The Vines

The Vines lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The Vines' population, as of November 2025, is estimated at around 6,467 people. This reflects an increase of 619 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,848. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 6,200 residents following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 21 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of approximately 1,001 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's population growth rate of 10.6% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 8.9%. Interstate migration contributed roughly 59.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, though all drivers were positive factors.

For future projections, AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia's projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 estimations, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. By 2041, a significant population increase is forecasted for The Vines, with an expected rise of 1,989 persons, reflecting a total increase of 41.0% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees The Vines among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows The Vines recorded approximately 15 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 76 homes. In FY26 so far, 18 approvals have been recorded. On average, 20.3 people moved to the area per year for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25.

This supply lagging demand indicates heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures, with new homes being constructed at an average expected cost of $391,000, in line with regional trends. Compared to Greater Perth, The Vines has significantly less development activity, 82.0% below the regional average per person. This limited supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. However, development activity has picked up in recent periods. Nationally, The Vines is also under the average, indicating its established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations.

All new construction has been detached dwellings, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes. There are approximately 246 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, The Vines is expected to grow by 2,655 residents through to 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

The Vines has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 43rdth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified two projects likely impacting the area: North Ellenbrook (West) District Structure Plan and Village 6 Malvern Springs Development Plan. Key projects also include Ellenbrook Railway Station and North Ellenbrook (East) District Structure Plan, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in The Vines demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

The Vines has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 2.7% as of June 2025, which is below Greater Perth's rate of 3.9%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.3%. As of June 2025, 4,095 residents were in work and the unemployment rate was 1.2% lower than Greater Perth's rate. Workforce participation was higher at 71.0%, compared to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Leading employment industries included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

The area had a notable concentration in mining, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average. However, health care & social assistance had limited presence at 10.7%, compared to the regional average of 14.8%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 3.3% while labour force increased by 4.2%, causing unemployment rate to rise by 0.8 percentage points. Greater Perth recorded employment growth of 3.7%, labour force growth of 3.8%, with unemployment rising by 0.1 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within The Vines. These projections indicate national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to The Vines' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.4% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2022, The Vines had a median income among taxpayers of $63,040. The average income stood at $75,510. Nationally, the median and average incomes were $58,380 and $78,020 respectively in Greater Perth. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, current estimates for The Vines are approximately $71,992 (median) and $86,232 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family, and personal incomes in The Vines ranked between the 78th and 91st percentiles nationally. In The Vines, 32.6% of individuals earned within the $1,500 - 2,999 range, aligning with the metropolitan region at 32.0%. Notably, 41.6% earned above $3,000 weekly. Housing accounted for 14.8% of income, and residents ranked in the 91st percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 8th decile.

The Vines is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The Vines' dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.1% houses and 4.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Perth metro had 89.1% houses and 10.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in The Vines was at 26.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 63.4% and rented ones at 10.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,300, higher than Perth metro's average of $1,842. The median weekly rent figure in The Vines was recorded at $430, compared to Perth metro's $375. Nationally, The Vines' mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

The Vines features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.5% of all households, consisting of 48.4% couples with children, 31.5% couples without children, and 6.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 12.5%, with lone person households at 11.4% and group households comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.8.

The Vines demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The Vines trail regional benchmarks in educational qualifications, with 21.0% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to Australia's 30.4%. This indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 14.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 40.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (13.1%) and certificates (27.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 31.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 10.5% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education. Educational facilities appear to be located outside The Vines' immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The Vines has three active public transport stops in operation. These are served by a mix of bus routes, with one route providing service to all stops collectively facilitating 476 weekly passenger trips. Residents' access to transport is limited, with an average distance of 682 meters to the nearest stop.

The service frequency averages 68 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 158 weekly trips per individual stop.

The Vines's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

The Vines' health outcomes show exceptional results with a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is approximately 57% (~3697 people), compared to 54.1% across Greater Perth.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 6.6% and 6.5% of residents respectively. A total of 74.5% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Perth. The area has 13.6% (879 people) of residents aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors align with the general population's health profile.

The Vines was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

The Vines had a higher cultural diversity compared to most local markets, with 12.0% of its population speaking a language other than English at home as of the latest data from 20XX. Additionally, 35.9% of The Vines' population was born overseas by this date. Christianity was the predominant religion in The Vines, making up 52.0% of the population.

However, Judaism showed an overrepresentation with 0.1% of the population, compared to the regional average of 0.1%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English at 32.6%, Australian at 22.2%, and Other at 9.2%. Notably, South African ancestry was overrepresented at 1.8%, Welsh at 1.0%, and New Zealand at 1.4% compared to regional averages of 0.8%, 0.5%, and 1.0% respectively.

The Vines's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in The Vines is 39 years, which is slightly higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Perth, the 55-64 age cohort is notably over-represented in The Vines at 13.8%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.3%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.0% to 14.1% of The Vines' population, while the 0-4 cohort has declined from 5.9% to 4.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest significant demographic changes in The Vines, with the 55-64 age group expected to grow by 57%, reaching 1,398 people from its current size of 892.