The Vines

The Vines lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The Vines statistical area's population is estimated at around 6,569 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 721 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,848 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 6,280 residents following examination of ABS ERP data (June 2024), along with 21 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 1,016 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across other areas assessed by AreaSearch. The Vines' 12.3% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.7%). Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 59.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers being positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023 based on 2022 data). Future population trends indicate a significant increase is forecast for the top quartile of national areas. The Vines is expected to increase by 1,987 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 38.8% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within The Vines when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows The Vines had approximately 17 residential properties approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling about 85 homes. In FY26 so far, 21 approvals have been recorded. On average, around 18.2 people moved to the area each year for every dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating supply lagging demand and potential buyer competition leading to pricing pressures. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $391,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year has seen approximately $74,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting minimal commercial development activity compared to Greater Perth, where The Vines is 80.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new properties may strengthen demand and prices for existing properties. Recent construction activity has intensified, though it remains below the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. All recent development comprised detached dwellings, preserving The Vines' suburban character with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. Currently, there are around 275 people per approval in The Vines, reflecting a transitioning market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to add 2,551 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

The Vines has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 36thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects likely impacting the area: North Ellenbrook (West) District Structure Plan, Village 6 Malvern Springs Development Plan, Ellenbrook Railway Station, and North Ellenbrook (East) District Structure Plan. Most relevant are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in The Vines demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

The Vines has an experienced labor force with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently represented. The unemployment rate was 2.7% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 2.4%.

As of September 2025, 4,260 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.2% below Greater Perth's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation was at 71.0%, exceeding Greater Perth's 65.2%. Key industries for employment among residents included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Notably, mining employed 1.4 times the regional average while health care & social assistance employed 10.7% of local workers, below Greater Perth's 14.8%.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.4%, labor force by 3.0%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth experienced employment growth of 2.9% and a marginal unemployment rate increase. State-level data to November 25, 2025 showed WA employment contracted by 0.27%, with the state unemployment rate at 4.6%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to The Vines' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, assuming constant population growth for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, The Vines suburb had a median income among taxpayers of $63,040 with an average level standing at $75,510. Nationally, these figures are very high compared to median and average incomes of $60,748 and $80,248 respectively across Greater Perth. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year ended June 2023, current estimates for The Vines would be approximately $69,104 (median) and $82,774 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census data, household incomes in The Vines rank at the 78th percentile nationally, family incomes at the 83rd percentile, and personal incomes at the 91st percentile. In terms of weekly earnings, 32.6% of residents (2,141 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, similar to the broader area where 32.0% occupy this range. Notably, 41.6% earn above $3,000 weekly, indicating prosperity in the suburb. Housing accounts for 14.8% of income, with residents ranking highly at the 91st percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

The Vines is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The Vines' dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consists of 95.1% houses and 4.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Perth metro's 89.1% houses and 10.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in The Vines stands at 26.2%, with the rest mortgaged (63.4%) or rented (10.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment is $2,300, higher than Perth metro's average of $1,842. The median weekly rent figure in The Vines is $430, compared to Perth metro's $375. Nationally, The Vines' mortgage repayments are significantly higher at $2,300 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

The Vines features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.5% of all households, including 48.4% couples with children, 31.5% couples without children, and 6.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.5%, with lone person households at 11.4% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.8.

The Vines demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational qualifications in The Vines trail Australian benchmarks, with 21.0% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to the national average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 40.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 13.1% and certificates at 27.8%. Educational participation is high, with 31.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.9% in primary education, 10.5% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates three active stops operating within The Vines, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are served by one individual route, collectively facilitating 476 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 682 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 68 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 158 weekly trips per stop.

The Vines's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across The Vines, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Approximately 57% (~3,756 people) of the total population has private health cover. Asthma and mental health issues are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 6.6% and 6.5% of residents respectively. 74.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Perth. The area has 13.6% (893 people) of residents aged 65 and over, with health outcomes among seniors broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in The Vines was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

The Vines was found to have a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 12.0% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 35.9% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in The Vines, making up 52.0% of its population. Notably, Judaism comprises 0.1% of The Vines' population, which is similar to the Greater Perth average of 0.1%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (32.6%), Australian (22.2%), and Other (9.2%). There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: South African (1.8% vs regional 0.8%), Welsh (1.0% vs regional 0.5%), and New Zealand (1.4% vs regional 1.0%).

The Vines's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in The Vines is 39 years, which is slightly higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 and close to the national average of 38. Compared to Greater Perth, the 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in The Vines at 15.2%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.3%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.0% to 14.1% of the population, while the 0-4 cohort has declined from 5.9% to 4.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in The Vines. Notably, the 55-64 age group is projected to grow by 54%, adding 487 people and reaching a total of 1,394 from 906. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age group is expected to grow by 10%, with an increase of 28 residents.