The Vines

The Vines lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The Vines' population, as of November 2025, is approximately 15,858. This figure represents an increase of 3,401 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,457. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 15,135 in June 2024 and an additional 804 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 236 persons per square kilometer. The Vines' 27.3% growth since the 2021 census exceeds the national average of 8.9%. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 58.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) are used. By 2041, The Vines is forecast to increase by 3,961 persons, reflecting a total increase of 20.4% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in The Vines was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

The Vines has experienced approximately 217 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 1089 homes. As of FY26136 approvals have been recorded. On average, each dwelling has accommodated 2.9 new residents annually between FY21 and FY25. The average construction cost value for new homes is $270,000.

In FY26, there have been $2.9 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Perth, The Vines has seen 27.0% more development per person over the past five years, maintaining good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. This is significantly higher than the national average, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area. New developments consist of 99.0% detached dwellings and 1.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

With around 67 people per dwelling approval, The Vines exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, The Vines is projected to add 3238 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

The Vines has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 25thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 18 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include North Ellenbrook (West) District Structure Plan, Village 6 Malvern Springs Development Plan, HomeCo Ellenbrook Retail Centre, and Stockland Vale, Aveley. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions The Vines ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

The Vines has a skilled workforce with manufacturing and industrial sectors well-represented. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 3.3%.

There was an estimated employment growth of 2.1% over the past year. In The Vines, 8,813 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.7% lower than Greater Perth's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation in The Vines is 70.2%, compared to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Notably, mining employment levels are at 1.3 times the regional average. Professional & technical services have a limited presence with 5.6% employment compared to the regional average of 8.2%. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 2.1% while the labour force grew by 3.0%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth saw employment rise by 2.9% and unemployment increase marginally over the same period. State-wide in WA, as of 25-Nov-25, employment contracted by 0.27% (a loss of 5,520 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 4.6%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to The Vines' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Vines SA2 had higher income levels than average nationally according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. The median income among taxpayers was $59,616 and the average income stood at $71,408. These figures compared to Greater Perth's of $58,380 and $78,020 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $68,081 (median) and $81,548 (average) as of September 2025. Census data revealed household, family and personal incomes all ranked highly in The Vines, between the 72nd and 79th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile showed that 34.9% of residents earned between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (5,534 people), reflecting patterns seen in the broader area where 32.0% similarly occupied this range. Notably, 32.8% earned above $3,000 weekly, indicating pockets of prosperity driving robust local economic activity. Despite high housing costs consuming 16.3% of income, strong earnings placed disposable income at the 77th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

The Vines is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The Vines' dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.0% houses and 6.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Perth metro had 89.1% houses and 10.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in The Vines stood at 23.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 62.1% and rented ones at 14.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Perth metro's average of $1,842. The median weekly rent in The Vines was $370, compared to Perth metro's $340. Nationally, The Vines' mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $370 compared to the national figure of $375.

The Vines features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.9% of all households, including 44.2% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.1%, consisting of lone person households at 14.7% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.8 people.

Educational attainment in The Vines aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 20.1%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 41.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (28.5%). Educational participation is high at 32.1%, with 12.6% in primary education, 9.4% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.6% in primary education, 9.4% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 70 active stops operating within The Vines. These are a mix of bus services. There are six individual routes serving these stops, collectively providing 1270 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated limited, with residents typically located 725 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 181 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 18 weekly trips per stop.

The Vines's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results throughout The Vines, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Approximately 55% (~8,721 people) of the total population has private health cover. Mental health issues and asthma were found to be the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 7.3 and 7.1% of residents respectively. A total of 74.1% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Perth. The area has 13.4% (2,126 people) of residents aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, aligning broadly with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in The Vines was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

The Vines was found to have a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 15.0% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 33.8% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in The Vines, accounting for 48.6% of its population. However, there is an overrepresentation in the 'Other' category, which comprises 1.3% compared to Greater Perth's 2.4%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English at 31.2%, Australian at 22.3%, and Other at 11.1%. Notably, South African (1.5%) and Maori (1.6%) are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.8% and 1.4% respectively, while New Zealand is slightly overrepresented at 1.2% versus the regional average of 1.0%.

The Vines's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The Vines's median age is 36 years, nearly matching Greater Perth's average of 37, which is modestly under the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Perth, The Vines has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.1%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 12.3% to 13.4%. Conversely, the 0-4 age group has decreased from 7.3% to 6.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests The Vines's age profile will significantly evolve. The 55-64 cohort is projected to grow by 35%, adding 647 residents to reach 2,516. In contrast, both the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.