Kyabram

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kyabram reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Kyabram's estimated population is around 7,723, reflecting a growth of 307 people since the 2021 Census. The population in 2021 was recorded as 7,416. This increase represents a 4.1% rise from the previous census figure. AreaSearch validated this estimate based on the resident population of 7,241, derived from ABS ERP data released in June 2024, and an additional 280 new addresses identified since the Census date. The population density ratio is approximately 53 persons per square kilometer, indicating ample space per person. Kyabram's growth rate of 4.1% since 2021 surpassed that of its SA3 area (1.3%) and SA4 region, positioning it as a growth leader in the region.

Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains in recent periods for Kyabram. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to the SA2 level. Future population trends anticipate an above-median growth for non-metropolitan areas nationally. Kyabram is projected to increase by 1,248 persons to reach a total of 9,971 by 2041, reflecting a 10.2% rise over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kyabram according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis using ABS building approval numbers from statistical area data, Kyabram averaged approximately 22 new dwelling approvals per year. Between financial years 2021 (FY-21) and 2025 (FY-25), around 112 homes were approved, with an additional 19 approved in FY-26 so far. Despite population decline in recent years, development activity has been adequate relative to the population decrease, which is positive for buyers.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $391,000, consistent with regional patterns. In FY-26, approximately $8.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Kyabram has 18.0% less new development per person. Nationally, it ranks among the 61st percentile of areas assessed for development activity, although there has been an increase in recent periods.

However, development activity remains lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. Recent construction comprises 94.0% standalone homes and 6.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Kyabram's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers with an emphasis on detached housing. With around 243 people per dwelling approval, Kyabram shows characteristics of a low density area. Future projections estimate Kyabram will add approximately 786 residents by 2041 (based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Construction is maintaining a reasonable pace with projected growth, although buyers may encounter growing competition as population increases.

Kyabram has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

No infrastructure changes were identified by AreaSearch that could affect this region. Key projects include the Shepparton Line Upgrade, Regional Housing Fund (Victoria), Victorian Renewable Energy Zones, and North East Rail Line Upgrade.

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Employment performance in Kyabram has been broadly consistent with national averages

Kyabram has a diverse workforce with both white and blue-collar jobs, particularly in manufacturing and industrial sectors. As of June 2025, its unemployment rate is 2.5%, lower than the Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%.

The workforce participation rate is 54.1%, below the regional average of 57.4%. Key employment industries are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing stands out with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level, while public administration & safety employs only 3.6% of local workers, lower than Rest of Vic.'s 6.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data comparison.

Between June 2024 and June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 14.7%, with a corresponding employment decline of 15.3%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic. saw an employment decline of 0.9% and labour force decline of 0.4%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kyabram's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that median income in Kyabram is $42,793 and average income stands at $49,375. This differs from Rest of Vic.'s figures where the median income is $48,741 and average income is $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Kyabram would be approximately $47,997 (median) and $55,379 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Kyabram fall between the 11th and 16th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 28.5% of individuals earn between $1,500 - $2,999 annually. Housing costs are modest with 87.8% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 16th percentile nationally.

Kyabram is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kyabram's dwellings, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Vic. had 90.3% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kyabram stood at 44.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.8% and rented ones at 24.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,235, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,300. The median weekly rent figure in Kyabram was $220, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $250. Nationally, Kyabram's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,235 than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kyabram features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 67.1 percent of all households, including 25.2 percent couples with children, 29.5 percent couples without children, and 11.6 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.9 percent, with lone person households at 31.3 percent and group households at 1.6 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Kyabram fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 13.4%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.6%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 10.3% and certificates at 29.3%. Educational participation is high, with 27.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.1% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 2.0% pursuing tertiary education. Kyabram has three schools with a combined enrollment of 1,585 students, operating under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 982) offering balanced educational opportunities. All three schools provide integrated K-12 education for academic continuity. School capacity exceeds residential needs, with 20.5 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 16.3, indicating Kyabram serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows one active public transport stop in Kyabram, operated by a mix of buses. Nine routes service this stop, offering 97 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is rated limited, with residents typically located 890 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, services run 13 times daily across all routes, resulting in approximately 97 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kyabram is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Kyabram, with high prevalence of common conditions across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low, at approximately 46% (around 3,588 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.7%) and asthma (8.7%). A total of 61.0% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly lower than the Rest of Vic's 62.2%. Kyabram has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 27.0% (around 2,085 people), compared to Rest of Vic's 25.1%. Health outcomes among seniors show some challenges but perform better than the general population in health metrics.

Kyabram is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Kyabram's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 91.7% of its population being citizens, 92.0% born in Australia, and 95.1% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion in Kyabram is Christianity, comprising 56.1% of the population, compared to 53.0% across Rest of Vic. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are English (33.4%), Australian (32.6%), and Irish (8.9%).

Notably, Italian ethnicity is overrepresented in Kyabram at 4.6%, compared to 2.6% regionally, while Macedonian is at 0.2% (vs 0.1%) and Scottish at 7.6% (vs 8.4%).

Kyabram hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Kyabram has a median age of 46, which is slightly higher than the Rest of Vic figure of 43 and significantly higher than the national norm of 38. The age group of 75-84 shows strong representation at 10.0%, compared to Rest of Vic., while the 35-44 cohort is less prevalent at 10.6%. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 10.9% to 11.9% of the population, whereas the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 12.1% to 10.3%. By 2041, Kyabram is expected to experience notable shifts in its age composition, with the 25 to 34 group projected to grow by 44%, reaching 1,179 people from 818. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 and 55 to 64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.