Jurien Bay

Jurien Bay lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

According to demographic evaluations from the ABS for the surrounding territory, along with fresh locations verified by AreaSearch post-Census, the suburb of Jurien Bay has an estimated residency of 2,469 in May 2026. This indicates a growth of 484 people (24.4%) from the 2021 Census, when the headcount stood at 1,985 people. The variation is determined from the local occupancy of 2,444, calculated by AreaSearch using the June 2025 ABS ERP data release combined with 76 validated new addresses verified after the Census. This population scale translates to a density of 4.7 persons per square kilometer, showcasing a spacious living environment. The 24.4% expansion rate of the suburb of Jurien Bay post-2021 exceeded the national benchmark of 9.3% and outperformed the SA4 region, positioning it as a regional growth frontrunner. Net gains were heavily propelled by arrivals from other states, which accounted for roughly 47.0% of the demographic increase, though all sources including international relocation and natural increases remained positive.

ABS and Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a 2022 baseline are applied to each SA2 zone. For localities outside this dataset, and to project trends beyond 2032, growth rates matching age cohorts from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections (using 2022 figures) are utilized. Looking at future demographic patterns, expansion exceeding the median for regional Australian locations is anticipated, with aggregated SA2 projections indicating the suburb of Jurien Bay will gain 405 persons by 2041, representing a total increase of 15.4% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Jurien Bay among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on analysis of ABS construction permits distributed from statistical boundaries, the locality registers about 23 residential building approvals yearly, accumulating to 116 homes over the preceding 5 financial years. Thus far in FY-26, 50 approvals have been documented. Because an average of 4 people per year relocated to the vicinity for every residence constructed during the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, demand outstrips supply, which generally drives up prices and intensifies buyer rivalry. Meanwhile, newly built dwellings carry an average construction value of $435,000, indicating that builders are targeting the higher-end market with premium housing. Additionally, commercial building approvals have reached $4.1 million during this financial year, which highlights the area's residential profile.

In comparison to the Rest of WA, building permit volume per capita is 81.0% higher here, offering purchasers plenty of options. Furthermore, recent building activity consists entirely of separate houses, maintaining the low-density footprint of the neighborhood and catering to buyers seeking standalone properties and space. With roughly 109 people for each new home approval, the locality displays typical signs of a developing area.

Projecting forward, the local population is expected to expand by 380 residents by 2041 compared to the most recent quarterly estimates. At the observed pace of building, the volume of new residences should easily satisfy incoming demand, providing favorable purchasing conditions and potentially fostering growth that outpaces current projections.

Jurien Bay has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 7thth percentile nationally

Local planning, infrastructure changes, and major works have a significant impact on local performance. AreaSearch has identified no projects that are expected to influence this locality. The primary regional projects include the WA Police Satellite Technology Upgrade, Western Australia Agricultural Supply Chain Improvements, South West Interconnected System Transformation, and Regional And Rural Wa Road Network Safety Improvements.

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Despite maintaining a low unemployment rate of 3.8%, Jurien Bay has experienced recent job losses, resulting in a below average employment performance ranking when compared nationally

The local workforce exhibits a steady split between professional and manual roles, with industrial and manufacturing segments strongly represented and a jobless rate of only 3.8%. In March 2026, 1,227 residents were employed. This jobless rate is 0.3% higher than the Regional WA figure of 3.5%, while the labor participation rate of 60.7% sits below the Regional WA benchmark of 65.6%. Census files show that a modest 9.2% of the workforce operated from home, though this may have been influenced by pandemic-related restrictions.

The primary sectors employing local residents are building, mining, and hospitality services. The hospitality sector displays a high concentration, employing people at a rate 1.5 times the regional standard. Conversely, farming, forestry and fishing are underrepresented, accounting for 4.9% of workers compared to the regional average of 9.3%. The discrepancy between the census-recorded working population and resident counts suggests that local job openings within the immediate vicinity are relatively scarce.

Evaluation of SALM and ABS statistics for the broader region reveals that during the 12 months ending March 2026, the available labor pool shrank by 3.6% alongside a 5.6% drop in employment, causing the jobless rate to rise by 2.1 percentage points. By comparison, Regional WA recorded a marginal 0.1% employment contraction, a 0.3% expansion in its labor force, and a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. National forecasts released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 provide a guide to potential employment demand. These five-year and ten-year forecasts are matched against local jobs to project growth. Nationally, employment is predicted to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary by sector. Projecting these trends onto the local industry profile indicates employment could rise by 5.3% over five years and 11.5% over ten years, representing a basic weighted extrapolation that does not incorporate local population forecasts.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

Tax statistics for financial year 2023 show a median taxpayer income of $44,492 and an average of $59,917 within the postcode. These figures sit below the national benchmarks and contrast with Regional WA's median of $59,973 and average of $74,392. Adjusted for a Wage Price Index rise of 10.93% since financial year 2023, the updated figures are estimated at $49,355 for the median and $66,466 for the average as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual earnings all sit between the 12th and 16th percentiles nationally. The largest cohort of earners comprises 25.3% of the community (624 people) who receive weekly income in the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which is comparable to the regional proportion of 31.1% in the same bracket. Affordability is highly constrained, with only 84.4% of earnings remaining after housing expenses, placing the area in the 13th percentile.

Jurien Bay is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Residential structures in the area at the last Census consisted of 92.3% standalone houses and 7.6% alternative dwellings like townhouses and apartments, compared to 88.5% houses and 11.6% other property types across Regional WA. Home ownership is high at 46.6%, exceeding the Regional WA average, while the remaining properties are split between those with a mortgage (27.0%) and those being rented (26.4%). The median monthly home loan payment was $1,625, and the median weekly rent stood at $320, both higher than the Regional WA averages of $1,560 and $265. On a national level, these local mortgage costs are lower than the Australian median of $1,863, and rents are below the national median of $375.

Jurien Bay has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Families make up 69.6% of local households, consisting of couples with children (19.2%), couples without children (42.4%), and single-parent homes (7.4%). The remaining 30.4% are non-family households, which are mostly single-person households (28.0%) along with group shared houses (2.3%). The median household size of 2.2 residents is smaller than the Regional WA average of 2.5.

Jurien Bay faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

Educational attainment levels show that 12.9% of residents have a university qualification, which is lower than the national benchmark of 30.4%. Among these, bachelor degrees are held by 9.9% of residents, while postgraduate degrees and graduate diplomas each account for 1.5%. Vocational and technical qualifications are highly prevalent, with 42.8% of the population aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (32.3%).

A total of 22.7% of the local population is engaged in formal studies. This group is distributed across primary schooling (10.9%), high school education (7.0%), and higher education or vocational courses (1.1%).

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport services consist of 1 active bus stop within the area. This stop is served by 1 route, which provides 4 passenger trips per week. Transport accessibility is low, with residents living an average of 2169 meters from their nearest stop. Most workers commute out of the area, with private cars remaining the primary mode of travel at 86%, while 2% of commuters ride bicycles. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 cars per household. A low 9.2% of the workforce worked from home, based on 2021 Census data which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.

Across all transit routes, service frequency averages no daily trips, representing approximately 4 departures per week at each individual stop.

The level of general health in Jurien Bay is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Health indicators are positive, with low rates of common medical issues observed among both younger and older age brackets, while approximately 51% of the population (~1,258 people) holds private health insurance. This is lower than the Regional WA average of 56.4%.

Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent health issues, affecting 11.9% and 7.6% of the population respectively. Meanwhile, 63.5% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 69.3% in Regional WA. Residents of working age experience higher-than-average rates of chronic ailments. The community has a high concentration of seniors, with 24.4% of residents aged 65 and over (602 people) compared to 19.2% in Regional WA. Senior health outcomes are strong, ranking higher nationally than the general local population.

Jurien Bay is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Cultural diversity measures are low, with citizens making up 86.1% of the population, 83.8% of residents born in Australia, and 96.5% using only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 38.7% of the community. The most distinct relative overrepresentation is in the Other category, which accounts for 0.6% of residents compared to 0.7% across Regional WA.

Regarding parental birthplace, the largest ancestry groups are Australian at 34.6% of the population (well above the regional average of 28.4%), English at 34.2%, and Scottish at 8.4%. Minor variations are seen in other groups, with French heritage representing 0.5% (compared to 0.4% regionally), New Zealand background at 0.7% (compared to 0.9% regionally), and Macedonian ancestry at 0.1% (compared to 0.1% regionally).

Jurien Bay ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age of 50 years is higher than the Regional WA average of 40 and the national median of 38 years. Residents aged 65 - 74 years are highly represented at 17.1%, which is above the national average of 9.4%, while the 15 - 24 age bracket is relatively small at 7.1% compared to Regional WA. Since 2021, the median age has decreased from 52 to 50 years. Key shifts include growth in the 25 to 34 age bracket from 9.2% to 12.5% and the 35 to 44 bracket from 10.9% to 13.3%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 group fell from 19.6% to 17.1%, and the 75 to 84 cohort dropped from 7.5% to 5.3%. By 2041, demographic shifts are expected to continue, with the 35 to 44 age cohort projected to grow by 96 people (29%) from 328 to 425, while the 85+ and 15 to 24 age groups are projected to contract.