Geraldton - North

Geraldton - North lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Geraldton - North's population is around 9,713 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,167 people (13.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,546 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 9,646 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 64 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 67 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Geraldton - North's 13.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (8.1%) and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 57.8% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including natural growth and overseas migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is utilising the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Looking at population projections moving forward, an above-median population growth for non-metropolitan areas nationally is projected, with the area expected to grow by 1,895 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 18.8% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Geraldton - North was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Geraldton - North has averaged around 66 new dwelling approvals per year, with 331 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 36 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 3.7 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand significantly exceeds new supply, which usually results in price growth and increased buyer competition, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $256,000, in line with regional trends. Additionally, $1.7 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, suggesting a predominantly residential focus.

When measured against the Rest of WA, Geraldton - North has 77.0% more new home approvals (per person), which should provide buyers with ample choice. New building activity shows 98.0% detached dwellings and 2.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. At around 168 people per approval, Geraldton - North reflects a developing area.

Population forecasts indicate Geraldton - North will gain 1,828 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Present construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Geraldton - North has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 3rdth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 12 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Glenfield Commercial Retail Hub, Proposed Northern Commercial Retail Hub (Lot 55 Chapman Road), Geraldton Heights Estate, and Geraldton Homemaker Centre Expansion, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Geraldton - North ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Geraldton - North has a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of just 2.4%, and 2.1% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 5,006 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.1% below Regional WA's rate of 3.5%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Regional WA's 67.4%. Based on Census responses, a low 4.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area has particular employment specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. Meanwhile, agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with 3.1% employment compared to 9.3% regionally. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 2.1% while labour force increased by 2.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Regional WA experienced employment growth of 1.0% and labour force growth of 1.4%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Geraldton - North. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Geraldton - North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.0% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Geraldton - North SA2's median income among taxpayers is $59,747, with an average of $74,468. This is well above average nationally, and compares to Regional WA's median of $59,973 and average of $74,392. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $65,495 (median) and $81,632 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Geraldton - North cluster around the 61st percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 36.5% of residents (3,545 people), reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 31.1% similarly occupy this range. After housing costs, residents retain 86.9% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Geraldton - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Geraldton - North, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 96.1% houses and 4.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional WA's 88.5% houses and 11.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Geraldton - North slightly lagged that of Regional WA, at 31.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (43.2%) or rented (25.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Regional WA average at $1,733, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $310, compared to Regional WA's $1,560 and $265. Nationally, Geraldton - North's mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Geraldton - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 78.6% of all households, comprising 34.6% couples with children, 30.9% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.4%, with lone person households at 18.9% and group households comprising 2.5% of the total. The median household size of 2.7 people is larger than the Regional WA average of 2.5.

Educational outcomes in Geraldton - North fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (14.9%) substantially below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 10.9%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.9%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 45.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (35.3%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.1% in primary education, 9.6% in secondary education, and 2.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 77 active transport stops operating within Geraldton - North, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 3 individual routes, collectively providing 201 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 215 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 93%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 4.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 28 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 2 weekly trips per individual stop.

Geraldton - North's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Geraldton - North, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Younger cohorts in particular see very low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 56% of the total population (~5,448 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 8.1 and 7.5% of residents, respectively, while 70.4% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.3% across Regional WA. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 13.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,273 people), which is lower than the 19.2% in Regional WA. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Geraldton - North ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Geraldton - North was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 87.2% of its population being citizens, 85.6% born in Australia, and 94.0% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Geraldton - North is Christianity, which makes up 47.4% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Islam, which comprises 0.9% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Regional WA.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Geraldton - North are Australian, comprising 32.0% of the population, English, comprising 30.7% of the population, and Scottish, comprising 6.8% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal is notably overrepresented at 6.6% of Geraldton - North (vs 6.1% regionally), South Australian at 0.7% (vs 0.6%) and Macedonian at 0.3% (vs 0.1%).

Geraldton - North's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 35-year median age in Geraldton - North is notably under Regional WA's average of 40 and also modestly under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Regional WA, Geraldton - North has a higher concentration of 25 - 34 residents (15.6%) but fewer 65 - 74 year-olds (8.3%). Since the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 13.2% to 15.6% of the population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 12.3% to 13.9%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 14.1% to 11.5% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 16.3% to 14.6%. By 2041, Geraldton - North is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 25 to 34 group will grow by 44% (661 people), reaching 2,175 from 1,513. Meanwhile, the 85+ group will contract by 9 residents.