Baldivis - South

Baldivis - South lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

According to investigations by AreaSearch, the population of Baldivis - South stands at approximately 32,298 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 6,252 people (24.0%) from the 2021 Census, which recorded 26,046 people. This shift is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 31,709 from June 2025 combined with 1,696 validated new addresses registered after the Census. The population density is 1,076 persons per square kilometer, aligning closely with typical figures across locations analyzed by AreaSearch. The expansion rate of 24.0% since the 2021 census outpaced the national average (9.3%) and the state benchmark, positioning the area as a regional growth leader. Population increases were mostly driven by interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 43.5% of the total growth, though overseas migration and natural growth also made positive contributions.

AreaSearch utilizes ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline. For SA2 areas where this data is unavailable, and to calculate growth beyond 2032, AreaSearch applies age cohort growth rates from the latest ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 and based on 2022 data. Future demographic projections point to substantial gains, placing the area in the highest national quartile. Based on the latest annual ERP figures, the population is projected to expand by 9,321 persons by 2041, representing a total rise of 27.0% over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Baldivis - South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

In Baldivis - South, development approvals have averaged approximately 368 dwellings annually, amounting to 1,842 homes over the last 5 financial years. Thus far in FY-26508 approvals have been registered. An average of 2.8 people per year moved to the area for each new home built during the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, highlighting strong demand that supports property values. The average expected construction cost for these new homes is $274,000. Commercial approvals in the current financial year total $948,000, underscoring the primarily residential focus of the area.

In comparison to Greater Perth, Baldivis - South displays elevated construction activity, tracking 49.0% above the regional average per capita over the 5 year period, which maintains diverse options for buyers while bolstering existing housing values. This level of activity is also considerably higher than the national average, indicating strong developer trust in the area. The new projects consist of 97.0% standalone homes and 3.0% attached dwellings, reinforcing a suburban character dominated by spacious family homes. Representing roughly 66 people per approval, Baldivis - South displays the traits of a developing area.

Future outlooks indicate Baldivis - South will add 8,732 residents by 2041, based on the most recent quarterly estimate from AreaSearch. If development continues at its current pace, the supply of new housing is expected to satisfy demand, ensuring favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating growth that exceeds current population forecasts.

Baldivis - South has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 25thth percentile nationally

Local infrastructure projects, planning initiatives, and major developments have a significant impact on local market dynamics. AreaSearch has identified a total of 17 projects expected to affect this locality. Notable projects include Baldivis Parks, Millars Landing, Karnup District Structure Plan, and North East Baldivis District Structure Plan - Precinct 1 and Bulk Earthworks, with the details of the most relevant developments listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Baldivis - South exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

The labor market in Baldivis - South is balanced between white and blue collar jobs, with a solid representation of essential service industries and a low unemployment rate of 3.6%. As of March 2026, 17,178 residents are employed. The unemployment rate is 0.6% below the Greater Perth average of 4.2%, while the participation rate is relatively typical, sitting at 73.5% compared to 70.2% in Greater Perth. Census data indicates that a modest 7.0% of residents worked from home, though this may have been influenced by COVID-19 pandemic restrictions.

The main industries employing local residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area has a particularly high concentration of mining workers, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services are underrepresented, making up 5.0% of the local workforce compared to the regional average of 8.2%. The comparison of Census working population to resident population suggests this predominantly residential locality offers few local jobs.

AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics shows that for the year ending March 2026, the workforce shrank by 0.9% and employment declined by 1.3%, leading to a 0.4 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. Over the same period, Greater Perth recorded employment growth of 2.0% and workforce growth of 2.5%, with a matching 0.4 percentage point rise. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia published in May-25 offer additional context on future demand in Baldivis - South. These five and ten-year forecasts have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though trends vary by sector. Applying these industry projections to the local workforce mix suggests employment in Baldivis - South will grow by 5.9% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, noting this is a basic weighted projection for illustrative purposes that does not incorporate local population forecasts.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to postcode-level ATO data compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023, the median taxpayer income in the Baldivis - South SA2 is $65,820, while the average is $78,271. This is very high nationally, contrasting with a median of $60,748 and an average of $80,248 in Greater Perth. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.93% since financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 are approximately $73,014 for the median and $86,826 for the average. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Baldivis - South fell around the 73rd percentile nationally. Distribution data indicates 37.9% of the population, or 12,240 individuals, earn in the $1,500 - 2,999 range, compared to 32.0% regionally. High housing costs account for 16.4% of income, though solid earnings keep disposable income at the 75th percentile, and the area's SEIFA income score places it in the 5th decile.

Baldivis - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

At the time of the latest Census, the housing mix in Baldivis - South was made up of 96.7% houses and 3.2% other dwellings like semi-detached properties and apartments, compared to 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings across metro Perth. Home ownership in Baldivis - South was lower than the Perth metro rate, sitting at 16.4%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (61.3%) or rented (22.3%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,915 was higher than the Perth metro average of $1,907, and the median weekly rent of $370 was higher than the metro average of $350. Nationally, mortgage payments in Baldivis - South exceed the Australian average of $1,863, while weekly rents are lower than the national median of $375.

Baldivis - South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households make up the majority at 82.5% of all households, consisting of couples with children (45.5%), couples without children (23.6%), and single parent households (12.7%). Non-family households account for the remaining 17.5%, comprising single person households (15.2%) and group households (2.3%). The median household size of 3.0 people is larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Baldivis - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Educational challenges exist in the area, as university qualification rates (16.7%) are notably below the Australian average of 30.4%. This highlights both a difficulty and a clear opening for targeted educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational training is common, with 45.5% of residents aged 15+ holding technical credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (12.4%) and certificates (33.1%).

Enrolment rates are high, with 35.3% of the local population engaged in formal study. This comprises 14.5% in primary schools, 10.2% in high schools, and 3.8% in higher education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport systems in Baldivis - South include 117 active bus stops. These stops are served by 6 routes that provide a total of 1,390 passenger trips each week. Transport access is rated as good, with residents living an average of 240 meters from the nearest stop. Because it is a residential area, the majority of commuters travel outwards, with cars being the primary mode of transport at 83% and trains at 9%. Dwellings have an average of 1.6 vehicles. A low 7.0% of residents work from home, based on the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Services run at an average frequency of 198 daily trips across all routes, which corresponds to roughly 11 weekly trips for each stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops relative to the center of the location.

Baldivis - South's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health indicators show positive outcomes across Baldivis - South, according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic illness rates. Younger cohorts display particularly low rates of common health conditions, and private health insurance coverage is high at roughly 58% of the population, which equates to about 18,732 people.

The most prevalent medical conditions in the locality are mental health concerns and asthma, which affect 8.9% and 8.1% of residents respectively. Conversely, 73.3% of the population reported no health issues, compared to 71.9% across Greater Perth. The population aged under 65 demonstrates stronger health trends than average. Residents aged 65 and over make up 10.3% of the population (3,339 people), which is lower than the Greater Perth average of 16.1%, though this older cohort ranks lower nationally than the rest of the local population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Baldivis - South was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Baldivis - South displays higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 11.0% of residents speaking a non-English language at home and 33.7% born overseas. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 41.7% of the population. The most prominent overrepresentation is in the Other category, which accounts for 1.2% of residents compared to 1.4% across Greater Perth.

Regarding parental country of birth, the three most common ancestries in Baldivis - South are English at 34.2% of the population, which is higher than the regional average of 28.0%, Australian at 24.3%, and Other at 7.7%. Significant differences are also visible in other ethnic groups, with Maori overrepresented at 2.4% of the population compared to 0.9% regionally, South Australian at 1.7% compared to 1.0%, and New Zealand at 1.4% compared to 0.8%.

Baldivis - South hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

With a median age of 33, Baldivis - South is younger than Greater Perth at 37 and Australia at 38. Compared to Greater Perth, the area has a larger proportion of 5 - 14 year-olds (16.6%) but a smaller share of 65 - 74 year-olds (5.8%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age bracket grew from 12.3% to 14.9% of the population. Meanwhile, the 25 to 34 age group shrank from 15.5% to 12.7% and the 5 to 14 group fell from 18.6% to 16.6%. Population projections for 2041 point to significant changes, with the 45 to 54 cohort expected to grow the most at 42%, adding 1,699 residents to reach 5,750, while the 35 to 44 cohort is projected to rise by just 2%, adding 119 people.