Warnbro
Statistical Area - sa2

Warnbro is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Warnbro's population is approximately 11,624 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 883 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 10,741. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 11,624 in June 2024 and one validated new address post-census. This results in a population density of 2,061 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warnbro's growth rate of 8.2% since the census is within 0.7 percentage points of the national average (8.9%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 55.9% to recent population gains in the area.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth estimation, AreaSearch utilises ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future demographic trends project above median population growth for the area, with an expected expansion of 1,864 persons to 2041, representing a total gain of 16.0% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Warnbro according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Warnbro averaged approximately 13 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, 65 homes were approved, with another 5 approved so far in FY-26. On average, around 10.1 new residents arrived annually for each dwelling constructed during these years.

This indicates a significant demand exceeding supply, which typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of new properties was $201,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options. In FY-26, $5.6 million in commercial approvals were registered, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Perth, Warnbro had significantly less development activity, with 87.0% fewer approvals per person. This scarcity of new homes usually strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Nationally, Warnbro also reflected lower development activity, indicating market maturity and possible development constraints. Recent building activity comprised entirely detached houses, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 891 people per dwelling approval, Warnbro showed signs of a highly mature market. By 2041, Warnbro is projected to grow by 1,864 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Warnbro has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 26thth percentile nationally

Six projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. These include the Warnbro Sound Avenue and Grand Ocean Boulevard North Intersection Upgrade, Kingsbridge Road - Warnbro Sound Avenue Safety Improvement project, development of Waikiki/Warnbro Outdoor Recreation Space, and upgrade of Koorana Reserve Sports Complex.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Warnbro are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Warnbro has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, notably in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 10.1% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.6%. As of June 2025, 5,730 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 6.2%, higher than Greater Perth's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Warnbro was 59.7%, lower than Greater Perth's 65.2%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Manufacturing has a particularly high concentration with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average. Professional & technical services have limited presence at 4.1% compared to the regional average of 8.2%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.6%, labour force grew by 5.8%, leading to an unemployment rise of 2.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth saw employment rise by 3.7% with a labour force growth of 3.8% and an unemployment increase of 0.1 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May 2025, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warnbro's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.7% over five years and 12.4% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

Warnbro's median income among taxpayers was $52,618 in financial year 2022, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. The average income stood at $65,814 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Perth's median and average incomes were $58,380 and $78,020 respectively. Based on a 14.2% growth in Wage Price Index since financial year 2022, current estimates for Warnbro are approximately $60,090 (median) and $75,160 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Warnbro rank modestly, between the 26th and 36th percentiles. The predominant income cohort spans 33.7% of locals (3,917 people) with incomes between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to the surrounding region where 32.0% fall within this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Warnbro, with only 83.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 36th percentile.

Warnbro is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Warnbro's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.0% houses and 4.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Perth metro had 90.5% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warnbro was at 26.4%, similar to Perth metro's figure. Dwellings were either mortgaged (46.7%) or rented (26.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, below the Perth metro average of $1,733 and the national average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Warnbro was $320, compared to Perth metro's $330 and the national figure of $375.

Warnbro has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 74.0% of all households, including 29.9% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 16.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 26.0%, with lone person households at 23.2% and group households making up 2.8% of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the Greater Perth average.

Warnbro faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.0%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 8.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 44.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (9.5%) and certificates (34.5%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education. Six schools operate within Warnbro, educating approximately 2,289 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 951) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes three primary, two secondary, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warnbro has 57 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 7 different routes that together facilitate 1,721 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents being an average of 201 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 245 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 30 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Warnbro is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Warnbro faces significant health challenges, as indicated by health data. Both younger and older age groups have notable prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 52%, which is higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Perth's 55.3%. Mental health issues affect 11.1% of residents, while arthritis impacts 9.3%. Around 63.1% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 68.5% in Greater Perth. Warnbro has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.1%, or 1,986 people, compared to Greater Perth's 15.6%. The health outcomes among seniors are challenging but generally align with the overall population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Warnbro was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warnbro's cultural diversity was above average, with 6.6% speaking a language other than English at home and 28.7% born overseas. Christianity dominated as the main religion at 40.3%. Notably, Judaism comprised 0.1%, significantly higher than Greater Perth's 0.0%.

Top ancestry groups were English (35.2%), Australian (26.2%), and Scottish (7.7%). Divergences included Maori at 2.1% (vs regional 2.0%), Welsh at 0.9% (same as regionally), and South African at 1.0% (vs regional 1.1%).

Warnbro's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Warnbro is 38 years, close to Greater Perth's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Perth, Warnbro has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (13.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.0%). From the 2021 Census to present, the population aged 65-74 has grown from 8.6% to 9.8%, while the 45-54 age group has declined from 13.2% to 12.2%. By 2041, Warnbro's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 81% (517 people), reaching 1,159 from 641. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 62% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups.