Kyabram

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kyabram reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census Kyabram's population is estimated at around 7,793 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 377 people (5.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,416 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7,259, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 295 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 54 persons per square kilometer. The suburb of Kyabram's 5.1% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (1.5%), along with the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth of non-metropolitan areas nationally is projected, with the suburb of Kyabram expected to increase by 1,242 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 9.1% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kyabram according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Kyabram averaged approximately 28 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 143 homes were approved, with an additional 42 approved so far in FY-26. Despite population decline in recent years, development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, potentially benefiting buyers.

The average expected construction cost value for new properties is $391,000, which is moderately above regional levels, suggesting an emphasis on quality construction. This financial year, $853,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating a predominantly residential focus in the area. Compared to Rest of Vic., Kyabram has similar development levels per person, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area.

Recent construction comprises 92.0% detached dwellings and 8.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 167 people per dwelling approval, further indicating a low density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kyabram is expected to grow by 712 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, potentially offering good conditions for buyers and facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Kyabram has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified zero projects impacting this region. Notable initiatives are: Shepparton Line Upgrade, Regional Housing Fund (Victoria), Victorian Renewable Energy Zones, and North East Rail Line Upgrade. The following details projects likely most relevant.

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While Kyabram retains a healthy unemployment rate of 3.1%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking

Kyabram has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, particularly in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate is 3.1%, as of September 2025, according to AreaSearch data aggregation. There are 3,321 residents employed, which is 0.7% lower than the Rest of Vic's rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation in Kyabram is 56.7%, slightly below the Rest of Vic's 61.4%. Census responses show that only 9.8% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing employment is notably high at 1.8 times the regional average.

Public administration & safety has limited presence with 3.6% employment compared to the regional average of 6.5%. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 10.7%, and employment declined by 12.1%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia suggest that Kyabram's employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Kyabram's employment mix.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Kyabram's median taxpayer income was $42,793 and average was $49,375 in financial year 2023. This is lower than Victoria's median income of $50,954 and average income of $62,728. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $46,323 and average $53,448 based on an 8.25% increase since financial year 2023. Kyabram's incomes rank between the 11th and 16th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. The largest income bracket comprises 28.5% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, similar to surrounding regions at 30.3%. Despite modest housing costs allowing retention of 87.8% of income, disposable income ranks at the 16th percentile nationally.

Kyabram is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kyabram's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kyabram was at 44.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.8% and rented ones at 24.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,235, below Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in Kyabram was $220, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Kyabram's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were below the national figure of $375.

Kyabram features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.1% of all households, including 25.2% couples with children, 29.5% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.9%, with lone person households at 31.3% and group households making up 1.6%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Kyabram fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 13.4%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.6%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (29.3%). Educational participation is high, with 27.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.1% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 2.0% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 2.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kyabram has one active public transport stop. This stop is served by three routes offering a total of 56 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility in Kyabram is limited, with residents typically located 890 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars are the primary mode of transport at 92%, while walking accounts for 6%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, only 9.8% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages eight trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 56 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kyabram is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health issues in Kyabram. AreaSearch's assessment shows high prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% (around 3,620 people), compared to 50.5% in the rest of Victoria and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.7%) and asthma (8.7%). Conversely, 61.0% of residents report having no medical ailments, slightly lower than the 63.4% in the rest of Victoria. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. Kyabram has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 26.9%, with around 2,096 people, compared to 23.9% in the rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Kyabram is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Kyabram's population shows low cultural diversity: 91.7% are citizens, 92.0% were born in Australia, and 95.1% speak English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, with 56.1%, compared to 47.3% regionally. The top three ancestry groups are English (33.4%), Australian (32.6%), and Irish (8.9%).

Italian (4.6%) and Scottish (7.6%) are notably overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.9% and 8.8%, respectively.

Kyabram hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Kyabram's median age of 45 years is modestly higher than Rest of Vic.'s 43, which is considerably older than the national norm of 38. Compared to the Rest of Vic. average, Kyabram has a notably over-represented 75-84 cohort (10.1%) and an under-represented 45-54 age group (9.6%). Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group grew from 10.9% to 12.0%, while the 25-34 cohort increased from 9.8% to 10.9%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 12.1% to 9.6%. Demographic modeling suggests Kyabram's age profile will significantly evolve by 2041. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to expand by 327 people (39%) from 849 to 1,177. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 15-24 and 55-64 cohorts.