Kyabram

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kyabram reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Kyabram's population was around 11,569 as of February 2026. This reflected an increase of 448 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,121 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,883 in June 2024 and an additional 328 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 15.7 persons per square kilometer. Kyabram's growth of 4.0% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (1.5%) and the SA4 region, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration was primarily responsible for population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilised VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future projections anticipate an above median population growth for Australia's non-metropolitan areas, with the area expected to increase by 1,861 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 10.2% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kyabram according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kyabram has granted approximately 34 residential property approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 172 homes. As of FY-26, 46 approvals have been recorded. Despite a decrease in population during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New dwellings are developed at an average cost of $308,000.

In the current financial year, there have been $8.5 million in commercial approvals, indicating limited focus on commercial development. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Kyabram records 16.0% less building activity per person, while it ranks among the 62nd percentile nationally for building activity, although this has accelerated in recent years. This lower-than-average activity suggests the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. Recent construction comprises 96.0% standalone homes and 4.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Kyabram's low-density character with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

The location has approximately 232 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Kyabram is projected to grow by 1,175 residents through to 2041. Construction pace is maintaining reasonable growth in line with population projections, although buyers may encounter growing competition as population increases.

Kyabram has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 31stth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely affecting this region: Shepparton Line Upgrade, Goulburn Valley Highway Safety Upgrades, Regional Housing Fund (Victoria), and Victorian Renewable Energy Zones are key projects, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

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Employment performance in Kyabram has been broadly consistent with national averages

Kyabram's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominent. As of September 2025, unemployment stood at 2.6%. In comparison to Rest of Vic., Kyabram's unemployment rate was 1.2% lower (3.8%), while workforce participation was similar at 61.4%.

Census data showed that 13.2% of residents worked from home. Key industries include health care & social assistance, agriculture, forestry & fishing, and manufacturing. Agriculture, forestry & fishing had a particularly strong presence with an employment share twice the regional level. Public administration & safety, however, was less prevalent at 3.2%, compared to the regional figure of 6.5%.

The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the working population versus resident population count. Between September 2024 and August 2025, labour force decreased by 10.6% while employment declined by 11.7%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.3 percentage points. This contrasted with Rest of Vic., which saw an employment decline of 0.7% and a labour force decline of 0.6%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 projected overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kyabram's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 5.5% over five years and 12.3% over ten years, though these figures were simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and did not account for localized population projections.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The Kyabram SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $47,130 and an average of $53,170 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This was lower than national averages, with Rest of Vic.'s median income being $50,954 and average income being $62,728. As of September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $51,018 (median) and $57,557 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census showed household, family, and personal incomes in Kyabram fell between the 15th and 20th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicated 29.4% of Kyabram's population (3,401 individuals) had incomes within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. Housing costs were modest, with 88.2% of income retained, but total disposable income ranked at just the 20th percentile nationally.

Kyabram is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kyabram's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.7% houses and 10.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kyabram stood at 43.0%, with mortgaged properties at 34.3% and rented ones at 22.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,235, below Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in Kyabram was $210, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Kyabram's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kyabram has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 68.4 percent of all households, including 26.8 percent couples with children, 29.9 percent couples without children, and 11.0 percent single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.6 percent, with lone person households at 29.9 percent and group households at 1.8 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of Vic.

Educational outcomes in Kyabram fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 13.4%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.0%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.8%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.6%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (10.4%) and certificates (29.8%). Educational participation is high, with 28.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.9% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 1.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kyabram has five active public transport stops serviced by three routes. These routes collectively offer 56 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is limited with residents typically located 841 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward, primarily using cars (91%), with 6% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 13.2% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages eight trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately eleven weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kyabram is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Kyabram. AreaSearch's assessment shows notable prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~5,356 people), compared to 50.5% across Rest of Vic., and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.3%) and asthma (8.7%). A total of 62.4% of residents claim to be completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Rest of Vic. Working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. Kyabram has 24.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,885 people), higher than the 23.9% in Rest of Vic. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, ranking even higher than the general population nationally.

Kyabram is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Kyabram had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 91.1% being citizens, 91.7% born in Australia, and 95.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 54.2%, compared to 47.3% across Rest of Vic.. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (34.1%), English (32.5%), and Irish (8.8%).

Italian representation was notably higher at 3.9% versus 2.9% regionally, Scottish at 7.9% versus 8.8%, and Filipino at 1.1% versus 0.6%.

Kyabram hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Kyabram's median age is 44 years, similar to Rest of Vic.'s 43, and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Vic., Kyabram has a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (11.8%) but fewer residents aged 45-54 (9.9%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the age group 35-44 increased from 10.3% to 11.4%, while the 15-24 cohort rose from 10.8% to 11.8%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort decreased from 12.2% to 9.9%. By 2041, Kyabram's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 25-34 group is projected to grow by 40%, reaching 1,803 from 1,285. Meanwhile, the 15-24 and 55-64 cohorts are expected to decline in population.