Warnbro

Warnbro is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Warnbro's population is around 11,624 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 883 people (8.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,741 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,624 from the ABS as of June 2024 and 1 validated new address since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,061 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warnbro's 8.2% growth since the census positions it within 1.7 percentage points of the national average (9.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 55.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is utilising the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Regarding demographic trends, an above-median population growth of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is projected, with the area expected to grow by 1,864 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 16.0% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Warnbro according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Warnbro has recorded around 13 residential properties granted approval per year, totalling 65 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 9 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 10.1 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers, while new homes are being built at an average value of $201,000—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Additionally, $5.6 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

When measured against Greater Perth, Warnbro records markedly lower building activity (87.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. Meanwhile, recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. The location has approximately 891 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market.

Population forecasts indicate Warnbro will gain 1,864 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Warnbro has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 11thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 6 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Waikiki/Warnbro Outdoor Recreation Space, Koorana Reserve Sports Complex Upgrade, Warnbro Sound Avenue and Grand Ocean Boulevard North Intersection Upgrade, and the DHA Defence Housing Program - Rockingham, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Warnbro faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Warnbro possesses a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with manufacturing and industrial sectors strongly represented, an unemployment rate of 10.0%, and relative employment stability over the past year. As of December 2025, 5,572 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 5.9% above Greater Perth's rate of 4.1%, showing room for improvement, and workforce participation lags significantly (65.6% compared to Greater Perth's 71.9%). Based on Census responses, a low 6.1% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in manufacturing, with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 4.1% versus the regional average of 8.2%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.3% and the labour force increased by 0.8%, resulting in unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Perth recorded employment growth of 2.3%, labour force growth of 2.6%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Warnbro. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Warnbro's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.4% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Warnbro SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $54,849 with the average level standing at $68,683. This is slightly above average nationally and compares to levels of $60,748 and $80,248 across Greater Perth respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $60,125 (median) and $75,290 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Warnbro, between the 25th and 36th percentiles. Distribution data shows 33.7% of the population (3,917 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 32.0% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 35th percentile.

Warnbro is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Warnbro, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 95.0% houses and 4.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Perth metro's 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Warnbro slightly lagged that of Perth metro, at 26.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (46.7%) or rented (26.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Perth metro average at $1,517, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $320, compared to Perth metro's $1,907 and $350. Nationally, Warnbro's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Warnbro has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households dominate at 74.0% of all households, comprising 29.9% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 16.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.0%, with lone person households at 23.2% and group households comprising 2.8% of the total. The median household size of 2.6 people matches the Greater Perth average.

Warnbro faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (12.0%) substantially below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 8.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 44.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (9.5%) and certificates (34.5%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 57 active transport stops operating within Warnbro, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 7 individual routes, collectively providing 1,714 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 201 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 82%, with 9% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. A relatively low 6.1% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 244 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 30 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Warnbro is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Warnbro faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover slightly exceeds the average SA2 area at approximately 53% of the total population (~6,195 people), compared to 59.0% across Greater Perth.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 11.1% and 9.3% of residents, respectively, while 63.1% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 71.9% across Greater Perth. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 17.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,078 people), which is higher than the 16.3% in Greater Perth. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Warnbro records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warnbro is above average in terms of cultural diversity, with 6.6% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 28.7% born overseas. The main religion in Warnbro is Christianity, which makes up 40.3% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Judaism, which comprises 0.1% of the population, compared to 0.3% across Greater Perth.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Warnbro are English, comprising 35.2% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 28.0%, Australian, comprising 26.2% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 21.2%, and Scottish, comprising 7.7% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Maori is notably overrepresented at 2.1% of Warnbro (vs 0.9% regionally), Welsh at 0.9% (vs 0.7%) and South Australian at 1.0% (vs 1.0%).

Warnbro's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 38-year median age in Warnbro is close to Greater Perth's average of 37 and equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Perth, Warnbro has a higher concentration of 55 - 64 residents (13.1%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (11.6%). Since the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 age group has grown from 8.6% to 10.2% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.2% to 12.0%. By 2041, Warnbro is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 74% (494 people), reaching 1,159 from 664. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 58% of projected growth. On the other hand, population declines are projected for the 35 to 44 and 5 to 14 cohorts.