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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Upper Swan has an estimated 2,303 residents, up from 549 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,754 people, or 319.5%. 810 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 59.0% of that increase. That puts 113 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations combining ABS demographic updates for the wider district and 810 validated new addresses recorded following the Census, the suburb of Upper Swan has reached an estimated population of approximately 2,303 as of Aug 2026. This marks an expansion of 1,754 people (319.5%) from the 549 residents counted during the 2021 Census. The updated figure builds on an estimated resident population of 2,181 established after reviewing the ABS ERP release from June 2025 alongside ongoing address confirmations. With a population density sitting at 113 persons per square kilometer, the locality offers generous living space and substantial capacity for future expansion.
Outpacing both state figures and the 9.5% national benchmark, the suburb of Upper Swan recorded 319.5% growth since the 2021 census to emerge as an area frontrunner. Inward interstate migration served as the primary growth engine by generating roughly 59.0% of recent population additions, complemented by positive contributions from natural increase and overseas arrivals. For local modeling, AreaSearch applies 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 projections benchmarked against 2022. Across any SA2 locations lacking direct coverage, as well as for all projections beyond 2032, cohort growth rates from the 2023 Greater Capital Region ABS release (benchmarked to 2022) are incorporated. Looking forward, demographic forecasts indicate expansion above the national statistical area median, with the suburb of Upper Swan projected to add 269 persons by 2041 under consolidated SA2 modeling, representing an overall gain of 6.4% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
800 new dwellings have been approved in Upper Swan over the past five years, an average of 160 a year. That places the area in the 95th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 69 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 155 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 99% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 131, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Evaluations of ABS building approvals by AreaSearch indicate that Upper Swan averages approximately 160 residential development permits annually, totaling an estimated 800 dwellings sanctioned over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) with 131 approved to date in FY-25. The area has added an average of 2.1 new residents per year for every home constructed across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demonstrating steady demand that underpins local property values. Construction costs for new residences average $429,000. In addition, $2.5 million in commercial approvals was registered during the current financial year, underscoring the predominantly residential focus of local building activity.
On a per capita basis, Upper Swan exhibits 1195.0% greater building activity than Greater Perth, presenting purchasers with wider options even as building volumes have tempered recently. This rate substantially exceeds countrywide benchmarks, demonstrating strong builder confidence. The local construction pipeline is composed of 99.0% detached houses and 1.0% attached dwellings, preserving the traditional low-density neighborhood fabric centered on family living and spaciousness. The metric of approximately 17 people per dwelling approval highlights a growing development market. According to the most recent quarterly calculation from AreaSearch, Upper Swan is slated to grow by 147 residents by 2041. Ongoing construction levels appear well-positioned to satisfy incoming housing requirements, establishing beneficial market conditions for purchasers and potentially facilitating growth above existing projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Upper Swan
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 45 current infrastructure and development projects close to Upper Swan, worth an estimated $15.4 billion. 18 are already under construction and 21 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans communities, precincts & urban renewal, residential development and retail. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic planning policies and infrastructure investment remain critical determinants of regional performance. AreaSearch has pinpointed 2 key initiatives positioned to influence the area. Principal developments encompass the North Ellenbrook (West) District Structure Plan, Vale Estate (Aveley), Tonkin Highway North Ellenbrook Interchange, and North Ellenbrook (East) District Structure Plan, with primary focus on the schemes of direct relevance.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Stockland Vale Aveley
Vale at Aveley is Stockland's masterplanned community in Perth's north-east within the City of Swan. The estate continues through its final development stages with residential land releases, parks, lakes, schools, retail facilities and community infrastructure largely established. Recent marketing indicates the community is approaching sell-out while remaining stages continue to be delivered.
Brooklane Shopping Centre
Neighbourhood shopping centre serving northern Ellenbrook. Opened July 2021, anchored by Woolworths on an initial 12-year term, with 14 tenants, one office and a freestanding pad site. Approx. 5,053 sqm NLA.
North Ellenbrook (West) District Structure Plan
The North Ellenbrook West District Structure Plan establishes a strategic framework for a 393-hectare urban growth area within the City of Swan. The precinct is designed to deliver approximately 4,000 to 4,500 new dwellings, accommodating up to 7,500 residents. Key infrastructure includes a 100 million dollar Tonkin Highway interchange, new primary and secondary schools, a neighborhood retail center, and over 50 hectares of conservation and public open space. The plan facilitates the transition from Rural to Urban Deferred zoning, integrating with the METRONET Ellenbrook station to provide high-frequency transit links.
Village 6 Malvern Springs Development Plan
Development plan governing Ellenbrook's Village 6 (Malvern Springs), guiding approximately 1,954 dwellings, a primary school (approx. 400 students) and a village centre with 2,000-4,000 m2 of retail and community uses. The plan has been updated through successive amendments, addressing land use mix in the Village Centre and residential densities.
Brooklane Shopping Centre
Award-winning neighbourhood shopping centre featuring modern architecture with 5,500sqm leasable area. Anchored by Woolworths and BWS with 14 specialty stores, one office and pad site. Features distinctive design elements including a Stormie Mills mural, Johannes Pannekoek sculpture, and landscaped Brooklane connecting retail spaces. TRCB-designed centre with raw concrete arches, reclaimed bricks and Swan Valley contextual theming. Includes 273 car spaces and state-of-the-art facilities.
Gnangara Road Duplication
Duplication of approximately 1.25 km of Gnangara Road between Henley Brook Avenue and Pinaster Parade to provide dual carriageways, upgraded intersections, shared path, drainage and new street lighting. The northern carriageway is open to traffic while construction of the southern carriageway and reconstruction of the Losino Boulevard intersection are continuing. Both carriageways are expected to open by October 2026, with final finishing works to follow.
Ellenbrook Community Centre
A $9 million community-driven facility featuring district-scale function halls, meeting rooms, an arts and craft studio, and a dedicated workshop for the Ellenbrook Men's Shed. The centre serves as a shared home for diverse local groups, multicultural associations, and the RSL, providing modern spaces for social inclusion and community wellbeing programs. The project was completed in January 2026.
Aveley Secondary College Expansion
Expansion of Aveley Secondary College facilities to accommodate growing student population in the Ellenbrook/Aveley corridor. Additional classrooms, laboratories, and recreational facilities to support educational excellence.
1,278 residents of Upper Swan are employed, from a labour force of 1,323. Unemployment sits at 3.4%, with participation at 74.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.8% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 3,422, about 149% of the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The workforce in Upper Swan displays an even distribution across white and blue-collar occupations, distinguished by prominent representation in the construction industry, a low jobless rate of 3.4%, and an estimated 21.5% annual increase in employment according to AreaSearch district aggregations. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 1,278, with unemployment tracking 0.8% below the 4.2% recorded for Greater Perth and labor force participation sitting at a solid 74.4% compared to 69.9% across Greater Perth. Census records show that a modest 11.4% of workers conducted their duties from home, a metric potentially shaped by Covid-19 restrictions.
Education & training, construction, and health care & social assistance constitute the primary sources of employment for local residents. The suburb displays pronounced labor concentration in education & training, recording a sector share 1.4 times the regional proportion. In contrast, professional & technical roles account for only 2.9% locally against 8.2% across the wider region. Hosting 1.5 workers for every resident as of the Census, the locality operates as an employment center that provides more jobs than it has resident workers and draws labor from nearby communities. AreaSearch evaluations of ABS and SALM metrics indicate that over the 12 months to March 2026, local employment expanded by 21.5% while the labor pool grew by 21.9%, yielding a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. By comparison, Greater Perth experienced a 2.0% employment increase and a 2.5% labor force gain, accompanied by a 0.4 percentage point rise. Further context is provided by Jobs and Skills Australia national forecasts from Mar-26, which model five and ten-year labor demand across industry sectors. Countrywide employment is anticipated to climb by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though sector trajectories vary. Applying these industry weightings to the Upper Swan occupational base points to projected local employment gains of 5.8% over five years and 12.3% over ten years (representing an illustrative weighting calculation that excludes localized demographic projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Upper Swan is $1,482 a week (about $77,000 a year), with median personal income at $659 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $41,794 a year against an average of $50,061. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Tax data compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 shows Upper Swan recording a median taxpayer income of $41,794 and a mean of $50,061. These earnings sit below countrywide norms and trail Greater Perth, where median and average figures stand at $60,748 and $80,248 respectively. Adjusting for 10.93% Wage Price Index movement since financial year 2023 places updated estimates at approximately $46,362 (median) and $55,533 (average) as of March 2026. Findings from the 2021 Census position household, family, and individual incomes between the 20th and 34th percentiles. The primary earnings bracket encompasses 29.5% of taxpayers making $800 - 1,499 weekly (679 residents), diverging from regional distributions where 32.0% receive $1,500 - 2,999.
Residents retain 86.5% of income after meeting housing commitments, placing the suburb in the 6th decile on the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Upper Swan had 206 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 99% detached houses and 1% apartments. 39% are owned with a mortgage, 10% rented and 51% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $300 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,885 a month. Rent absorbs 20.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 29.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential housing in Upper Swan at the most recent Census was overwhelmingly dominated by standalone houses at 98.6%, with semi-detached properties, units, and other formats accounting for 1.4%, in contrast to Perth metro figures of 77.8% separate houses and 22.1% alternative dwellings. Outright home ownership reached 51.0%, substantially above the metropolitan norm, while 38.9% of properties were under mortgage and 10.1% were tenanted. Monthly median mortgage costs of $1,885 and weekly median rents of $300 were both lower than the Perth metro benchmarks of $1,907 and $350. Relative to Australia-wide figures, local mortgage servicing costs exceed the $1,863 national median, whereas local rental costs sit well underneath the national $375 benchmark.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Upper Swan counted 206 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 864 today, averaging 2.5 people each. 24% are couples with children, against 37% couples without children. 25% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute 74.3% of all households in the area, divided between couples without children (37.4%), couples with children (23.8%), and single parent arrangements (10.7%). Non-family living arrangements make up the remaining 25.7%, comprising single-person households at 24.8% and group households at 1.5%. Average household occupancy stands at 2.5 people, marginally below the Greater Perth figure of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
13.0% of adults in Upper Swan hold a university qualification, including 8.7% with a bachelor degree and 2.8% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 27.7% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 421 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,007 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational profiles in the suburb indicate room for expansion in higher education, as the 13.0% tertiary degree attainment rate sits well underneath the 30.4% national average, highlighting a clear focal area for targeted academic strategies. Bachelor degrees represent the largest university cohort at 8.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 2.8% and graduate diplomas at 1.5%. Vocational training is heavily represented across the community, with 37.4% of residents aged 15+ possessing technical credentials, including 27.7% holding certificates and 9.7% with advanced diplomas. Formal education engages 19.3% of the local population. Breaking this down across institutions, secondary schools account for 8.1%, primary schools encompass 5.8%, and tertiary institutions represent 2.1% of community members.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Upper Swan reaches 22 stops on 4 routes, timetabled for about 270 services a week. The typical home sits about 170 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 2.3 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Commuter networks in Upper Swan encompass 22 operational public transport stops served exclusively by bus routes. Across these locations, 4 separate routes operate to deliver 274 weekly passenger trips. Public transit access is strong, with the typical resident residing 165 meters from their closest stop. Given the outward commuting flow of this residential suburb, private vehicles remain the overwhelming transport choice at 94%, while 5% of journeys are made on foot. Motor vehicle availability stands above regional averages at 2.3 per household, while a modest 11.4% worked from home during the 2021 Census amid potential COVID-19 influences.
Across all transit corridors, service schedules deliver an average of 39 trips per day, which translates to roughly 12 weekly trips at each separate stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
59.5% of residents in Upper Swan report no long-term health condition. 4.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 47.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health metrics for Upper Swan residents show generally favorable patterns, with AreaSearch evaluations of chronic conditions and mortality aligning closely with national averages and showing typical incidences across all age brackets. Private health insurance coverage is notably subdued at approximately 47% of the total population (~1,084 people), trailing the Greater Perth level of 59.0% and the nationwide figure of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health challenges represent the most prevalent health issues, affecting 11.0% and 10.2% of residents respectively, whereas 59.5% reported no chronic medical conditions compared with 71.9% across Greater Perth.
The working-age cohort demonstrates heightened rates of long-term health issues. Seniors aged 65 and over comprise 18.2% of the local community (419 people), exceeding the 15.9% proportion in Greater Perth, with older residents recording strong health metrics that place above general population national standards.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Upper Swan is largely Australian-born, at 79.6% of residents, with 2.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (36.3%) and Australian (27.5%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Upper Swan exhibits a relatively uniform cultural demographic, with Australian-born individuals representing 79.6% of the population, 89.1% holding Australian citizenship, and 97.2% speaking exclusively English at home. Christianity is the predominant religious faith, claimed by 47.8% of the community compared to 45.0% across Greater Perth. Regarding ancestral backgrounds, English heritage is the most common at 36.3% of the population, well above the 28.0% regional standard, followed by Australian ancestry at 27.5% compared to 21.2% regionally, and Scottish ancestry at 7.5%. Additional distinctive cultural representations include Croatian background at 2.8% (against 0.8% across the region), Dutch ancestry at 2.2% (against 1.5%), and Welsh heritage at 0.8% (against 0.7%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Upper Swan is 47, older than 94% of areas nationally. That is 5 years younger than at the 2021 Census. 24.6% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution in Upper Swan aligns closely with Greater Perth, with the maximum divergence across the four broad life stages being just 6.5 percentage points. The estimated median age stood at 47 as at August 2026, declining from 52 at the 2021 Census but remaining above the Greater Perth median of 37 and the national median of 38 recorded at that Census. Since the Census, the proportion of seniors and retirees (65+) decreased from 31.5% to an estimated 18.2%. Looking to 2041, senior cohorts are projected to experience the strongest growth, rising by 200 (48%) to 619, while numbers of children, young adults, and early-to-mid career adults are forecast to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Upper Swan
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 last month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 4 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 810 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (549 at the 2021 Census → 2,303 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL51482). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.