Kyabram

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kyabram reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Kyabram's population is around 11,569 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 448 people (4.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,121 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,883 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 328 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 15.7 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. Kyabram's 4.0% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (1.5%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which was essentially the sole driver of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above-median population growth for Australia's non-metropolitan areas is projected, with the area expected to increase by 1,861 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 10.2% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kyabram according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kyabram has recorded around 34 residential properties granted approval annually, totalling 172 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 48 approvals have been recorded. Given population has fallen over the past period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a well-balanced market with good buyer choice, while new dwellings are developed at an average value of $308,000. There have also been $8.5 million in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating limited commercial development focus.

Compared to the rest of Victoria, Kyabram records 16.0% less building activity (per person) and ranks in the 62nd percentile of areas assessed nationally, though building activity has accelerated in recent years. This activity is below the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. Recent construction comprises 96.0% standalone homes and 4.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low-density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 232 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market.

Looking ahead, Kyabram is expected to grow by 1,175 residents through to 2041 (based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Construction is maintaining a reasonable pace with projected growth, although buyers could encounter growing competition as population increases.

Kyabram has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 31stth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects and planning initiatives. In total, 1 single project has been identified by AreaSearch that is likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Shepparton Line Upgrade, Goulburn Valley Highway Safety Upgrades, Regional Housing Fund (Victoria), and Victorian Renewable Energy Zones, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Kyabram exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Kyabram has a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with manufacturing and industrial sectors strongly represented, and an unemployment rate of just 2.5%. As of December 2025, 5,241 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.2% below Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. Based on Census responses, a low 13.2% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, agriculture, forestry & fishing, and manufacturing. The area shows particularly strong specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level. Meanwhile, public administration & safety has a limited presence with 3.2% employment compared to 6.5% regionally. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw the labour force decrease by 5.0% while employment declined by 5.7%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.7 percentage points. By comparison, Regional Vic. recorded an employment decline of 0.6%, a labour force decline of 0.7%, with unemployment falling 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Kyabram. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Kyabram's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.5% over five years and 12.3% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The Kyabram SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $47,130 and an average of $53,170 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is lower than average on a national basis, contrasting with Regional Vic.'s median income of $50,954 and average income of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $51,018 (median) and $57,557 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Kyabram all fall between the 15th and 20th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate 29.4% of the population (3,401 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 30.3% similarly occupy this range. While housing costs are modest with 88.2% of income retained, the total disposable income ranks at just the 20th percentile nationally.

Kyabram is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Kyabram, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 89.7% houses and 10.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Kyabram was higher than that of Regional Vic., at 43.0%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (34.3%) or rented (22.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Regional Vic. average at $1,235, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $210, compared to Regional Vic.'s $1,430 and $285. Nationally, Kyabram's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kyabram has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households dominate at 68.4% of all households, comprising 26.8% couples with children, 29.9% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 31.6%, with lone person households at 29.9% and group households comprising 1.8% of the total. The median household size of 2.4 people matches the Regional Vic. average.

Educational outcomes in Kyabram fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (13.4%) substantially below the VIC average of 33.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 10.0%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.8%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.4%) and certificates (29.8%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 1.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 5 active transport stops operating within Kyabram. These stops are serviced by 3 individual routes, collectively providing 56 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 841 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 91%, with 6% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 13.2% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 8 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kyabram is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data reveals substantial challenges facing Kyabram, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is notable across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~5,356 people). This compares to 50.5% across Regional Vic. The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 11.3 and 8.7% of residents, respectively, while 62.4% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 24.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,885 people), which is higher than the 23.9% in Regional Vic. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Kyabram is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Kyabram was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 91.1% of its population being citizens, 91.7% born in Australia, and 95.3% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Kyabram is Christianity, which makes up 54.2% of the population. This compares to 47.3% across Regional Vic..

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Kyabram are Australian, comprising 34.1% of the population, English, comprising 32.5% of the population, and Irish, comprising 8.8% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Italian is notably overrepresented at 3.9% of Kyabram (vs 2.9% regionally), Scottish at 7.9% (vs 8.8%) and Filipino at 1.1% (vs 0.6%).

Kyabram hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Kyabram's median age of 44 years is similar to Regional Vic.'s 43 and well above the 38-year national average. Relative to Regional Vic., Kyabram has a higher concentration of 15 - 24 residents (11.8%) but fewer 45 - 54 year-olds (9.9%). Since the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 10.3% to 11.4% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 10.8% to 11.8%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 12.2% to 9.9%. By 2041, Kyabram is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 25 to 34 group will grow by 40% (517 people), reaching 1,803 from 1,285. On the other hand, the 15 to 24 and 55 to 64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.