Warnbro

Warnbro is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Warnbro's population is approximately 11,624 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 883 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,741. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,624 in June 2024 and one validated new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,061 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warnbro's growth rate of 8.2% since the census is within 0.7 percentage points of the national average (8.9%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 55.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future population trends project above median growth for Australian statistical areas, with Warnbro expected to expand by 1,864 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 16.0% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Warnbro according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Warnbro averaged approximately 13 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 65 homes approved during this period. In FY26 up to now, 8 dwellings have been approved. This results in an average of around 10.1 new residents arriving per year for each dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

The demand significantly exceeds the supply, which typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $201,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY26, $5.6 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Perth, Warnbro has significantly less development activity, at 87.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new homes often strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Additionally, recent building activity comprises entirely detached houses, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. Warnbro reflects a highly mature market, with approximately 891 people per dwelling approval. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Warnbro is projected to grow by 1,864 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Warnbro has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 20thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects likely to affect the region. Notable projects include Waikiki/Warnbro Outdoor Recreation Space, Koorana Reserve Sports Complex Upgrade, Warnbro Sound Avenue and Grand Ocean Boulevard North Intersection Upgrade, and DHA Defence Housing Program - Rockingham. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Warnbro are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Warnbro has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are prominent.

Unemployment rate is 10.2%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.5% over the past year. As of September 2025, 5647 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 6.2%, higher than Greater Perth's 4.0%. Workforce participation is lower at 59.7% compared to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Manufacturing employment is notably high, at 1.5 times the regional average. Professional & technical services have limited presence with only 4.1% employment compared to the regional 8.2%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.5%, labour force grew by 4.3%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 1.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth saw employment rise by 2.9% and unemployment increase marginally. State-level data from 25-Nov-2025 shows WA employment contracted by 0.27%, with an unemployment rate of 4.6%. National employment forecasts suggest growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but local projections based on Warnbro's current employment mix estimate a lower increase of 5.7% over five years and 12.4% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

Warnbro SA2's median income among taxpayers was $52,618 and average income stood at $65,814 in financial year 2022. These figures were higher than Greater Perth's median of $58,380 and average of $78,020. By September 2025, current estimates project Warnbro's median income to be approximately $60,090 and average income to reach $75,160, based on a 14.2% growth in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2022. According to 2021 Census figures, incomes in Warnbro rank modestly, between the 25th and 36th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The predominant income cohort spans 33.7% of locals (3,917 people) earning $1,500 - 2,999 annually, similar to surrounding regions where 32.0% fall within this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Warnbro, with only 83.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 35th percentile nationally.

Warnbro is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Warnbro's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.0% houses and 4.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Perth metro's 90.5% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warnbro was at 26.4%, similar to Perth metro. Dwellings were either mortgaged (46.7%) or rented (26.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, below Perth metro's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Warnbro was $320, compared to Perth metro's $330. Nationally, Warnbro's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,863 and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Warnbro has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 74.0% of all households, including 29.9% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 16.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 26.0%, with lone person households at 23.2% and group households comprising 2.8%. The median household size is 2.6 people, aligning with Greater Perth's average.

Warnbro faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.0%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.5%) and certificates (34.5%). Educational participation is high at 28.5%, with 10.9% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warnbro has 57 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 7 different routes that together facilitate 1,721 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is considered good, with residents generally located 201 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 245 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 30 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Warnbro is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Warnbro faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent across younger and older age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 52%, or about 6,090 people, compared to 55.3% in Greater Perth.

Mental health issues affect 11.1% of residents, while arthritis impacts 9.3%. About 63.1% report no medical ailments, compared to 68.5% across Greater Perth. Warnbro has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.1%, or about 1,986 people, than Greater Perth's 15.6%. Senior health outcomes present challenges broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Warnbro records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warnbro's cultural diversity is above average, with 6.6% speaking a language other than English at home and 28.7% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Warnbro, comprising 40.3%. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to 0.0% across Greater Perth.

For ancestry, the top groups are English (35.2%), Australian (26.2%), and Scottish (7.7%). Some ethnicities show notable differences: Maori (2.1% vs regional 2.0%), Welsh (0.9% vs 0.9%), and South African (1.0% vs 1.1%).

Warnbro's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Warnbro is 38 years, close to Greater Perth's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Perth, Warnbro has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (13.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.0%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 65-74 has increased from 8.6% to 9.8%, while the 45-54 age group has decreased from 13.2% to 12.2%. By 2041, Warnbro's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 81%, reaching 1,159 people from 641. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 62% of the population growth. Conversely, declines in population are projected for those aged 0-4 and 35-44 years old.