Geraldton - South

Population growth drivers in Geraldton - South are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Geraldton - South's population is around 11,227 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 894 people (8.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,333 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,077 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 21 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 427 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Geraldton - South's 8.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (8.1%) and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, which contributed approximately 64.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is utilising the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). As we examine future population trends, an above-median population growth for national non-metropolitan areas is projected, with the area expected to expand by 1,951 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 16.0% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Geraldton - South when compared nationally

Geraldton - South has experienced around 27 dwellings receiving development approval each year, with 135 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 35 so far in FY-26. With an average of 4.6 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply is substantially lagging demand, which generally means heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $289,000. There have also been $2.1 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating the area's residential nature.

Relative to the Rest of WA, Geraldton - South records about 59% of the building activity per person and places in the 44th percentile of areas assessed nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing properties. This is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. New development consists of 94.0% detached houses and 6.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated count of 614 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Looking ahead, Geraldton - South is expected to grow by 1,801 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Geraldton - South has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 2ndth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 17 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Revised Wandina Structure Plan, Geraldton Cycling Network Expansion Project, Geraldton Cycle Network Expansion Project, and the Meru Waste Management Facility Gas Flaring System Project, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Geraldton - South rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Geraldton - South features a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of just 1.9%, and 2.0% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 5,953 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 1.6% below Regional WA's rate of 3.5%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (69.5% compared to Regional WA's 67.4%). Based on Census responses, a low 4.4% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. The area has a particular employment specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 3.7% versus the regional average of 9.3%. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increase by 2.0% alongside a labour force increase of 2.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Regional WA experienced employment growth of 1.0% and labour force growth of 1.4%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Geraldton - South. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Geraldton - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The Geraldton - South SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $57,851 and an average of $72,019 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is above the national average, contrasting with Regional WA's median income of $59,973 and average income of $74,392. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $63,416 (median) and $78,947 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Geraldton - South cluster around the 68th percentile nationally. Looking at income distribution, the largest segment comprises 36.3% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (4,075 residents), aligning with the region where this cohort likewise represents 31.1%. After housing costs, residents retain 87.7% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Geraldton - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Geraldton - South, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 86.9% houses and 13.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional WA's 88.5% houses and 11.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Geraldton - South was lagging that of Regional WA, at 29.9%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (41.4%) or rented (28.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Regional WA average at $1,661, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $300, compared to Regional WA's $1,560 and $265. Nationally, Geraldton - South's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Geraldton - South has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 74.8% of all households, comprising 32.6% couples with children, 30.0% couples without children, and 11.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.2%, with lone person households at 22.7% and group households comprising 2.5% of the total. The median household size of 2.6 people is larger than the Regional WA average of 2.5.

Educational outcomes in Geraldton - South fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (19.5%) substantially below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 13.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.8%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 42.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (31.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 9.8% in secondary education, and 2.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 65 active transport stops operating within Geraldton - South, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 7 individual routes, collectively providing 102 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 235 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling. A relatively low 4.4% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 14 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 1 weekly trips per individual stop.

Geraldton - South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Geraldton - South, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is fairly high at approximately 55% of the total population (~6,163 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 8.2% and 7.5% of residents, respectively, while 70.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.3% across Regional WA. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 14.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,572 people), which is lower than the 19.2% in Regional WA. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Geraldton - South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Geraldton - South was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 88.1% of its population being citizens, 82.1% born in Australia, and 89.6% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Geraldton - South is Christianity, which makes up 51.7% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Islam, which comprises 2.2% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Regional WA.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Geraldton - South are English, comprising 29.8% of the population, Australian, comprising 29.2% of the population, and Irish, comprising 7.6% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: South Australian is notably overrepresented at 1.2% of Geraldton - South (vs 0.6% regionally), Australian Aboriginal at 4.4% (vs 6.1%) and New Zealand at 0.8% (vs 0.9%).

Geraldton - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

At 38 years, Geraldton - South's median age is marginally below the Regional WA average of 40, though in line with the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Regional WA average, the 15 - 24 cohort is notably over-represented (12.0% locally), while 55 - 64 year-olds are under-represented (10.6%). Following the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 11.9% to 13.7% of the population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 13.8% to 14.9%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 12.2% to 10.6% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 15.8% to 14.3%. Demographic modeling suggests Geraldton - South's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 42%, adding 643 residents to reach 2,183. On the other hand, both the 85+ and 65 to 74 age groups will see reduced numbers.