Gingin - Dandaragan

Population growth drivers in Gingin - Dandaragan are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Gingin-Dandaragan's population is 10,591 as of November 2025. This shows an increase of 1,662 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 8,929. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: 10,269 in June 2024 and 174 new addresses validated since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1.1 persons per square kilometer. Gingin-Dandaragan's 18.6% growth since 2021 exceeds the national average of 8.9%. Interstate migration contributed approximately 47.4% of overall population gains recently, with all drivers being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 estimates, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Demographic trends project an above median population growth for regional areas nationally. Gingin-Dandaragan is expected to increase by 1,691 persons by 2041, reflecting a gain of 12.9% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Gingin - Dandaragan was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Gingin - Dandaragan recorded approximately 111 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 556 homes were approved, with an additional 72 approved in FY26 so far. On average, about 2.6 people moved to the area per new home constructed over these years, indicating solid demand that supports property values.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $303,000. This year alone, $36.7 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting strong commercial development momentum. Compared to the rest of WA, Gingin - Dandaragan records 101.0% more construction activity per person, offering buyers ample choice and indicating robust developer interest in the area. Recent construction comprises approximately 98.0% detached dwellings and 2.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has about 88 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Gingin - Dandaragan is projected to add around 1,369 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Gingin - Dandaragan has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 27thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects likely to affect this region. Key projects are Yanchep-Two Rocks Development, Bindoon Bypass, Shire of Chittering Local Planning Scheme 6 Amendment 75 (Education Establishment Zone), and Warradarge Wind Farm. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Gingin - Dandaragan shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Gingin-Dandaragan has a diverse workforce with both white and blue-collar jobs, notably in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.5%.

As of September 2025, 5,332 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.8% below the Rest of WA's rate of 3.3%. Workforce participation stands at 55.0%, lower than Rest of WA's 59.4%. Key employment sectors include agriculture, forestry & fishing, mining, and construction. The area specializes in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share 2.9 times the regional level.

Conversely, health care & social assistance is under-represented at 5.7% compared to Rest of WA's 11.9%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work, suggesting local opportunities may not fully meet demand. Between September 2024 and September 2025, labour force decreased by 3.9%, employment by 3.5%, leading to a 0.4 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. Rest of WA saw employment grow by 1.4% and labour force by 1.2%, with a 0.2 percentage point unemployment rate decrease. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gingin-Dandaragan's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 4.6% over five years and 10.5% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 indicates that Gingin - Dandaragan SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $48,153 and an average level of $64,847. These figures align with national averages, which are $57,323 and $71,163 respectively for Rest of WA. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% from financial year 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $54,991 and average income is around $74,055. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Gingin - Dandaragan fall between the 21st and 25th percentiles nationally. Income distribution data shows that 29.5% of the population (3,124 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, similar to regional levels where 31.1% occupy this bracket. After housing costs, 86.2% of income remains, ranking at the 25th percentile nationally.

Gingin - Dandaragan is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Gingin - Dandaragan, as per the latest Census evaluation, 94.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 5.8% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is similar to Non-Metro WA's figures of 95.6% houses and 4.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gingin - Dandaragan stood at 47.7%, with mortgaged properties making up 32.9% and rented dwellings accounting for 19.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,644, higher than Non-Metro WA's average of $1,425. Weekly rent median was recorded at $295, compared to Non-Metro WA's $231. Nationally, Gingin - Dandaragan's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,644 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Gingin - Dandaragan has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 69.5% of all households, including 22.3% couples with children, 39.7% couples without children, and 6.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.5%, with lone person households at 27.5% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.3 people, aligning with the Rest of WA average.

Gingin - Dandaragan faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.5%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 41.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (31.5%).

A total of 23.8% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, including 10.1% in primary, 7.6% in secondary, and 1.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates nine active transport stops operating within the Gingin-Dandaragan region. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with two individual routes collectively providing seven weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 6537 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages one trip per day across all routes, equating to approximately zero weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Gingin - Dandaragan is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Gingin-Dandaragan faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 52%, leading that of the average SA2 area, covering around 5,496 people. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 10.4% and 6.7% of residents respectively. A total of 66.7% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 64.7% across Rest of WA. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 24.1%, with around 2,552 people falling into this age category compared to the state average of 21.7%. Health outcomes among seniors in Gingin-Dandaragan are particularly strong, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, Gingin - Dandaragan records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gingin-Dandaragan, surveyed in June 2016, had a cultural diversity profile roughly matching the wider region's average. It reported 83.2% citizens, 76.1% born in Australia, and 91.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 46.2%, compared to 49.0% across Rest of WA.

Top ancestry groups were English (34.0%), Australian (30.8%), and Scottish (7.6%). Notably, Dutch (1.5%) and Welsh (0.6%) showed equal representation in Gingin-Dandaragan as regionally.

Gingin - Dandaragan ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Gingin-Dandaragan has a median age of 49, which is higher than Rest of WA's figure of 40 and significantly above the national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group makes up 15.6% of its population, compared to Rest of WA's figure, while the 5-14 cohort constitutes 10.0%. This 65-74 concentration is notably higher than the national average of 9.4%. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 10.6% to 12.4%, while the 65 to 74 cohort has decreased from 17.1% to 15.6% and the 75 to 84 group has dropped from 8.2% to 6.8%. By 2041, Gingin-Dandaragan is projected to undergo significant demographic shifts. The 25 to 34 age group is expected to grow by 34%, reaching 1,761 people from its current total of 1,312. Meanwhile, the 85+ and 15 to 24 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.