Warnbro

Warnbro is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

According to AreaSearch, the population of Warnbro stands at approximately 11,902 in May 2026. This represents a rise of 1,161 residents (10.8%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 10,741 individuals. This shift is calculated using the ABS June 2025 estimated resident population of 11,897 and 4 validated new addresses registered after the Census. This population level translates to 2,110 persons per square kilometer, a density that surpasses the typical result for locations evaluated nationwide by AreaSearch. The expansion of 10.8% since the 2021 census outpaced the national figure of 9.3%, positioning the area as a regional growth leader. The primary driver of this population increase was overseas migration, which accounted for roughly 65.1% of the total population gains in recent times.

AreaSearch incorporates projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia for SA2 zones, which were published in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline. For SA2 areas lacking this coverage, and to calculate growth beyond 2032, AreaSearch applies age cohort growth rates from the latest ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data. Future demographic patterns suggest the location will experience growth exceeding the median for Australian statistical areas, with a projected increase of 1,712 people by 2041 relative to the most recent annual ERP statistics, representing a 14.3% rise over the 16-year timeframe.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Warnbro according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Approvals for new dwellings in Warnbro have run at an annual average of about 13, totaling 65 residential approvals over the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, and 16 during FY-26 so far. Because the area added an average of 13.7 new residents per year for each built dwelling over the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, demand outstrips supply, a trend that typically drives up prices and intensifies buyer competition, even though new construction averages a value of $201,000—a figure below the regional standard that points to more budget-friendly options. Furthermore, commercial approvals have reached $5.6 million this financial year, highlighting the residential orientation of the area.

Development volume in Warnbro is low compared to Greater Perth, tracking 87.0% below the regional per capita average. This limited addition of new housing stock generally bolsters demand and prices for existing properties. Construction levels are similarly below the national average, reflecting a mature market environment and indicating potential obstacles to development. Additionally, all recent building activity has been concentrated in detached houses, maintaining a suburban landscape dominated by spacious family homes. The ratio of roughly 909 people per dwelling approval indicates a highly mature market phase.

Projections indicate that Warnbro will gain 1,707 residents by 2041 based on the most recent quarterly estimate from AreaSearch. If the current rate of construction persists, the supply of housing may not keep pace with population growth, which could increase competition among buyers and support upward pressure on prices.

Warnbro has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 8thth percentile nationally

Local infrastructure projects, major developments, and urban planning initiatives play a key role in regional performance. AreaSearch has identified 6 projects expected to influence the locality. Notable developments include the Waikiki/Warnbro Outdoor Recreation Space, the Koorana Reserve Sports Complex Upgrade, the Warnbro Sound Avenue and Grand Ocean Boulevard North Intersection Upgrade, and the DHA Defence Housing Program - Rockingham, with the main details provided below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Warnbro are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

The local workforce is distributed across white and blue collar jobs, with notable concentration in manufacturing and industrial categories, and an unemployment rate of 10.3%. In March 2026, 5,529 local citizens are employed, while the unemployment rate is 6.2% higher than the Greater Perth level of 4.2%, indicating space for progress, and workforce participation is low at 63.7% compared to 70.2% in Greater Perth. Census records indicate that a minor 6.1% of the workforce operated from home, though this may have been influenced by COVID-19 lockdown measures.

The primary employment sectors for residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The locality exhibits a strong concentration in manufacturing, where the share of employment is 1.5 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical roles are underrepresented, accounting for 4.1% of the workforce in Warnbro compared to 8.2% in Greater Perth. A comparison of the Census working population against the resident population suggests this mainly residential area offers a limited number of local jobs.

According to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the labor force contracted by 0.9% and employment fell by 1.3% during the year ending March 2026, leading to a 0.4 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. Over the same timeframe, Greater Perth saw employment grow by 2.0% and the labor force expand by 2.5%, with a 0.4 percentage point increase in unemployment. National employment forecasts released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 provide context for potential local demand. These five and ten-year forecasts have been applied to the local workforce structure to model future patterns. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but these rates vary significantly by sector. Applying these industry-specific trends to the local employment mix suggests Warnbro's employment could grow by 5.7% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, noting this is a basic weighted extrapolation for illustration that excludes local population projections.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

According to the latest postcode level ATO statistics released by AreaSearch for the 2023 financial year, taxpayers in the Warnbro SA2 record a median income of $54,849 and an average of $68,683. This sits slightly above the national average, comparing to a median of $60,748 and an average of $80,248 in Greater Perth. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.93% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates would be roughly $60,844 for the median and $76,190 for the average as of March 2026. Census statistics show that household, family, and individual incomes rank modestly in the area, placing within the 25th to 36th percentiles. Income distribution data indicates that 33.7% of the community (4,010 individuals) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, which is close to the wider region where this segment constitutes 32.0%. Housing cost pressures are significant, leaving residents with only 83.4% of their income, which ranks in the 35th percentile.

Warnbro is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Housing types in Warnbro at the time of the last Census consisted of 95.0% separate houses and 4.9% other options like semi-detached homes, apartments, and alternative dwellings, compared to 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings in the Perth metropolitan area. Home ownership rates in Warnbro were slightly lower than the Perth metro rate, standing at 26.4%, while mortgaged properties accounted for 46.7% and rented homes made up 26.9%. The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,517 was lower than the Perth metro average of $1,907, and the median weekly rent of $320 was lower than the metropolitan figure of $350. Nationally, mortgage payments in Warnbro are below the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are lower than the national benchmark of $375.

Warnbro has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Families make up the majority of households at 74.0%, consisting of couples with children at 29.9%, couples without children at 26.5%, and single parent households at 16.5%. The remaining 26.0% are non-family living arrangements, which include lone person households at 23.2% and group shared households at 2.8%. The average household size is 2.6 residents, matching the Greater Perth average.

Warnbro faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

Academic achievement shows room for growth, with university completion rates at 12.0%, which is lower than the Australian benchmark of 30.4%. This represents a potential focus area for educational development. The most common higher education qualification is a bachelor degree at 8.7%, followed by postgraduate studies at 1.8% and graduate diplomas at 1.5%. Technical training is common, with 44.0% of individuals aged 15 and older holding vocational qualifications, split between advanced diplomas at 9.5% and certificates at 34.5%.

A high proportion of the population is engaged in study, with 28.5% of residents enrolled in an educational program. This group is composed of 10.9% in primary school, 8.5% in high school, and 3.1% in tertiary studies.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transit data shows 57 active bus stops operating in Warnbro. These transit stops are served by 7 distinct routes, which accommodate 1,714 weekly passenger journeys. Transport access is rated as good, with residents living an average of 201 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb is primarily residential, resulting in outward commuting; private vehicles are the main transport mode at 82%, while 9% of commuters use the train. The average household has 1.5 vehicles. A relatively low 6.1% of the workforce worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect the pandemic conditions at that time.

Transit service frequency averages 244 journeys per day across all active routes, which is equivalent to roughly 30 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Warnbro is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Assessments of mortality rates and chronic illness frequency by AreaSearch indicate notable health difficulties in Warnbro, with common conditions observed across all groups and showing higher rates among older demographics, while the share of residents with private health insurance is slightly above the average SA2 area at approximately 53% of the population (~6,343 people). This compares to 59.0% for the Greater Perth area.

Mental health concerns and arthritis represent the most common diagnoses, affecting 11.1% and 9.3% of the population respectively, while 63.1% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions compared to 71.9% in Greater Perth. The working-age cohort experiences health obstacles with elevated rates of long-term conditions. Residents aged 65 and older represent 17.3% of the community (2,055 people), which is higher than the 16.1% average in Greater Perth. Senior health outcomes present challenges, though they rank more favorably on a national scale than the overall population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Warnbro records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

The locality displays higher cultural diversity than average, with 6.6% of residents using a language other than English at home and 28.7% born in another country. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, representing 40.3% of the local population. Judaism shows the most notable relative concentration at 0.1% of the population, compared to 0.3% across Greater Perth.

Looking at ancestral origins based on parents' birthplace, the three largest groups in Warnbro are English at 35.2% (exceeding the regional average of 28.0%), Australian at 26.2% (exceeding the regional average of 21.2%), and Scottish at 7.7%. Other ethnic groups display distinct concentrations: Maori represents 2.1% of Warnbro compared to 0.9% across the region, Welsh is at 0.9% compared to 0.7%, and South Australian stands at 1.0% compared to 1.0%.

Warnbro's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age of residents is 38 years, which is close to the Greater Perth median of 37 and matches the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Greater Perth region, Warnbro has a higher proportion of people aged 55 to 64 (12.9%) but fewer aged 25 to 34 (12.2%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age bracket grew from 12.6% to 13.9%, and the 65 to 74 group rose from 8.6% to 9.8%. In contrast, the 45 to 54 cohort fell from 13.2% to 11.6%, and the 55 to 64 age group declined from 14.0% to 12.9%. By 2041, demographic shifts will alter the age mix, led by a 72% increase in the 75 to 84 cohort, which will add 469 people to reach 1,121 from 651. This aging trend is highlighted by the 65+ age group accounting for 60% of the projected growth, while contractions are expected in the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age brackets.