Falcon - Wannanup

Falcon - Wannanup lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Demographic analysis indicates Falcon - Wannanup has a residency of roughly 11,315 individuals in May 2026. Compared to the 9,664 count from the 2021 Census, this represents a rise of 1,651 people, or 17.1%. This update is calculated by combining the June 2025 ABS estimate of 11,288 residents with 71 new verified addresses registered after the Census. Consequently, the local density stands at 1,179 persons per square kilometer, a figure that is generally consistent with typical benchmarks. The local growth rate of 17.1% eclipsed the national average of 9.3% and regional indicators, positioning the district as a growth frontrunner. Much of this expansion was supported by interstate relocation, which accounted for approximately 51.5% of the gains, though net inflows from overseas and natural increase also registered positive gains.

Projections published in 2024 by the ABS and Geoscience Australia, utilizing a baseline of 2022, have been adopted for individual SA2 sectors. For locations where direct projection data is absent, and to map growth past 2032, regional cohort growth trends from the 2023 Greater Capital Region dataset based on 2022 metrics are applied. Future forecasts suggest the district will experience population expansion exceeding national medians, with an anticipated increase of 1,933 residents by 2041 relative to current annual ERP benchmarks, representing a total climb of 16.8% over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Falcon - Wannanup was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Residential development in Falcon - Wannanup averages roughly 95 building approvals annually, yielding a total of 479 new properties over the prior 5 fiscal years. During the ongoing FY-26 period, 72 building approvals have been registered. An average of 3.2 incoming residents per completed dwelling was recorded across the 5 fiscal years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, showing that demand is outpacing incoming supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and intensifies buyer competition. The average value of these newly built properties sits at $322,000. In addition, commercial development approvals total $6.6 million in the current fiscal year, highlighting the primarily residential profile of the neighborhood.

In comparison to Greater Perth, the rate of per capita building activity in Falcon - Wannanup is about 75%, placing it in the 82nd percentile of all areas nationwide. Recent home building consists of 97.0% detached houses and 3.0% townhouses or multi-unit dwellings, reinforcing a low-density suburban landscape oriented toward households wanting larger properties. An average of 128 residents per building approval aligns Falcon - Wannanup with classic growth corridor profiles.

Long-term forecasts suggest Falcon - Wannanup will add 1,906 citizens by 2041, measured from the latest quarterly estimate. Based on current building trends, the incoming supply of housing is expected to satisfy demand, offering favorable purchasing options and potentially supporting population growth that exceeds these baseline predictions.

Falcon - Wannanup has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 3rdth percentile nationally

Local infrastructure projects, planning choices, and development works remain key drivers of local performance. AreaSearch has highlighted 3 major projects that are expected to influence the local area. Notable works include the Falcon Coastal Shared Path, the Yalgorup National Park Eco-Tourism Development, the Dawesville Community Centre, and the Timbers Edge Estate, with details of the most significant projects listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Falcon - Wannanup demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

The local job market in Falcon - Wannanup features a diverse mix of professional and industrial roles, with strong representation in production and manufacturing sectors, a low unemployment rate of 2.9%, and a yearly jobs increase of 8.2%. As of March 2026, 5,100 citizens are employed. The jobless rate sits 1.2% lower than the Greater Perth benchmark of 4.2%, though participation in the workforce is lower at 54.1% compared to 70.2% for the wider metro area. Census figures show only 9.1% of working locals operated from home, though this data is subject to the influence of pandemic lockdowns.

The primary employment fields for the local workforce are healthcare & social assistance, mining, and construction. Mining shows a notable concentration, with a workforce share 1.8 times the metropolitan average. Conversely, professional & technical services account for just 3.6% of local employment, compared to 8.2% in Greater Perth. The discrepancy between local job numbers and resident worker counts suggests a largely commuter-driven suburb with limited local employment options.

An analysis of Salm and Abs data by AreaSearch indicates that employment grew by 8.2% and the labour force expanded by 9.0% over the 12 months to March 2026, which led to an increase in unemployment of 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth experienced employment growth of 2.0%, labour force growth of 2.5%, and an unemployment rise of 0.4 percentage points. Forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia released in May-25 provide additional context for anticipated future demand in Falcon - Wannanup. These five and ten-year projections have been overlaid onto the local employment profile to estimate future growth patterns. National employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though sector-specific growth rates vary considerably. When these industry projections are applied to Falcon - Wannanup's employment mix, local employment is expected to rise by 5.6% over five years and 12.3% over ten years. Please note that this represents a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not incorporate localised population projections.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The latest postcode-level tax statistics from the ATO for the 2023 financial year show that incomes in Falcon - Wannanup are ahead of the national average, with a median of $56,936 and an average of $78,255. This compares to a median of $60,748 and an average of $80,248 across Greater Perth. Applying Wage Price Index growth of 10.93% since the 2023 financial year suggests updated figures of roughly $63,159 for the median and $86,808 for the average by March 2026. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal income markers for the area ranked in the 18th to 19th percentiles nationwide. Income distribution is concentrated in the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, which contains 26.0% of residents (2,941 people), matching the regional distribution of 32.0%. Affordability metrics show significant strain, with only 83.3% of income remaining after housing costs, placing the area in the 19th percentile.

Falcon - Wannanup is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Housing structure in Falcon - Wannanup at the time of the last Census consisted of 93.1% detached houses and 6.9% alternative structures like apartments and townhouses, compared to 77.8% and 22.1% in the wider Perth metropolitan area. Home ownership rates in the suburb were high at 41.5%, with mortgaged properties making up 36.3% and rentals accounting for 22.2%. The median monthly mortgage cost of $1,733 and median weekly rent of $320 are both lower than the metropolitan averages of $1,907 and $350. Nationally, the area's mortgage costs are below the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents sit well under the national average of $375.

Falcon - Wannanup has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Families make up 71.9% of all local households, divided between couples without children at 36.6%, couples with children at 23.8%, and single-parent homes at 10.8%. Non-family households account for 28.1% of the total, with lone person households comprising 25.8% and group living situations at 2.2%. The median household occupancy of 2.3 individuals is slightly lower than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Falcon - Wannanup fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The local population has comparatively low rates of tertiary education, with university graduation rates at 15.1% compared to a national average of 30.4%, representing a potential focus area for learning programs. Among university graduates, bachelor degrees are held by 11.1%, followed by graduate diplomas at 2.1% and postgraduate degrees at 1.9%. Vocational and technical training is highly represented, with 43.7% of residents aged 15+ holding a vocational qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 32.3%.

A total of 24.2% of the local population is enrolled in formal education programs, consisting of 8.8% in primary school, 7.2% in high school, and 2.9% in tertiary study.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

A review of public transport options shows 69 bus stops operating in Falcon - Wannanup, serviced by 6 routes that combine to offer 609 weekly passenger journeys. Transport accessibility is good, with residents living an average of 229 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb is primarily residential, with most workers commuting out of the area, and private vehicle travel is the primary mode at 85%, while 6% use train services. Households own an average of 1.5 vehicles. A relatively low 9.1% of residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.

Bus routes average 87 daily trips in total, which corresponds to roughly 8 weekly passenger services at each local stop.

Falcon - Wannanup's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

General health metrics for Falcon - Wannanup indicate positive outcomes, with low rates of chronic conditions and mortality across both younger and older cohorts, and private health insurance coverage is high at approximately 58% of the population, representing about 6,562 people.

The most prevalent diagnosed medical conditions among local residents are arthritis and mental health challenges, affecting 10.6% and 8.0% of the community respectively. About 65.3% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 71.9% across Greater Perth. Health profiles for working-age residents are standard. Residents aged 65 and older represent 31.5% of the local population (3,567 people), which is double the Greater Perth average of 16.1%. Senior health rankings are above the national average, aligning well with broader population health outcomes.

Falcon - Wannanup ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Cultural diversity metrics for Falcon - Wannanup are below the national average, with 73.9% of the population born in Australia, 88.9% holding citizenship, and 95.5% using only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 47.5% of residents. The most distinct religious overrepresentation relative to the wider metro area is Judaism, which accounts for 0.1% of locals compared to 0.3% in Greater Perth.

The most common ancestral origins reported by residents are English at 36.7%, which is higher than the regional average of 28.0%, Australian at 26.5%, also exceeding the metropolitan figure of 21.2%, and Scottish at 8.3%. Other ancestry groups show notable variations, with Welsh represented at 1.2% compared to 0.7% regionally, Maori at 1.1% compared to 0.9%, and Dutch ancestry at 1.8% compared to 1.5% in the broader region.

Falcon - Wannanup hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age of 49 in Falcon - Wannanup is higher than both the Greater Perth median of 37 and the national average of 38. The local age distribution shows a high concentration of residents aged 65 - 74 at 17.8%, which is well above the national share of 9.4%, while the 25 - 34 cohort is smaller at 7.8%. Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 has risen from 7.9% to 10.9%, while the 55 to 64 group fell from 15.8% to 14.4% and the 45 to 54 group decreased from 12.8% to 11.4%. Looking toward 2041, projections suggest the local demographic profile will continue to age. The cohort aged 75 to 84 is expected to rise by 69%, increasing from 1,238 to 2,092 people, and residents aged 65 and older will make up 84% of all population growth. Conversely, declines are expected in the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 cohorts.