9%, with participation at 67.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 8,123, about 82% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Kialla has a capable labor force with strong representation in key service industries, an unemployment rate of 1.9%, and an estimated employment growth of 2.8% over the previous year according to AreaSearch aggregated statistical area information. By March 2026, 5,133 people are employed, and the local unemployment rate stands at 1.8% lower than the Regional Vic. rate of 3.7%, while workforce participation exceeds the standard at 67.5% relative to the 61.1% figure for Regional Vic. Census data indicates that only 10.8% of residents worked from home, although the lingering effects of Covid-19 lockdowns may have influenced these figures.
The primary employment sectors for local residents are healthcare & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Conversely, the agricultural, forestry & fishing sector has a minor footprint, accounting for 4.4% of jobs compared to the regional average of 7.5%. The comparison between the number of local jobs and working residents suggests that the immediate area provides relatively few employment opportunities. According to SALM and ABS data analyzed by AreaSearch, the recent 12-month period saw a 2.8% expansion in employment alongside a 3.5% increase in the labor force, which led to a 0.7 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. This trend diverges from Regional Vic., where employment shrank by 0.1%, the labor force dropped by 0.3%, and the unemployment rate decreased by 0.2 percentage points. Five and ten-year national forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (published May-25) have been applied to Kialla's current workforce composition to model future employment paths. While overall national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, individual sectors will perform differently. Applying these sector projections suggests local employment could grow by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, based on a simple weighted extrapolation that does not incorporate localized population growth trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Kialla is $1,998 a week (about $104,000 a year), with median personal income at $846 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $52,180 a year against an average of $64,272. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO figures from the financial year 2023 release show that taxpayers in Kialla recorded a median income of $52,180 and an average income of $64,272. These amounts are lower than the national figures and compare to $50,954 (median) and $62,728 (average) across Regional Vic. Adjusted for the Wage Price Index, which grew by 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 stand at roughly $57,200 for the median and $70,455 for the average. Census data places household, family, and individual incomes in Kialla in the 61st percentile nationally.
The dominant earnings band is $1,500 - 2,999 per week, representing 37.9% of taxpayers (3,749 residents), which is similar to the wider region where this bracket accounts for 30.3%. Residents retain 88.4% of their income after meeting housing costs, indicating strong discretionary spending power, and the area's SEIFA economic index is in the 6th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Kialla had 2,858 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 96% detached houses and 0% apartments. 50% are owned with a mortgage, 12% rented and 38% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $380 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,625 a month. Rent absorbs 19.0% of household income here and mortgage repayments 18.8%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential structures in Kialla at the time of the last Census consisted of 95.8% detached houses and 4.2% alternative housing types such as semi-detached homes or apartments, compared to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings across Regional Vic. The home ownership rate was 38.3%, slightly below the regional benchmark, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (49.7%) or rented (12.0%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,625 was higher than the Regional Vic. average of $1,430, and the median weekly rent of $380 exceeded the regional figure of $285. Nationally, mortgage costs in Kialla are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, whereas rental costs exceed the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Kialla counted 2,858 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 3,262 today, averaging 2.9 people each. 42% are couples with children, more than in 82% of areas nationally, against 31% couples without children. 17% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the vast majority of households at 81.6%, consisting of couples with children (41.7%), couples without children (30.5%), and single-parent households (8.7%). The remaining 18.4% are non-family households, which include single-person households at 16.8% and group households at 1.6%. The typical household size is 2.9 individuals, which is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
22.4% of adults in Kialla hold a university qualification, including 15.3% with a bachelor degree and 3.5% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 24.5% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 597 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,000 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
University attainment levels are low in the area, with 22.4% of residents holding a tertiary qualification compared to the Victorian average of 33.4%, representing a potential focus area for educational programs. The most common qualification is a bachelor degree at 15.3%, followed by graduate diplomas at 3.6% and postgraduate degrees at 3.5%. Technical and trade qualifications are common, with 36.7% of residents aged 15+ holding a vocational qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas (12.2%) and certificates (24.5%). A high proportion of the population is engaged in study, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in an educational institution.
Primary school students represent 12.1% of the population, secondary students account for 9.1%, and tertiary students make up 2.8%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Kialla reaches 26 stops on 2 routes, timetabled for about 120 services a week. The typical home sits about 620 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.9 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
There are 26 active transit stops in Kialla, serviced by 2 unique routes that provide 117 passenger trips weekly. Accessibility is limited, with residents living an average of 619 meters from their nearest transit stop. The area is predominantly residential, with 97% of commuters using a private vehicle to travel to work. Households own an average of 1.9 vehicles, which is higher than the regional standard. A lower-than-average 10.8% of residents worked from home during the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by pandemic restrictions. Transit services average 16 runs per day across all routes, which translates to roughly 4 weekly trips for each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
70.7% of residents in Kialla report no long-term health condition. 5.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 52.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health outcomes for local residents are generally positive, with mortality rates and illness prevalence tracking closely to national benchmarks. While common health conditions are infrequent among the wider population, they are more prevalent in older, vulnerable age brackets. Private health insurance coverage is slightly above the average SA2 area, with roughly 52% of the population (~5,169 people) having private cover. Arthritis and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 8.2% and 7.7% of residents respectively. Conversely, 70.7% of the population reported no chronic health conditions, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.
The working-age population exhibits good health with minimal chronic disease. Residents aged 65 and over represent 17.2% of the population (1,701 people), which is lower than the Regional Vic. proportion of 23.9%. Health outcomes for this senior cohort present some challenges and rank lower nationally than the overall local population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Kialla is largely Australian-born, at 82.1% of residents, with 20.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (26.5%) and English (26.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The area displays above-average cultural diversity, with 17.9% of residents born outside Australia and 20.8% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 50.2% of the population. The most significant divergence from regional norms is in the Other category, which accounts for 4.8% of residents compared to 0.8% across Regional Vic. Looking at ancestral backgrounds, the three largest groups are Australian (26.5%), English (26.4%), and Other (11.2%), with the latter being much higher than the regional average of 4.7%. Specific ethnic groups show notable differences from regional averages, with Italian ancestry representing 7.9% of Kialla (compared to 2.9% regionally), Macedonian representing 0.5% (compared to 0.2%), and Samoan representing 0.3% (compared to 0.1%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Kialla is 38. 24.9% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of Kialla's population is 38, which is lower than the Regional Vic. median of 43 but matches the national average of 38. The 5 - 14 age bracket is highly represented at 14.4% compared to Regional Vic., whereas the 65 - 74 bracket is less common at 9.2%. Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group grew from 11.4% to 12.5%, while the 5 to 14 cohort decreased from 15.8% to 14.4% and the 55 to 64 bracket fell from 11.4% to 10.3%. Demographic projections indicate the age structure will change significantly by 2041, led by the 45 to 54 cohort, which is expected to rise by 121% (1,417 people) to reach 2,585 from 1,167.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Kialla
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 11 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 300 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (8,667 at the 2021 Census → 9,892 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21340). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.