Kialla

Kialla lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Kialla is around 9,784, reflecting an increase of 1,117 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 8,667. This growth, inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 9,695 following examination of ABS data released in June 2024 and validated new addresses since the Census date, equates to a density ratio of 155 persons per square kilometer. Kialla's 12.9% growth since the 2021 census exceeded both its SA4 region (3.7%) and SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 69.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with other drivers including natural growth and overseas migration also positive factors. AreaSearch's projections for Kialla are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 adjusted using weighted aggregation methods for areas not covered by the former. Projected demographic shifts indicate exceptional growth over the period to 2041, with Kialla expected to grow by 8,335 persons, reflecting an increase of 84.3% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, exceptional growth, placing in the top 10 percent of Australian non-metropolitan areas, is predicted over the period with the area expected to grow by 8,335 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting with an increase of 84.3% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Kialla was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Kialla averaged around 127 new dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 639 homes. By FY-26 so far, 57 approvals have been recorded. Over these past five years (FY-21 to FY-25), an average of 2.5 new residents per year was gained for each dwelling built, suggesting solid demand supporting property values. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost value of $527,000, indicating a developer focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties.

This financial year, $480,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Rest of Vic., Kialla has 120.0% more construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice, although development activity has moderated in recent periods. This activity is well above average nationally, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area. New development consists of 94.0% detached houses and 6.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 107 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

Population forecasts indicate Kialla will gain 8,246 residents through to 2041, based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Kialla has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones include Kialla Lakes Estate, Kialla West Growth Corridor, River Road West Subdivision - Stage 1, and Shepparton's Premier Development Site - 7880 Goulburn Valley Highway. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Kialla places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Kialla has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. As of December 2025, the unemployment rate is 1.4%. The AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data shows that 5,034 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 2.3% below Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%.

Workforce participation is high at 66.9%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. According to Census responses, a low 10.8% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with 4.4% employment compared to the regional average of 7.5%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Over a 12-month period ending in December 2025, labour force decreased by 4.7% and employment declined by 4.9%, resulting in a rise in unemployment rate of 0.3 percentage points. This contrasts with Regional Vic., where employment contracted by 0.6%, the labour force fell by 0.7%, and unemployment fell by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kialla's employment mix, local employment is estimated to increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Kialla had a median income among taxpayers of $52,180 and an average income of $64,272. Both figures are below the national averages of $59,035 for median income and $71,388 for average income. In Regional Vic., the median income is $50,954 and the average income is $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since June 30, 2023, current estimates for Kialla would be approximately $56,485 (median) and $69,574 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Kialla cluster around the 61st percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that the majority of residents fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, with 37.9% (3,708 people) earning within this range, which is consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 30.3% in the same category. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain 88.4% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Kialla is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Kialla's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.8% houses and 4.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Regional Vic. had 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kialla stood at 38.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.7% and rented ones at 12.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,625, higher than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in Kialla was $380, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Kialla's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,625 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were higher at $380 against the national figure of $375.

Kialla features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 81.6% of all households, including 41.7% couples with children, 30.5% couples without children, and 8.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 18.4%, with lone person households at 16.8% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Kialla aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.4%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.3%, followed by graduate diplomas at 3.6% and postgraduate qualifications at 3.5%. Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding them, including advanced diplomas at 12.2% and certificates at 24.5%. Educational participation is high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.1% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kialla has 26 active public transport stops serviced by 2 routes offering 117 weekly passenger trips. Residents have limited access to these stops, typically living 619 meters away from the nearest one. Most residents commute outward daily using private vehicles, which are dominant at 97%. On average, there are 1.9 cars per dwelling in Kialla. According to the 2021 Census, only 10.8% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 16 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 4 weekly trips per individual stop.

Service frequency averages 16 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 4 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kialla's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data for Kialla shows positive outcomes overall, with mortality rates and health conditions broadly matching national benchmarks.

The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher among older, at-risk cohorts compared to national averages. Private health cover stands at approximately 52% of the total population (~5,113 people), slightly above the average for SA2 areas. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.2 and 7.7% of residents respectively, while 70.7% report being completely free from medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. Working-age residents show low chronic condition prevalence. Kialla has 17.2% of its population aged 65 and over (1,682 people), lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Kialla was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kialla has cultural diversity above average, with 17.9% born overseas and 20.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Kialla, comprising 50.2%. Notably, 'Other' religion comprises 4.8%, compared to Regional Vic's 0.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (26.5%), English (26.4%), and Other (11.2%), which is higher than the regional average of 4.7%. Italian ethnicity is notably overrepresented at 7.9% in Kialla compared to Regional Vic's 2.9%. Macedonian and Samoan ethnicities are also overrepresented, at 0.5% and 0.3% respectively, compared to regional averages of 0.2% and 0.1%.

Kialla's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Kialla has a median age of 38, which is lower than Regional Vic's figure of 43 but matches the national norm of 38. The 5-14 age group comprises 14.6% of Kialla's population, higher than Regional Vic's proportion, while the 65-74 cohort makes up 9.4%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 11.5% to 13.4% of Kialla's population. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has decreased from 11.4% to 10.0%, and the 5 to 14 age group has fallen from 15.8% to 14.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling indicates significant changes in Kialla's age profile, with the 25 to 34 age group projected to grow by 110%, adding 1,442 people and reaching a total of 2,754 from its current figure of 1,311.