Warnbro

Warnbro is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the Warnbro statistical area (Lv2) has an estimated population of around 11,711. This is an increase of 883 people from the 2021 Census figure of 10,828, representing an 8.2% growth rate. The latest resident population estimate by AreaSearch was derived from examining the June 2024 ABS ERP data release and validating one new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 841 persons per square kilometer. Warnbro's population growth since the census is within 1.5 percentage points of the national average (9.7%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed about 56% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and for estimating growth post-2032, AreaSearch employs growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Future demographic trends suggest an above median population growth. By 2041, the Warnbro (SA2) is projected to grow by approximately 1,875 persons, reflecting a total gain of about 16% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Warnbro recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Warnbro has experienced around 13 dwellings receiving development approval per year over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 69 homes. So far in FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. This averages out to approximately 9.5 new residents per year for every home built between FY-21 and FY-25. The demand for housing significantly outpaces supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers.

New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost of $202,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. There have also been $133,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. When measured against Greater Perth, Warnbro has significantly less development activity, being 86.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This activity is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

Further, new construction has been completely comprised of standalone homes, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated count of 774 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Looking ahead, Warnbro is expected to grow by 1,874 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Warnbro has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

Eleven projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include DHA Defence Housing Program - Rockingham, Schools Upgrade Fund - Rockingham and Kwinana Schools, Waikiki/Warnbro Outdoor Recreation Space, and Koorana Reserve Sports Complex Upgrade. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Warnbro faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Warnbro's workforce is balanced across white and blue collar jobs, with prominent manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 10.1% in the past year, showing an estimated employment growth of 2.5%.

As of September 2025, 5695 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 6.2%, higher than Greater Perth's 4.0%. Workforce participation is lower at 59.7% compared to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Manufacturing stands out with a share 1.5 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services are under-represented, at 4.0% compared to Greater Perth's 8.2%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 2.5%, while labour force grew by 4.3%, raising the unemployment rate by 1.6 percentage points. In Greater Perth, employment grew by 2.9% with a marginal rise in unemployment. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows WA employment contracted by 0.27%, with an unemployment rate of 4.6%. National forecasts from May-25 project total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warnbro's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 5.7% in five years and 12.3% in ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Warnbro's median income among taxpayers was $52,527 in financial year 2023. The suburb's average income stood at $65,701 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Perth had a median income of $60,748 and an average income of $80,248. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62%, Warnbro's estimated median income is approximately $57,580 as of September 2025, with the average income projected to be around $72,021 during the same period. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Warnbro ranked modestly, between the 25th and 36th percentiles. In terms of income distribution, the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominated with 33.6% of residents (3,934 people), similar to the broader area where 32.0% occupied this bracket. Housing affordability pressures were severe in Warnbro, with only 83.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 36th percentile.

Warnbro is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Warnbro, as evaluated at the latest Census conducted on 28 August 2016, comprised 95.1% houses and 4.9% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Perth metropolitan area's 90.5% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warnbro was at 26.5%, similar to Perth metro's figure, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (46.6%) or rented (26.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,517, lower than Perth metro's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $320, compared to Perth metro's $330. Nationally, Warnbro's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, as reported on 25 June 2021. Similarly, rents in Warnbro were substantially below the national figure of $375, also reported on 25 June 2021.

Warnbro has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 74.0% of all households, including 29.8% couples with children, 26.4% couples without children, and 16.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.0%, with lone person households at 23.1% and group households comprising 2.8% of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, which matches the Greater Perth average.

Warnbro faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has university qualification rates of 11.9%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 8.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 9.6% and certificates at 34.6%. Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.0% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warnbro has 67 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 17 different routes, carrying out 4015 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically situated around 200 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 573 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 59 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Warnbro is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Warnbro faces significant health challenges, as indicated by health data. The prevalence of common health conditions is notable across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover stands at approximately 53% of the total population (~6,239 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Perth's 56.6%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions in Warnbro, affecting 11.1% and 9.2% of residents respectively. Conversely, 63.1% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 68.5% across Greater Perth. Warnbro has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.1% (2,002 people), compared to Greater Perth's 15.6%. Health outcomes among seniors in Warnbro are broadly aligned with those of the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Warnbro records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warnbro's population showed above-average cultural diversity, with 6.6% speaking a language other than English at home and 28.6% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Warnbro, comprising 40.2%. Notably, Judaism had an overrepresentation of 0.1%, compared to none across Greater Perth.

The top three ancestry groups were English (35.2%), Australian (26.1%), and Scottish (7.8%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Welsh was similarly represented at 0.9% in Warnbro and regionally, Maori was also the same at 2.0%, while South African representation was slightly lower at 1.0%.

Warnbro's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Warnbro is 38 years, close to Greater Perth's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Perth, Warnbro has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (13.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.0%). From the 2021 Census to present, the population aged 65-74 has grown from 8.5% to 9.8%, while the 45-54 age group has declined from 13.2% to 12.1%. By 2041, Warnbro's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 81%, reaching 1,169 people from 644. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 62% of the population growth. Conversely, declines are projected for the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups.