Baldivis - South
Statistical Area - sa2

Baldivis - South lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Baldivis - South's population was around 32,683 as of Aug 2025. This reflected an increase of 6,637 people (25.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 26,046 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 30,259 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 1,440 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equated to a density ratio of 1,089 persons per square kilometer, which was relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Baldivis - South's 25.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (8.6%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 35.8% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is utilising the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Looking at population projections moving forward, a significant population increase in the top quartile of national areas is forecast, with the area expected to grow by 10,475 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, reflecting an increase of 24.6% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Baldivis - South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Baldivis - South has seen approximately 209 dwellings receive development approval annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces this data on a financial year basis, showing 1,045 homes approved over the past five years (FY-20 to FY-25), with 109 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 2.3 people move to the area per new home constructed annually between FY-20 and FY-25, indicating solid demand that supports property values. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $361,000, below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers.

This financial year has seen $948,000 in commercial approvals registered, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Perth, Baldivis - South records 57.0% more development activity per person, providing buyers with ample choice and indicating strong developer confidence in the location. New development consists of 97.0% standalone homes and 3.0% attached dwellings, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 63 people per approval, Baldivis - South reflects a developing area. Future projections show Baldivis - South adding 8,051 residents by 2041.

At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Baldivis - South has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 33rdth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects that could impact this region. Notable ones include Millars Landing, Baldivis Parks, Baldivis District Sporting Complex, and Karnup District Structure Plan. The following list details those deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Baldivis - South demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Baldivis - South has a diverse workforce with balanced white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well-represented, with an unemployment rate of 3.4% as of June 2025.

Employment growth in the past year was estimated at 4.8%. The area has 17,198 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.5% below Greater Perth's rate of 3.9%, and workforce participation at 71.2%, compared to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Mining has a particularly high employment share, at 1.3 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services employ only 5.0% of local workers, below Greater Perth's 8.2%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.8%, labour force by 5.8%, resulting in a 0.9 percentage point rise in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Perth had employment growth of 3.7% and labour force growth of 3.8%, with a 0.1 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data to Sep-25 shows WA employment contracted by 0.82%, losing 14,590 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%. National unemployment was 4.5%, with national employment growth at 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Baldivis - South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.9% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, although these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates that Baldivis - South has a median income among taxpayers of $63,140 and an average of $75,189. These figures are high compared to national levels, with Greater Perth's median being $58,380 and average being $78,020. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Baldivis - South as of March 2025 would be approximately $70,471 (median) and $83,918 (average). Census data shows that incomes in Baldivis - South cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 37.9% of locals (12,386 people), falling within the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which is also prevalent in the region with 32.0%. High housing costs consume 16.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 75th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Baldivis - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Baldivis - South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.7% houses and 3.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasted with Perth metro's 90.5% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Baldivis - South stood at 16.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 61.3% and rented ones at 22.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,915, higher than Perth metro's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Baldivis - South was $370, compared to Perth metro's $330. Nationally, Baldivis - South's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Baldivis - South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.5% of all households, including 45.5% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 17.5%, with lone person households at 15.2% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.6 people.

Educational attainment in Baldivis - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area has lower university qualification rates at 16.7% compared to the Australian average of 30.4%. This gap presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 12.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 45.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (12.4%) and certificates (33.1%).

Educational participation is high at 35.3%, including primary education (14.5%), secondary education (10.2%), and tertiary education (3.8%). Nine schools operate in Baldivis - South, educating approximately 7,505 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 1004). It includes five primary, two secondary, and two K-12 schools. School capacity exceeds residential needs at 23.8 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 17.3, indicating that Baldivis - South serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Baldivis - South has 114 active public transport stops operating. These are served by a mix of buses on six different routes. The total weekly passenger trips across these routes is 1,545.

Residential accessibility to transport is rated as good, with residents typically located 242 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 220 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Baldivis - South's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Baldivis-South, particularly among younger cohorts who have a very low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is very high, with approximately 57% of the total population (around 18,661 people) having it. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 8.9 and 8.1% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 73.3%, report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 68.5% across Greater Perth. As of 2021, 10.1% of residents are aged 65 and over (3,297 people), which is lower than the 15.6% in Greater Perth.

Baldivis - South was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Baldivis-South, surveyed in June 2016, showed higher cultural diversity than most local areas. 11.0% spoke a language other than English at home, and 33.7% were born overseas. Christianity was the dominant religion, with 41.7%.

The 'Other' religion category had 1.2%, compared to Greater Perth's 0.7%. Ancestry-wise, top groups were English (34.2%), Australian (24.3%), and Other (7.7%). Notably, Maori (2.4%) and South African (1.7%) groups were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.0% and 1.1%, respectively. New Zealanders also showed a slight overrepresentation at 1.4%.

Baldivis - South hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Baldivis - South's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and lower than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Perth, Baldivis - South has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (17.2%), but fewer residents aged 65-74 (5.6%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is above the national average of 12.2%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.3% to 14.3%, while the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 15.5% to 12.8%. The 5 to 14 age group has also dropped from 18.6% to 17.2%. Demographic modeling indicates that Baldivis - South's age profile will significantly change by 2041. The 45 to 54 cohort is projected to grow the most, increasing by 39% and adding 1,623 residents to reach a total of 5,745. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 5 to 14 and 35 to 44 age groups.