Warnbro

Warnbro is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Warnbro is around 11,711, reflecting an increase of 883 people since the 2021 Census. The 2021 Census reported a population of 10,828 in the suburb. This growth represents an 8.2% increase over this period. The estimated resident population of 11,711 is based on AreaSearch's examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and validation of one new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 841 persons per square kilometer, which is comparable to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warnbro's growth rate of 8.2% since the census positions it within 1.7 percentage points of the national average (9.9%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals.

Overseas migration contributed approximately 56.00000000000001% of overall population gains in recent periods for the suburb. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 1,875 persons to reach a total population of 13,586 by 2041. This reflects a projected gain of 16.0% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Warnbro recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Warnbro has received approximately 13 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling around 69 homes. In FY-26 so far, 10 approvals have been recorded. This results in an average of 9.5 new residents per year for every home built between FY-21 and FY-25. The demand for housing significantly outpaces supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers.

The average construction cost of new dwellings is $202,000, reflecting more affordable housing options in the area. There have been $133,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Perth, Warnbro has significantly less development activity, with 86.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. The area's development activity is also below national averages, reflecting its maturity and possible planning constraints.

All new constructions have been standalone homes, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. There are estimated to be 774 people in the area per dwelling approval. Looking ahead, Warnbro is expected to grow by 1,874 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Warnbro has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

Eleven projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance. Key projects include DHA Defence Housing Program - Rockingham, Schools Upgrade Fund - Rockingham and Kwinana Schools, Waikiki/Warnbro Outdoor Recreation Space, and Koorana Reserve Sports Complex Upgrade. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Warnbro faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Warnbro has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 10.1%.

Employment growth over the past year is estimated at 2.5%. As of September 2025, there are 5,694 residents in work. The unemployment rate is 6.2%, higher than Greater Perth's 4.0%. Workforce participation is lower at 66.6% compared to Greater Perth's 71.6%.

Only 6.0% of residents work from home. Dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly strong with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. Professional & technical services are under-represented at 4.0%, compared to Greater Perth's 8.2%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 2.5% while labour force grew by 4.3%, raising unemployment by 1.6 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Warnbro's employment could increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.3% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Warnbro's median income among taxpayers was $52,527 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $65,701 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Perth had a median income of $60,748 and an average income of $80,248. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $57,580 (median) and $72,021 (average), based on a 9.62% increase since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Warnbro ranked between the 25th and 36th percentiles. In terms of income distribution, 33.6% of residents (3,934 people) fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, similar to the broader area where 32.0% occupied this bracket. Housing affordability pressures were severe in Warnbro, with only 83.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 36th percentile.

Warnbro is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Warnbro's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.1% houses and 4.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Perth metro's 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warnbro was at 26.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.6% and rented ones at 26.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,517, lower than Perth metro's $1,907. Weekly rent median was $320, compared to Perth metro's $350. Nationally, Warnbro's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,863 and rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

Warnbro has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 74.0% of all households, including 29.8% couples with children, 26.4% couples without children, and 16.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 26.0%, with lone person households at 23.1% and group households making up 2.8%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the Greater Perth average.

Warnbro faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.9%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 8.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (34.6%). Educational participation is high, with 28.6% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.0% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 3.1% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warnbro has 67 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 17 routes, collectively facilitating 4,015 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 200 meters from the nearest stop. As primarily residential, most residents commute outward using cars (82%), while trains account for 9%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, only 6% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 573 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 59 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Warnbro is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Warnbro faces significant health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notably high across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is higher than average at approximately 53% of the total population (~6,239 people), compared to Greater Perth's 59.0%. Mental health issues affect 11.1% of residents, while arthritis impacts 9.2%. Conversely, 63.1% report no medical ailments, lower than Greater Perth's 71.9%. The working-age population has elevated chronic condition rates. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 17.9%, higher than Greater Perth's 16.3%. Health outcomes among seniors are challenging, with national rankings generally in line with the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Warnbro records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warnbro's population showed above-average cultural diversity, with 6.6% speaking a language other than English at home and 28.6% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 40.2%. Judaism, though small at 0.1%, was higher than Greater Perth's average of 0.3%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (35.2%), Australian (26.1%), and Scottish (7.8%). Notably, Welsh (0.9%) and Maori (2.0%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.7% and 0.9%, respectively.

Warnbro's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Warnbro is close to Greater Perth's average at 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Perth, Warnbro has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (13.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.6%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 65-74 increased from 8.5% to 10.3%, while those aged 15-24 rose from 12.5% to 13.6%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 declined from 13.2% to 12.0%. By 2041, Warnbro's age composition is expected to shift significantly. The 75-84 age group will grow by 75%, reaching 1,168 people from 667. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 59% of projected growth. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 35-44 and 5-14 age cohorts.