Gingin - Dandaragan
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Gingin - Dandaragan are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Gingin - Dandaragan's population is around 10,480 as of Aug. 2025, reflecting an increase of 1,551 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 8,929. This change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,269 in Jun. 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is 1.1 persons per square kilometer. Gingin - Dandaragan's growth of 17.4% since 2021 exceeded the national average of 8.6%.

Interstate migration contributed approximately 47.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers being positive factors. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 estimations, AreaSearch uses growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future demographic trends project an above median population growth for regional areas nationally, with Gingin - Dandaragan expected to increase by 1,691 persons to 2041, recording a gain of 14.1% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Gingin - Dandaragan was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Gingin-Dandaragan recorded approximately 111 residential property approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics provides development approval data on a financial year basis, indicating 556 homes over the past five years from FY21 to FY25, with 31 approvals so far in FY26. On average, around 2.6 people moved to the area per new home constructed each year over these five years, suggesting strong demand that supports property values. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $435,000.

This financial year has seen $36.7 million in commercial development approvals, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to the Rest of WA, Gingin-Dandaragan has 101.0% more construction activity per person, offering greater choice for buyers and indicating strong developer interest in the area. Recent construction comprises 98.0% detached dwellings and 2.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. There are approximately 88 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. Population forecasts indicate Gingin-Dandaragan will gain 1,480 residents by 2041.

Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Gingin - Dandaragan has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 27thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified four projects potentially affecting this area: Yanchep-Two Rocks Development, Bindoon Bypass, Shire of Chittering Local Planning Scheme 6 Amendment 75 (Education Establishment Zone), and Warradarge Wind Farm. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Gingin - Dandaragan demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Gingin - Dandaragan has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. As of June 2025, the unemployment rate is 1.2%.

This rate has remained relatively stable over the past year. There are 5,269 residents employed in the area, with an unemployment rate that is 2.0% lower than the Rest of WA's rate of 3.2%. The workforce participation rate is somewhat below standard at 55.0%, compared to Rest of WA's 59.4%. The key industries for employment among residents are agriculture, forestry & fishing, mining, and construction.

There is particularly strong specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share that is 2.9 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance is under-represented, with only 5.7% of Gingin - Dandaragan's workforce compared to 11.9% in Rest of WA. Many residents appear to commute elsewhere for work, based on a comparison of the Census working population and local population counts. Over the period from May 2024 to April 2025, there was a decrease of 1.6% in labour force and a decrease of 0.4% in employment within Gingin - Dandaragan. This resulted in a fall of 1.2 percentage points in the unemployment rate. In contrast, Rest of WA experienced employment growth of 1.1% and labour force growth of 0.5%, with a drop of 0.6 percentage points in the unemployment rate during this period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest that national employment is expected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Gingin - Dandaragan's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 4.6% over five years and 10.5% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on June 30, 2022, Gingin - Dandaragan had a median income among taxpayers of $48,153 and an average income of $64,847. Nationally, the median income was $57,323 and the average was $71,163 for Rest of WA. Based on Wage Price Index growth from June 30, 2022 to March 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $53,744 (median) and $72,376 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Gingin - Dandaragan were between the 22nd and 25th percentiles nationally. Income distribution data showed that 29.5% of the population earned between $1,500 and $2,999 annually, similar to regional levels where 31.1% fell within this bracket. After accounting for housing costs, 86.2% of income remained, ranking at the 25th percentile nationally.

Gingin - Dandaragan is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Gingin - Dandaragan, as per the latest Census, 94.1% of dwellings were houses while 5.8% consisted of semi-detached homes, apartments and other types. This compares to Non-Metro WA's 95.6% houses and 4.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gingin - Dandaragan stood at 47.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.9% and rented ones at 19.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,644, higher than Non-Metro WA's average of $1,425. The median weekly rent was $295 compared to Non-Metro WA's $231. Nationally, Gingin - Dandaragan's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,644 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were significantly lower at $295 compared to the national figure of $375.

Gingin - Dandaragan has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 69.5% of all households, including 22.3% couples with children, 39.7% couples without children, and 6.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 30.5%, with lone person households at 27.5% and group households making up 3.1%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the Rest of WA average.

Gingin - Dandaragan faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.5%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 10.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (31.5%). A total of 23.8% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 10.1% in primary, 7.6% in secondary, and 1.7% in tertiary education.

Six schools operate within Gingin - Dandaragan, educating approximately 952 students. These schools demonstrate typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 966) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes four primary and two K-12 schools. School places per 100 residents stand at 9.1, below the regional average of 12.2, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Gingin - Dandaragan shows nine active public transport stops operating. These are served by two different bus routes, offering seven weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is limited with residents typically located 6537 meters away from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages one trip per day across all routes, resulting in approximately zero weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Gingin - Dandaragan is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Gingin - Dandaragan faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (~5,439 people), leading that of the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 10.4 and 6.7% of residents respectively. Sixty-six point seven percent of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.7% across Rest of WA. Twenty-four point one percent of residents are aged 65 and over (2,525 people), which is higher than the 21.7% in Rest of WA. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, Gingin - Dandaragan records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gingin-Dandaragan's cultural diversity is similar to the wider region, with 83.2% being citizens, 76.1% born in Australia, and 91.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, at 46.2%, compared to 49.0% across Rest of WA. The top three ancestral groups are English (34.0%), Australian (30.8%), and Scottish (7.6%).

Notably, Dutch, New Zealand, and Welsh ethnicities show no significant divergence from regional averages at 1.5%, 0.8%, and 0.6% respectively.

Gingin - Dandaragan ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Gingin - Dandaragan has a median age of 49, which is higher than the Rest of WA figure of 40 and significantly above the national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group makes up 15.6% of its population, compared to 12.8% in Rest of WA and 9.4% nationally. Meanwhile, the 5-14 cohort is less prevalent at 10.0%. Post-Census data from 2021 shows that the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 10.6% to 12.4%, while the 65 to 74 group has declined from 17.1% to 15.6% and the 75 to 84 group dropped from 8.2% to 6.8%. By 2041, Gingin - Dandaragan is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition, with the 25 to 34 group growing by 36% (462 people), reaching 1,761 from 1,298. Conversely, the 85+ and 15 to 24 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.