Tuart Hill

Population growth drivers in Tuart Hill are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

According to ABS demographic updates and quarterly address data verified by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Tuart Hill has an estimated population of 8,663 as of May 2026. This represents an addition of 1,122 residents (14.9%) relative to the 2021 Census, which documented 7,541 individuals. The estimate is derived from a resident baseline of 8,630 calculated by AreaSearch using the ABS June 2025 ERP release, combined with 59 validated new addresses registered after the Census. The resulting density of 3,973 persons per square kilometer ranks within the highest 10% of all Australian areas assessed by AreaSearch, pointing to high demand for local land. The suburb of Tuart Hill grew by 14.9% from the 2021 census, outstripping the national rate of 9.3% and its containing SA3, establishing it as a regional growth hotspot. This demographic expansion was heavily supported by overseas migration, which accounted for roughly 72.0% of the overall population rise during recent years.

AreaSearch incorporates projections compiled by the ABS and Geoscience Australia for individual SA2 districts, published in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline. For locations lacking this coverage, and to calculate growth beyond 2032, cohort-specific growth rates from the ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 (based on 2022 figures) are applied. Demographic models suggest the suburb of Tuart Hill will experience population expansion exceeding the median of areas analyzed by AreaSearch, with projections indicating an increase of 1,223 persons by 2041, representing a total rise of 13.7% over the 16 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tuart Hill when compared nationally

Analysis of ABS building approvals by AreaSearch indicates that Tuart Hill averages approximately 33 approved residential dwellings annually. A total of 167 properties were approved during the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, with 28 approvals recorded so far in FY-26. Dwellings built between FY-21 and FY-25 averaged 5.3 new residents per home, showing that demand is outpacing supply, a dynamic that tends to heighten buyer competition and lift prices. The average expected construction cost for these new dwellings is $403,000, indicating developers are prioritizing higher-end residential builds for the premium market. Commercial building approvals reached $7.4 million this financial year, underscoring that the area remains predominantly residential.

Compared with Greater Perth, per capita building activity in Tuart Hill is similar, sustaining a balanced market consistent with neighboring localities. Of the properties built recently, 71.0% are freestanding houses and 29.0% are townhouses or units, reinforcing the traditional neighborhood style centered on spacious family living. New construction displays a stronger preference for standalone homes than Census records show (28.0% at Census), highlighting sustained demand for low-density family residences despite urban consolidation trends. The ratio of residents to each building approval stands at roughly 355 people, which is typical of an established community.

Based on the most recent quarterly projections from AreaSearch, Tuart Hill is expected to add 1,190 residents by 2041. Although construction is progressing at a reasonable rate relative to this anticipated growth, buyers may experience tighter competition as the population rises.

Tuart Hill has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

Local infrastructure projects, planning choices, and major works are primary drivers of neighborhood change. AreaSearch has tracked 3 major initiatives with the potential to influence this location. The most notable projects include the Tuart Hill Precinct Structure Plan (City of Stirling), the Robinson Reserve Masterplan & Redevelopment, the Banksia Grove - Tuart Hill (Stage 1 Apartments) project, and the Scarborough Beach Road and Green Street Roundabout, with details provided for the most relevant changes.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Tuart Hill shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Tuart Hill possesses a highly qualified workforce with strong representation in essential services, an unemployment rate of just 3.6%, and estimated annual jobs growth of 3.5%, according to aggregated regional statistics. Working residents totaled 5,633 as of March 2026. The local unemployment rate is 0.6% below the Greater Perth average of 4.2%, and labor force participation is exceptionally high at 77.4% compared to the metropolitan rate of 70.2%. Census data showed that a minor portion of workers (7.0%) performed their duties from home, though this figure was influenced by pandemic-related restrictions.

The major employment sectors for residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. Health care & social assistance is highly concentrated in the area, employing workers at 1.2 times the metropolitan average. Conversely, construction represents a smaller share of employment at 7.4%, compared to the regional rate of 9.3%. The discrepancy between the local working population and resident population suggests that this residential area offers limited job opportunities within its own boundaries.

Analysis of SALM and ABS data, aggregated from broader statistical areas, indicates that over a 12-month period, employment grew by 3.5% while the labour force expanded by 3.9%, leading to a 0.3 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. Greater Perth showed different trends, with employment rising by 2.0% and the labour force growing by 2.5%, resulting in a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 provide additional context for understanding future demand in Tuart Hill. These projections, which cover five and ten-year periods, have been compared with the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. National employment is expected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though growth varies considerably across different industry sectors. When these sector-specific forecasts are applied to Tuart Hill's employment composition, local employment is projected to increase by 6.7% over five years and 14.0% over ten years. This calculation uses a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not incorporate localised population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Tax return data from the ATO for financial year 2023 shows that Tuart Hill taxpayers recorded a median income of $58,820 and an average income of $71,235. This exceeds the national average, though it is lower than the Greater Perth figures of $60,748 (median) and $80,248 (average). Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.93% since financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 stand at approximately $65,249 for median income and $79,021 for average income. In the 2021 Census, individual income was positioned at the 75th percentile ($962 weekly), while household income fell in the 37th percentile. The largest income bracket contains 34.1% of residents (2,954 people) who earn between $1,500 and $2,999, mirroring the wider regional trend of 32.0% in this range. Residents face significant housing cost pressures, leaving just 82.5% of income after housing expenses (ranking in the 36th percentile), while the SEIFA index places the area in the 5th decile for income resources.

Tuart Hill displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

At the latest Census, housing types in Tuart Hill consisted of 27.7% detached houses and 72.3% medium-to-high density options (townhouses, units, and other dwellings), which differs from the Perth metropolitan layout of 77.8% houses and 22.1% alternative dwellings. Home ownership in Tuart Hill was lower than the metropolitan benchmark at 21.9%, with the remaining dwellings occupied by mortgage holders (30.9%) or renters (47.2%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,647 was lower than the Perth metropolitan median of $1,907, and the median weekly rent was $320 compared to the metropolitan median of $350. Nationally, local mortgage costs sit below the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents are lower than the national median of $375.

Tuart Hill features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Families make up 51.9% of all local households, divided into couples without children (24.8%), couples with children (18.0%), and single-parent households (7.9%). The remaining 48.1% of residences are non-family households, with single-person households representing 42.8% and group living situations accounting for 5.1%. The median household size is 2.0 persons, which is lower than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

Tuart Hill shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualification rates in Tuart Hill are high, with 40.9% of residents aged 15 and older holding university degrees, compared to 27.9% across Western Australia and 29.0% in the SA4 region. This qualification rate positions the workforce well for knowledge-intensive sectors. Bachelor degrees represent 27.1% of the population, followed by post-graduate degrees at 10.5% and graduate diplomas at 3.3%. Vocational training is also common, with 30.4% of residents aged 15 and older holding trade qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificate credentials (18.7%).

A total of 24.8% of local residents are enrolled in formal education programs. This cohort includes 7.3% studying at tertiary institutions, 6.0% attending primary schools, and 3.5% enrolled in secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The local transit network features 35 active passenger stops in Tuart Hill, consisting of various bus options. These stops support 12 distinct routes, which accommodate 2,029 passenger journeys weekly. Public transport access is rated highly, with average resident proximity to stops standing at 155 meters. As a residential community, most commuters travel out of the area, with 77% driving, 11% using buses, and 7% utilizing trains. Car ownership averages 0.9 vehicles per household, which is lower than the metropolitan average. A relatively small proportion of residents (7.0%) worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which was influenced by pandemic-related factors.

Transit services run at a frequency of 289 daily trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 57 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Tuart Hill is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Health profiles in Tuart Hill are positive, with low rates of common health conditions reported across both younger and older generations, and private health insurance coverage is high, representing approximately 55% of the population (~4,806 people). This compares to a coverage rate of 59.0% across Greater Perth.

Mental health conditions and arthritis represent the most common diagnoses, affecting 9.3% and 6.2% of residents respectively. Conversely, 73.6% of the population reported no chronic medical conditions, compared to 71.9% for Greater Perth. The working-age cohort exhibits favorable health metrics with minimal chronic illness. Seniors aged 65 and older comprise 14.2% of the local population (1,230 people), which is below the Greater Perth average of 16.1%. Elderly residents display strong health profiles, with national rankings aligning with the wider community.

Tuart Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

The suburb of Tuart Hill displays a high level of cultural diversity, with 36.8% of the population speaking a non-English language at home and 46.8% of residents born abroad. Christianity is the largest religious group, representing 42.5% of local residents. Buddhism shows a notable local concentration at 7.0%, compared to 2.7% across the Greater Perth area.

For ancestral background (based on parental country of birth), the primary groups in Tuart Hill are English at 21.4% (lower than the regional average of 28.0%), Other at 16.9% (higher than the regional average of 11.2%), and Australian at 16.2% (lower than the regional average of 21.2%). Variations also appear in other ancestries, with Italian heritage at 8.6% (compared to 4.2% regionally), Serbian at 0.7% (compared to 0.3% regionally), and Croatian at 1.1% (compared to 0.8% regionally).

Tuart Hill's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age of 36 years in Tuart Hill is similar to the Greater Perth median of 37 and slightly below the Australian median of 38. The suburb has a higher share of residents aged 25 to 34 (25.3%) and a lower share of those aged 5 to 14 (7.4%) compared to Greater Perth. This 25 to 34 age bracket is significantly larger than the national average of 14.6%. Between the 2021 Census and the latest estimates, the 35 to 44 age cohort increased from 17.5% to 18.5%, while the 0 to 4 group decreased from 6.0% to 5.4%. Projections to 2041 indicate demographic shifts, with the 45 to 54 cohort expected to grow by 26% (adding 244 residents to total 1,180), while the youth cohorts (0 to 4 and 5 to 14) are projected to contract.