Baldivis - South

Baldivis - South lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Baldivis - South's population was approximately 32,689 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 6,643 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 26,046. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates; the population reached 30,259 by June 2024 and has since increased due to validated new addresses. This results in a density ratio of 1,089 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Baldivis - South's growth rate of 25.5% since the 2021 Census exceeds both national (8.9%) and state averages, positioning it as a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 35.8% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Based on projected demographic shifts and latest annual ERP population numbers, Baldivis - South is forecast to grow by 10,475 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 24.6% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Baldivis - South was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Baldivis - South averaged around 368 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 1,842 homes. As of FY-26 so far, 201 approvals have been recorded. Each year, an average of 2.3 new residents per dwelling has been observed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating healthy demand for housing in the area. The average expected construction cost value of new homes being built is $274,000.

In this financial year, there have also been $948,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Perth, Baldivis - South has had 50.0% more development per person over the past five years, maintaining good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. This level is significantly above the national average, indicating robust developer interest in the area. New development consists of 97.0% detached houses and 3.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

The location has approximately 63 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, Baldivis - South is forecasted to gain 8,045 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Baldivis - South has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 26thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 16 projects likely affecting the area. Notable ones include Baldivis Parks, Millars Landing, Karnup District Structure Plan, and North East Baldivis District Structure Plan - Precinct 1 (MRS Amendment 1427/57). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Baldivis - South demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Baldivis - South has a balanced workforce with representation from white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well-represented.

The unemployment rate was 3.4% as of September 2025, which is 0.6% lower than Greater Perth's rate of 4.0%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.3%. There were 17,556 residents in work with a workforce participation rate of 71.2%, compared to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

The area shows strong specialization in mining, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. Professional & technical services have a limited presence, with 5.0% employment compared to the regional average of 8.2%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. In the year to September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.3%, and labour force increased by 5.0%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.6 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows WA employment contracted by 0.27% (losing 5,520 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.6%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that while national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Baldivis - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.7% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2022 shows median income in Baldivis - South SA2 was $63,140 and average income was $75,189. This compares to Greater Perth's median income of $58,380 and average income of $78,020. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% from July 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income in Baldivis - South is approximately $72,106 and average income is around $85,866. Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Baldivis - South are at the 73rd percentile nationally. Income distribution shows 37.9% of residents earn between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly. High housing costs consume 16.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 75th percentile, with the area's SEIFA income ranking in the 5th decile.

Baldivis - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Baldivis - South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.7% houses and 3.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Perth metro's 90.5% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Baldivis - South was at 16.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 61.3% and rented ones at 22.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,915, higher than Perth metro's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Baldivis - South was $370, compared to Perth metro's $330. Nationally, Baldivis - South's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,915 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $370 than the national figure of $375.

Baldivis - South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.5% of all households, including 45.5% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 17.5%, with lone person households at 15.2% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Baldivis - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 16.7%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 12.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 45.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 12.4% and certificates at 33.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 35.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.5% in primary education, 10.2% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Baldivis - South has 114 active public transport stops. These are served by buses operating along six routes, offering a total of 1,545 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 242 meters.

Services run approximately 220 times daily across all routes, translating to about 13 weekly trips per stop.

Baldivis - South's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance throughout Baldivis - South, with younger cohorts particularly showing very low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is found to be very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~18,665 people). Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 8.9 and 8.1% of residents respectively. A total of 73.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 68.5% across Greater Perth. As of 2021, 10.1% of residents are aged 65 and over (3,298 people), which is lower than the 15.6% figure in Greater Perth.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Baldivis - South was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Baldivis-South, as per data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2016, exhibited higher cultural diversity compared to most local areas. 11.0% of its residents spoke a language other than English at home, and 33.7% were born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Baldivis-South, with 41.7% adherents.

Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprised 1.2%, slightly higher than Greater Perth's 0.7%. In terms of ancestry, English (34.2%), Australian (24.3%), and Other (7.7%) were the most represented groups. Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Maori at 2.4% (vs regional 2.0%), South African at 1.7% (vs 1.1%), and New Zealand at 1.4% (vs 1.2%).

Baldivis - South hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Baldivis - South's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Perth, Baldivis - South has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (17.2%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (5.6%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.2%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the proportion of residents aged 15 to 24 has increased from 12.3% to 14.3%, while those aged 25 to 34 have decreased from 15.5% to 12.8%. The proportion of residents aged 5 to 14 has also dropped from 18.6% to 17.2%. Demographic modeling indicates that Baldivis - South's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 45 to 54 cohort, which is expected to grow by 39%, adding 1,622 residents to reach a total of 5,745. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 5 to 14 and 35 to 44 age cohorts.