Gingin - Dandaragan

Population growth drivers in Gingin - Dandaragan are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Gingin - Dandaragan is estimated at 10,754 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 1,825 people (20.4%) compared to the 2021 Census, which recorded 8,929 people. This shift is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 10,674 and 265 validated new addresses identified since the Census. The resulting population density stands at 1.1 persons per square kilometer, indicating a low-density environment with significant space per resident. The area's 20.4% expansion rate since the 2021 census paced ahead of the national benchmark (9.3%) and the broader SA4 region, positioning it as a local growth leader. The primary driver of this population growth was interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 53.8% of the net gains, though other components such as overseas migration and natural increase also made positive contributions.

AreaSearch utilizes projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024, using 2022 as the base year. For locations lacking this data or for projections extending past 2032, growth estimates rely on age cohort growth rates from the latest Greater Capital Region projections published by the ABS in 2023, based on 2022 figures. Looking ahead, demographic patterns indicate that regional parts of the country will experience above-median population increases, with this specific territory projected to grow by 1,568 persons to 2041 relative to the most recent annual ERP statistics, representing a 13.8% total expansion over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Gingin - Dandaragan was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Property development in Gingin - Dandaragan has proceeded at an average pace of approximately 111 new residential approvals annually, amounting to 556 dwellings over the previous 5 financial years. During the current FY-26 period, 179 approvals have been logged. The influx of new residents relative to construction shows an average of 3 people moving to the area for every new home built between FY-21 and FY-25, pointing to consistent demand that helps underpin property values, with new builds carrying an average construction cost of $303,000. Furthermore, commercial building approvals have reached $36.7 million this financial year, pointing to active investment in the local business sector.

Per capita construction activity in Gingin - Dandaragan is 98.0% higher than the average for the Rest of WA, expanding options for prospective purchasers. This rate is also well above the national norm, demonstrating strong builder interest in the local market. Recent residential building consists of 98.0% detached homes and 2.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the low-density character of the area with a focus on single-family homes that draw buyers seeking space. There are roughly 92 people for every dwelling approval, pointing to an expanding property market.

Demographic projections indicate that Gingin - Dandaragan is on track to add 1,488 residents by 2041, starting from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly estimation. Based on current building trends, the supply of new housing should comfortably align with demand, maintaining favorable conditions for purchasers and potentially supporting population growth that exceeds the baseline projections.

Gingin - Dandaragan has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 46thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure, major developments, and planning schemes are key factors in regional performance. AreaSearch has tracked 5 projects with potential local impacts, including the Lancelin South Estate, Yanchep-Two Rocks Development, Bindoon Bypass, and the Shire of Chittering Local Planning Scheme 6 Amendment 75 (Education Establishment Zone), with details on the most relevant schemes listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Gingin - Dandaragan demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

The local workforce in Gingin - Dandaragan shows a mix of industrial, manufacturing, office-based, and manual occupations, with a low unemployment rate of 2.5%. There were 5,187 employed residents recorded in March 2026, which aligns with an unemployment rate that sits 1.0% below the Regional WA average of 3.5%, though the participation rate of 58.6% is noticeably lower than the 65.6% registered across Regional WA. According to Census records, a moderate 14.6% of the working population operated from home, though these figures may reflect the influence of pandemic-related lockdowns.

The primary employment sectors for local residents are agriculture, forestry & fishing, mining, and construction. The area displays a strong concentration in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with its share of employment reaching 2.9 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance is less represented, employing 5.7% of the Gingin - Dandaragan workforce compared to 11.9% across Regional WA. Although there are local jobs available, the ratio of Census workers to the local population suggests a significant number of residents travel to other areas for work.

An analysis of SALM and ABS statistics shows that over the 12-month period, the local labor force contracted by 5.2% and total employment fell by 6.5%, leading to a 1.4 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. This compares to Regional WA, which saw a 0.1% employment reduction, a 0.3% labor force increase, and a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia released in May-25 provide context for future labor demand in Gingin - Dandaragan. These five-year and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential trends. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with performance varying by industry. Weighting these national sectoral trends against the local employment profile indicates that employment within Gingin - Dandaragan would rise by 4.6% over five years and 10.5% over ten years, noting this is a basic weighted extrapolation that does not incorporate local population forecasts.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

ATO data at the postcode level for the 2023 financial year indicates that the median income for taxpayers in the Gingin - Dandaragan SA2 was $49,712, while the average income was $66,675. These figures sit slightly below the national averages and compare to $59,973 (median) and $74,392 (average) across Regional WA. Adjusting for a 10.93% rise in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year yields estimated figures of approximately $55,146 for the median and $73,963 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census shows that personal, family, and household incomes in Gingin - Dandaragan fall between the 21st and 25th percentiles on a national basis. Income distribution figures show that 29.5% of the population (representing 3,172 people) earn within the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which is similar to the 31.1% recorded regionally. Discretionary income remaining after housing costs stands at 86.2%, placing the area in the 25th percentile nationally.

Gingin - Dandaragan is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Residential structures in Gingin - Dandaragan at the time of the last Census consisted of 94.1% separate houses and 5.8% alternative dwellings such as townhouses, apartments, or other structures, compared to 88.5% houses and 11.6% other options in Regional WA. Home ownership was higher than the regional average, standing at 47.7%, with the remaining properties being purchased with a mortgage (32.9%) or occupied by tenants (19.4%). The median monthly housing payment for mortgaged properties was $1,644, which is higher than the Regional WA average of $1,560, while the median weekly rent was $295, compared to the regional figure of $265. On a national level, Gingin - Dandaragan's mortgage payments are below the Australian average of $1,863, and rental costs are lower than the national benchmark of $375.

Gingin - Dandaragan has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Families make up the majority of households at 69.5%, which includes 22.3% couples with children, 39.7% couples without children, and 6.7% single parent households. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 30.5%, consisting of single-person households at 27.5% and group share houses at 3.1%. The median household size of 2.3 individuals is slightly below the Regional WA average of 2.5.

Gingin - Dandaragan faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

Higher education completion rates in the area are lower than average, with 13.5% of residents holding university qualifications compared to the national rate of 30.4%. Among these, bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.4%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 1.7% and graduate diplomas at 1.4%. Vocational and technical qualifications are common, with 41.8% of residents aged 15+ holding a vocational credential, including 10.3% with advanced diplomas and 31.5% with certificates.

A total of 23.8% of the local population is enrolled in some form of structured education. Within this student cohort, primary school students account for 10.1%, secondary school students comprise 7.6%, and tertiary students make up 1.7%.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

There are 11 public transport stops within Gingin - Dandaragan, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 2 routes, providing a total of 16 weekly trips. Public transport access is limited, with residents living an average of 6536 meters from the nearest stop. The area is mostly residential with many residents commuting, and private vehicles are the main transport mode at 81%, followed by walking at 8%. Households own an average of 1.8 vehicles, which is higher than the regional average. In the 2021 Census, 14.6% of residents reported working from home, which may have been influenced by pandemic conditions.

Bus services run at an average frequency of 2 trips per day across all routes, which corresponds to approximately 1 weekly trip per individual stop.

The level of general health in Gingin - Dandaragan is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

The population of Gingin - Dandaragan exhibits positive health profiles, with low rates of chronic diseases and mortality across both younger and older demographics. Private health insurance coverage is slightly below the SA2 average, with approximately 52% of the population (about 5,602 people) holding cover, compared to 56.4% across Regional WA.

Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent reported illnesses, affecting 10.4% and 6.7% of the population, respectively, while 66.7% of residents reported having no long-term medical conditions, compared to 69.3% in Regional WA. Health metrics for working-age residents are consistent with standard ranges. Residents aged 65 and older represent 24.5% of the population (2,636 people), which is higher than the regional share of 19.2%. Senior residents show strong health profiles, with rankings that exceed the national average for their cohort.

In terms of cultural diversity, Gingin - Dandaragan records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Cultural diversity metrics in Gingin - Dandaragan align closely with regional averages, showing that 83.2% of residents are citizens, 76.1% were born in Australia, and 91.9% speak only English at home. The most common religious affiliation is Christianity, chosen by 46.2% of the local population, compared to 44.6% across Regional WA.

Regarding ancestry based on parental birthplaces, the three most common backgrounds reported in Gingin - Dandaragan are English at 34.0%, Australian at 30.8%, and Scottish at 7.6%. Certain other backgrounds show distinct local concentrations, with Dutch ancestry represented at 1.5% (equal to the 1.5% regional share), New Zealand at 0.8% (compared to 0.9% regionally), and Welsh at 0.6% (compared to 0.6% regionally).

Gingin - Dandaragan ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Gingin - Dandaragan has a median age of 49, making it older than the Regional WA average of 40 and the national average of 38. The 65 - 74 age bracket accounts for 15.9% of the population, which is higher than the regional share and well above the national rate of 9.4%, while the 5 - 14 cohort is lower at 10.0%. Post-2021 Census updates show a slight decline in the median age from 50 to 49. The 25 to 34 age group rose from 10.6% to 12.5%, and the 35 to 44 cohort grew from 10.6% to 11.9%. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 group decreased from 13.5% to 11.8%, and the 75 to 84 bracket fell from 8.2% to 6.9%. By 2041, demographic shifts are expected to continue, with the 35 to 44 cohort projected to increase by 400 people (31%) from 1,279 to 1,680, while the 85+ and 15 to 24 cohorts are expected to decrease.