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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Karnup has an estimated 2,756 residents, up from 2,096 at the 2021 Census — a change of 660 people, or 31.5%. Growth has averaged 5.4% a year over five years, faster than 95% of areas nationally. 213 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 64.3% of that increase. Density is about 51 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to evaluation by AreaSearch, the resident count in Karnup stands at approximately 2,756 as of Aug 2026. This represents an expansion of 660 people (31.5%) compared to the 2021 Census, when 2,096 people were recorded. This net movement is derived from the ABS estimated resident population count of 2,744 as of June 2025 alongside 213 validated new addresses identified following the Census. Such headcounts translate to a population density of 50 persons per square kilometer, ensuring a spacious living environment. Outpacing both the state and the national average (9.5%), Karnup's 31.5% post-2021 Census expansion establishes it among the top growth localities across the broader region.
The upward trajectory was primarily fueled by interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 64.3% of total resident additions across recent timeframes, supplemented by positive inflows from natural growth and overseas arrivals. Projections published by ABS/Geoscience Australia in 2024 (anchored to 2022 baseline figures) are applied by AreaSearch across SA2 locations. In instances where SA2 boundaries lack this coverage, as well as for tracking post-2032 demographic patterns across all localities, age cohort growth rates from the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (published in 2023 utilizing 2022 data) are incorporated. Factoring in anticipated demographic changes, the statistical area is slated to outperform the national median growth rate, expanding by 605 persons to 2041 relative to the newest annual ERP figures, which equals an overall rise of 21.5% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
295 new dwellings have been approved in Karnup over the past five years, an average of 59 a year. That places the area in the 86th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 21 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 59 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 95% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential building approvals in Karnup have maintained an annual pace of roughly 59 dwellings, totaling 295 homes over the last 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26). Over this same 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26) period, an average of 2.2 people per year have migrated to the locality for each dwelling constructed, highlighting resilient demand that underpins residential values where newly built properties show an average construction cost of $350,000, aligning with regional benchmarks. Meanwhile, registered commercial building permits this financial year stand at $157,000, pointing to subdued non-residential development.
On a per-capita basis, Karnup exceeds Greater Perth by 161.0% in local building activity, broadening options for prospective purchasers. This construction rate sits markedly above national benchmarks, underscoring substantial developer appetite for the district. Approved residential builds consist of 95.0% detached houses and 5.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving a low-density residential footprint geared toward family living and open space. Yielding an average ratio of around 45 people per dwelling approval, the suburb displays clear markers of an active growth corridor. Moving forward, projections from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly estimate indicate Karnup will add 593 residents to 2041. Under existing building rates, incoming residential supply appears well placed to satisfy demographic demand, fostering advantageous conditions for buyers while opening the door for expansion beyond projected figures.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Karnup
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 7 current infrastructure and development projects inside Karnup, worth an estimated $3.18 billion. A further 122 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $33 billion. 39 are already under construction and 56 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans communities, precincts & urban renewal, residential development and retail. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local capital works, major development initiatives, and planning programs play a transformative role in shaping an area's trajectory. AreaSearch has identified 24 projects positioned to influence the district, including key ventures such as Lakelands Estate, The Gardens Estate - Lakelands, Lakelands Town Centre, and Lakelands Residential Development Stage 3, with the following overview highlighting those of primary relevance.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Lakelands Estate
A 2,700-lot award-winning masterplanned community by Peet Limited located 10 minutes north of Mandurah and 50 minutes south of Perth CBD. Designed around two natural lakes (Black Swan and Paganoni Lakes), the estate integrates three public schools, one private college, a dynamic town centre with Lakelands Shopping Centre (Coles, Kmart, Aldi), childcare, library, tavern, medical services and the Lakelands Train Station opened in June 2023. The estate won the Property Council WA Award for Best Master Planned Community in 2024.Lots are currently sold out with final stages nearing completion.
The Gardens Estate - Lakelands
Residential estate development in Lakelands featuring family homes with modern design, parks, and community facilities in a master-planned community setting.
Vista Private Estate
107 ha masterplanned coastal community by Golden Group delivering 1,235 homesites together with parks, open space, walking and cycling connections, future retail and education opportunities. The estate remains under construction with staged land releases and civil works continuing.
Karnup Station Precinct
A 484-hectare masterplanned community in Karnup linked to the proposed future METRONET Karnup Station and the City of Rockingham district structure planning area. Mirvac has been selected as DevelopmentWA's preferred partner for the first 155-hectare precinct, which is expected to deliver about 1,500 homes, a primary school and a local commercial centre. The broader project is planned to deliver more than 4,000 homes for about 10,400 residents over roughly 20 years, with schools, district and local retail centres, parklands, road upgrades and a mix of social, affordable and market housing.As of the latest official updates, Mirvac and DevelopmentWA are in an exclusive working period to progress planning, approvals and commercial arrangements, with construction expected in coming years.
METRONET Karnup Station & Transit-Oriented Precinct
Planning and business case development for a new METRONET train station and a 35-hectare transit-oriented precinct in Karnup along the Mandurah Line. The precinct will integrate high-frequency public transport with medium-density residential housing, community facilities, and public open space.
Karnup District Structure Plan
A long-term strategic district framework guiding urban expansion across Karnup. The plan coordinates infrastructure, public transport, local retail hubs, primary and secondary schools, and over 4,000 future residential dwellings.
Golden Bay Estate Development
Golden Bay is an award-winning coastal masterplanned community developed by Peet and DevelopmentWA, featuring approximately 2200 dwellings across 155 hectares. The project includes the Golden Bay Primary School, childcare centers, and extensive recreational facilities like Shipwreck Cove and Golden Bay Ladder. As of mid-2026, the development continues with the release of the Homestead series featuring lots over 1900sqm and ongoing works to support housing diversity near the upcoming Karnup station.
Lots 877 & 878 Stakehill Road Structure Plan
An approved master-planned structure plan spanning 48.71 hectares along Stakehill Road in Karnup. The development delivers 420 residential dwellings alongside local commercial land, public open space, and dedicated Bush Forever environmental conservation areas.
1,393 residents of Karnup are employed, from a labour force of 1,468. Unemployment sits at 5.1%, with participation at 71.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 2,297, about 83% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Karnup maintains an evenly distributed employment base spanning both professional and industrial sectors, highlighted by prominent participation in construction and a local jobless rate of 5.1%. Records for March 2026 show 1,393 employed residents, alongside an unemployment rate tracking 0.9% higher than the 4.2% figure for Greater Perth, while local labor force participation broadly matches the wider metropolitan benchmark of 69.9%. Census metrics indicate that a modest 10.0% of local workers operated from home, though prevailing Covid-19 restrictions at the time should be kept in mind. The primary employment fields across the resident base comprise construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.
Construction shows notable local concentration, capturing a workforce proportion 1.4 times greater than the broader regional standard. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for only 3.0% of employed locals, trailing the 8.2% mark across Greater Perth. Comparing the tally of locally based jobs against the total resident workforce indicates relatively restricted employment opportunities within the immediate area. AreaSearch assessment of ABS and SALM figures indicates that in the year to March 2026, the local workforce contracted by 0.9% and overall employment fell by 2.9%, pushing the unemployment rate up by 1.9 percentage points. Over the equivalent timeframe, Greater Perth saw employment rise by 2.0%, labor participation increase by 2.5%, and unemployment climb by 0.4 percentage points. Forward-looking guidance on local workforce requirements can be drawn from national forecasts released by Jobs and Skills Australia in Mar-26. These five- and ten-year models have been cross-referenced with Karnup's industry breakdown to outline future patterns. Across the nation, employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with distinct variations across different sectors. Applying these industry weightings to Karnup's local workforce indicates projected employment growth of 5.6% over five years and 12.2% over ten years (note that this represents a baseline weighting calculation for illustrative use, excluding localized population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Karnup is $2,122 a week (about $110,000 a year), with median personal income at $895 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $63,451 a year against an average of $80,581. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Data from the ATO aggregated at postcode level by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicates a median taxpayer income of $63,451 and a mean of $80,581 across the Karnup SA2. These figures rank among the highest across the nation, exceeding the Greater Perth median of $60,748 and average of $80,248. Factoring in a 10.93% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, updated earnings are estimated at approximately $70,386 (median) and $89,389 (average) as of March 2026. Across household, family, and individual income tiers, Census metrics position Karnup around the 69th percentile nationally.
From an earnings distribution perspective, the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is the most prevalent, encompassing 46.4% of residents (1,278 people), mirroring the 32.0% share seen across the broader metropolitan area. Although accommodation costs absorb 16.0% of earnings, elevated income levels sustain disposable funds at the 73rd percentile, while the SEIFA income index places the area within the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Karnup had 665 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 100% detached houses and 0% apartments. 62% are owned with a mortgage, 20% rented and 18% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $370 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,857 a month, a total housing cost higher than 79% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 17.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records indicate that residential structures across Karnup consisted of 100.0% houses and no other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with the wider Perth metro breakdown of 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Outright property ownership in Karnup stood at 17.9%, trailing the wider metropolitan standard, while mortgaged residences accounted for 62.1% and rental housing made up 20.0%. Typical monthly mortgage costs locally were $1,857, below the Perth metro median of $1,907, whereas weekly rents centered at $370 compared to $350 regionally. Relative to countrywide metrics, Karnup's mortgage repayments sit under the Australian benchmark of $1,863, and typical rent levels remain below the national mark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Karnup counted 665 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 874 today, averaging 3.0 people each. 47% are couples with children, more than in 91% of areas nationally, against 26% couples without children. 13% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute the vast majority of local living arrangements at 85.6%, featuring 46.8% couples with children, 26.3% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family living situations account for the remaining 14.4%, comprising single-person households at 13.1% and shared arrangements at 1.1%. The typical household size stands at 3.0 people, exceeding the Greater Perth average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
13.2% of adults in Karnup hold a university qualification, including 8.7% with a bachelor degree and 2.5% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 36.6% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment profiles reveal that 13.2% of residents hold higher education qualifications, sitting considerably below the countrywide average of 30.4%, which underscores key avenues for future educational programs. Among degree holders, bachelor degrees comprise 8.7%, postgraduate awards represent 2.5%, and graduate diplomas make up 2.0%. Technical and vocational training is strongly represented, with 49.2% of individuals aged 15+ possessing vocational credentials, divided between advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (36.6%). Active participation across study programs is substantial, with 32.0% of local inhabitants enrolled in structured learning. This cohort consists of 13.2% attending primary school, 9.2% in secondary education, and 2.9% engaged in tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Karnup means driving: households keep an average of 1.9 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure within Karnup includes 1 active transport stops featuring bus connections. These facilities are served by 1 individual routes, providing 412 weekly passenger trips. Transit access is comparatively constrained, with inhabitants typically situated 1211 meters from their closest boarding point. Given the predominantly residential setting, outward commuting is standard, with private vehicles serving 86% of travel needs and train transit utilized by 6%. Household motor vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, above the regional average. In addition, 10.0% of workers engaged in remote work (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).
Across all transit lines, scheduled service frequency averages 58 trips per day, translating to roughly 412 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
74.8% of residents in Karnup report no long-term health condition. 3.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 59.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of mortality patterns and chronic illness indicators highlight favorable health outcomes across Karnup, where both younger and older cohorts exhibit low incidence rates of standard health conditions, alongside an exceptionally high private health insurance coverage rate encompassing approximately 60% of residents (1,639 people). Mental health conditions and asthma represent the most commonly reported health concerns locally, registered by 7.8 and 7.2% of the population, respectively, while 74.8% of individuals reported no chronic medical issues, exceeding the Greater Perth proportion of 71.9%. Better-than-average wellness outcomes are evident throughout the under-65 demographic.
Inhabitants aged 65 and over comprise 8.8% of the community (243 people), sitting below the 15.9% share found in Greater Perth. Senior residents demonstrate positive health profiles, with national rankings aligning closely with broader population standards.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
27.4% of Karnup residents were born overseas and 6.1% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (34.4%) and Australian (28.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural metrics in Karnup align closely with broader regional figures, with Australian citizens making up 83.5% of residents, 72.6% born in Australia, and 93.9% speaking only English at home. Christianity represents the primary religious affiliation, accounting for 36.3% of the community. The most distinct variance appears in the Other category, which represents 0.8% locally compared to 1.4% across Greater Perth. Looking at ancestral heritage (parental birthplace), the leading origins in Karnup are English at 34.4% (markedly higher than the 28.0% regional level), Australian at 28.3% (surpassing the 21.2% metropolitan benchmark), and Scottish at 6.2%.
Several other cultural groups show notable proportional differences compared to the wider region, including Maori at 2.3% (against 0.9% regionally), South Australian at 1.9% (against 1.0%), and New Zealand at 1.5% (against 0.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Karnup is 29, younger than 97% of areas nationally. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 33.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic structure of Karnup is younger overall than Greater Perth. Based on figures updated to August 2026, 39.2% of the local population is aged 0 - 24, compared to 30.5% throughout Greater Perth, whereas senior cohorts aged 65+ make up 8.8% locally versus 15.9% across the metropolitan area. As at August 2026, AreaSearch estimates the median age at 29, down from 30 at the 2021 Census, sitting 8 years below the Greater Perth median of 37 and below the national median of 38 recorded at that same Census. Across broader demographic brackets, the most pronounced shift since the Census occurred within the 45 - 64 age group, declining from 20.0% to an estimated 17.2%.
The greatest numeric expansion to 2041 is anticipated within the 65+ age category, projected to rise by 185 residents (76%) to reach 428.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Karnup
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 last month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 last month all 7 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 213 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (2,096 at the 2021 Census → 2,756 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (507051314). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.