Halls Head - Erskine

Population growth drivers in Halls Head - Erskine are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Halls Head - Erskine stands at approximately 22,743 as of May 2026. This represents a gain of 2,838 individuals (14.3%) from the 19,905 residents recorded in the 2021 Census. This growth is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 22,657 from June 2025 alongside 76 validated new addresses registered after the Census. The population density reaches 1,596 persons per square kilometer, which exceeds the typical figure for national locations analysed by AreaSearch. The area's 14.3% expansion rate since the 2021 census outpaced the national benchmark of 9.3%, positioning it as a leading growth zone in the region. The primary driver of this population increase was overseas migration, which accounted for roughly 58.2% of the total population gains in recent times.

Projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024, using 2022 as the baseline, are adopted by AreaSearch for each SA2 region. For locations lacking this data, and to project trends beyond 2032, AreaSearch applies age cohort growth rates from the latest ABS Greater Capital Region projections published in 2023 and based on 2022 data. Based on these anticipated demographic transitions, population growth is projected to exceed the median of areas analysed by AreaSearch, with the locality expected to add 3,585 residents by 2041 relative to the most recent annual ERP statistics, translating to a total increase of 15.4% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Halls Head - Erskine among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Residential development in Halls Head - Erskine has progressed at an average rate of 104 new dwelling approvals annually, resulting in 524 homes over the last 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 52 approvals have been documented so far. With an average of 4.6 new residents added per year for each home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, demand remains well ahead of supply, which commonly elevates prices and intensifies buyer competition, while new builds carry an average estimated construction cost of $303,000. Furthermore, commercial approvals worth $4.7 million have been logged this financial year, highlighting that the area remains predominantly residential.

Building activity in Halls Head - Erskine is notably quiet compared to Greater Perth, tracking at 58.0% below the regional average per capita. This limited addition of new stock generally bolsters demand and values for existing homes. The mix of new construction consists of 79.0% detached houses and 21.0% attached dwellings, maintaining a suburban profile dominated by family homes for those desiring extra space. Averaging roughly 369 people for each dwelling approval, Halls Head - Erskine represents a mature market.

Long-term forecasts indicate that Halls Head - Erskine will gain 3,499 residents by 2041, based on the most recent quarterly estimates from AreaSearch. Construction activity is keeping a moderate pace with this anticipated population growth, though home buyers may experience heightened competition as the local population increases.

Halls Head - Erskine has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 10thth percentile nationally

Local infrastructure projects, major developments, and planning schemes are key drivers of regional performance. AreaSearch has identified 20 projects with the potential to influence the local area. Significant initiatives include Seaside Estate, Madora Bay - Stage 11 & 12, Waardong Court Multiple Dwellings, Southern Beaches Coastal Hazard Risk Management and Adaptation Plan (CHRMAP), and Nerimba Estate Halls Head, with details of the most relevant developments provided below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Halls Head - Erskine positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

The local workforce is evenly balanced between white-collar and blue-collar roles, with a notable presence of industrial and manufacturing sectors, an unemployment rate of only 2.2%, and an estimated job growth rate of 8.6% over the preceding year. As of March 2026, employed residents count 10,401, with the local unemployment rate sitting 2.0% lower than the Greater Perth level of 4.2%. However, the participation rate of 54.8% is significantly lower than the 70.2% recorded in Greater Perth. Census data indicated that a minimal 8.1% of the workforce worked from home, though these figures may reflect the influence of Covid-19 restrictions.

Local residents are predominantly employed in health care & social assistance, mining, and retail trade. The region exhibits a strong concentration of workers in mining, with its share of employment reaching 1.7 times the regional benchmark. Conversely, the professional & technical sector accounts for only 4.1% of the local workforce, compared to 8.2% across Greater Perth. The discrepancy between the local working population and the resident population suggests that this heavily residential area offers few local jobs.

An analysis of SALM and ABS statistics by AreaSearch indicates that in the year ending March 2026, employment grew by 8.6% and the labor force expanded by 9.1%, leading to a 0.5 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. This differed from Greater Perth, which saw employment rise by 2.0%, the labor force increase by 2.5%, and the unemployment rate grow by 0.4 percentage points. The national employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia issued in May-25 offer additional context on future demand trends in Halls Head - Erskine. These projections, spanning five and ten years, have been aligned with the local employment structure to project growth. Nationally, employment is expected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though industry sector growth rates vary. Applying these sector-specific forecasts to the local industry mix suggests employment in Halls Head - Erskine could grow by 5.8% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, noting that this is a simple weighted projection based on industry composition rather than local population forecasts.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Data from the ATO aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 places the income level of the Halls Head - Erskine SA2 among the highest in the country. Taxpayers in this SA2 recorded a median income of $58,256 and an average income of $80,070, compared to the Greater Perth figures of $60,748 and $80,248. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.93% since financial year 2023, estimated figures for March 2026 stand at roughly $64,623 for the median and $88,822 for the average. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes in the area fell between the 21st and 26th percentiles nationwide. The largest income bracket contains 26.0% of residents (5,913 people) earning between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, mirroring the metropolitan trend of 32.0% in this range. Financial pressure from housing is high, leaving only 83.7% of income after housing costs, which ranks in the 26th percentile, while the SEIFA income score positions the area in the 4th decile.

Halls Head - Erskine is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

According to the latest Census, residential structures in Halls Head - Erskine consisted of 86.3% separate houses and 13.7% alternative dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types, compared to 77.8% separate houses and 22.1% alternative dwellings across metropolitan Perth. Home ownership was higher than the Perth metropolitan average at 41.2%, with mortgaged properties making up 37.9% and rental homes accounting for 20.8%. The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,733 was below the Perth metropolitan average of $1,907, while the median weekly rent of $350 matched the metropolitan figure of $350. By comparison, national averages show Halls Head - Erskine has lower mortgage payments than the Australian figure of $1,863, and rents are below the national median of $375.

Halls Head - Erskine has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Families make up the majority of households at 72.4%, consisting of couples with children at 25.5%, couples without children at 35.6%, and single parents at 10.6%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 27.6%, with single-person households representing 25.8% and group housing making up 1.9%. The median household size of 2.4 residents is slightly below the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Halls Head - Erskine fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

Educational attainment presents a notable challenge in the area, with university graduation rates of 16.3% tracking well below the national level of 30.4%. This highlights a clear opportunity for focused educational programs. Among university graduates, bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.7%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 2.6% and graduate diplomas at 2.0%. Vocational qualifications are prominent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15 and over holding trade or technical credentials, including advanced diplomas at 11.9% and certificates at 30.0%.

A substantial portion of the population is engaged in study, with 25.5% of residents enrolled in formal education. Primary school pupils make up 8.9% of the population, secondary students account for 8.2%, and tertiary students represent 3.3%.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport services in Halls Head - Erskine include 107 active stops featuring bus transport. These stops are served by 5 distinct routes, which coordinate to provide 813 weekly passenger journeys. Accessibility is favorable, with residents living an average of 226 meters from their nearest transit stop. Given the residential character of the area, most workers commute out of the district, with private cars being the primary mode of travel at 85%, and trains utilized by 6%. The average number of vehicles per household is 1.4. A lower proportion of residents, at 8.1%, worked from home, based on 2021 Census figures which may have been influenced by pandemic conditions.

Services average 116 daily trips across all routes, representing approximately 7 weekly trips for each transit stop. The local map highlights the 100 closest stops relative to the center of the area.

The level of general health in Halls Head - Erskine is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health outcomes in Halls Head - Erskine are positive, with AreaSearch evaluations showing low mortality rates and a low prevalence of chronic conditions among the broader population, while rates among older and vulnerable groups align with national benchmarks. Private health insurance coverage is high, with approximately 60% of residents (13,532 people) holding cover.

Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent issues locally, affecting 11.0% and 7.4% of the population. A total of 64.4% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 71.9% in Greater Perth. Health status among working-age residents is standard. The area has a large older population, with 32.1% of residents aged 65 and over (7,302 people), compared to 16.1% in Greater Perth. Health profiles for senior residents are positive, though they rank lower nationally than the younger cohorts in the area.

In terms of cultural diversity, Halls Head - Erskine records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Cultural diversity in Halls Head - Erskine is higher than average, with 6.3% of the population speaking a non-English language at home and 30.6% of residents born outside Australia. Christianity is the dominant religious affiliation, representing 49.6% of the population. The most distinct religious overrepresentation is seen in Judaism, which accounts for 0.1% of residents compared to 0.3% across Greater Perth.

Regarding parental country of birth, the most common ancestries in Halls Head - Erskine are English at 37.7%, which is higher than the regional average of 28.0%, Australian at 25.0%, and Scottish at 7.9%. Other heritage groups show minor variations from regional averages, including Welsh at 1.0% (compared to 0.7% regionally), South Australian at 1.0% (compared to 1.0% regionally), and Maori at 1.0% (compared to 0.9% regionally).

Halls Head - Erskine hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Halls Head - Erskine is 49 years, which is older than the Greater Perth median of 37 and the national average of 38. The population shows a high concentration of residents aged 75 - 84 years at 12.6%, whereas the 25 - 34 age bracket is relatively small at 7.9% compared to Greater Perth. The proportion of residents aged 75 - 84 is higher than the national figure of 6.1%. Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 cohort has expanded from 10.2% to 12.6% of the total population, and the group aged 85 and over has increased from 2.9% to 4.4%. In contrast, the 45 to 54 cohort fell from 12.3% to 10.8%, and the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 11.3% to 10.2%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest the age structure will continue to shift, with the 75 to 84 age group growing by 52% (an increase of 1,492 people) to reach 4,360 from 2,867. Combined cohorts aged 65 and over are projected to make up 86% of the total population growth, pointing to a steadily aging profile. Conversely, the cohorts aged 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 are expected to experience population declines.