Warnbro
Statistical Area - sa2

Warnbro is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Warnbro's population is 11,624 as of Aug 2025. Since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 10,741, there has been an increase of 883 people (8.2%). This growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,624 in June 2024 and one validated new address since the Census date. The population density ratio is 2,061 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warnbro's 8.2% growth since census is within 0.4 percentage points of the national average (8.6%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 55.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch uses growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Future population trends project an above median growth for Australian statistical areas. Warnbro is expected to expand by 1,864 persons to 2041, recording a total gain of 16.0% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Warnbro according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Warnbro has averaged approximately 13 new dwelling approvals per year. Development approval data is produced by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a financial year basis, with 65 homes approved over the past five financial years, from FY20-21 to FY24-25, and one approval so far in FY25-26. On average, 10.1 new residents per year have been associated with every home built during these years. This indicates that housing supply has lagged behind demand, which typically leads to increased buyer competition and pricing pressures.

The average construction cost of new homes is $185,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY25-26, there have been $5.6 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Perth, Warnbro has significantly less development activity, with 87% fewer approvals per person than the regional average. This constrained new construction often reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. Furthermore, recent building activity comprises solely detached houses, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With approximately 891 people per dwelling approval, Warnbro demonstrates a highly mature market. Population forecasts indicate that Warnbro will gain around 1,864 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially exacerbating buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Warnbro has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 26thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects expected to impact the region. Notable projects include the Warnbro Sound Avenue and Grand Ocean Boulevard North Intersection Upgrade, Kingsbridge Road - Warnbro Sound Avenue Safety Improvement, Waikiki/Warnbro Outdoor Recreation Space, and DHA Defence Housing Program - Rockingham. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment drivers in Warnbro are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Warnbro has a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are strongly represented in the area.

As of June 2025, the unemployment rate is 10.1%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.6%. There are 5,730 residents in work while the unemployment rate is 6.2% above Greater Perth's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Warnbro lags at 59.7%, compared to Greater Perth's 65.2%.

Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Manufacturing has a notable concentration with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average. Professional & technical services have limited presence with only 4.1% employment compared to the regional average of 8.2%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Employment levels increased by 2.6% while labour force grew by 5.8%, leading to an unemployment rise of 2.8 percentage points in the year to June 2025, contrasting with Greater Perth's figures. State-level data from Sep-25 shows WA employment contracted by 0.82%. The state unemployment rate was at 4.3% compared to the national rate of 4.5%, with national employment growth lagging at 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections suggest local growth in Warnbro could be approximately 5.7% over five years and 12.4% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

Warnbro's median income among taxpayers was $52,618 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $65,814 during this period. This compares to figures for Greater Perth of $58,380 and $78,020 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates suggest the median income would be approximately $58,727 and the average income around $73,455 as of March 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household incomes rank between the 26th and 36th percentiles in Warnbro. The predominant cohort spans 33.7% of locals (3,917 people) with incomes ranging from $1,500 to $2,999. This pattern is similar to surrounding regions where 32.0% occupy this income range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Warnbro, with only 83.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 36th percentile.

Warnbro is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Warnbro's housing structure, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 95.0% houses and 4.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Perth metro had 90.5% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warnbro was 26.4%, similar to Perth metro's level. Dwellings were either mortgaged (46.7%) or rented (26.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,517, lower than Perth metro's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Warnbro was recorded at $320, compared to Perth metro's $330. Nationally, Warnbro's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Warnbro has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 74.0% of all households, including 29.9% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 16.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 26.0%, with lone person households at 23.2% and group households making up 2.8% of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the Greater Perth average.

Warnbro faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.0%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both challenges and opportunities for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 8.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 44.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (9.5%) and certificates (34.5%).

Educational participation is high at 28.5%, including primary education (10.9%), secondary education (8.5%), and tertiary education (3.1%). Six schools operate within Warnbro, educating approximately 2,289 students. These schools demonstrate typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities, having an ICSEA score of 951. The educational mix includes three primary, two secondary, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warnbro has 57 active public transport stops. All these stops service buses along 7 different routes. Each week, these routes facilitate 1,721 passenger trips in total.

The average distance from residents to the nearest transport stop is 201 meters. Across all routes, there are an average of 245 trips daily, which amounts to about 30 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Warnbro is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Warnbro, with high prevalence of common conditions across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover rate is approximately 52%, slightly higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Perth's 55.3%.

Mental health issues affect 11.1% of residents, while arthritis impacts 9.3%. About 63.1% report no medical ailments, compared to 68.5% in Greater Perth. Warnbro has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.1%, or 1,986 people, compared to Greater Perth's 15.6%. Senior health outcomes present challenges broadly inline with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Warnbro was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warnbro's cultural diversity was above average, with 6.6% speaking a language other than English at home and 28.7% born overseas. Christianity dominated religiously at 40.3%. Judaism stood out at 0.1%, compared to Greater Perth's 0.0%.

For ancestry, the top groups were English (35.2%), Australian (26.2%), and Scottish (7.7%). Notably, Maori was overrepresented at 2.1% in Warnbro versus regionally at 2.0%. Welsh also showed a similar representation at 0.9%, while South African stood at 1.0% compared to the regional figure of 1.1%.

Warnbro's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Warnbro is 38 years, close to Greater Perth's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Perth, Warnbro has a higher percentage of residents aged 55-64 (13.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.0%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the proportion of residents aged 65-74 has increased from 8.6% to 9.8%, while the proportion of those aged 45-54 has decreased from 13.2% to 12.2%. By 2041, Warnbro's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 81%, reaching 1,159 people from 641. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 62% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 0-4 and 35-44.