Kyabram

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kyabram reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Kyabram statistical area (Lv2) is estimated to be around 7,754 as of Nov 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 338 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,416. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7,259 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 280 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 53 persons per square kilometer. The Kyabram (SA2) experienced a population growth of 4.6% between the 2021 Census and Nov 2025, which exceeded the SA3 area's growth rate of 1.4%. Overseas migration was the primary driver of this population increase.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the Kyabram (SA2) is projected to increase by 1,247 persons, reflecting an overall increase of 9.7% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kyabram according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kyabram has averaged approximately 28 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 143 homes were approved, with an additional 42 approved in FY-26 so far. The average construction cost value of these dwellings is $391,000.

In FY-26, $853,000 worth of commercial approvals have been registered. Kyabram's development levels are similar to the Rest of Vic., maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. Recent construction comprises 92% detached dwellings and 8% townhouses or apartments.

The location has approximately 167 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kyabram is expected to grow by 754 residents through to 2041.

Kyabram has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No infrastructure changes will affect the area more than local improvements, major projects, or planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could impact the region. Key projects include Shepparton Line Upgrade, Regional Housing Fund (Victoria), Victorian Renewable Energy Zones, and North East Rail Line Upgrade. The following details those most relevant to the area.

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While Kyabram retains a healthy unemployment rate of 3.1%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking

Kyabram's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominent. The unemployment rate was 3.1% as of AreaSearch's statistical aggregation.

As of September 2025, 3,328 residents were employed at an unemployment rate of 0.7% below Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%. Workforce participation was lower at 54.1%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Employment concentration in Kyabram is highest in health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade, with manufacturing particularly notable at 1.8 times the regional average. Public administration & safety had limited presence at 3.6% compared to the regional 6.5%.

Local employment opportunities appeared limited based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 10.7%, and employment declined by 12.1%, raising unemployment by 1.5 percentage points. By contrast, Rest of Vic. had an employment decline of 0.7% and a labour force decline of 0.6%. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 showed VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's May-25 forecasts suggest national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kyabram's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by approximately 5.7% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Kyabram suburb's median taxpayer income is $42,793 and average is $49,375, based on latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is below national averages of $50,954 (median) and $62,728 (average) in Rest of Vic. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $46,323 and average $53,448, considering Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023. Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Kyabram fall between 11th and 16th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate largest segment is 28.5%, earning $1,500-$2,999 weekly (2,209 residents), similar to surrounding region at 30.3%. Housing costs are modest with 87.8% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just 16th percentile nationally.

Kyabram is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kyabram's dwelling structure, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 90.3% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kyabram stood at 44.2%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (31.8%) or rented (24.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,235, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average. The median weekly rent figure was $220, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $250. Nationally, Kyabram's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,235 versus Australia's $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kyabram features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 67.1% of all households, including 25.2% couples with children, 29.5% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 32.9%, with lone person households at 31.3% and group households comprising 1.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Kyabram fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 13.4%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.6%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (29.3%). Educational participation is high at 27.1%, comprising 10.1% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 2.0% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 2.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows one active public transport stop in Kyabram, offering a mix of bus services. This stop is served by three distinct routes, collectively facilitating 56 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically residing 890 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages eight trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 56 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kyabram is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows significant health challenges in Kyabram, with high prevalence of common conditions across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 46% (3,602 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 11.7% and 8.7% of residents respectively. Sixty-one percent declare themselves free from medical ailments, slightly lower than the Rest of Vic's 62.2%. Kyabram has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 26.9% (2,085 people), compared to Rest of Vic's 25.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but perform better than the general population in health metrics.

Kyabram is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Kyabram's cultural diversity was below average, with 91.7% citizens, 92.0% born in Australia, and 95.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 56.1%, compared to 53.0% regionally. The top three ancestry groups were English (33.4%), Australian (32.6%), and Irish (8.9%).

Notably, Italian (4.6%) and Macedonian (0.2%) ethnicities were overrepresented in Kyabram compared to regional averages of 2.6% and 0.1%, respectively. Conversely, Scottish ethnicity was underrepresented at 7.6% versus the regional average of 8.4%.

Kyabram hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Kyabram's median age is 46, which is higher than Victoria's figure of 43 and significantly above the national norm of 38. The age group 75-84 comprises 9.9% of Kyabram's population, compared to Rest of Vic., while the 35-44 cohort makes up 10.6%. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the 15 to 24 age group grew from 10.9% to 11.9% of Kyabram's population, while the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 12.1% to 10.3%. By 2041, Kyabram is projected to experience notable shifts in its age composition. The 25 to 34 group is expected to grow by 43%, reaching 1,175 people from 821. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 and 55 to 64 cohorts are anticipated to see population declines.