Canning Vale

Canning Vale has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

The population of the Canning Vale statistical area (Lv2) was estimated at around 37,625 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 3,121 people from the 2021 Census figure of 34,504. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 37,582 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), along with an additional 99 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 1,484 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Canning Vale's growth rate of 9.0% since census positions it within 0.7 percentage points of the national average (9.7%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 85.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth across all areas post-2032, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, a population increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas is expected for the Canning Vale (SA2). The area is projected to increase by 3,485 persons to reach 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 9.2% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Canning Vale when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Canning Vale shows around 59 new homes approved per year. Between FY21-FY25, approximately 297 homes were approved, with 18 more in FY26 to date. Each home built over these years accommodates an average of 8.1 new residents annually.

This high demand outpaces supply, potentially driving up prices and intensifying buyer competition. The average construction value per dwelling is $418,000, indicating a focus on premium market properties.

Commercial approvals totaled $10.1 million in FY26, suggesting moderate commercial development. New developments consist of 98% detached houses and 2% medium to high-density housing, preserving Canning Vale's suburban character with an emphasis on family homes. The area has around 625 people per dwelling approval, indicating a stable market. By 2041, Canning Vale is projected to gain approximately 3,442 residents. While construction maintains pace with growth projections, increasing population may intensify buyer competition.

Canning Vale has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 48thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 39 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Canning Vale Sports Complex, Harrisdale Green Estate, Aarya (West Piara Urban Precinct South), and Sutherlands Park Master Plan, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Canning Vale positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Canning Vale has a well-educated workforce with diverse sector representation. As of September 2025, its unemployment rate is 1.9%.

Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 2.1%. This rate is lower than Greater Perth's 4.0% unemployment rate and similar to its 65.2% workforce participation rate. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. The area has a particular employment specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, construction shows lower representation at 7.5% versus the regional average of 9.3%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. In the 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 2.1% alongside labour force increasing by 2.1%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. This contrasts with Greater Perth's employment growth of 2.9% and labour force growth of 3.0%. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows WA employment contracted by 0.27% (losing 5,520 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.6%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Canning Vale. These projections estimate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with industry-specific projections applied to Canning Vale's employment mix suggesting local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Canning Vale had a higher than average national income level according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $56,231 and the average income stood at $72,261. These figures compared to Greater Perth's median income of $60,748 and average income of $80,248 respectively. By September 2025, current estimates based on a 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023 would be approximately $61,640 (median) and $79,213 (average). Census data showed household incomes ranked at the 82nd percentile ($2,277 weekly), while personal income ranked lower at the 55th percentile. Income distribution revealed that 35.7% of Canning Vale's population (13,432 individuals) fell within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 32.0% in the same category. A substantial proportion of high earners (33.6% above $3,000/week) indicated strong economic capacity throughout Canning Vale. Housing accounted for 13.7% of income, while strong earnings ranked residents within the 84th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Canning Vale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with strong rates of outright home ownership

Canning Vale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 94.4% houses and 5.6% other dwellings such as semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. Home ownership in Canning Vale stood at 31.0%, with 50.7% of dwellings under mortgage and 18.3% rented out. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,000, while the median weekly rent amounted to $425. Nationally, Canning Vale's median mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, whereas rents were notably higher than the national figure of $375.

Canning Vale features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.1 people

Family households constitute 86.4% of all households, including 51.4% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 13.6%, with lone person households at 11.9% and group households at 1.8%. The median household size is 3.1 people.

Canning Vale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 33.2% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the WA average of 27.9% and the SA4 region average of 29.9%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 22.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas constitute 10.5% while certificates make up 17.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.6% in primary education, 9.8% in secondary education, and 7.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Canning Vale shows that there are currently 207 active transport stops in operation. These include a mix of train and bus services. There are 25 individual routes serving these stops, which together provide 4,875 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated as good, with residents typically located 225 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 696 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 23 weekly trips per individual stop.

Canning Vale's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Canning Vale, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Approximately 56% of the total population (~21,024 people) have private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 5.4% and 5.2% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 77.8%, report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 0% in Greater Perth overall. Canning Vale has 13.8% of residents aged 65 and over (5,192 people), with seniors exhibiting strong health outcomes broadly comparable to the general population's health profile.

Canning Vale is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Canning Vale has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.5% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 51.5% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in Canning Vale, comprising 41.9% of the population. The category 'Other' is overrepresented in Canning Vale compared to Greater Perth, with 4.4% of its population.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English at 19.7%, Other at 18.7%, and Chinese at 15.5%. Some ethnic groups have notable representation: South African (1.4%), Indian (8.4%), and Korean (0.8%).

Canning Vale's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Canning Vale has a median age of 37, matching Greater Perth's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 15-24 age group comprises 14.5% of Canning Vale's population, higher than Greater Perth's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up 12.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.1% to 4.2%, while the 0-4 cohort has decreased from 5.5% to 4.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Canning Vale's age structure. The 75-84 group is expected to grow by 97% (1,539 people), reaching 3,120 from 1,580. Those aged 65 and above are projected to account for 71% of the population growth. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are expected to experience population declines.