Gingin - Dandaragan

Population growth drivers in Gingin - Dandaragan are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Gingin - Dandaragan's population is around 10,726 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,797 people (20.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,929 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,269 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 253 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1.1 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. Gingin - Dandaragan's 20.1% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (9.9%) and the national average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 47.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including overseas migration and natural growth, were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is utilising the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Regarding demographic trends, an above-median population growth for regional areas across the nation is projected, with the area expected to increase by 1,691 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 11.5% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Gingin - Dandaragan was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Gingin - Dandaragan has recorded around 111 residential properties granted approval annually, with 556 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 95 so far in FY-26. With an average of 2.6 people moving to the area per new home constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), suggesting solid demand that supports property values, new homes are being built at an average value of $303,000. Additionally, $36.7 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, indicating strong commercial development momentum.

When measured against the Rest of WA, Gingin - Dandaragan records 101.0% more construction activity (per person), which should provide buyers with ample choice. This level is significantly above the national average, indicating robust developer interest in the area. Recent construction comprises 98.0% detached dwellings and 2.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 88 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

Future projections show Gingin - Dandaragan adding 1,234 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Gingin - Dandaragan has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 4 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Yanchep-Two Rocks Development, Bindoon Bypass, Shire of Chittering Local Planning Scheme 6 Amendment 75 (Education Establishment Zone), and Warradarge Wind Farm, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Gingin - Dandaragan shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Gingin - Dandaragan has a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with manufacturing and industrial sectors strongly represented, and an unemployment rate of just 1.9%. As of December 2025, 5,272 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.6% below Regional WA's rate of 3.5%, and workforce participation lags significantly (61.7% compared to Regional WA's 67.4%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 14.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are agriculture, forestry & fishing, mining, and construction. The area shows particularly strong specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share of 2.9 times the regional level. On the other hand, health care & social assistance is under-represented, with only 5.7% of Gingin - Dandaragan's workforce compared to 11.9% in Regional WA. While local employment opportunities exist in the area, it appears many residents commute elsewhere for work, based on the count of Census working population to local population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw the labour force decrease by 5.3% combined with employment decreasing by 5.7%, resulting in the unemployment rate rising by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Regional WA experienced employment growth of 1.0% and labour force growth of 1.4%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Gingin - Dandaragan. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Gingin - Dandaragan's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 4.6% over five years and 10.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Gingin - Dandaragan SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $49,712, with the average level standing at $66,675. This is just below the national average and compares to levels of $59,973 and $74,392 across Regional WA respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $54,494 (median) and $73,089 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Gingin - Dandaragan all fall between the 21st and 25th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows 29.5% of the population (3,164 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, mirroring regional levels where 31.1% occupy this bracket. After housing, 86.2% of income remains, though this ranks at only the 25th percentile nationally.

Gingin - Dandaragan is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Gingin - Dandaragan, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 94.1% houses and 5.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional WA's 88.5% houses and 11.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Gingin - Dandaragan was well beyond that of Regional WA, at 47.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (32.9%) or rented (19.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Regional WA average at $1,644, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $295, compared to Regional WA's $1,560 and $265. Nationally, Gingin - Dandaragan's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Gingin - Dandaragan has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 69.5% of all households, comprising 22.3% couples with children, 39.7% couples without children, and 6.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 30.5%, with lone person households at 27.5% and group households comprising 3.1% of the total. The median household size of 2.3 people is smaller than the Regional WA average of 2.5.

Gingin - Dandaragan faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (13.5%) substantially below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 10.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 41.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (31.5%).

A substantial 23.8% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 1.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 11 active transport stops operating within Gingin - Dandaragan, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 2 individual routes, collectively providing 16 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 6536 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 81%, with 8% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. Some 14.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 2 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 1 weekly trip per individual stop.

The level of general health in Gingin - Dandaragan is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Gingin-Dandaragan demonstrates above-average health outcomes, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts see low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover slightly lags that of the average SA2 area at approximately 52% of the total population (~5,588 people). This compares to 56.4% across Regional WA.

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 10.4 and 6.7% of residents, respectively, while 66.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.3% across Regional WA. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 23.1% of residents aged 65 and over (2,476 people), which is higher than the 19.2% in Regional WA. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Gingin - Dandaragan records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gingin - Dandaragan was found to be roughly in line with the wider region's average in terms of cultural diversity, with 83.2% of its population being citizens, 76.1% born in Australia, and 91.9% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Gingin - Dandaragan is Christianity, which makes up 46.2% of the population. This compares to 44.6% across Regional WA.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Gingin - Dandaragan are English, comprising 34.0% of the population, Australian, comprising 30.8% of the population, and Scottish, comprising 7.6% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Dutch is represented at 1.5% of Gingin - Dandaragan (vs 1.5% regionally), New Zealand at 0.8% (vs 0.9%) and Welsh at 0.6% (vs 0.6%).

Gingin - Dandaragan ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

With a median age of 49, Gingin - Dandaragan is materially older than the Regional WA figure of 40 and significantly higher than the national norm of 38. The 65 - 74 age group shows strong representation at 15.5% compared to Regional WA, whereas the 5 - 14 cohort is less prevalent at 10.0%. This 65 - 74 concentration is well above the national 9.5%. Post-2021 Census data shows a rejuvenation is evident as the median age fell from 50 to 49 years. In particular, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 10.6% to 13.0% of the population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 10.6% to 11.9%. Conversely, the 75 to 84 cohort has declined from 8.2% to 6.0% and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 17.1% to 15.5%. By 2041, Gingin - Dandaragan is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to grow steadily, expanding by 365 people (26%) from 1,395 to 1,761. In contrast, both the 85+ and 15 to 24 age groups will see reduced numbers.