Gingin - Dandaragan
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Gingin - Dandaragan are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Gingin-Dandaragan's population is 10,591 as of November 2025. This shows an increase of 1,662 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 8,929. The growth was inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 10,269 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1.1 persons per square kilometer. Gingin-Dandaragan's 18.6% growth rate exceeded the national average of 8.9%. Interstate migration contributed approximately 47.4% to overall population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 estimates, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Demographic trends project an above median population growth for regional areas nationwide. Gingin-Dandaragan is expected to increase by 1,691 persons to reach a total of 12,282 by 2041, marking a gain of 12.9% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Gingin - Dandaragan was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Gingin-Dandaragan has seen approximately 111 residential properties approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 556 homes were granted approval, with an additional 60 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 2.6 people moved to the area per new home constructed over these five years, indicating strong demand that supports property values.

The average expected construction cost value for new homes was $303,000 during this period. In terms of commercial development, Gingin-Dandaragan has recorded around $36.7 million in approvals so far this financial year. Compared to the rest of Western Australia, the area records 101.0% more construction activity per person, suggesting robust developer interest and ample choice for buyers. Recent construction in the area comprises predominantly detached dwellings (98.0%) with a smaller proportion of attached dwellings (2.0%), preserving its low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 88 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

Future projections suggest Gingin-Dandaragan will add around 1,369 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Gingin - Dandaragan has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 27thth percentile nationally

Four projects are identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance: Yanchep-Two Rocks Development, Bindoon Bypass, Shire of Chittering Local Planning Scheme 6 Amendment 75 (Education Establishment Zone), and Warradarge Wind Farm.

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Employment conditions in Gingin - Dandaragan demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Gingin-Dandaragan has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar employment. The manufacturing and industrial sectors are strongly represented, with an unemployment rate of 1.2% as of June 2025.

This rate is 2.0% lower than the Rest of WA's rate of 3.2%. Employment stability in the area has been relative over the past year. There were 5,269 residents employed in June 2025, with a workforce participation rate of 55.0%, compared to the Rest of WA's rate of 59.4%. Key industries for employment among residents include agriculture, forestry & fishing, mining, and construction.

The area has a particularly strong specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share 2.9 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance is under-represented, with only 5.7% of Gingin-Dandaragan's workforce compared to 11.9% in Rest of WA. Local employment opportunities exist but many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, the labour force decreased by 1.6% and employment decreased by 0.4%, resulting in a 1.2 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. In contrast, Rest of WA experienced employment growth of 1.1% and labour force growth of 0.5%, with a 0.6 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gingin-Dandaragan's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 4.6% over five years and 10.5% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 30, 2022 shows Gingin - Dandaragan had a median income among taxpayers of $48,153 and an average level of $64,847. These figures align with national averages, which were $57,323 (median) and $71,163 (average) for Rest of WA during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% from financial year ending June 30, 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $54,991 and average income around $74,055 as of the latter date. According to 2021 Census figures, incomes in Gingin - Dandaragan fall between the 22nd and 25th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. Income distribution data indicates that 29.5% of the population (3,124 individuals) earn within the $1,500 to $2,999 range, similar to regional levels where 31.1% fall into this bracket. After accounting for housing costs, 86.2% of income remains, ranking at the 25th percentile nationally.

Gingin - Dandaragan is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census data shows that in Gingin - Dandaragan, 94.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 5.8% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. In comparison, Non-Metro WA had 95.6% houses and 4.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gingin - Dandaragan stood at 47.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.9% and rented ones at 19.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,644, higher than Non-Metro WA's average of $1,425. The median weekly rent in Gingin - Dandaragan was $295, compared to Non-Metro WA's $231. Nationally, Gingin - Dandaragan's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,644 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $295 compared to the national figure of $375.

Gingin - Dandaragan has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 69.5% of all households, including 22.3% couples with children, 39.7% couples without children, and 6.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.5%, with lone person households making up 27.5% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the Rest of WA average.

Gingin - Dandaragan faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 13.5%, significantly below the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 10.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 41.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (31.5%).

A substantial 23.8% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 10.1% in primary, 7.6% in secondary, and 1.7% in tertiary education. In Gingin - Dandaragan, a robust network of 6 schools educates approximately 952 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 966) offering balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes 4 primary and 2 K-12 schools. School places per 100 residents are at 9.1, below the regional average of 12.2, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The transport analysis indicates nine active stops operating within the Gingin-Dandaragan area. These stops offer a mix of bus services. Two individual routes serve these stops, collectively providing seven weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 6537 meters from the nearest stop. The service frequency averages one trip per day across all routes, equating to approximately zero weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Gingin - Dandaragan is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Gingin-Dandaragan faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (~5,496 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 10.4% and 6.7% of residents respectively, while 66.7% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 64.7% across Rest of WA. As of June 2021, 24.1% of residents are aged 65 and over (2,552 people), which is higher than the 21.7% in Rest of WA. Health outcomes among seniors in Gingin-Dandaragan perform better than the general population in health metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, Gingin - Dandaragan records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gingin-Dandaragan, surveyed in June 2016, had a cultural diversity profile closely matching the wider area's average. 83.2% of its population were citizens, 76.1% were born in Australia, and 91.9% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practised by 46.2%, compared to 49.0% regionally.

The top three ancestry groups were English (34.0%), Australian (30.8%), and Scottish (7.6%). Notably, Dutch (1.5%) and Welsh (0.6%) were proportionally similar to the regional averages.

Gingin - Dandaragan ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Gingin-Dandaragan has a median age of 49, which is higher than Rest of WA's figure of 40 and significantly above the national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group comprises 15.6%, compared to Rest of WA's figure, while the 5-14 cohort makes up 10.0%. This 65-74 concentration is well above the national average of 9.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 25 to 34 age group grew from 10.6% to 12.4%, while the 65 to 74 cohort declined from 17.1% to 15.6% and the 75 to 84 group dropped from 8.2% to 6.8%. By 2041, Gingin-Dandaragan is expected to see significant shifts in its age composition, with the 25 to 34 group growing by 34% (448 people), reaching 1,761 from 1,312. Meanwhile, the 85+ and 15 to 24 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.