Jurien Bay

Jurien Bay lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of the suburb of Jurien Bay as of Feb 2026 is around 2,306. This reflects an increase of 321 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,985 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,188 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 72 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 4.4 persons per square kilometer. Jurien Bay's growth rate of 16.2% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region's 9.9% and the national average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch utilises the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth of Australia's non-metropolitan areas is projected for Jurien Bay, with the area expected to grow by 369 persons to 2041 reflecting a total increase of 15.9% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Jurien Bay among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Jurien Bay has received around 18 dwelling approvals annually on average over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 91 homes. In FY26 so far, 13 approvals have been recorded. This results in approximately 3.5 new residents per year for every home built between FY21 and FY25. Commercial approvals of $4.1 million have been registered this financial year, indicating the area's residential character.

Compared to the Rest of WA, Jurien Bay has seen slightly more development, with 46.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. All new construction in Jurien Bay has consisted of detached dwellings, preserving its low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers, with around 79 people per approval. AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Jurien Bay to add 366 residents by 2041.

At current development rates, new housing supply should meet demand comfortably, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections. The average construction cost value of new homes is $435,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties.

Jurien Bay has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 15thth percentile nationally

No infrastructure changes significantly influence a region's performance. AreaSearch has identified zero projects likely impacting this area. Notable ones include WA Police Satellite Technology Upgrade, Western Australia Agricultural Supply Chain Improvements, South West Interconnected System Transformation, and Regional And Rural Wa Road Network Safety Improvements.

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Employment performance in Jurien Bay exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Jurien Bay has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs, notably in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate as of September 2025 is 2.3%. This rate is below the Rest of WA's rate of 3.3%, by 1.0 percentage point.

Workforce participation is lower than the regional average at 63.3% compared to Rest of WA's 67.2%. According to Census data, a low 9.2% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries are construction, mining, and accommodation & food services. The area has a notably high concentration in accommodation & food services, with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 4.9% of Jurien Bay's workforce compared to 9.3% in Rest of WA. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.9%, employment decreased by 3.4%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Jurien Bay's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.3% over five years and 11.5% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Jurien Bay had a median taxpayer income of $44,492 and an average income of $59,917. This is lower than the national average. The Rest of WA had a median income of $59,973 and an average of $74,392 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth, estimated incomes for Jurien Bay as of September 2025 would be approximately $48,772 (median) and $65,681 (average). According to 2021 Census figures, Jurien Bay's household, family, and personal incomes fall between the 12th and 16th percentiles nationally. Income distribution data shows that 25.3% of locals (583 people) earn between $1,500 - 2,999 per year, similar to the broader regional trend of 31.1%. Housing affordability is severe in Jurien Bay, with only 84.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 13th percentile nationally.

Jurien Bay is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Jurien Bay, as per the latest Census, 92.3% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 7.6% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Non-Metro WA's 88.5% houses and 11.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Jurien Bay stood at 46.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.0% and rented ones at 26.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,625, higher than Non-Metro WA's average of $1,560. The median weekly rent in Jurien Bay was $320, compared to Non-Metro WA's $265. Nationally, Jurien Bay's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,625 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were also lower at $320 compared to the national figure of $375.

Jurien Bay has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 69.6% of all households, including 19.2% that are couples with children, 42.4% that are couples without children, and 7.4% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 30.4%, with lone person households at 28.0% and group households comprising 2.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of WA average of 2.5.

Jurien Bay faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.9%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (32.3%).

A substantial 22.7% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, comprising 10.9% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 1.1% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Jurien Bay has one active public transport stop, operating a mix of bus services. This stop is served by one route, offering four weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is limited, with residents typically located 2169 meters from the nearest transport stop. The area is primarily residential, with most commuters traveling outward. Cars are the dominant mode of transport, used by 86% of residents, while 2% cycle. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 9.2% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages zero trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately four weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Jurien Bay is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Jurien Bay demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low for both young and old age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover was relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population, around 1,175 people, compared to 56.4% across the rest of WA. The most common medical conditions in the area were arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 11.9 and 7.6% of residents respectively. 63.5% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.3% across the rest of WA. Working-age residents showed an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area had 25.3% of residents aged 65 and over, around 583 people, which was higher than the 19.2% in the rest of WA. Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Jurien Bay is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Jurien Bay's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 86.1% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia on 83.8%, and speaking English only at home on 96.5%. Christianity is the predominant religion in Jurien Bay, comprising 38.7% of its population. The most notable overrepresentation was seen in the 'Other' category, with 0.6% of Jurien Bay's population compared to 0.7% across the rest of WA.

In terms of ancestry, Australians were the most represented group at 34.6%, significantly higher than the regional average of 28.4%. English and Scottish groups followed, making up 34.2% and 8.4% respectively. Notably, French (0.5%), New Zealand (0.7%), and Macedonian (0.1%) ethnicities showed variations in representation compared to regional averages.

Jurien Bay ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Jurien Bay's median age is 51 years, significantly older than Rest of WA's 40 years and higher than Australia's median age of 38 years. The age profile shows that the 65-74 year-olds are prominent at 18.1%, while the 15-24 year-olds comprise only 7.6%. This concentration of 65-74 year-olds is well above the national average of 9.5%. Post-2021 Census data shows that younger residents have shifted Jurien Bay's median age down by 1.2 years to 51 years. Notably, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 9.2% to 11.7%, and the 35 to 44 cohort has increased from 10.9% to 12.1%. Conversely, the 75 to 84 year-olds have declined from 7.5% to 5.2%, and the 45 to 54 year-olds have dropped from 13.1% to 11.6%. Population forecasts for Jurien Bay in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the 35-44 age group projected to grow by 34%, adding 95 residents to reach 375. Meanwhile, both the 85+ and 15-24 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.