Baldivis - South

Baldivis - South lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Baldivis - South's population is around 32,455 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 6,409 people (24.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 26,046 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 30,259 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 1,493 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,081 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Baldivis - South's 24.6% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%) and the state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 35.8% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including natural growth and overseas migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is utilising the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Anticipating future population dynamics, a significant population increase in the top quartile of statistical areas across the nation is forecast, with the area expected to increase by 10,475 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 25.5% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Baldivis - South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Baldivis - South has experienced around 368 dwellings receiving development approval each year, totalling 1,842 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26297 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 2.3 new residents per year gained for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), reflecting robust demand that underpins property values, new homes are being built at an average value of $274,000. Additionally, $948,000 in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating the area's residential nature.

Relative to Greater Perth, Baldivis - South records somewhat elevated construction (50.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period), balancing buyer choice with support for current property values. This level is well above average nationally, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area. New development consists of 97.0% detached houses and 3.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 63 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

Looking ahead, Baldivis - South is expected to grow by 8,279 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Baldivis - South has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 24thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 16 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Baldivis Parks, Millars Landing, Karnup District Structure Plan, and North East Baldivis District Structure Plan - Precinct 1 (MRS Amendment 1427/57), with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Baldivis - South shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Baldivis - South possesses a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of only 3.4%, and 0.6% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 17,279 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.7% below Greater Perth's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (77.6% compared to Greater Perth's 71.9%). Based on Census responses, a low 7.0% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area has a particular employment specialization in mining, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. Meanwhile, professional & technical services have a limited presence with 5.0% employment compared to 8.2% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 0.6% while the labour force increased by 1.0%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. This compares to Greater Perth, where employment grew by 2.3%, the labour force expanded by 2.6%, and unemployment rose 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Baldivis - South. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Baldivis - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.7% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Baldivis - South SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $65,820 and an average of $78,271 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is well above average nationally, contrasting with Greater Perth's median income of $60,748 and average income of $80,248. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $72,152 (median) and $85,801 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Baldivis - South cluster around the 73rd percentile nationally. The data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 37.9% of residents (12,300 people), aligning with the region where this cohort likewise represents 32.0%. High housing costs consume 16.4% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 75th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Baldivis - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Baldivis - South, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 96.7% houses and 3.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Perth metro's 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Baldivis - South was lagging that of Perth metro, at 16.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (61.3%) or rented (22.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Perth metro average at $1,915, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $370, compared to Perth metro's $1,907 and $350. Nationally, Baldivis - South's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are less than the national figure of $375.

Baldivis - South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 82.5% of all households, comprising 45.5% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 17.5%, with lone person households at 15.2% and group households comprising 2.3% of the total. The median household size of 3.0 people is larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Baldivis - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (16.7%) substantially below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 12.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 45.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (12.4%) and certificates (33.1%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 35.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.5% in primary education, 10.2% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 117 active transport stops operating within Baldivis - South, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 6 individual routes, collectively providing 1,390 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 240 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 83%, with 9% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling. A relatively low 7.0% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 198 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Baldivis - South's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Baldivis - South, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Younger cohorts in particular see very low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 58% of the total population (~18,823 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 8.9% and 8.1% of residents, respectively, while 73.3% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 71.9% across Greater Perth. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 10.8% of residents aged 65 and over (3,488 people), which is lower than the 16.3% in Greater Perth, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Baldivis - South was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Baldivis - South was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 11.0% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 33.7% born overseas. The main religion in Baldivis - South is Christianity, which makes up 41.7% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Other, which comprises 1.2% of the population, compared to 1.4% across Greater Perth.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Baldivis - South are English, comprising 34.2% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 28.0%, Australian, comprising 24.3% of the population, and Other, comprising 7.7% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Maori is notably overrepresented at 2.4% of Baldivis - South (vs 0.9% regionally), South Australian at 1.7% (vs 1.0%) and New Zealand at 1.4% (vs 0.8%).

Baldivis - South hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

With a median age of 33, Baldivis - South is materially younger than the Greater Perth figure of 37 and is substantially under Australia's 38 years. Relative to Greater Perth, Baldivis - South has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 residents (16.8%) but fewer 65 - 74 year-olds (6.0%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 12.3% to 14.7% of the population, while the 55 to 64 cohort increased from 7.9% to 9.1%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 15.5% to 12.2% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 18.6% to 16.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Baldivis - South. The 45 to 54 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 40%, adding 1,642 residents to reach 5,745. Meanwhile, the 35 to 44 cohort grows by a modest 1% (41 people).